Daily Fantasy NFL Football Picks for FanDuel, DraftKings, and DraftPot – Week 16
Daily Fantasy NFL Football Picks for FanDuel, DraftKings, and DraftPot - Week 16 Editor's note: Get ready for Raybon's insightful article on NFL's Week 16! He's done an amazing job breaking down the top plays of the week, but obviously, he could never include every single great play. If you want point projections for individual players? Go ahead and get access to the exclusive projection system that produces these picks. Sign up now and get started with our lineup construction tool for FanDuel, DraftKings and Draftpot. Click here to get started The Vegas lines are telling us there may not be many shootout style games in Week 16, as there is only one game with an over/under above 50 (Jaguars-Saints, which may come down if Drew Brees does not play). There are also three games with double-digit spreads (Seahawks-Rams, Chiefs-Browns, Steelers-Ravens) and another with a 9-point spread (Lions-49ers). As a result, there are a bunch of teams with high individual team totals. This week may not be a great week to combine players from the same game in GPP lineups in hopes of a shootout a la Steelers-Broncos or Lions-Saints last week, but instead focus on loading up on players on the top projected teams of the week. QUARTERBACKS Cam Newton - FD 9300 DK 7500 Opponent- ATL Newton is tearing up the NFL in his fifth season, leading the league in TD% (7.5%). He has accounted for 83% of the Panthers’ offensive TDs, which bodes well in a game where Carolina’s Vegas implied total is above 27 points. The Falcons rank 23rd in pass defense DVOA and 21st in rush DVOA; they posed no match for Cam two weeks ago, when Newton torched the Dirty Birds for three scores on only 21 attempts. Russell Wilson - FD 8800 DK 7200 Opponent- STL Wilson has been locked in of late. In his last five games, he is averaging 284 passing yards and 3.8 passing TDs to go along with 29.4 rushing yards and 0.2 rushing TDs. He has a 19:0 TD-to-INT ratio over that span. At first glance, the Rams may seem like a tough matchup, but they have permitted 301 passing yards and 2.3 passing TDs per game over their last four games. Seattle’s Vegas implied total is robust 27 points. Blake Bortles - FD 8200 DK 6500 Opponent- NO Bortles has been hovering around top-5 fantasy QB territory (depending on what scoring format is used) all season. Over his last six games, he is averaging 271 passing yards and 2.33 passing TDs along with a healthy 21.2 rushing yards and 0.33 rushing TDs. He has accounted for 92% of Jacksonville’s offensive TDs. Meanwhile, the Saints are...
Value and Sleeper Picks for Daily Fantasy NFL Football for FanDuel, DraftKings, and DraftPot – Week 15
Value and Sleeper Picks for Daily Fantasy NFL Football for FanDuel, DraftKings, and DraftPot - Week 15 It's another value picks and sleepers article for the 2015 NFL season! With a couple of weeks under our belts, some players are already undervalued on DraftKings and FanDuel. Roles change more rapidly in NFL than they do anywhere else, leaving us a huge opportunity to get to cashing in. Here are some guys that our projection system likes that you might not see elsewhere. We've also got Chris Raybon's Week 15 NFL picks sitting there waiting for you to digest. Want to find more sleepers and potential breakout daily fantasy football stars for the NFL in week 5? Go ahead and get access to the exclusive projection system that produces these picks. Sign up now and get a free 3 day trial to our lineup construction tool for FanDuel, DraftKings and Draftpot. Click here for a free 3 Day Free Trial Last week's value play article included some real, tournament-winning home runs like Marcus Mariota, Allen Robinson and Scott Chandler. It also included some duds as well. Such is life when trying to capture real contrarian upside. We are getting down to the wire in the NFL and it's tough to come out of nowhere at this point. We want to target some players who the public may be a little down on, but who stand to turn in solid performances. QUARTERBACKS Matt Ryan - FD 7200 DK 5700 Opponent- JAC This is an interesting week for Matty Ice and the rest of the Falcons. They come in on a six game losing streak and having lost 7 of their last 8 games. The poop icing was a 38-0 beat down last week by the Panthers. So, yeah, things aren't looking good. But in DFS we are looking for times to buy when public opinion has soured and we can take advantage of pricing. I think that's the case with Ryan. The completion percentage has been there even when things are going wrong and the Panthers are a top notch defense. The Jags aren't. They rank 27th in DVOA against the pass this season and this game has the biggest o/u of the week. He still has two elite weapons in Julio Jones and Devonta Ryan. He's seen a precipitous price drop in the short term and this is a great time to buy. Philip Rivers - FD 7400 DK 5500 Opponent- MIA As Eli Manning proved last week, the Dolphins can be passed on. They rank 31st in the league in DVOA against the pass with only the lowly Saints behind them. The issue with Rivers...
