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Daily Fantasy MLB Baseball Picks for FanDuel, DraftKings, Yahoo and Victiv 8/7/15

Posted by on Aug 7, 2015 in Daily Fantasy Baseball Picks, featured, Uncategorized | 0 comments

Daily Fantasy MLB Baseball Picks for FanDuel, DraftKings, Yahoo and Victiv 8/7/15 There are a lot of ace or ace-lite pitchers going on this slate. Which means our hitter picks will trend to the cheaper side so we can work those arms into lineups. You won't be able to fade them all I don't think. If you want the rest? Go ahead and get access to the exclusive projection system that produces these picks. Sign up now and get a free 3 day trial to our lineup construction tool for FanDuel, DraftKings and Draftster. Pitchers Let me reiterate something I mentioned about one second ago. There are a ton of really good pitchers going on this slate. And they all cost. Results aside, I'm always most confident at least with the process for our pitching selections. Today, outside of Kershaw (and the price there is daunting), I am a little concerned with "getting it right". So I'm going to write up a few more pitchers than normal with the reasoning. Am I hedging? F#$% yes. But I just don't see a totally clear path. Clayton Kershaw - FD 13400 DK 15000 Victiv Yahoo 70 Opponent- Pit (Cole) R Park- @Pit It's Kershaw Day. I'm not sure if you've been like us and rode Kershaw through some early struggles (with luck) to start the season. If you've stayed faithful then you've been healthily rewarded. The recent game log reads like something out of a Hall of Fame introduction speech. He's gone at least eight innings in his last four games, striking out double digits in three of them. He's got a 2.00 xFIP and ridiculous 7:1 K:BB rate. He's the leader for the NL Cy Young in my mind with those kinds of numbers. Today he faces a Pirates team ranked right around the middle of the pack against lefties in terms of wOBA, but they do strike out more than 23% of the time. Now here's the thing with Clayton: the price. It's exorbitant and he needs to be near perfect to hit on value. That combined with you'll have to find some cheap, safe hitters to fit him. So there's work to be done. But man, if any pitcher can pull it off he's the one. Cole Hamels - FD 10500 DK 10300 Victiv Yahoo 51 Opponent- Sea (Iwakuma) R Park- @Sea He's up here because our system like him a hair above some of the other arms and I think it's because the price is just that much lower than some of the other elite big boys. Hamels has the K rate we like to see. And the ballpark will help keep some of the power down....

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Daily Fantasy MLB Baseball Picks for FanDuel, DraftKings, Yahoo and Victiv 8/6/15

Posted by on Aug 6, 2015 in Daily Fantasy Baseball Picks, featured | 2 comments

Daily Fantasy MLB Baseball Picks for FanDuel, DraftKings, Yahoo and Victiv 8/6/15 If you want the rest? Go ahead and get access to the exclusive projection system that produces these picks. Sign up now and get a free 3 day trial to our lineup construction tool for FanDuel, DraftKings and Draftster. Pitchers Early Slate Zack Greinke - FD 12600 DK 13500 Victiv Yahoo 59 Opponent- Phi (Buchanan) R Park- @Phi On this early slate there are only so many ways to go, so you might as well just pay up for the best arm going. Greinke, while priced like a total ace, doesn't quite have the peripherals to match. The strikeout rate just isn't there, but I'm not sweating it too much in these early games. He's facing a garbage-y Phillies squad that ranks second to last in the league against righty arms this season. Greinke's ERA is in the lower 1's though you should know the xFIP is more like the lower 3's. He's had a healthy amount of luck this season, namely a .231 BABIP against. But he's a monster favorite for the win today and his control keeps him later in games, luck or not. Look, the prices are totally out of bounds, especially on DraftKings where he has to basically be perfect. But it's tough to think about fading him here with the other arms and matchups. Late Slate Pitching on this evening slate is about as bad as you'll ever see for a set of games. Think long and hard about how much money you want to invest playing this slate. Chris Heston - FD 7900 DK 9800 Victiv Yahoo 46 Opponent- Chc (Hammel) R Park- @ChC Yikes. This one doesn't feel good, but really none of this slate gives you the warm and fuzzy feeling so hang with me here. Heston faces a Cubs team ranked in the bottom third of the league against righties and they strike out a whopping 24% of the time in this split. That, almost alone, is worth considering Heston here. He's been a decent enough major league pitcher (no-hitter aside) with a 7 per nine K rate and a mid 3's xFIP. Those numbers won't blow you away, but neither will the price. He's coming cheap and you'll be loading up on hitters all over this slate. That's what happens when the arms are coming for nothing. Consider C.C. Sabathia but only as a relative venture   By the way - we were reached out to by a new site that deals with all things betting. They have a good take on daily fantasy sports rules, if you're new to the whole thing.   Catchers Early Slate...

