Daily Fantasy NFL Football Picks for FanDuel, DraftKings, and DraftPot – Week 12
Daily Fantasy NFL Football Picks for FanDuel, DraftKings, and DraftPot - Week 12 Editor's note: Get ready for Raybon's insightful article on NFL's Week 12! He's done an amazing job breaking down the top plays of the week, but obviously, he could never include every single great play. If you want point projections for individual players? Go ahead and get access to the exclusive projection system that produces these picks. Sign up now and get started with our lineup construction tool for FanDuel, DraftKings and Draftpot. Click here to get started The Thanksgiving holiday provides an opportune time to discuss strategy on small slates. First of all, if you’re playing cash games on a small slate, know that there will be increased variance in your results due to such a small player pool. GPPs tend to be a much better contest type to play in a small slate. Many entrants treat small slate GPPs like cash games, playing mostly chalk plays, resulting in a ton of overlap. So how do you get an edge in small slate GPPs? Focus on low risk/high reward differentiation plays: You know you need to be contrarian somehow, but simply fading the chalk across the board isn’t going to get you anywhere. Instead, focus on the positions that require one roster slot. If you successfully hit on a non-chalk play here, you get points that are impossible to make up, and there are only six choices for you to choose from. Use Larger Stacks: With only three games on the slate, it’s very possible that one game has significantly more fantasy production than the other two. Stacking entire offenses and entire games is a way to gain a differentiated lineup. Ignore Negative Correlation: Many entrants will hesitate to utilize negatively correlated pairings, or even players that are positively correlated but are perceived to cut into each other’s production (i.e. QB-RB). However, with limited options at your disposal, it’s fine to use negatively correlated pairings if you think it will enable you to outscore the field. Using these pairings is another way to get a differentiated lineup without playing sub-optimal players just to be contrarian. With that, I wish you and yours a Happy Thanksgiving. Let’s get into this week’s plays. QUARTERBACKS Carson Palmer - FD 8100 DK 7100 Opponent- SF Ranked second in DraftKings points per game and third in FanDuel points per game, Palmer will face a 49ers defense ranked 31st in pass defense DVOA. Palmer leads the NFL in TD passes per game (2.7) and yards per attempt (9.0), and is fifth in passing yards per game (306.6). The 49ers allow 1.7 TDs per game (16th), 8.3 yards per attempt (30th)...
Value and Sleeper Picks for Daily Fantasy NFL Football for FanDuel, DraftKings, and DraftPot – Week 11
Value and Sleeper Picks for Daily Fantasy NFL Football for FanDuel, DraftKings, and DraftPot - Week 11 It's another value picks and sleepers article for the 2015 NFL season! With a couple of weeks under our belts, some players are already undervalued on DraftKings and FanDuel. Roles change more rapidly in NFL than they do anywhere else, leaving us a huge opportunity to get to cashing in. Here are some guys that our projection system likes that you might not see elsewhere. We've also got Chris Raybon's Week 11 NFL picks sitting there waiting for you to digest. Want to find more sleepers and potential breakout daily fantasy football stars for the NFL in week 5? Go ahead and get access to the exclusive projection system that produces these picks. Sign up now and get a free 3 day trial to our lineup construction tool for FanDuel, DraftKings and Starsdraft. Click here for a free 3 Day Free Trial If you read last week's value picks article and trusted some of our system's deeper value plays then you were a happy camper at the end of Monday night. Marcus Mariota, Lamar Miller and Delanie Walker ended up in many of the winning GPP lineups on the day and were top pts/$ plays in our system. We received a lot of love (and a lot of winning screenshots) from users this week. Very pumped about the success and looking to roll it back for Week 11. A couple of notes on these picks. They are geared a little more towards DraftKings where, because of pricing range difference, it's a little easier to suss out some value on a given slate. Additionally, remember that these aren't necessarily your super safe cash game plays. There is always a little more risk with these picks than the ones laid out in Chris's Week 11 picks article. QUARTERBACKS Matthew Stafford - FD 7000 DK 5400 Opponent- OAK This game has the highest O/U on the day at 50 and should feature a ton of points coming off as a pick'em. Stafford is coming cheap all things considered and I'd even possibly take a stab at him in a cash game because I think the Lions will throw the ball in this one. Oakland ranks 20th in the league in DVOA against the pass this season and 24th in overall team D. While not the most trustworthy (or really that good of a) quarterback, the price and potential game flow have me really considering him because it unlocks a lot of other things in your lineup. Russell Wilson - FD 7600 DK 5900 Opponent- SF He feels very much off the radar...
