DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Thursday 9/30/21 Now’s your chance to get DFSR PRO, which will give you access to our MLB, NBA, PGA, NHL, and NFL optimizers and our new player lab! Get started for free by clicking the button below. START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW! Pitchers Robbie Ray FD - P 10800 DK - SP 10000 Opponent - NYY (Corey Kluber) Park - TOR FD - 40.6 DK - 21.63 The Jays can make the American League wildcard race even crazier with another win against the Yankees tonight and the good news is they are sending their ace to the mound. On top of the playoffs, Ray is also in the running for the Cy Young and got some help there with his offense getting to Cole last night. For Ray, the floor is high as he has held opponents to two or fewer earned runs in 21 of 31 stars and he also has a ton of upside with a slider that is creating a 24% swinging-strike rate and 58% K rate. It won't be easy against the Yankees bats but on this slate, Ray is my top pitcher in all formats. Joe Ryan FD - P 8800 DK - SP 9300 Opponent - DET (Tarik Skubal) Park - MIN FD - 31.83 DK - 17.27 Things get interesting at Sp2 on DraftKings tonight with no pitcher really standing out above the rest. While the price is going parabolic, I am on rookie Joe Ryan who has more than impressed since being called up in September. He has gone at least five innings in all four starts, held opponents to just six earned runs(2.45 ERA/3.54 xFIP), and has struck out 25(32%) while walking just three. He now gets a matchup against a below-average Tigers offense as a -185 favorite and is my top SP2 and one of my top overall pitchers on this slate. Catcher/First Base Pete Alonso FD 3800 DK 3900 Opponent - MIA (Edward Cabrera) Park - MIA FD - 11.82 DK - 8.78 This is much more about DraftKings tonight as Alonso's price has dipped into the $3K range. It's as if he is priced based on his average(.258) and not by his production as he enters the night with a .357 wOBA, 129 wRC+ with 35 home runs, and 89 RBI. The matchup is also above-average as Cabrera has struggled to a 5.79 ERA/5.49 xFIP through his first six starts and it comes down to control walking 3+ in five of those six starts. That should help the Mets get on base for Alonso who has a ton of upside. GPP only on FanDuel but a great PTS/$ value in all...

DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Wednesday, 9/29/21 Now’s your chance to get DFSR PRO, which will give you access to our MLB and NBA optimizers and our new player lab! Get started for free by clicking the button below. START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW! We're finally down to the final week of the season! This is when chaos ensues and when we can capitalize on being up on the news. There are so many random things happening in terms of pitch counts and lineups that you need to be zoned in to be successful. We feel like we are here, so let's go ahead and get into it! Pitchers Frankie Montas FD - P 9900 DK - SP 9400 Opponent - SEA (Logan Gilbert) Park - SEA FD - 34.89 DK - 18.49 It looks like Oakland will miss out on a playoff berth, but it's certainly no fault of Frankies! This dude has been electric in the second half, generating a 2.38 ERA, 1.06 WHIP and 10.3 K/9 rate since the end of June. That's a long stretch of success, with Montas scoring at least 37 FanDuel points in 12 of those outings. That's well above our projection, and we believe he can surpass it here in a matchup like this. Seattle currently ranks 27th in OBP, 26th in K rate, and 25th in OPS. That's why they have a projection of 3.6 runs, which would be one of the lowest on this slate. Taijuan Walker FD - P 7300 DK - SP 6600 Opponent - MIA (Elieser Hernandez) Park - NYM FD - 38.03 DK - 20.75 This is a risky one, but Walker has some serious upside in this matchup. Let's kick things off by talking about that, with the Marlins ranked 28th in both runs scored and OPS while sitting dead-last in xwOBA. Those horrific averages make Walker an intriguing option at home, with Taijuan tallying a 3.55 ERA, 1.04 WHIP, and 8.9 K/9 rate at Citi Field this season. That's far from surprising when you look at how spacious Citi Field is, and it should allow Walker to maintain this weak lineup despite his recent struggles. Vegas certainly agrees with our assessment, making the Mets a -180 favorite in a game with a total of 7. If you have the salary, Gerrit Cole is obviously a good pick. Catcher/First Base Paul Goldschmidt FD - 1B 4100 DK - 1B 4800 Opponent - MIL (Adrian Houser) Park - STL FD - 10.6 DK - 7.97 Goldy has been a regular for me recently, and it's easy to understand why when you look at his numbers. He's got a .563 OBP and 1.705 OPS over...

DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Tuesday 9/28/21 - Main Slate Now’s your chance to get DFSR PRO, which will give you access to our MLB, NBA, PGA, NHL, and NFL optimizers and our new player lab! Get started for free by clicking the button below. START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW! Pitchers Logan Webb FD 9000 DK 8900 Opponent - ARI (Luke Weaver) Park - ARIFD - 45.78 DK - 24.69 Webb has turned into a borderline ace for the Giants this season, striking out batters at a 9.5 K/9 rate and rocking a 2.82 xFIP. Both are the best numbers of his young career and he piled on his most innings this season as well. There’s some concern that with the regular season all but wrapped up for the Giants, that they might take it easy here. But if they are incentivized to win the NL West and stave off the Dodgers, then Webb could get a full complement of pitches. The Giants are the biggest money line favorites at -292 making Webb’s win odds the best of the slate. He won’t cost you a ton on either site and makes an easy cash game play. Chris Sale FD 10000 DK 9400 Opponent - BAL (Bruce Zimmermann) Park - BALFD - 40.57 DK - 22.99 In terms of win odds and matchup, Sale isn’t too far behind Webb here coming into the game with the Red Sox as -272 road favorites against the lowly Orioles. Baltimore and Arizona are easily the worst two teams in baseball, making this a great chance to stack arms against them on DraftKings. Since coming back from the injury that held him out for so long, Sale has been solid, though not exactly at his previous ace-level stuff. He’s striking out batters at a 26% clip and has a 2.57 ERA that is punching above the 3.38 xFIP. The Red Sox haven’t wanted to push him a ton, but the price and matchup is too good to pass up here. Catcher/First Base Ryan Zimmerman FD 2700 DK 4400 Opponent - COL (Kyle Freeland) Park - COLFD - 12.55 DK - 9.48 With the Nationals heading into Coors Field, Zimmerman is coming too cheap on both sites considering his splits, the matchup, and the park. He’s a platoon guy at this point but still does major damage to lefty pitching. On the season, he has a .900 OPS and .374 wOBA in that split, following a career trend line that has seen him tune up southpaws. He should be around fifth or sixth in the lineup and the Nationals have an implied run line over 5.5. This is an easy spot to roster Zimmerman,...

DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Monday 9/27/21 Now’s your chance to get DFSR PRO, which will give you access to our MLB, NBA, PGA, NHL, and NFL optimizers and our new player lab! Get started for free by clicking the button below. START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW! Pitchers Cal Quantrill FD - P 10000 DK - SP 8600 Opponent - KC (Jackson Kowar) Park - CLE FD - 28.1 DK - 14.22 The pitching options are not pretty on this early slate which puts Quantrill right at the top of the projections by default. The good news is that he comes at a value price on DraftKings and has been terrific in the second half with a 1.76 ERA while averaging over six innings per start. While the Royals don't strike out a ton(3rd lowest K rate on the season) they are a below-average offense and 14% worse, in terms of wRC+, against righties. Fire up Quantrill in all formats. Chris Flexen FD - P 8600 DK - SP 8700 Opponent - OAK (Cole Irvin) Park - SEA FD - 28.91 DK - 15.36 The most important series for both teams starts tonight as they are not only battling each other but three other teams for those two wildcard spots. The Mariners have the one-game advantage and I have them gaining another game on Monday with Chris Flexen on the mound. While he lacks much upside striking out under seven per nine, he has been solid in his return to the MLB coming into tonight with a 3.56 ERA. He has faced Oakland four times this season and after giving up five earned runs in the first start, has held them to just four over the last three. Flexen is my top pitcher on Monday in all formats. Catcher/First Base José Abreu FD - 1B 3900 DK - 1B 4600 Opponent - DET (Matt Manning) Park - DET FD - 13.1 DK - 9.91 While the reigning AL MVP has lacked consistency this season(.265), he has been as productive as ever with 29 home runs and 113 RBI on the season. The White Sox are the top projected offense on the early slate and also gets a plus matchup vs. Matt Manning(5.73 ERA/5.16 xFIP) who has been slightly worse against righties with a .5.22 xFIP and .363 wOBA against. Abreu is in play in all formats, especially on DraftKings where his price stays suppressed despite the smaller slate. Ty France FD - 1B 3100 DK - 1B 4400 Opponent - OAK (Cole Irvin) Park - SEA FD - 9.81 DK - 7.49 The main slate is just two games and one is in Colorado which means a Coors...

DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Sunday, 9/26/21 Now’s your chance to get DFSR PRO, which will give you access to our MLB and NBA optimizers and our new player lab! Get started for free by clicking the button below. START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW! We have only one week left! What's bizarre about this time of the year is that we have numerous starters facing weird pitch counts. It's hard to know what to expect because of that volatility, but we're going to lean on many contenders to avoid any of that silliness. There's a lot to discuss, though, so let's kick things off with one of the best pitchers for one of the best teams in baseball! Pitchers Lucas Giolito FD - P 9500 DK - SP 10900 Opponent - CLE (Triston McKenzie) Park - CLE FD - 37.43 DK - 20.09 Giolito went from being underrated to overrated back to underrated. For some reason, no one talks about him when discussing the White Sox, but he's a major reason why they have the best record in the AL Central. The right-hander has a 3.70 ERA and 1.12 WHIP in yet another sparking year, bringing his three-year averages to a 3.54 ERA and 1.08 WHIP. That doesn't even include his ridiculous 29 percent K rate as well, making him a dangerous option against this terrible Indians offense. Cleveland currently ranks 21st in runs scored and 28th in OBP. That was on full display when Gio gobbled up seven scoreless innings in their one matchup earlier this season. John Means FD - P 8900 DK - SP 8200 Opponent - TEX (Dane Dunning) Park - BAL FD - 32.49 DK - 17.08 Means has been slumping a bit since the All-Star break, but it's hard to overlook numbers like his in a matchup like this. Let's kick things off by talking bout his opposition, with the Rangers ranked dead-last in wOBA, runs scored, and OBP. That makes them the best matchup in baseball, and we certainly believe Means can add to that. We say that because the left-hander has a 3.17 ERA and 0.97 WHIP for the season. Those brilliant averages look even better when you see that Means threw seven scoreless innings in his one matchup with Texas earlier this year, striking out nine batters in one of the best starts of his career. If you're looking for someone cheaper, Shane Baz is a -280 favorite against a team with the worst xwOBA in baseball. Not to mention, he's got a WHIP below 0.80 in over 80 innings this year between the minors and majors. Catcher/First Base Max Muncy FD - 1B 4000 DK - 1B 5100...