FanDuel NBA Picks and DraftKings NBA Picks – Tuesday 9/8/20
FanDuel NBA Picks and DraftKings NBA Picks - Tuesday 9/8/20 Head on over a for your chance to get DFSR PRO, which will give you access to our NBA FanDuel and DraftKings optimizer, our MLB Optimizer and NHL Projections as well. Plus our new player lab! Get started for free by clicking the button below. START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW! First time with NBA or NFL? Be sure to read our free NBA and NFL Ebooks on building lineups, general strategy and more. We've got you completely covered. Heat (-3.5) vs. Bucks (+3.5) The Bucks pulled off a surprise win on Sunday after Giannis went down with a sprained ankle early in the second quarter. The rest of the troops rallied to pull it out in overtime to avoid the sweep. You have to hand it to them for playing tough and keeping the series alive for another day. Of course, most of this short slate comes down to the Giannis Antetokounmpo (FD $10600 DK $11100) health. If he plays and is given the all-clear I think you could consider playing him. He put up almost 30 FanDuel points in just 11 minutes in game four and was well on his way to crushing value before the ankle thing. That being said, if he doesn’t play then we are looking at stacking the rest of the crew. Khris Middleton (FD $8000 DK $8600) would be a near 100% play if Giannis sits. The former took over the game on Sunday, dropping 36 points, eight rebounds and eight assists in 48 minutes, leading the team with 28 shots. Eric Bledsoe (FD $5200 DK $6200) has been a play regardless and played 35 minutes in regulation last time out. He struggled from beyond the arc, going 0-6 from three and finished with only 14 points but did chip in 10 rebounds and six assists. And finally, Donte Divincenzo (FD $4500 DK $3500) would probably join the starting lineup seeing as how he and George Hill (FD $4800 DK $4400) picked up almost all of the non-Gianni minutes. Both would be excellent value plays on this slate. Like I said, we will likely be sweating this news right up until lock as he’s trending towards a true game-time decision. On the Heat side, Bam Adebayo (FD $8500 DK $8700) has had a fantastic series, averaging 38 minutes a game with 18 points, 14 rebounds and five assists per game. The price is still coming up, but at a weaker PF position (with Anthony Davis now a C) he is a very safe play. With Giannis off the court, the Heat were able to play Duncan Robinson (FD $5300 DK $4700) more minutes...
FanDuel NBA Picks and DraftKings NBA Picks – Monday 9/7/20
FanDuel NBA Picks and DraftKings NBA Picks - Monday 9/7/20 Head on over a for your chance to get DFSR PRO, which will give you access to our NBA FanDuel and DraftKings optimizer, our MLB Optimizer and NHL Projections as well. Plus our new player lab! Get started for free by clicking the button below. START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW! First time with NBA or NFL? Be sure to read our free NBA and NFL Ebooks on building lineups, general strategy and more. We've got you completely covered. Celtics (-1) vs. Raptors (+1) After falling down 0-2 to start the series, the Raptors have clawed their way back in to it than’s the a buzzer beater on Thursday and another win on Saturday. We are now knotted up at two games apiece entering a pivotal game five. Toronto is unapologetically running four of their five starters huge, huge minutes with Pascal Siakam (FD $8400 DK $8100), Kyle Lowry (FD $9200 DK $8200) and Fred Vanvleet (FD $7900 DK $7800) all going 44 or more minutes in game four. There is such a fantastic fantasy floor when this is the case and it isn’t a new thing for the Raptors. They’ve done this much of the bubble and most of the year.VanVleet has gotten back on track with the shooting, going 5-11 from three in game four though only finished with 17 points. The 6-19 from the field held him back some and I do think there’s still some upside at his prices if he really dials it in for a games. Lowry also struggled some from the field going 5-16 in his 44 minutes but did knock down all eight free throws on his way to 22 points, 11 rebounds and seven assists. Stacking both him and VanVleet in the backcourt is probably something like the cash game chalk on this Monday slate. Siakam had his best game of the series and led the team in shots with 23. The three-point shooting was completely terrible (2-13) and honestly Toronto should feel a bit blessed that they won this game. Siakam is behind the other two guys (for me) in terms of cash game safety. On the flip side, Boston ran its own trio of Kemba Walker (FD $8300 DK $8000), Jayson Tatum (FD $9400 DK $9300) and Marcus Smart (FD $5700 DK $6500) more than 40 minutes in the last game. All three struggled to varying extents but for our purposes, we are simply interested in the minutes because the production, theoretically speaking, should follow suit. We’ve been on this path and I still think it’s mostly correct, but stacking 2-4 of these guys in cash feels like the...
FanDuel NBA Picks and DraftKings NBA Picks – Thursday 9/4/20
FanDuel NBA Picks and DraftKings NBA Picks - Thursday 9/4/20 Head on over a for your chance to get DFSR PRO, which will give you access to our NBA FanDuel and DraftKings optimizer, our MLB Optimizer and NHL Projections as well. Plus our new player lab! Get started for free by clicking the button below. START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW! First time with NBA or NFL? Be sure to read our free NBA and NFL Ebooks on building lineups, general strategy and more. We've got you completely covered. Bucks (-5) vs. Heat (+5) Things are getting a bit weird in Milwaukee with the regular season juggernaut Bucks now down 0-2 in the series to the Heat and maybe on their way to an early playoff exit. They’ll have a chance to get back into it on Thursday and one has to believe they go all-out in order to avoid the Heat going up 3-0 here. For the Bucks, it starts and stops with Giannis Antetokounmpo (FD $10600 DK $11500) who is averaging 23 points, 12 rebounds and six assists through the first two games. For him, these numbers aren’t overwhelming and the 36.5 minutes per game remains concerning. That being said, I think the plan was to play him even more in game two, but he got into some foul trouble. While Coach Bud has always bucked back at running the guys max minutes, he’s probably (we think?) pushed to the breaking point here. While Miami has speed bumped Giannis through the first two games, I think he’s still at the top of the cash game considerations (though it’s close with the Lakers’ guys) and if there was a moment to go full run, this is it. In terms of value, Eric Bledsoe (FD $5600 DK $5700) and George Hill (FD $4500 DK $4300) played 31 and 26 minutes respectively in game two. For their prices, I think they make two of the better point guard plays on Monday at a position we aren’t going to want to overpay. Jae Crowder (FD $5000 DK $5300) has played big minute in the first two games as the Heat try to offer a little more size and strength to combat Giannis. In game two he took 12 shots and dropped 16 points and six rebounds. That makes for 13 points and eight rebounds on average for the first two games. If Andre Iguodala were to sit then Crowder’s minutes would remain ultra-safe. I’m still a fan of Tyler Herro (FD $5400 DK $5200) even off the bench. He’s been closing for this team and that shouldn’t change going forward considering how well he’s played. he took the second-most shots on the...