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Daily Fantasy MLB Baseball Picks for FanDuel, DraftKings, Yahoo and Victiv 8/5/15

Posted by on Aug 5, 2015 in Daily Fantasy Baseball Picks, featured, Uncategorized | 0 comments

Daily Fantasy MLB Baseball Picks for FanDuel, DraftKings, Yahoo and Victiv 8/5/15 Two slates on this Wednesday with a mini in the afternoon and a medium-sized one in the evening. Lot to get into, so let's get started. If you want the rest? Go ahead and get access to the exclusive projection system that produces these picks. Sign up now and get a free 3 day trial to our lineup construction tool for FanDuel, DraftKings and Draftster. Pitchers Early Slate Danny Salazar - FD 8800 DK 11400 Victiv Yahoo 54 Opponent- LAA (Santigao) L Park- @Ana He's never an easy guy to trust and if you've been playing DFS for long you've probably been burned by him before. Such is the way with a guy like Salazar who has some insane stuff, but falls prey to fits of wildness (or getting blown up for a disaster inning). This isn't the best matchup in the world, but he's by far the best pure stuff pitcher on the slate. The Angels are a middle of the pack team against righties, striking out right around 20% of the time in this split. Salazar's been filthy at times this season with a K rate over 10, basically limiting the walks and working an xFIP in the low 3's. I'll take him over a similarly-priced Hector Santiago all day long without hesitation. Late Slate Madison Bumgarner - FD 11400 DK 10600 Victiv Yahoo 54 Opponent- Atl (Perez) R Park- @Atl You're spending up on pitching for this slate and there's almost no way around it. The funny thing is, none of the expensive pitchers are necessarily fantastic deals, but I think you need to pay for the raw points regardless. The middle tier of pitching is pretty gross so fitting the big salaries into your lineups is important. Bumgarner faces a Braves' team ranked 26th in the league against lefty pitching on the season. They are a weak hitting bunch with no real righty power bat to speak of. Madison continues doing pretty much what he goes out and does every single season. He's striking out more than a batter an inning, limiting the walks and the xFIP is under three. He's just this kind of pitcher. And by "this kind of pitcher" I mean "a really damn good pitcher". The tag will cost you, but there's enough savings in an among the bats to make it happen. Matt Harvey - FD 10900 DK 11000 Victiv Yahoo 52 Opponent- Mia (Phelps) R Park- @Mia It's been a rather disappointing season for Harvey coming back from injury as he's struggled at times with command. The numbers are still good mind you, it's just that you...

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Daily Fantasy MLB Baseball Picks for FanDuel, DraftKings, Yahoo and Victiv 8/4/15

