FanDuel NBA Picks and DraftKings NBA Picks – Friday, 5/14/21
FanDuel NBA Picks and DraftKings NBA Picks - Friday, 5/14/21 Head on over for your chance to get DFSR PRO, which will give you access to our NBA FanDuel and DraftKings optimizer and our NHL Optimizer. Plus our new player lab! Get started for free by clicking the button below. START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW! First time with NBA or NFL? Be sure to read our free NBA and NFL Ebooks on building lineups, general strategy and more. We've got you completely covered. Point Guard Russell Westbrook FD - $12500 DK - $12800Opponent - CLEProj Pts FD - 67.14 DK - 70.98 Let’s start with the easiest one ever first. Westbrook is going to be nearly-100% owned on this slate and really they probably couldn’t have made his price high enough based on how this slate is shaking out. Sure, he’s pushing up to around $13K but does it really even matter? There is going to be so much savings elsewhere that it won’t be any issue at all to fit his salary in. The Wizards still have a chance to move up to the 8th seed so they will be going for it here and Westbrook has been other-worldly all season, but especially with Bradley Beal out of the mix. Over his last seven games, he’s averaging 27 points, 17 assists, and 15 rebounds per game. You read those stats right. This is unreal and he’ll be a total lock on Friday. Luka Doncic FD - $10100 DK - $10800Opponent - TORProj Pts FD - 53.3 DK - 56.07 With so many of the big money guys likely to sit on Friday, we are probably looking at paying up for both Westbrook and Doncic here. The Mavericks are still in win-now mode with the team fighting to keep the 5th or 6th seed and stay out of the play-in game. That should keep Doncic in the starting lineup and playing a lot of minutes if the game remains close. That could be a stretch with Toronto putting out a skeleton crew once again, but we have to take the risk. Doncic’s minutes have been lower of late but that’s because the Mavs have played in an inordinate number of blowouts. It could be the case again, but we know Doncic has triple-double upside if the run is there. Shooting Guard Khyri Thomas FD - $5800 DK - $5800Opponent - LACProj Pts FD - 41.54 DK - 38.09 Welcome to the part of the NBA season in which you are playing guys at non-punt prices who you had never even heard of two weeks ago. But that’s the case with Thomas who joined the Rockets not too long ago...
DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Friday 5/14/21
DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Friday 5/14/21 Now’s your chance to get DFSR PRO, which will give you access to our MLB, NBA, PGA, NHL, and NFL optimizers and our new player lab! Get started for free by clicking the button below. START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW! Pitchers Tyler Glasnow FD - P 10500 DK - SP 10900 Opponent - NYM (David Peterson) Park - TB FD - 43.89 DK - 24.67 For the second day in a row, there is almost too much pitching on this slate, and while we are splitting hairs Tyler Glasnow is my favorite for a couple of reasons. It starts with the FanDuel price that sticks out like a sore thumb and even with a season-high price on DraftKings he tops my target list. It all comes down to the currency of strikeouts and how the sites are set up. While he has given up three earned runs and four walks in each of his last two starts, he has still given us a 2x return on DraftKings. The only risk here is the matchup against the red-hot Mets but floor/ceiling combination each and every time Glasnow steps on the mound is too much to pass up. Frankie Montas FD - P 7400 DK - SP 7000 Opponent - MIN (Matt Shoemaker) Park - MIN FD - 31.4 DK - 16.44 Getting one of those elite pitchers on DraftKings is made much easier with the value on this slate and no one stands out more than Frankie Montas. He hits a season-low price on DraftKings while producing 13 or more DK points in five of his last six games and 20+ in three of them. Two bad starts(6 & 7 ER) have inflated his ERA(5.50) but the good news is that the xFIP(4.18) is over a run better and he also faces a struggling Twins team that has dropped four straight and seven of their last eight games. There are more expensive options with more upside tonight but Montas is my favorite PTS/$ SP2 tonight if you want to upgrade those bats. Also Consider: Max Scherzer(WSH) on DraftKings as the second most expensive option facing a D-backs team that has been much more productive vs. lefties. For value, I also like Joe Musgrove(SDP) who leads the slate with a 2.35 xFIP and faces a Cards team that has tallied just a 70 wRC+ over the last seven days. Catcher/First Base Mike Moustakas FD - 2B 4000 DK - 1B/3B 4400 Opponent - COL (German Marquez) Park - COL FD - 12.58 DK - 9.43 Moose isn't first base eligible on FanDuel but that's fine as I am much more interested on DraftKings...
DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Thursday, 5/13/21
DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Thursday, 5/13/21 Like most Thursdays, we have games spread throughout the day. We actually have a day slate that features five games, while the nightcap has six games on the docket. That means we're going to focus on the night slate beginning at 7ET, with many West Coast teams taking the field. That happens to be my specialty, though, so let's go ahead and get into it! Now’s your chance to get DFSR PRO, which will give you access to our MLB and NBA optimizers and our new player lab! Get started for free by clicking the button below. START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW! Pitchers Cristian Javier FD - P 9200 DK - SP 10000 Opponent - TEX (Mike Foltynewicz) Park - HOU FD - 32.8 DK - 16.83 Javier doesn't pop up too high in our projection system, but he's still the best raw play on the board. We say that because he's been the best pitcher of this player pool and has one of the best matchups. Let's kick things off by talking about his opposition. The Rangers currently rank 20th in xwOBA and 23rd in K rate, posting some of the worst offensive numbers in MLB. That puts any pitcher in play against them, especially a guy like Javier. The right-hander has a 2.90 ERA and 1.00 WHIP for the season, striking out 38 batters across 31 innings of action. All of that has Javier and the Astros entering this matchup as a -200 favorite if you need any more incentive. Zach Plesac FD - P 8400 DK - RP 8300 Opponent - SEA (Logan Gilbert) Park - SEA FD - 40.74 DK - 21.69 Plesac had a terrible two-start stretch against the White Sox earlier in the season but has been practically unhittable aside from that. In fact, he's got a 1.31 ERA and 0.79 WHIP across his other six starts. That's the stud we saw throughout most of last season, and it makes this price tag pretty intriguing. That sort of form is even more enticing when you look at this matchup, though, with Seattle having one of the most pitcher-friendly ballparks in baseball. It's not like their lineup is any good either, ranked 26th in K rate, 28th in OPS, and dead-last in BA and OBP. That makes Plesac a near guarantee for a quality start, and that's all you can ask for from an $8K pitcher. Catcher/First Base Luke Voit FD - 1B 3000 DK - 1B 4800 Opponent - TB (Rich Hill) Park - TB FD - 11.57 DK - 8.65 This $3K price tag on FanDuel is laughable. Voit played at an MVP level...