FanDuel NBA Picks and DraftKings NBA Picks – Wednesday 9/2/20
FanDuel NBA Picks and DraftKings NBA Picks - Wednesday 9/2/20 Head on over a for your chance to get DFSR PRO, which will give you access to our NBA FanDuel and DraftKings optimizer, our MLB Optimizer and NHL Projections as well. Plus our new player lab! Get started for free by clicking the button below. START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW! First time with NBA or NFL? Be sure to read our free NBA and NFL Ebooks on building lineups, general strategy and more. We've got you completely covered. Heat (4.5) vs. Bucks (-4.5) The Bucks came into the playoffs with questions on how Giannis’s game and their overall scheme would lend itself to closing in close games. Game one did nothing to dispel any of those concerns. The Bucks struggled to find non-contested shots late in the game and ultimately lost to Miami. Going into game two, they face another tough one against a team that clearly came to play. The question on DraftKings will be Giannis Antetokounmpo (FD $11500 DK $11400) or James Harden, I don’t think you are fitting both. On FanDuel I think there will be a path to playing both big money superstars considering the softer pricing over there. Giannis played an uncharacteristic 37 minutes in game one though was “ineffective” by his standards with *only* 18 points, 10 rebounds and nine assists. He also turned the ball over six times. The Bucks will have to run him a lot again to make sure this is a series. I still think he’s a cash game play despite the first game’s results. Khris Middleton (FD $7500 DK $8100) picked up the scoring slack, taking a team-high 24 shots and finishing with 28 points. Some of his ticked up usage relied on Eric Bledsoe missing the first game. If the latter was back, I might not be as bullish on Middleton again, though I think the minutes will still be there. Speaking of Bledsoe, George Hill (FD $4400 DK $4300) got the start in his place though struggled to find much production in his 36 minutes. He got up only five total shots. That being said, if Bledsoe sat again, Hill strikes me as a near must-play at these prices on a two-game slate. On the Miami side, I think the temptation will be to play Jimmy Butler (FD $9000 DK $8300) in cash after his 40-point game one though I’d caution that at least on his FanDuel price. He’s a bit better value on DraftKings. His production was almost all through the scoring and I just am not sure the floor is high enough against a, still, very good defensive Milwaukee team. For Miami, in cash...
FanDuel NBA Picks and DraftKings NBA Picks – Tuesday 9/1/20
FanDuel NBA Picks and DraftKings NBA Picks - Tuesday 9/1/20 Head on over a for your chance to get DFSR PRO, which will give you access to our NBA FanDuel and DraftKings optimizer, our MLB Optimizer and NHL Projections as well. Plus our new player lab! Get started for free by clicking the button below. START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW! First time with NBA or NFL? Be sure to read our free NBA and NFL Ebooks on building lineups, general strategy and more. We've got you completely covered. Celtics (1.5) vs. Raptors (-1.5) Boston took it to Toronto in game one of this series, winning in pretty easy fashion 112-94 with starters losing minutes all around. I’m not sure we learned a ton from this game beyond Boston shooting 44% from three and Toronto 25%. From a value stand point, Daniel Theis (FD $5300 DK $5200) was excellent on his minutes, putting in 13 points and grabbing 15 rebounds. He’s unlikely to get to the line seven more times so I think the scoring is something of an outlier, but it’s clear they need his size on the court up against either Marc Gasol or Serge Ibaka. The Celtics did spread the shot wealth around among Jayson Tatum (18), Jaylen Brown (18), Kemba Walker (11) and Marcus Smart (10). I still think, in a close game that all four are value plays with maybe only Tatum being priced out a little in comparison. Jaylen Brown (FD $6300 DK $7300) had foul trouble last game but is still coming in at a fair price, especially on FanDuel. Meanwhile, Marcus Smart (FD $5700 DK $6000) was lights out from three (5-9) on his way to 21 points. He’s a candidate to take on a heavy minutes load going forward because of his defense in close games. I love him on both sites even sharing the court with other higher usage guys. It’s easy to get down on Toronto, but it was only one game. Fred Vanvleet (FD $7600 DK $7800) is still a mid-tier play and really struggled from the field (3-16) in game one. I’m not writing him off and Nick Nurse has shown that he can run 42-43 minutes in close games no problem. Marc Gasol (FD $4500 DK $4100) is a cheap DraftKings play and got out there for mid-20’s minutes in game one. That’s about all you need from him and it’s worth a reminder that cheap guys with steady minutes are near impossible to find these days on short playoff slates. Jazz (-1) vs. Nuggets (+1) Jamal Murray (FD $9400 DK $9700) and Donovan Mitchell (FD $8500 DK $9900) put on a show for the ages...