Draftpot Overlay Alert! Sign up through DFSR and Get 1-Month of Premium Projections
Daily Fantasy NFL Picks for Draftpot - Week 11 Welcome to the Week 11 DFS NFL picks article for Draftpot, a brand new way to play fantasy sports. Draftpot is similar to other DFS sites except there is no salary cap restrictions. They offer two separate game types(Fan Mode/GM Mode). For NFL, Fan Mode allows you to build a roster of 1 QB,2 RB,3 WR,1 TE,2 FLEX,1 K,1 DEF without salary restrictions. You can roster anyone you want. In GM Mode, you also roster the same positions but have a Drafpot Points Per Game(DPPG) cap. Each player have a PPG value attached to their name which is a reflection of their previous 16 games played. This gives a more transparent look at player value. Need other NFL Picks? Chris Raybon's Week 10 NFL Plays. Overlay Alert and Free Access to our Projections! DraftPot has a $100K Guaranteed contest for NFL's Week 11 that's less than 15% FULL. Sign up and deposit with the promo code "DFSR" to get 100% matching bonus up to $1000. Plus, first time depositors get a free entry to their $10K contest. Oh, and if you sign up through our link we'll throw in a free month of our NFL and MLB projections. That's value baby! Click the banner below. If you want point projections for individual players? Go ahead and get access to the exclusive projection system that produces these picks. Sign up now and get a free 3 day trial to our lineup construction tool for FanDuel, DraftKings and Starsdraft. Click here for a free 3 Day Free Trial When making my picks I will be looking at a multitude of information (Vegas lines, totals and player props, targets, defensive matchups, injuries, offensive line rankings and of course DPPG) to break down all the players in the pool to provide you with the best analysis possible for the slate at hand. If you missed out on Week 10 at DraftPot, you missed out on a large amount of overlay. Don't worry though. They are doing it again this week with their $15 entry, $75,000 Guarantee Touchdown Fan Mode tournament. It pays $15,000 to first and is bound to have more overlay again this weekend. Get in on the action while there is still time. To win a tournament in Fan Mode you won't be able to just pick the top players at their positions each week. You will need to differentiate yourself with some low ownership picks. One way I love doing this is picking good players who are coming off a bad to horrible week. Recency bias plays a huge part in daily fantasy and is something we can use to our advantage to...
