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Daily Fantasy MLB Baseball Picks for FanDuel, DraftKings and Starsdraft 9/8/15

Posted by on Sep 8, 2015 in Daily Fantasy Baseball Picks, featured, Uncategorized | 8 comments

Daily Fantasy MLB Baseball Picks for FanDuel, DraftKings and Starsdraft 9/8/15 If you want the rest? Go ahead and get access to the exclusive projection system that produces these picks. Sign up now and get a free 3 day trial to our lineup construction tool for FanDuel, DraftKings and Victiv. Pitchers There are a bunch of good arms going on this slate and yet I'm struggling to find the ones who truly stand out for their respective prices. The struggle is real here. You can play Clayton Kershaw of course, but you'll struggle to make any kind of decent lineup around his exorbitant price. You've also go Matt Harvey on a possible innings cap. So where does that leave us? Sonny Gray - FD 10200 DK 10500 Victiv Opponent- Hou (Kazmir) L Park- @Oak Cole Hamels - FD 10600 DK 10300 Victiv Opponent- Sea (Walker) R Park- @Sea How about these two guys? Our system has them in basically lock step in terms of value on this slate. They aren't flying off the page as must starts mind you, but they each have decent matchups all things considered. Sonny Gray's facing an Astros team that strike out more than 24% of the time against righties. Now they can get after pitchers for sure, but the top of their lineup is very righty dominant. Now understand that Gray is overpriced because of an ERA that's running hot as compared to the xFIP. Be wary here as he's priced like an ace, but isn't exactly in that tier. Meanwhile, Hamels is in a similar scenario. He's facing a Mariners team ranked about league average against lefty pitching this season. They have some righties who can put some hurt on lefties, but as a team they also strike out more than 22% of the time in this split. Hamels has much better strikeout stuff than Gray, but he also walks more batters. He is going today in a pitcher's park and is a favorite for the win. If I had to pick between the two I'd probably go Hamels because he seems just a tad safer. But that's all relative. On FanDuel you can really consider play Aaron Nola. He's coming very cheap His peripherals are just at the point where there are hints of strikeout upside and he can limit the walks. The Braves are the pits against righty pitching this season (though they don't K a great deal). He's an interesting tournament play.   Catchers Jonathan Lucroy - FD 3300 DK 4100 Victiv 4900 Opponent- Mia (Conley) L Park- @Mia We lived through much of the lean Lucroy time a month or so ago when the price had dropped to...

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Daily Fantasy MLB Baseball Picks for FanDuel, DraftKings and Victiv 9/5/15

Posted by on Sep 5, 2015 in Daily Fantasy Baseball Picks, featured | 0 comments

Daily Fantasy MLB Baseball Picks for FanDuel, DraftKings and Victiv 9/5/15 Well, well, well. It's a massive double-slate Saturday, which means an incredible amount of plays for us to choose from. I'll do my best to give you a couple of plays per position for each slate, but there's no way I'll be able to tackle every single guy that would be a good play today. If you want the rest? Go ahead and get access to the exclusive projection system that produces these picks. Sign up now and get a free 3 day trial to our lineup construction tool for FanDuel, DraftKings and Victiv. Click here for a free 3 Day Free Trial Pitchers Early Slate Jake Arrieta - FD 11700 DK 13500 Victiv Opponent- Ari (Ray) L Park- @Chc For such a big day, there's precious little really safe pitching today. At least from our projection system's perspective. For the early slate, though, Arrieta is as close as it gets. First of all, Arrieta should need no introduction at this point. He's got a 2.74 xFIP over the last two seasons, which is good for the four best in the major leagues. He strikes out better than a guy an inning, and is a ground-ball machine. All good stuff. His match-up with the Diamondbacks is sort of a mixed blessing. One on hand, they've struck out at the 11th highest rate in the majors against right handed pitching this season. On the other, hand, they also have the 11th highest wOBA against righties. I'd say they're a net positive match-up when they're away from home, as is the case here. Arrieta is also facing off against Robbie Ray, a below league average pitcher with a 4.15 xFIP on the season. Arrieta's also been crushing recently - scoring an average of 20 FanDuel fantasy points per game in his last 3 starts. Love him for cash games, even at these prices. Jaime Garcia - FD 9000 DK 9600 Victiv Opponent- Pit (Morton) R Park- @Stl If you want to stick your neck out a little bit, consider Jaime Garcia. He's sort of a poor man's Arrieta. He doesn't have the same K rate for sure, but his extreme ground-ball tendencies really raise his floor. Oddly, the Pirates are almost exactly the same against lefties that the D-Backs are against righties - they have the 12th highest K rate, and the 13th highest wOBA. Morton is very stinker prone, and it's a good spot for Jaime to grab a W. Still, Garcia is also somewhat blow-up prone as well. I like this play if you're trying to go against the grain in the early slate. Late Slate Felix Hernandez...

