Online NBA Betting Picks for Friday 12/21/18
Online NBA Betting Picks for Friday 12/21/18 Head on over a for your chance to get DFSR PRO, which will give you access to our NBA FanDuel and DraftKings optimizer, our NFL Optimizer, and our new player lab! Get started for free by clicking the button below. START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW! First time with NBA or NFL? Be sure to read our free NBA and NFL Ebooks on building lineups, general strategy and more. We've got you completely covered. Magic (-3.5) vs. Bulls (+3.5) DFSR Projected Score:Magic: 108.78 - Bulls: 93.19Vegas Projected Score: Magic: 103.5 - Bulls: 100DFSR Projected Total: 201.97Vegas Over/Under: 203.5DFSR Suggested Bet(s)Magic -3.5Magic -160 I'm not sure what to say about this one, to be honest. Orlando is 14-16 with a -3.9 point differential on the season, and Chicago is 7-25 with a -10.6 point differential. Orlando is still doing their best to win games, and Chicago is doing their best to acquire lottery balls. To go a little deeper, though, it can be helpful to try and figure out how and where teams are putting up their points. On the Orlando side, Nikola Vucevic is going to be returning from paternity leave, and he'll be running up against a Chicago team that's allowed the 2nd most fantasy points to opposing centers. Our system is going to give a little boost to Orlando since their best offensive player will go up against Chicago's weakest defensive link. Chicago has been a hair better at home this year, but the mismatch down low should more than account for that. Our system actually sees some blowout risk going Orlando's way here, and I've bet the Magic with the points and the money line. Jazz (2) vs. Trail Blazers (-2) DFSR Projected Score:Jazz: 105.87 - Trail Blazers: 116.38Vegas Projected Score: Jazz: 106 - Trail Blazers: 108DFSR Projected Total: 222.25Vegas Over/Under: 213DFSR Suggested Bet(s)Portland -2Over 213 We talked about this on today's podcast, but Utah's defensive reputation now officially outstrips reality. After years of being one of the 5 slowest teams in the league with the 5 best defenses, the Jazz have settled in as the 18th fastest team and the owners of the 8th best defense. Portland is playing a bottom 10 pace, but they pair that with a bottom 10 defensive efficiency. All this to say - these aren't great match-ups, but they aren't awful either. Utah has become something of a public team when it comes to betting the under, this game is kind of the inverse of the Chicago/Orlando game. Utah's most oppressive defender is Rudy Gobert, who can shut down bigs with ease. Portland doesn't really do a whole lot offensively down low, so his...
Podcast – Friday NBA DFS plays and Betting Angles for FanDuel and DraftKings – 12/21/18
Podcast - Friday NBA DFS plays and Betting Angles for FanDuel and DraftKings - 12/21/18 DFSR’s Doug Norrie and James Davis are back on the NBA podcast breaking down a full slate of NBA action for FanDuel and DraftKings.There’s a ton to look at as the guys roll game-by-game discussing cash game vs GPP plays, injury news and what to look out for leading into lock. They discuss the Raptors’ injury situation with Kyle Lowry out and some other key players questionable. There’s also a lot of Knick talk as they face the Hawks. And of course, they have to talk about Anthony Davis and how consistent (for real) he’s been this season. All of this and much more on a huge NBA podcast for FanDuel and DraftKings. Check it out on YouTube Subscribe to this podcast on...
Online NBA Betting Picks for Wednesday 12/19/18
Online NBA Betting Picks for Wednesday 12/19/18 Head on over a for your chance to get DFSR PRO, which will give you access to our NBA FanDuel and DraftKings optimizer, our NFL Optimizer, and our new player lab! Get started for free by clicking the button below. START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW! First time with NBA or NFL? Be sure to read our free NBA and NFL Ebooks on building lineups, general strategy and more. We've got you completely covered. Suns (11.5) vs. Celtics (-11.5) DFSR Projected Score:Suns: 114.55 - Celtics: 117.19 Vegas Projected Score: Suns: 106.25 - Celtics: 117.75 DFSR Projected Total: 231.74 Vegas Over/Under: 224 DFSR Suggested Bet(s) Suns +11.5 The Suns have a -9.5 point differential per game on the season, but it’s worth noting that number dips to -7.5 in games Devin Booker has started and played regular rotations. He makes a significant difference (of course) having him around and the scoring is so electric that when he’s shooting well the Suns can actually hang with better teams. They are on a three-game winning streak (the last two with Booker, wins over the Timberwolves and Knicks) and now travel to Boston for a matchup with the Celtics. Boston has looked better of late, winning eight in a row before dropping their last game to the Pistons. But that run was an easy one with games against the Hawks, Knicks, Bulls, Cavs, Wizards and two against the Pelicans. Having both Booker and Warren on the court together plus bringing in Mikal Bridges to replace Trevor Ariza makes a big difference. Ariza had the very worst net rating on the Suns among anyone who’d played more than 500 minutes (an astoundingly bad -13.4) while Bridges is actually positive on the season (8.1). Winning these starting lineup changes around the margins can be difference makers. Pistons (5) vs. Timberwolves (-5) DFSR Projected Score:Pistons: 103.28 - Timberwolves: 117.5 Vegas Projected Score: Pistons: 106 - Timberwolves: 111 DFSR Projected Total: 220.78 Vegas Over/Under: 217 DFSR Suggested Bet(s) Timberwolves -5 Timberwolves ML -200 Derrick Rose has been a revelation this season and as it stands ranks as one of the Timberwolves best players in terms of Net rating (+5.3). It would appear, the more minutes with him on the court, the better for Minnesota. No Jeff Teague also increases the usage on scorers like Karl-Anthony Towns and Andrew Wiggins. The Pistons are particularly weak defending the wings and could run into problems with the T-wolves in this respect. Also, Minnesota has had success defending opposing centers which neutralizes one of the only two high-level talents Detroit has on their roster. This could potentially be an easier win for the...
