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Daily Fantasy MMA Picks for UFC 192 – 10/3/15

Posted by on Sep 30, 2015 in Daily Fantasy MMA Picks, Daily Fantasy UFC Picks, featured | 0 comments

Daily Fantasy UFC Picks for UFC 192 - 10/3/15 Houston, Texas, will play host to UFC 192 this weekend. There are some big fights scheduled for Saturday, and a lot of smaller ones, too. If you are a fantasy MMA fan, there are some good opportunities to take advantage of when you are drafting your daily fantasy MMA rosters. Here, we will look at a few of the main fights that you should be considering for your roster, and let you know what you should be looking at before you make any sort of decision. Here is our daily fantasy analysis of three of the top fights on the card, plus your best value pick of the night. Daniel Cormier v. Alexander Gustafsson This is the headline fight of the night for sure, but the favorite isn’t quite as clear as it might seem. Daniel Cormier seems to be the consensus, and DraftKings agrees with this. They’ve priced him at $11,000, and Gustafsson is just $8,400. The main reason for this is that Gustafsson lost his most recent fight in the first round by KO/TKO. That was back in January against Anthony Johnson. A few months later, in May, Cormier also fought Johnson, but won in a third round submission. Cormier definitely has the edge here because of this, but Cormier isn’t scoring as many fantasy points each fight as Gustafsson is. However, even if this is a lower scoring match, Cormier is the favorite and going with Gustafsson isn’t the right choice even if he has more points per match historically. Whether or not Cormier will approach his average of 71.5 points per match will remain to be seen, but he’s the favorite for a reason here. Ruslan Magomedov v. Shawn Jordan These types of fights are great on your roster because both fighters are below the $10,000 average that DraftKings uses as the cutoff for a favorite. Because both are below this number, the fighters are very close in talent and there’s no clear favorite, but this doesn’t need to work against you. The opportunity is worthwhile because even if you’re wrong in who you think will win, you are still getting a good value from the fighter. Jordan is the fighter with the highest fantasy point average per past fight at 67.4 according to certain fantasy sites. Compare this to Magomedov’s 55.0 and Jordan is the clear choice. Jordan is slightly cheaper at $9,500, but even if Magomedov is slightly favored at $9,900, Jordan is still the better choice as the dollar values are close enough that the extra point potential far outweighs the $400 difference. Julianna Pena v. Jessica Eye Women’s MMA is a popular...

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Daily Fantasy MMA Picks for UFC 190 8/1/2015

Posted by on Aug 1, 2015 in Uncategorized | 0 comments

Daily Fantasy MMA Picks for UFC 190 8/1/2015 This week we've got Rich from Win Daily Fantasy here to give you some MMA picks for tonight's events. The Value in Going Against Rousey Saturday night’s UFC 190 has one of the most exciting lineups MMA has seen this year. It’s also one of those rare matches where the headline match is a women’s fight. The undefeated Ronda Rousey is going up against the also undefeated Bethe Correia. While Rousey is the clear favorite going into the match, Correia has posted some great numbers in her first 9 fights. In fact, they are pretty comparable to Rousey’s, and her KO/TKO percentage is actually a little bit higher. Still, Rousey is both the fan and Vegas favorite. Daily fantasy sports leagues agree with this assessment. When you have a fighter like this that has such a huge edge in the popular opinion, there’s often very little value in selecting them for your daily fantasy league play. In this case, Rousey is very expensive--$12,200 at DraftKings. Selecting her would have a huge impact on the rest of your card, and even if she does win convincingly, there’s a chance that it wouldn’t be enough to boost your team into the money. The only way that a fighter would ever be worth this much is if they could add 22% or more in fantasy value than an average fighter would. The math here is actually pretty simple; the average fighter costs $10,000 and $12,200 is 22% more than this. If the average points contributed is 60 per fighter, that would mean that Rousey would need to score at least 73.3 points. Her average contribution this year has been 103.1, so it seems safe to say that she has some value, even at this inflated price. If you think that she has the edge here, she is a worthy price even though it’s high. The issue is, you need to look for average or above average in each of your other picks, too. And that can be quite difficult to do here considering many fighters on the current card do not have enough stats to be predictable. I’m thinking the Franca-Bruno, Lopes-Vieira, and Gadelha-Aguilar fights, in particular. On these, where it could realistically go either way, picking the cheaper of the two fighters has some value, but this is something that you should use your discretion on. If you do have a strong feeling about the fight, and you favor the more expensive fighter, it’s probably a good idea to skip to a more mainstream fight. Otherwise, there’s definitely some value in the underdogs. Another approach would be to select Correia over Rousey. She’s...

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