Daily Fantasy NFL Football Picks for FanDuel, DraftKings, and DraftPot – Week 11
Daily Fantasy NFL Football Picks for FanDuel, DraftKings, and DraftPot - Week 11 Editor's note: Get ready for Raybon's insightful article on NFL's week 11! He's done an amazing job breaking down the top plays of the week, but obviously, he could never include every single great play. If you want point projections for individual players? Go ahead and get access to the exclusive projection system that produces these picks. Sign up now and get a free 3 day trial to our lineup construction tool for FanDuel, DraftKings and Starsdraft. Click here for a free 3 Day Free Trial Last week reinforced the notion that volume is paramount for a running back. Despite seemingly tough matchups, both Jeremy Langford and Charcandrick West exploded for over 100 total yards and multiple TDs. Interestingly, both backs took screen passes 80 yards or more to the house. Passing game work is extremely valuable to a running back, because there’s a lot more room for good things to happen. Whereas a running back has to make his way around a ton of bodies at the line of scrimmage when handling a conventional running play, he often will have blockers in space when he catches the ball. Both this week and as the season progresses, be sure not to overlook RBs who get passing game volume that are in seemingly tough matchups. They’ll be very low-owned in tournaments and have upside that the majority of the field is not accounting for. QUARTERBACKS Cam Newton - FD 8600 DK 6900 Opponent- WAS The QB2 and QB5 on FanDuel and DraftKings, respectively, Newton will take the field at home against the Redskins with his Panthers’ Vegas implied total sitting at 26 points, which bodes well for a QB that accounts for 81 percent of his team’s offensive TDs. Newton has scored multiple TDs in eight straight games, and the Redskins have allowed multiple passing TDs in four straight. Derek Carr - FD 7700 DK 6300 Opponent- DET Carr has been a top-10 fantasy QB this season, and travels to Detroit to take on a defense ranked 31st in the NFL in opponent passer rating and 28th in the NFL in pass defense DVOA. Not surprisingly, the Lions have allowed the fifth-most fantasy points to opposing QBs. With two of Detroit’s top three cornerbacks (Rashean Mathis and Josh Wilson) now on the injured reserve, Carr’s matchup should be ripe for the picking. His Raiders have a healthy team total of over 25 points. Tyrod Taylor - FD 7200 DK 5200 Opponent- NE A statement that is usually reserved for running backs rings true for Taylor: he Is game-script-dependent. Over his last three games (all wins), Taylor...
Draftpot Overlay Alert! Sign up through DFSR and Get 1-Month of Premium Projections
Daily Fantasy NFL Picks for Draftpot - Week 10 Welcome to the Week 10 DFS NFL picks article for Draftpot, a brand new way to play fantasy sports. Draftpot is similar to other DFS sites except there is no salary cap restrictions. They offer two separate game types(Fan Mode/GM Mode). For NFL, Fan Mode allows you to build a roster of 1 QB,2 RB,3 WR,1 TE,2 FLEX,1 K,1 DEF without salary restrictions. You can roster anyone you want. In GM Mode, you also roster the same positions but have a Drafpot Points Per Game(DPPG) cap. Each player have a PPG value attached to their name which is a reflection of their previous 16 games played. This gives a more transparent look at player value. Need other NFL Picks? Chris Raybon's Week 10 NFL Plays are up as well as our Week 10 Value Picks. Overlay Alert and Free Access to our Projections! DraftPot has a $100K Guaranteed contest for NFL's Week 8 that's less than 15% FULL. Sign up and deposit with the promo code "DFSR" to get 100% matching bonus up to $1000. Plus, first time depositors get a free entry to their $10K contest. Oh, and if you sign up through our link we'll throw in a free month of our NFL and MLB projections. That's value baby! Click the banner below. If you want point projections for individual players? Go ahead and get access to the exclusive projection system that produces these picks. Sign up now and get a free 3 day trial to our lineup construction tool for FanDuel, DraftKings and Starsdraft. Click here for a free 3 Day Free Trial When making my picks I will be looking at a multitude of information (Vegas lines, totals and player props, targets, defensive matchups, injuries, offensive line rankings and of course DPPG) to break down all the players in the pool to provide you with the best analysis possible for the slate at hand. If you missed out on Week 9 at DraftPot, you missed out on a large amount of overlay. Don't worry though. They are doing it again this week with their $15 entry, $75,000 Guarantee Touchdown Fan Mode tournament. It pays $15,000 to first and is bound to have more overlay again this weekend. Get in on the action while there is still time. To win a tournament in Fan Mode you won't be able to just pick the top players at their positions each week. You will need to differentiate yourself with some low ownership picks. One way I love doing this is picking good players who are coming off a bad to horrible week. Recency bias plays a huge part in daily fantasy and...