Value and Sleeper Picks for Daily Fantasy NFL Football for FanDuel, DraftKings, and DraftPot – Week 14
Value and Sleeper Picks for Daily Fantasy NFL Football for FanDuel, DraftKings, and DraftPot - Week 14 It's another value picks and sleepers article for the 2015 NFL season! With a couple of weeks under our belts, some players are already undervalued on DraftKings and FanDuel. Roles change more rapidly in NFL than they do anywhere else, leaving us a huge opportunity to get to cashing in. Here are some guys that our projection system likes that you might not see elsewhere. We've also got Chris Raybon's Week 14 NFL picks sitting there waiting for you to digest. Want to find more sleepers and potential breakout daily fantasy football stars for the NFL in week 5? Go ahead and get access to the exclusive projection system that produces these picks. Sign up now and get a free 3 day trial to our lineup construction tool for FanDuel, DraftKings and Starsdraft. Click here for a free 3 Day Free Trial Last week's value play article included some real, tournament-winning home runs like Marcus Mariota, Allen Robinson and Scott Chandler. It also included some duds as well. Such is life when trying to capture real contrarian upside. We are getting down to the wire in the NFL and it's tough to come out of nowhere at this point. We want to target some players who the public may be a little down on, but who stand to turn in solid performances. A couple of notes on these picks. They are geared a little more towards DraftKings where, because of pricing range difference, it's a little easier to suss out some value on a given slate. Additionally, remember that these aren't necessarily your super safe cash game plays. There is always a little more risk with these picks than the ones laid out in Chris's Week 14 picks article. QUARTERBACKS Let me start by saying that James Winston, as outlined in Chris's article, is a cheap option facing a putrid Saints' defense. That's definitely an incredible value and you can roll the guy in cash lineups. Eli Manning - FD 7500 DK 6100 Opponent- MIA Eli's completion percentage has been, for lack of a better word, crappy over the last few weeks. Since putting up a cheat code performance against the Saints, he's been erratic. That's caused a price dip over the short term. This week he'll face a Miami team ranked 23rd in DVOA against the pass. This game has the second highest opening over/under of the week at 46.5 as a pick'em. The Giants are throwing on 63% of their plays, ranking 9th in the league. I think this is a good spot for Manning and will...