Posted by on Aug 4, 2015 in Daily Fantasy Baseball Picks, featured | 0 comments

Daily Fantasy MLB Baseball Picks for FanDuel, DraftKings, Yahoo and Victiv 8/4/15 If you want the rest? Go ahead and get access to the exclusive projection system that produces these picks. Sign up now and get a free 3 day trial to our lineup construction tool for FanDuel, DraftKings and Draftster. Pitchers Max Scherzer - FD 12500 DK 13500 Victiv Yahoo 63 Opponent- Ari (Corbin) L Park- @Was His price is incredibly high, but that comes with the territory of being one of the best pitchers in the game. Full disclosure, the match-up isn’t ideal considering the Diamondbacks are a middle of the road team against right-handed pitching. But with that being said, they still strike out over 20% of the time, which plays nicely into Scherzer’s 10.32 K/9 ratio. I like Washington to beat up on Corbin some in this game as well, so Scherzer has a good chance at getting a W in this one. It’s going to be tough to get a ton of points out of the pitching position tonight, but Scherzer gives you the best chance of getting a solid score (with the potential for a gem as always). Jake Arrieta - FD 10200 DK 11500 Victiv Yahoo 59 Opponent- Sea (Happ) L Park- @Pit I don’t particularly like many of the high-priced arms today, with Scherzer and Arrieta being the only exceptions. The Pirates can be dangerous against righties when they make contact, but Arrieta has the strikeout ability to make that less of a concern. His 9.41 K/9 is up there with the best of them, and should be bolstered by the Pirates alarmingly 20% strikeout rate in that split. Arrieta has also won 7 of his 11 road starts this year, meaning he can handle the pressure of pitching in a hostile environment. If you’re wanting to spend up on a pitcher for 50/50’s Arrieta is your guy. Jimmy Nelson - FD 7600 DK 8200 Victiv Yahoo 46 Opponent- SD (Cashner) R Park- @Mil I really like Nelson’s matchup tonight. Nelson has been a respectable pitcher this year who has had some bad luck in the run support department. He’s got a respectable 7.65 K/9 and an xFIP of 3.88, which should work just fine against the Padres. The Padres have been a nightmare against right-handed pitching this year, with a 22% strikeout rate and a bottom 5 OPS, wOBA, and walk rate. I think Nelson is your best bet in big tournaments, where his lower price tag allows you to spend up on some bigger bats.   By the way - we were reached out to by a new site that deals with all things betting. They have a good...

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Daily Fantasy MLB Baseball Picks for FanDuel, DraftKings, Victiv, and Yahoo 8/3/15

Posted by on Aug 2, 2015 in Daily Fantasy Baseball Picks, featured | 1 comment

Daily Fantasy MLB Baseball Picks for FanDuel, DraftKings, Victiv, and Yahoo 8/3/15 Hey all! TGIM! It's a short slate on Monday, but even on a short slate, we'll never be able to detail every single good pick for you. What follows is a few players from each position that make a solid play for various contest types. If you want the rest? Go ahead and get access to the exclusive projection system that produces these picks. Sign up now and get a free 3 day trial to our lineup construction tool for FanDuel, DraftKings, Victiv, and Yahoo. Pitchers Francisco Liriano - FD 10500 DK 10800 Victiv Yahoo Opponent- CHC (Lester) L Park- @Pit Jon Lester - FD 10000 DK 10400 Victiv Yahoo Opponent- Pit (Liriano) L Park- @Pit Feels like a cop out writing up 2 pitchers who are facing one another, but here's the thing - they both have fantastic match-ups. Both the Cubs and the Bucs are in the top 7 in terms of K% against left handed pitching, so the upside for either is undeniable. If I had to choose one, though, I'd go with Lester. In spite of the big name bats on the Pirates being right handed (McCutchen and Marte), they have a few guys who just can't hit left handed pitching at all (Walker and Alvarez), and they're in the bottom half of the league when it comes to wOBA against lefties. As for the pitchers themselves - they actually cut a much more similar profile that you may realize. Both are sub-3 xFIP guys (excellent) with K rates better than a guy per inning. Only one of them can win this match-up, of course, but I think you could make a case for just splitting your lineups between the two and filling your lineups around what would be a sturdy and well-hedged foundation. Tyson Ross - FD 8600 DK 9300 Victiv Yahoo Opponent- Mil (Peralta) R Park- @Mil Ross is one of the more unusual great pitchers in the league. At first blush, his 4.30 BB/9 walk rate is the highest in the majors by .75 among qualified pitchers. It seems like I should be making acerbic barbs about him instead of including him on top of the pitcher rankings. So what gives? Well, Ross has a K/9 approach 10, which is excellent, but perhaps more importantly, the man is a literal ground ball machine. Well not literally - he's a human being - but he generates grounders at the third highest rate in the majors, and is 6% ahead of the guy in 4th place. His K/9 is almost 2 per 9 higher than the either of the guys ahead of...

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