Daily Fantasy Football Top Stacks for FanDuel and DraftKings Week 1 – 9/9/18
Daily Fantasy Football Top Stacks for FanDuel and DraftKings Week 1 - 9/9/18 Welcome back football fans. After a long offseason and even longer preseason, week one of the NFL regular season has finally arrived. I will be breaking down some of my top stacks for GPP formats and that doesn't mean just quarterback and receiver combos but also some other off the board correlation plays that can help you cash big. Let's get started. Want to see the rest of this article? Go grab a free three day trial of DFSR Pro or DFSR Basic! Your subscription will include access to premium content, our lineup optimizer, our members only chatroom, and more! START YOUR FREE TRIAL - AND READ THE REST! New Orleans Saints Quarterback - Drew Brees Primary Target - Micheal Thomas Secondary Target - Alvin Kamara Using the DFSR Player Lab, I used three filters for my first query this week looking at games with high totals, quarterbacks projected for 35 or more pass attempts, and teams facing weak passing defenses. Drew Brees was the only QB that popped in that model which is why the Saints sit as my #1 stacking option this week. It is no secret that Saints are going to be high owned and it makes sense as they face a Bucs team that is coming off a season where they allowed a league-high 261 passing yards per game and ranked dead last in DVOA passing defense. This game has the second-highest total(50) on the board and if the Saints score like we all expect them to, most of the production should fall on the pass game. It starts with Drew Brees who did see his pass attempts(536) go down last season but still led the league in yards per attempt(8.09) and was fifth in passing yards(4,334). His top receiver was Michael Thomas who was incredibly consistent finishing sixth in targets per game(9.3) and third in receptions(104) for a 69% catch rate while racking up 1,245 yards. With the Saints early-down running back suspended, Alvin Kamara takes over the bell cow duties and he is also an incredible pass catcher who finished third among backs with 6.3 targets per game with an 81% catch rate and led all backs with 826 receiving yards. While I will have Brees pair with one of the two in a ton of lineups, I will also have some stacks with all three together this week as the ceiling is very high, especially if the Bucs can score some points and keep it relatively close. Cincinnati Bengals Quarterback - Andy Dalton Primary Target - AJ Green Secondary Targets - John Ross Next, I wanted to look at the wide receiver position on the...
DFSR NFL Podcast Week 1 – Cash Game Plays for FanDuel and DraftKings 9/6/18
DFSR NFL Podcast Week 1 - Cash Game Plays for FanDuel and DraftKings 9/6/18 The DFSR crew is on the Week 1 NFL podcast discussing the cash game plays for both FanDuel and DraftKings. There’s a ton to dissect leading into Sunday with the most relevant piece of news being the status on Le’Veon Bell. The guys start there talking about how to evaluate the Steelers and most importantly, James Conner, if Bell were to sit. Then they go position by position, making the case for guys like Tom Brady, Alvin Kamara, David Johnson and why spending up at QB and RB is totally feasible this week. They also look at some cheaper WR options as well as some savings at TE. It’s a packed cash game podcast for Week 1 on FanDuel and DraftKings. Subscribe to this podcast on...
Daily Fantasy NFL Picks for FanDuel and DraftKings Cash Games – Week 1 – 9/9/18
Daily Fantasy NFL Picks for FanDuel and DraftKings Cash Games - Week 1 - 9/9/18 Considering NFL news is basically on a full-year long news cycle, it doesn't feel like Week 1 snuck up on us at all. But it's still exciting to finally be here. With FanDuel and DraftKings releasing their pricing very early, we could be looking at major cash game chalk at a few positions. Let's dive into some values for Week 1. Now’s your chance to get DFSR PRO, which will give you access to our NFL optimizer for FanDuel and DraftKings, our MLB Optimizer, and our new Player Lab! Get started for free by clicking the button below. START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW! First time with NFL? Be sure to read our free MLB and NFL Ebooks on building lineups, general strategy and more. We've got you completely covered. Quarterback Tom Brady FD 8600 DK 7200 Opponent HOU Proj Points FD - 20.73 DK - 21.56 Ever heard of him? Brady enters his 19th season, coming off a 2017 in which he led the league in pass attempts (581), passing yards (4,577) and was third in TDs (34). Some of those season-long comparisons are a little skewed because of injuries to Carson Wentz and Deshaun Watson, but it’s still a testament to Brady’s consistency. He’s played all 16 games in eight of the last nine seasons and enters Week 1 as probably the *safest* cash game play on the board. With so many question marks on quarterbacks returning from injury (Watson, Tannehill, Luck), switching teams (Cousins, Smith) or rookies/newly minted starters/quasi-backups (Mahomes, Keenum, Bradford, Tyrod, Darnold, Peterman-lol, Foles, Fitzpatrick) we are suddenly left with less than half of the main slate quarterback player pool walking into relatively similar situations as last season. Brady is playing at home in the game with the highest over/under of the week (51.5) and the Patriots as solid -6.5 favorites. The biggest “concern* with Brady is how the receiving options look. He’s getting Chris Hogan back, and Gronk is still there of course, but after that Phillip Dorsett and Cordarelle Patterson round out the receiving corps. Brady has pass-catching backs in Rex Burkhead and James White which helps. But Brady has shown the ability to make the best with what he’s given. Because there are so many other cheap options at the skill positions this week, I think paying up for Brady in cash games gives you a higher (safer) floor even if he doesn’t run which I often like to see from my cash game QBs. Ben Roethlisberger FD 8000 DK 6600 Opponent CLE Proj Points FD - 19.62 DK - 20.46 Like I said with Brady, for...