FanDuel NBA Picks and DraftKings NBA Picks – Thursday, 5/13/21
FanDuel NBA Picks and DraftKings NBA Picks - Thursday, 5/13/21 Head on over a for your chance to get DFSR PRO, which will give you access to our NBA FanDuel and DraftKings optimizer, our MLB Optimizer and NHL Projections as well. Plus our new player lab! Get started for free by clicking the button below. START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW! First time with NBA or NFL? Be sure to read our free NBA and NFL Ebooks on building lineups, general strategy and more. We've got you completely covered. Point Guard Facundo Campazzo FD - $5600 DK - $5800 Opponent - MIN Proj Pts FD - 31.89 DK - 31.71 Man, I'm just thrilled to be able to lock Campazzo into a PG slot and build around him. The Nuggets' young point guard is a real dealer - go search Twitter for his highlight clips if you'd like - and the Nuggets are trusting him with the reins out of necessity at the moment. As a starter in the last two weeks he's hit 7x twice and 9x three times. The floor and ceiling are both outrageous against the Timberwolves, who have allowed the fourth most fantasy points to opposing point guards this season. Malachi Flynn FD - $5500 DK - $5700 Opponent - CHI Proj Pts FD - 28.65 DK - 29.07 With basically the entire Raptors team ruled out for Thursday, we get the chance to run Malachi Flynn as close to a one-man band. He's paid nearly 6x points per dollar in each of his last two games, and the Raptors are even thinner tonight than they were then. It's a league-average match-up, but this is a straight-up price and opportunity mismatch that we're happy to take advantage of. Also considered: Ben Simmons. Shooting Guard Devin Booker FD - $7500 DK - $8300 Opponent - POR Proj Pts FD - 45.19 DK - 47.31 Now if this isn't a marquee match-up, I'm not sure what is. The Trail Blazers are battling tooth and nail to stay out of the play-in game, and the Suns are battling for the #1 seed. Great stuff. Booker has been solid on these prices all season, and has been cresting toward 39-40 minute rotations as the Suns stay hungry down the stretch. Portland, meanwhile, will be on the second half of a back-to-back after facing the actual #1 seed Jazz on Wednesday. I love Booker as a cash game option here. Kevin Huerter FD - $4300 DK - $4700 Opponent - ORL Proj Pts FD - 25.6 DK - 25.96 This price is just a straight up mistake, right? Huerter is no longer injured, and the May 10th Wizards game shows us...
DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Wednesday 5/12/21
DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Wednesday 5/12/21 Now’s your chance to get DFSR PRO, which will give you access to our MLB, NBA, PGA, NHL, and NFL optimizers and our new player lab! Get started for free by clicking the button below. START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW! Pitchers Gerrit Cole FD - P 12000 DK - SP 10500 Opponent - TB (Josh Fleming) Park - TB FD - 47.79 DK - 26.83 Cole is coming off a somewhat of an odd start for him as he only struck out four but even giving up two earned runs, he wasn't a complete lineup killer, especially considering the high ownership. Outside of that one start, he has been elite once again this year coming in with a 1.61 ERA/2.10 xFIP and is striking out just over 40% of batters he faces. He now gets a plus matchup vs. the Rays who are striking out over 27% of the time including 10 vs. Cole in their first meeting. Cole is easily the top pitcher in all formats tonight. Danny Duffy FD - P 10200 DK - SP 8900 Opponent - DET (Casey Mize) Park - DET FD - 31.93 DK - 16.22 There are multiple for SP2 on DraftKings or as GPP pivots off Cole and his monster price tag on FanDuel and for me, it starts with Danny Duffy. He has been terrific this season holding opponents to three or fewer earned runs in all six starts and one or fewer in five of those. He can get into trouble at times with the walks but has gotten out of it squeaky clean with a 28% K rate. While the Tigers have been better as of late, they rank dead last against lefties with a .217 wOBA, 36 wRC+, and 35% K rate!! All things considered, he is my favorite SP2 on DraftKings and a low-owned GPP play on FanDuel. Catcher/First Base Max Muncy FD - 1B 3200 DK - 1B 5500 Opponent - SEA (Justin Dunn) Park - LAD FD - 11.05 DK - 8.14 The Dodgers go from #2 in my stack ranks last night to #1 tonight as they face another struggling Mariners pitcher. Tonight, it's Justin Dunn on the bump and he has already walked a shocking 17 batters in five starts and has an xFIP(6.20) that is nearly three runs higher than his ERA(3.51) coming into tonight. I like the Dodgers as a whole but will be focusing on the lefties in this article as Dunn has really struggled in the split. Muncy can be streaky and is probably too expensive for cash on DraftKings but FanDuel has the Dodgers underpriced putting them in play...