Daily Fantasy PGA Picks and Betting Guide for DraftKings & FanDuel – John Deere Classic
Daily Fantasy PGA Picks and Betting Guide for DraftKings & FanDuel – John Deere Classic Chris will be bringing you weekly PGA picks, analysis, and breakdowns to help you cash on DraftKings and FanDuel. Want more? He also provides a cheatsheet with stats, course history, current form, player write-ups for cash and GPP, a customizable model, and much more. Premium DFSR members get access to my expert sheets as a part of their membership. That's a $20 value every single month, just for signing up for a DFSR membership! Want my sheets on their own? Head on over to my Patreon Page Now’s your chance to get DFSR PRO, which will give you access to our MLB, NBA, PGA, NHL, and NFL optimizers and our new player lab! Get started for free by clicking the button below. START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW! This week the PGA Tour returns to TPC Deere Run for the John Deere Classic after having to cancel the event in 2020 due to the pandemic. With this being the last event before the Open Championship and final major of the season, we have a very weak field that doesn't include one Top 10 player in the World Golf Rankings and just five who rank inside the Top 50. The biggest thing to train yourself for this week is blocking out the names as they will be overpriced due to season averages. This is key to remove any bias you might have on a player you routinely play in the low $7K range who is now $8K-$9K. Much like last week, we are going to see a birdie fest as this event has ranked outside the Top 35 in difficulty in each of the last five years and seen an average winning score of -22. I will be looking much more at Strokes Gained: Approach over Off the Tee simply because the average fairways hit has been close to 70% over the last five years. Not that I rule it out completely, however, as the Kentuck Bluegrass rough is listed at 4" and can turn hopes of a birdie into a par save at best real fast. With the setup being a Par 71, that means one less Par 5 putting emphasis on Par 4 Scoring and it has shown to have high correlation to finish position. Finally, Birdie or Better % will make up a large portion of my stats model and if using Fantasy National Golf Club tools, I also love looking at Opportunities Gained and Birdie Gained together to see if a player may be under or over performing. With all that said, let's look at some course info, previous winners, and then...
Daily Fantasy PGA Picks and Betting Guide for DraftKings & FanDuel – John Deere Classic
Daily Fantasy PGA Picks and Betting Guide for DraftKings & FanDuel – John Deere Classic Chris will be bringing you weekly PGA picks, analysis, and breakdowns to help you cash on DraftKings and FanDuel. As every week in DFS PGA changes with the course setup, field of players and weather, Chris will be providing a range of different picks for cash games as well as upside plays for tournaments. If you have any questions to lineup lock you can reach him a variety of ways. Leave your question/comment below in the comments section, find him in the DFSR Chat room or hit him up on Twitter(@Jager_Bombs9). Chris is also providing his DFS PGA Weekly cheatsheet where he provides stats, course history, current form, fantasy points, and much more. Grab your copy today and edge out the competition. John Deere Classic With the OPEN Championship at Royal Portrush just a week away we have a very interesting week for daily fantasy golf. A lot of players have already made their way across the pond to play the Irish Open last week, including Jon Rahm who won the event, and this week another group of top players heads over to play in the Scottish Open. That leaves us with another weak-field John Deere Classic that contains no players inside the Top 50 and just 12 who rank inside the Top 100 in the Official World Golf Rankings. While the field lacks the top talent in the World, it more than makes up for it with a ton of young, talented, and exciting players. In a better field last week at TPC Twin Cities we saw Matthew Wolff, a shot behind Bryson DeChambeau already in the clubhouse, make a 26-foot Eagle putt for the win on the 18th hole. TPC Deere Run is a Par 71 that has a posted distance of 7,268 yards. It is one of the easiest courses on Tour routinely ranking around 40th(of about 50 courses) in difficulty annually and -22 has been the average winning score over the last five years here. One of the things that drives the lack of difficulty(for Tour Pros) are the wider than average fairways that produce an average driving accuracy over 70%. While the Bentgrass greens are slightly smaller than average(5,500 sq ft), they are soft and slow(11.5 on stimpmeter) and very receptive making them play bigger while generating a GIR above 70% on average. This puts a ton of emphasis on Strokes Gained: Approach and I will also be looking at Proximity from the mid yardages ranges(125-175 yards). Looking at previous leaderboards(via Fantasy National), I also noticed a much higher correlation from Par 4 Scoring to finish position than par 5...