DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Thursday 4/28/22
DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Thursday 4/28/22 Now’s your chance to get DFSR PRO, which will give you access to our MLB, NBA, PGA, NHL, and NFL optimizers and our new player lab! Get started for free by clicking the button below. START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW! Pitchers Justin Verlander FD - P 10700 DK - SP 10100 Opponent - TEX (Martin Pérez) Park - TEX FD - 38.19 DK - 21.37 It has been an excellent return to the mound for Verlander who has been out since the 2020 season. As expected he has been limited but thrown 80+ pitches in all three starts and has looked really good over his last two striking out 13 and walking just one across 14 innings. The matchup doesn't project for a ton of strikeouts as the Rangers have a sub 20% K rate on the season but also rank in the bottom third in wOBA(.288) and wRC+(91) among all teams in baseball. With a pitch count that likely disappears tonight and a price that is still in check for an ace, I will have exposure in all formats. Jameson Taillon FD - P 8500 DK - SP 8100 Opponent - BAL (Bruce Zimmermann) Park - NYY FD - 37.8 DK - 20 Pitch counts have been the lead story this season with shortened spring and Taillon is another one who has been held in check early on and has yet to top 84 pitches in his three starts. The good news here, like for Verlander, is that the pitch count could disappear and no better time for fantasy as the price is still in the mid-range. He also gets an elite matchup against an Orioles team that ranks near the bottom of the league in every hitting category including the 2nd highest K rate(26.3%) in baseball. Taillon is our top PTS/$ pitcher on both sites today. Catcher/First Base Ty France FD - 1B 4200 DK - 1B 5600 Opponent - TB (Undecided) Park - TB FD - 11.73 DK - 8.94 The Mariners are not my top team to stack tonight but I most certainly want some exposure to Ty France who is arguably the fantasy MVP thus far. He has been everything(and more) the Mariners expected when they got him from the Padres and is in the midst of a breakout season with a .466 wOBA, 220 wRC+, and five home runs going into last night. He also gets at least one at-bat vs a lefty and he destroys in the split with a .384 wOBA/151 wRC+ since the start of last season. There appears to be more than enough value on this slate to pay up for...
DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Wednesday, 4/27/22
DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Wednesday, 4/27/22 Great lineups can go off on any given night, but it's more unpredictable in baseball than any other sport. We feel like we have a good read on some stacks that we like for this slate, too, but let's get started with two young pitchers! Now’s your chance to get DFSR PRO, which will give you access to our MLB and NBA optimizers and our new player lab! Get started for free by clicking the button below. START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW! Pitchers Joe Ryan FD - P 9200 DK - SP 9600 Opponent - DET (Michael Pineda) Park - MIN FD - 39.55 DK - 21.14 Joe Ryan is one of the most boring names in baseball, but his game is really coming around. A 2.47 ERA and 0.82 WHIP in the minors earned him this job, and he's pitched just as well at this level. In fact, Joe has a 3.16 ERA and 0.82 WHIP, striking out nearly 30 percent of the batters he faces since debuting last season. He's simply one of the best pitchers at limiting baserunners, and it should be easy to continue against Detroit's disastrous offense. The Motor City Kitties were 24th in OBP, 22nd in OPS, 25th in wOBA, and 28th in K rate last season. Their lineup is just as bad this year, with Ryan entering this matchup as a -190 favorite in a game with a seven-run total. Ranger Suárez FD - P 7100 DK - SP 7400 Opponent - COL (Ryan Feltner) Park - PHI FD - 34.83 DK - 18.08 Honestly, this is some of the worst pricing of the season. A lackluster start to the year has dropped Ranger to this price range, but he should be at least $1000 more in this matchup. The Rockies have a decent offense, but they were dead-last in OPS and runs scored on the run last year. That's expected to carry over this season, with Suarez looking in line for a quality start. We say that because Ranger has a 2.67 ERA and 1.08 WHIP since the beginning of last season. Those are some absurd averages, with Suarez entering this matchup as a -225 favorite, with Colorado projected for just 3.5 runs. Charlie Morton has gotten off to a rough start this season, but he should get going against the Cubs as a monster favorite. Catcher/First Base Pete Alonso FD - 1B 3800 DK - 1B 5200 Opponent - STL (Steven Matz) Park - STL FD - 10.45 DK - 7.81 There are intelligent people in our industry who were recommending Matz this season. That's hard to understand because this lefty has...
DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Tuesday 4/26/22 – Main Slate
DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Tuesday 4/26/22 - Main Slate Now’s your chance to get DFSR PRO, which will give you access to our MLB, NBA, PGA, NHL, and NFL optimizers and our new player lab! Get started for free by clicking the button below. START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW! Pitchers Carlos Rodón FD 11100 DK 10100 Opponent - OAK (Daulton Jefferies) Park - OAKFD - 49.8 DK - 27.75 Rodon had the best season of his career in 2021 and has somehow found a way to improve on it this time around. He’s been an ace’s ace over his last 150 innings or so, striking out close to 13 batters per nine innings and cutting down the walk rate considerably. His first 17 innings in a Giants’ uniform this season have been electric and he gets a good matchup against the A’s on Monday and is a whopping -269 home favorite, the second-best of any pitcher on this slate. This is a pretty easy call all things considered and I suspect he’s the highest-owned pitcher on the slate. Luis Severino FD 8300 DK 9200 Opponent - BAL (Jordan Lyles) Park - BALFD - 37.71 DK - 20.3 After struggling mightily with injuries over the last couple of seasons, it looks like Luis Severino is back now and has had a great start to this season. Through his first 13 innings this year, the righty has a 25% K rate with an ERA in the low-2’s. The 3.26 xFIP shows that he’s been running a bit hot, but you have to like that he’s gone five innings in each of the last two. And now’s he’s a -289 home favorite, which are the best win odds on the slate. I think Rodon is the better play, but Severino rings in as a SP2 on DraftKings and an upside play on FanDuel if you decide to fade Rodon over there. Catcher/First Base Yasmani Grandal FD 2400 DK 4200 Opponent - KC (Daniel Lynch) Park - KCFD - 11.33 DK - 8.34 The White Sox face off against the lefty Daniel Lynch on Tuesday and have one of the highest implied run lines on the slate. Lynch has been mostly below average for his career, failing to deliver much in the way of strikeouts while sporting a 5.13 xFIP over his first 78 innings. Grandal has really struggled out of the gate this season but for his career, the switch-hitter has been better against southpaws. He moves up in the order with the injury to Eloy Jimenez and the price is way down because he’s started so slow. This is a good time to buy. Freddie Freeman FD 3900 DK...
DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Monday 4/25/22
DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Monday 4/25/22 Now’s your chance to get DFSR PRO, which will give you access to our MLB, NBA, PGA, NHL, and NFL optimizers and our new player lab! Get started for free by clicking the button below. START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW! Pitchers Max Scherzer FD - P 10800 DK - SP 9300 Opponent - STL (Miles Mikolas) Park - STL FD - 42.82 DK - 24.13 Max has gone at least five innings in each of his three starts and seems to have shed the pitch count going seven innings against the Giants on 102 pitches while limiting them to one hit. Not only does he go deep into games giving him a better chance at the win/quality start(FD), but he also provides a ton of upside and comes in striking out 33.3% of batters he faces. In a time when it is very rare for pitchers to go much past the 5th inning or third time through the order, I love locking in the raw points with Max in all formats, especially on DraftKings in the mid $9K range. Kyle Gibson FD - P 8400 DK - SP 6800 Opponent - COL (Kyle Freeland) Park - PHI FD - 34.93 DK - 17.46 If you are not looking to spend around 40% of your salary cap on pitching on DraftKings, we do some decent value in Kyle Gibson as the Phillies are currently the biggest favorites(-193) on the slate. Gibson has also been consistent to start the season with quality starts in two of his three outings with a 27.5% K rate backed up by a slate-leading 16.3% swinging-strike rate. The matchup is average-at-best as the Rockies have been no pushover to start the season but Gibson at a sub $7K price, Gibson is easily my top SP2 if you want to stack a few top bats with a top pitcher. Catcher/First Base Freddie Freeman FD - 1B 4000 DK - 1B 5300 Opponent - ARI (Merrill Kelly) Park - ARI FD - 13.9 DK - 10.47 The first base position is loaded tonight and definitely a spot you are going to want to pay up. Now the question is who to build around and while I don't think you can really go wrong with Vlad or Freddie here, I lean toward the latter. First of all, he comes slightly cheaper on both which could come into play with wanting to pay up at pitcher but more than anything it's about current form as Freeman has been red-hot over the last week with hits in five of seven games while averaging 13.6 DK/17.9 FD points per game. Freeman is our top...
DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Saturday 4/23/22 – Main Slate
DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Saturday 4/23/22 - Main Slate Now’s your chance to get DFSR PRO, which will give you access to our MLB, NBA, PGA, NHL, and NFL optimizers and our new player lab! Get started for free by clicking the button below. START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW! Pitchers Noah Syndergaard FD - P 10200 DK - SP 8600 Opponent - BAL (Spenser Watkins) Park - LAAFD - 36.73 DK - 18.87 Ok, the good news first. Syndergaard is a huge favorite in this game, coming in at -228 at home, easily the best win odds on the day. He’s facing off against an Orioles team that ranks third-to-last in the league in team wOBA and who strikes out the at the second-highest rate in the league. The matchup and win probability are about as good as it gets. The issue for Thor is that in his first 11 innings this season he’s only struck out five batters and the 1.59 ERA is a bit of smoke and mirrors compared to the 4.13 xFIP. It’s still early of course, but that is a bit concerning. If he’s going to turn it around, from that respect, this is the matchup to do it. Ian Anderson FD - P 9700 DK - SP 9600 Opponent - MIA (Elieser Hernandez) Park - ATLFD - 35.38 DK - 18.23 Anderson is another odd case here. He’s coming off a couple of solid seasons with xFIPs under 4.00 and an almost a K-per-inning strikeout rate. And he’s facing a mediocre Marlins offense that doesn’t do all that much particularly well. Plus, Anderson is a -169 home favorite, one of the better implied win odds on the day. But he’s also struggled to start this season, striking out only eight and walking six in the first eight innings. It’s an issue for sure, but he has a track record that would suggest this won’t last. Catcher/First Base Matt Olson FD - 1B 3800 DK - 1B 4500 Opponent - MIA (Elieser Hernandez) Park - ATLFD - 13.62 DK - 10.14 Bringing Matt Olson on board in the off-season is already looking like the right choice for the Braves with the first basemen rocking a 1.100+ OPS through the first couple weeks of the season and walking more than he’s striking out. Sure, the .486 isn’t anywhere close to sustainable, but the patience at the plate should mitigate the regression there. Elieser Hernandez has some K stuff in his repertoire, but he struggled with control at times as well. The Braves are in a good spot on Saturday’s slate and Olson is coming a bit too cheap. Jared Walsh FD - 1B 3600...