Daily Fantasy MMA Picks for UFC 190 8/1/2015

Daily Fantasy MMA Picks for UFC 190 8/1/2015 This week we've got Rich from Win Daily Fantasy here to give you some MMA picks for tonight's events. The Value in Going Against Rousey Saturday night’s UFC 190 has one of the most exciting lineups MMA has seen this year. It’s also one of those rare matches where the headline match is a women’s fight. The undefeated Ronda Rousey is going up against the also undefeated Bethe Correia. While Rousey is the clear favorite going into the match, Correia has posted some great numbers in her first 9 fights. In fact, they are pretty comparable to Rousey’s, and her KO/TKO percentage is actually a little bit higher. Still, Rousey is both the fan and Vegas favorite. Daily fantasy sports leagues agree with this assessment. When you have a fighter like this that has such a huge edge in the popular opinion, there’s often very little value in selecting them for your daily fantasy league play. In this case, Rousey is very expensive--$12,200 at DraftKings. Selecting her would have a huge impact on the rest of your card, and even if she does win convincingly, there’s a chance that it wouldn’t be enough to boost your team into the money. The only way that a fighter would ever be worth this much is if they could add 22% or more in fantasy value than an average fighter would. The math here is actually pretty simple; the average fighter costs $10,000 and $12,200 is 22% more than this. If the average points contributed is 60 per fighter, that would mean that Rousey would need to score at least 73.3 points. Her average contribution this year has been 103.1, so it seems safe to say that she has some value, even at this inflated price. If you think that she has the edge here, she is a worthy price even though it’s high. The issue is, you need to look for average or above average in each of your other picks, too. And that can be quite difficult to do here considering many fighters on the current card do not have enough stats to be predictable. I’m thinking the Franca-Bruno, Lopes-Vieira, and Gadelha-Aguilar fights, in particular. On these, where it could realistically go either way, picking the cheaper of the two fighters has some value, but this is something that you should use your discretion on. If you do have a strong feeling about the fight, and you favor the more expensive fighter, it’s probably a good idea to skip to a more mainstream fight. Otherwise, there’s definitely some value in the underdogs. Another approach would be to select Correia over Rousey. She’s...