DFS NFL Talk Week 1 – Early Thoughts for FanDuel and DraftKings 9/4/18
DFS NFL Talk Week 1 - Early Thoughts for FanDuel and DraftKings 9/4/18 The DFSR crew is back on the NFL podcast starting to take a look at Week 1 for FanDuel and DraftKings. They spend the podcast trying to take a high-level look at some of the situations to take a look at going to into the first main slate of games. They look at some of the quarterback situations Guys like Andrew Luck and Deshaun Watson are returning from injury and the guys try to wade through how to deal with those kinds of situations for the first week. They give a high-level view on the quarterback considerations and then getting into whether the same kind of issues comes with running back and wide receiver. They discuss guys like David Johnson, LeVeon Bell, Alvin Kamara and much more. It's a first look at Week 1 for FanDuel and DraftKings NFL. Subscribe to this podcast on...
Too-Early Week 1 NFL Thoughts for FanDuel and DraftKings
Too-Early Week 1 NFL Thoughts for FanDuel and DraftKings Week 1 in the NFL is just around the corner and with it comes what is usually the most volatile week of the year in terms of prognosticating. While we know *a lot* about some teams, others we will have to take a wait and see approach on both sides of the ball. We will have our Week 1 picks for FanDuel and DraftKings early next week, but for now, let's look at some themes already cropping up on the horizon. Want access to the projections that power these articles? Go grab a free three day trial of DFSR Pro or DFSR Basic! Your subscription will include access to premium content, our lineup optimizer, our members only chatroom, and more! START YOUR FREE TRIAL How quickly can Andrew Luck return to being Andrew Luck (if at all)? Andrew Luck FD 7300 DK 6100 Opponent CIN Proj Points FD - 19.23 DK - 20.1 T.Y. Hilton FD 7200 DK 6800 Opponent CIN Proj Points FD - 13.5 DK - 15.98 Ryan Grant FD 4900 DK 3900 Opponent CIN Proj Points FD - 8.75 DK - 10.6 Jack Doyle FD 5600 DK 3600 Opponent CIN Proj Points FD - 9.25 DK - 11.45 A big early theme of Week 1 is going to be how much of it rests on the shoulders (or knees) of guys returning from injury. Perhaps no single player will have quite the deterministic impact of Andrew Luck. It’s been more than a year since this guy’s seen regular season action and even if things look okay on the health front, there’s simply no way to really recreate the speed and intensity of this kind of game pace. And yet, he’s Andrew Luck who in 2016 finished in the top 10 in passing yards a would have reasonably been in top four had he not missed a game. Week 1 will set him and the Colts up for early success. They’re opening as -3 home favorites against a Cincinnati team that ranked a little below average in team defense last season. Vegas certainly doesn’t hate their chances at scoring points, coming in with the eight-best implied total on the day. It also helps that he’s got at least two familiar faces to throw to in T.Y. Hilton who led the league in receiving yards the last time Luck was under center. Meanwhile, Doyle was the team’s second-most targeted receiver that season, starting in 14 games and finishing with five targets per game when Luck started. That's not elite usage, but he's a more polished receiver at this point in his career. And finally, it sure seems like...