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Daily Fantasy MLB Baseball Picks for FanDuel, DraftKings and Victiv 9/4/15

Posted by on Sep 4, 2015 in featured | 1 comment

Daily Fantasy MLB Baseball Picks for FanDuel, DraftKings and Victiv 9/4/15 If you want the rest? Go ahead and get access to the exclusive projection system that produces these picks. Sign up now and get a free 3 day trial to our lineup construction tool for FanDuel, DraftKings and Victiv. Pitchers Jacob deGrom - FD 11800 DK 11400 Victiv Opponent- Mia (Koehler) R Park- @Mia Our system doesn't love him from a points per dollar standpoint, but it's hard to argue with deGrom on this slate. The Marlins are the equivalent of a little league team against righties (albeit a little league team that would like, win a bunch of games, but whatever) and are such a weak hitting bunch. This game is going off in Miami, a pitcher's haven and deGrom's been a borderline elite pitcher this season. He's striking out more than a batter and a half per inning and rocking a sub 3.00 xFIP. Again, this is a steep price to pay for deGrom, but with so much value among the bats it shouldn't be a big issue paying a premium here. James Shields - FD 8800 DK 8700 Victiv Opponent- LAD (Bolsinger) R Park- @Sd He's on the cheaper side of things and while I don't think he's on the same safety level of maybe a guy like deGrom. Shields still sports a close-to-elite 9.67 K/9 rate though he does give up a few too many walks. Two of his last three games have been more like it for the guy and while he's playing a Dodgers' team that's performed well against righties this season, they've struggled of late. Shields is more a tournament play than anything because he for sure has downside especially considering the amount of home runs he's given up this season. But the ballpark does help him and I like the price here.   Catchers Catcher feels like a moderate disaster today. Salvador Perez - FD 2400 DK 3400 Victiv 4500 Opponent- CWS (Danks) L Park- @KC This more about targeting a weaker arm than it is about any real love for a guy like Perez. Dude's never going to a have a high BABIP because he runs as fast as my daughter when she was two. But even for his slow self, Perez has run bad. Again, this is a price point play considering Danks is a rough shout when it comes to getting outs with a mid 4's xFIP and lower K rate. Perez won't cost and you can worry about hits from other, real positions. Yan Gomes - FD 2600 DK 3500 Victiv 5100 Opponent- Det (Lobstein) L Park- @Det Speaking of players who I don't want to...

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Daily Fantasy MLB Baseball Picks for FanDuel, DraftKings and Victiv 9/3/15