Online NBA Betting Picks for Friday 12/14/18
Online NBA Betting Picks for Friday 12/14/18 Head on over a for your chance to get DFSR PRO, which will give you access to our NBA FanDuel and DraftKings optimizer, our NFL Optimizer, and our new player lab! Get started for free by clicking the button below. START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW! First time with NBA or NFL? Be sure to read our free NBA and NFL Ebooks on building lineups, general strategy and more. We've got you completely covered. Bucks (-10.5) vs. Cavaliers (+10.5) DFSR Projected Score:Bucks: 127.03 - Cavaliers: 105.14Vegas Projected Score: Bucks: 114.5 - Cavaliers: 104DFSR Projected Total: 232.17Vegas Over/Under: 218.5DFSR Suggested Bet(s)Over 218.5Milwaukee -10.5 It always feels a little bit weird chasing a popular team and the over, as these tend to be sucker bets. In this case, though, our system sees Vegas as being the suckers. Our system thinks the Cleveland number is basically spot on, but believes that the bookmakers are unnecessarily bearish on the Bucks after a weird stretch of games. Giannis missed the Cleveland game last week, and the Bucks still beat them by 16 points and were resting their starters in the fourth quarter. Tristan Thompson will miss this game as well, denying the Cavs one of their better defenders. Yes, this game is in Cleveland, but the return of the Greek Freak should more than make up for the change of scenery. I'll be grabbing the Bucks and the over for one unit each. Knicks (10) vs. Hornets (-10) DFSR Projected Score:Knicks: 103.2 - Hornets: 117.02Vegas Projected Score: Knicks: 107.25 - Hornets: 117.25DFSR Projected Total: 218.22Vegas Over/Under: 224.5DFSR Suggested Bet(s)Charlotte -10Under 224.5 It's always interesting seeing how the public reacts to these games where we have a recent game to point to. The Knicks and Hornets met in New York on December 9th, and the Hornets walked away as 12 point victors. So has anything really changed here? When we're betting sports, we want to be very wary of referencing one game sample sizes. In that Knicks/Hornets game, the Knicks actually ran far ahead of expectation from deep, making 12/24 of their threes. Missing two more of those would have shaved 6 points off the board in all likelihood. No Hornet starter needed to play more than 30 minutes thanks to the Hornets running out ahead early, and the Hornets were actually up 21 points headed into the fourth. Our system is very bearish on the Knicks' ability to score Vegas' implied total as well, which is where the under should come in. If we see the Hornets' guys get their full run, winning by 10 at home seems trivial. GRAB A FREE TRIAL OF OUR PROJECTION SYSTEM, AND...
NBA Podcast – Friday NBA DFS plays and Betting Angles for FanDuel and DraftKings – 12/14/18
NBA Podcast - Friday NBA DFS plays and Betting Angles for FanDuel and DraftKings - 12/14/18 DFSR’s Doug Norrie and James Davis take to the NBA podcast discussing a nine-game slate of NBA action for all of your FanDuel, DraftKings and betting needs. They go game-by-game breaking down injury news, DFS values, betting lines and more. The most important news pieces of the day are whether Kawhi Leonard and/ or Jimmy Butler take the court for the Raptors and Sixers respectively. Their statuses could swing the slate in terms of overall lineup construction. The guys also spend some time on the Celtics getting some players back, the Warriors coming down in price and more. It’s all there on a full Friday NBA podcast. And for the listener, the most fantasy points scored with less than 3 actual points is Draymond Green last season against the Pistons when he dropped 53.7 FanDuel points with only two points scored. Subscribe to this podcast on...