Daily Fantasy NFL Football Picks for FanDuel, DraftKings, and DraftPot – Week 13
Daily Fantasy NFL Football Picks for FanDuel, DraftKings, and DraftPot - Week 13 Editor's note: Get ready for Raybon's insightful article on NFL's Week 13! He's done an amazing job breaking down the top plays of the week, but obviously, he could never include every single great play. If you want point projections for individual players? Go ahead and get access to the exclusive projection system that produces these picks. Sign up now and get started with our lineup construction tool for FanDuel, DraftKings and Draftpot. Click here to get started As we come upon Week 13 of the NFL season, I think it’s a good time to revisit sample size. While it’s true that generally we want the largest sample size possible to inform out decisions, this is not always the case, especially when it comes to analyzing defensive matchups. For example, through the first seven weeks of the season, the Texans had allowed four QBs to top 25 fantasy points and had allowed five multi-TD games. Since Week 8, the most yards the Texans have given up are 228, and they have given up one TD over the past four games. Some defenses simply take a while to learn the same and then improve, while others suffer injuries that cause a major drop-off. Either way, this is a reminder to not discount recent trends in defensive statistics, even if the sample is small. Let’s get into the Week 13 plays. QUARTERBACKS Cam Newton - FD 9000 DK 7400 Opponent- NO A top three fantasy QB on the season, Newton draws the Saints with his Panthers sporting a substantial team total of over 27 points. The Saints defense has allowed a passer rating of 115.9, over 10 points higher than the next worst team. They have given up 38 offensive TDs this season, and Newton is third in the league with 27 total TDs scored. It goes without saying, but the Saints have allowed the most fantasy points per game to opposing QBs by a landslide. Andy Dalton - FD 8000 DK 6400 Opponent- CLE Dalton goes on the road to face a Browns team coming off a short week that has allowed the second most points per game in the NFL. The Bengals; team total is 26.5, one of Week 13’s highest. While Dalton has scored the seventh most fantasy points per game among QBs, the Browns have allowed the seventh most. Cleveland ranks 29th in pass defense DVOA. Jay Cutler - FD 7000 DK 5100 Opponent- SF Cutler should offer good value in a game where the Bears have a Vegas implied total of 25 points, four higher than their season average. The 49ers have struggled...
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Daily Fantasy NFL Picks for Draftpot - Week 12 Welcome to the Week 12 DFS NFL picks article for Draftpot, a brand new way to play fantasy sports. Draftpot is similar to other DFS sites except there is no salary cap restrictions. They offer two separate game types(Fan Mode/GM Mode). For NFL, Fan Mode allows you to build a roster of 1 QB,2 RB,3 WR,1 TE,2 FLEX,1 K,1 DEF without salary restrictions. You can roster anyone you want. In GM Mode, you also roster the same positions but have a Drafpot Points Per Game(DPPG) cap. Each player have a PPG value attached to their name which is a reflection of their previous 16 games played. This gives a more transparent look at player value. Need other NFL Picks? Chris Raybon's Week 10 NFL Plays. Overlay Alert and Free Access to our Projections! DraftPot has a $100K Guaranteed contest for NFL's Week 11 that's less than 15% FULL. Sign up and deposit with the promo code "DFSR" to get 100% matching bonus up to $1000. Plus, first time depositors get a free entry to their $10K contest. Oh, and if you sign up through our link we'll throw in a free month of our NFL and MLB projections. That's value baby! Click the banner below. If you want point projections for individual players? Go ahead and get access to the exclusive projection system that produces these picks. Sign up now and get a free 3 day trial to our lineup construction tool for FanDuel, DraftKings and Starsdraft. Click here for a free 3 Day Free Trial When making my picks I will be looking at a multitude of information (Vegas lines, totals and player props, targets, defensive matchups, injuries, offensive line rankings and of course DPPG) to break down all the players in the pool to provide you with the best analysis possible for the slate at hand. If you missed out on Week 11 at DraftPot, you missed out on some excellent guaranteed prize pools at every level of buyin: $15 Buyin - $40,000 Touchdown(Fan Mode) paying out $4,000 to 1st place $25 Buyin - $20,000 Spike(GM Mode) paying out $2,000 to 1st place $5 Buyin - $5,000 Hot Route(Fan Mode) paying out $500 to 1st place Also, don't forget about the "No Rake" head to head contests. A great way to maximize your profit and buidl your bankroll! To win a tournament in Fan Mode you won't be able to just pick the top players at their positions each week. You will need to differentiate yourself with some low ownership picks. One way I love doing this is picking good players who are coming off a bad to horrible week....