Posted by on Sep 3, 2015 in Daily Fantasy Baseball Picks, featured | 1 comment

Daily Fantasy MLB Baseball Picks for FanDuel, DraftKings and Victiv 9/3/15 Oooooh, a juicy little short slate today. Some people are scared of short slates. "Where are all the options?" they say. "There aren't good enough players!" they say. Hogwash. We don't need great plays in a vacuum to crush a short slate - we just need plays better than the competition. In a lot of ways, that makes short slates some of the very most profitable. Even still - we'll never be able to give you every single play on even a short slate like this. If you want the rest of our top plays? Go ahead and get access to the exclusive projection system that produces these picks. Sign up now and get a free 3 day trial to our lineup construction tool for FanDuel, DraftKings and Victiv. Click here for a free 3 Day Free Trial Pitchers Jordan Zimmermann - FD 9300 DK 10400 Victiv Opponent- Atl (Wisler) R Park- @Was Well, it's a pretty short slate. Have I mentioned that? I waffled back and forth between Zimmermann and Liriano for the top slot here, and so I'll cop out on you a little bit. I like Liriano in terms of raw point-total upside, but actually prefer Zimmermann for safety. A few reasons. The first is price. On short slates, it's a heck of a lot tougher to find really good value at every price point. To that end, Zimmermann's relatively low price means greater flexibility for your other positions. The other big thing in play here is the match-up. The Braves don't strike out a ton, but they still have the third lowest wOBA in the majors against right handed pitching. And, frankly, Liriano has kinda sucked recently. For my cash game purposes, I'll be looking at the big Zimm. Mat Latos - FD 6200 DK 7300 Victiv Opponent- SD (Rea) R Park- @SD Oh, baby. We're this far off board and it's only the second player recommended. So, in case it isn't obvious, Latos is probably not a guy I'd dive right in and start in a 50/50. But I mean, there is kind of a lot to like here. First of all, Latos himself has been better than his ERA suggests. His 3.71 xFIP is above league average, and his K% is approaching his 2013 levels. And then there's the match-up. This one is truly a dream - the Padres themselves have the 8th highest K% in the majors, and the 4th lowest wOBA against right handed pitching. That takes into account their whole track record - they're even worse at home. He's also up against Colin Rea, who just isn't a major...

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Daily Fantasy MLB Baseball Picks for FanDuel, DraftKings and Victiv 9/2/15

Posted by on Sep 2, 2015 in Daily Fantasy Baseball Picks, featured | 3 comments

Daily Fantasy MLB Baseball Picks for FanDuel, DraftKings and Victiv 9/2/15 We've got a double slate rocking for this Wednesday. Some early games on a mini slate and a bigger evening one. There are a lot of decent and better arms going here so finding quality bats across the landscape will take some finesse. Also, hat tip to Ezequiel Paulino who chipped in for his first time on some of these picks. Looking forward to hearing more from him. If you want the rest? Go ahead and get access to the exclusive projection system that produces these picks. Sign up now and get a free 3 day trial to our lineup construction tool for FanDuel, DraftKings and Victiv. Pitchers Cole Hamels - FD 10700 DK 10800 Victiv Opponent- SD (Kennedy) R Park- @SD Cole Hammels is a solid option in cash games and tournaments. He’s been roughed up a bit since being traded to Texas, but that doesn’t take away his elite 9.37 ker p 9 on the year. His 3.42 sierra and 3.35 xfip are certainly respectable, if not completely elite. Though the latter matters a bit less because he isn't priced in the upper tier. The Padres are pretty much terrible to be honest, they rank 5th in k percentage at 21.9%, have a team wOBA below 300, and the game is in Petco Park, a nice park shift for Hamels. Overall the matchup with the Padres seems ideal. Matt Harvey - FD 11500 DK 11900 Victiv Opponent- Phi (Nola) R Park- @Nym Matt Harvey is easily the top pitching option on the board across all formats. His possess an elite 23.7 k percentage, a solid 3.38 xfip, and a top tier k per 9 at 8.38. He’s pitched considerably better at Citi Field with a 7-2 record, 2.26 era, and an outstanding 0.94 whip. Over his last 7 starts he’s striking out 40 batters in 48.2 innings. The man has been lights out. The Phillies offense has fared better against left handed pitching this year, and pretty much have been abysmal versus righties. Harvey is listed as a -235 favorite; Vegas likes him, so do I, get him in your lineups. Early Slate Special - For the dollars I'll roll Masahiro Tanaka against the Red Sox.   Catchers Ooh man do I ever dislike catcher today. You'll see why in a second. Yasmani Grandal - FD 2200 DK 3100 Victiv 4200 Opponent- SF (Leake) R Park- @Lad See what I mean? He's been a mess for the second half of the season, with an increased strikeout rate and just being bad all around. Not exactly a ringing endorsement I know, but he is now basically a...

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