DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Tuesday 5/3/22 – Main Slate
DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Tuesday 5/3/22 - Main Slate Now’s your chance to get DFSR PRO, which will give you access to our MLB, NBA, PGA, NHL, and NFL optimizers and our new player lab! Get started for free by clicking the button below. START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW! Pitchers Brandon Woodruff FD 9700 DK 8900 Opponent - CIN (Tyler Mahle) Park - CINFD - 43.33 DK - 23.56 After struggling to get the K stuff going in his first two starts, Woodruff has started to round back into form over the last couple, striking out 15 batters in his last 10 innings. It’s a good sign for the righty who was electric last season. And on Tuesday he’ll have a chance to improve on that against a bottom-feeding Reds team. Cincinnati is easily the worst offense in the league with a .267 team wOBA, five points lower than the next-closest team. Woodruff and the Brewers are -245 home favorites, far and away the best win odds on the day. I suspect he’s the chalk pitcher here on Tuesday. Joe Ryan FD 10200 DK 9500 Opponent - BAL (Bruce Zimmermann) Park - BALFD - 39.82 DK - 21.84 With Ryan and Woodruff both coming under 10K on DraftKings, I think we’ll be able to fit them in lineups pretty easily together. The Orioles rank 24th in team wOBA this season and strike out at the second-highest rate (25.7%). It’s close to a dream matchup for Ryan who’s been awesome for his first 50 major league innings on the mound. He’s striking out close to 10 batters per nine and has a 4:1 K:BB ratio in that time. The matchup is too good to pass up and the peripherals point in the right direction for Ryan here. Catcher/First Base C.J. Cron FD 4000 DK 5300 Opponent - WSH (Erick Fedde) Park - WSHFD - 14.47 DK - 10.88 The Rockies’ 5.9 implied run line is easily the highest of the day, nearly a run higher than the next-closest team. So we are going to want to have exposure to some of these Coors bats. Cron has started off great in the power department this season, already belting eight home runs on the season with an OPS in the mid-900s. Fedde has been the definition of an average pitcher over the course of his career with a strikeout rate right around seven per nine innings. Cron predictably is doing most of his damage at home with a 1.153 OPS there this season. Let’s fire him up again there on Tuesday. Yasmani Grandal FD 2400 DK 4300 Opponent - CHC (Drew Smyly) Park - CHCFD - 10.69 DK - 7.87...
DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Monday 5/2/22
DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Monday 5/2/22 Now’s your chance to get DFSR PRO, which will give you access to our MLB, NBA, PGA, NHL, and NFL optimizers and our new player lab! Get started for free by clicking the button below. START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW! Pitchers Pablo López FD - P 10500 DK - SP 10000 Opponent - ARI (Zac Gallen) Park - MIA FD - 35.68 DK - 18.95 The Marlins are off to a great start entering Monday three games over .500 and sitting second in the NL East and a large part of that success can be attributed to their starting rotation which has the 7th best ERA in baseball. Leading the way has been Pablo Lopez who has allowed just 13 hits and one earned run over his first four starts and now gets an elite matchup against the D-Backs who rank dead last in wOBA(.238) and wRC+(51). Lopez is our top projected pitcher on Monday and a great play in all formats. Drew Rasmussen FD - P 8200 DK - SP 8300 Opponent - OAK (Daulton Jefferies) Park - OAK FD - 27.45 DK - 14.75 Rasmussen came over from the Brewers last season and was converted to a starter late in the year in hopes he would make the opening day rotation in 2022. He did just that and despite being on a pitch count through four starts has been terrific with a 3.50 ERA and even better 3.12 xFIP and has recorded 18 strikeouts with just four walks. He stands out tonight as he should get a shot at exceeding 90 pitches in a plus matchup against the A's who are below average in both wOBA(.285) and wRC+(95) but what really stands out is their league-high 28.7% K rate. He comes at a terrific price point on this small slate and is my top PTS/$ option on both sites. Catcher/First Base Yandy Díaz FD 2700 DK 4200 Opponent - OAK (Daulton Jefferies) Park - OAK FD - 8.63 DK - 6.58 First things first. There is likely enough value on this slate, even with paying up for pitching, where you can get exposure to Vladdy or Ty France but I am leaning toward the PTS/$ route at first, at least in cash games. Diaz has lacked early in the season with just one home run but has been very consistent hitting .298 with a .444 on-base percentage and 163 wRC+. He has also improved against righties(.362 wOBA/146 wRC+) and faces Jefferies who has given up a ton of hard contact in three of his starts. At this time, Diaz is probably best for cash but the upside is most...
DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Sunday, 5/1/22
DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Sunday, 5/1/22 This is one of the first times all year where it feels like we're back in the everyday grind. The past few weeks have been a bit of a mystery with the way offenses have struggled, but we're getting our grasp on what the baseball landscape will look like. We have numerous teams hitting around .200, and it's becoming clear that the pitchers are in charge right now. We have two of those aces as our pitching recommendations so let's go ahead and start there! Now’s your chance to get DFSR PRO, which will give you access to our MLB, NBA, PGA, NHL, and NFL optimizers and our new player lab! Get started for free by clicking the button below. START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW! Pitchers Corbin Burnes FD - P 10700 DK - RP 10200 Opponent - CHC (Marcus Stroman) Park - MIL FD - 44.64 DK - 25.05 Burnes is the most expensive player on the slate, but he's worth every penny. The 2021 NL Cy Young winner finished last season with a 2.43 ERA and 0.94 WHIP. He's been better in the opening month of this season, tallying a 1.75 ERA and 0.74 WHIP. His strikeouts are what make him so dangerous, though, collecting 33 across 24.2 innings this year. That should be easy to duplicate against Chicago, with the Cubbies owning one of the worst lineups in baseball. That was on full display when Burnes compiled a 1.35 ERA, 0.75 WHIP, and 16.2 K/9 rate in three games against them last season. Not to mention, he enters this matchup as a -200 favorite, with Chicago projected for just three runs. Joe Musgrove FD - P 10400 DK - SP 9600 Opponent - PIT (Mitch Keller) Park - PIT FD - 41.6 DK - 22.41 Musgrove had an incredible 2021 season, and he's definitely carried that form into this year. The former Pirate had a 3.18 ERA and 1.08 WHIP last season and has backed it with a 2.16 ERA and 0.88 WHIP this year. Those are astounding numbers, and it's led to Joe scoring at least 34 FanDuel points in all four starts this year. The best part of this is the matchup with his former team. The Pirates were bottom-five in runs scored, OPS, and xwOBA last season and have just as bad of a lineup this year. The oddsmakers agree, making Musgrove a -190 favorite in a game with a 7.5-run total. Logan Gilbert (FD $9300/DK $9400) has an ERA below 0.50 ERA and is obviously a great play against a terrible Marlins lineup. Catcher/First Base Eric Hosmer FD - 1B 3400 DK - 1B...
DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Saturday 4/30/22 – All Day
DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Saturday 4/30/22 - All Day Now’s your chance to get DFSR PRO, which will give you access to our MLB, NBA, PGA, NHL, and NFL optimizers and our new player lab! Get started for free by clicking the button below. START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW! Pitchers Shane Bieber FD - P 10400 DK - SP 8900 Opponent - OAK (Cole Irvin) Park - OAKFD - 45.44 DK - 25.26 Bieber hasn’t dialed it all the way up to start the season, striking out less than a batter an inning through his first 22 innings. That’s way off his career pace, but it’s still early in the season and I’m not all that worried about this ace. The velocity is down some which is a bit concerning though, again, it’s early the year and the colder weather can sometimes have this effect. I still like him as a -151 road favorite against the A’s with the run line at a paltry 6.5. Because he hasn’t been lights out to start the season, the price is down some on DraftKings. Gerrit Cole FD - P 9800 DK - SP 10000 Opponent - KC (Carlos Hernández) Park - KCFD - 43.32 DK - 24.46 Cole had a brutal outing against the Tigers on the 19th and that’s really skewing a lot of his season stats. It’s such an outlier that I’m willing to kind of wipe it off the books considering he had five walks in 1.2 innings, something that just legit never happens for the guy. And even with that he has 21 Ks in 18 innings pitched. He’s still an ace and that should be the case again here on Saturday where he’s a big favorite against a lighter-hitting Royals squad. The price isn’t high enough on FanDuel where he’s likely to be very high owned on the evening slate. Logan Webb (FD $10200 DK $10000) is a huge -240 home favorite today against the Nationals. He’s got the park in his favor and the Nationals are a weaker offense. He just isn’t elite with the K’s. Sean Manaea (FD $9600 DK $8900) draws the Pirates as a -166 road favorite heading into Pittsburgh. Catcher/First Base José Abreu FD 3400 DK 4600 Opponent - LAA (José Suarez) Park - LAAFD - 10.74 DK - 8.13 The White Sox are facing off against the lefty Jose Suarez on Saturday which is good news for their whole offense. Suarez has been decidedly below average for his career, sporting a 5.04 xFIP, while striking out batters less than 20% of the time. Meanwhile, Abreu has been much better against lefties, rocking a .929 OPS and .390 wOBA...
DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Friday 4/29/22 – Main Slate
DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Friday 4/29/22 - Main Slate Now’s your chance to get DFSR PRO, which will give you access to our MLB, NBA, PGA, NHL, and NFL optimizers and our new player lab! Get started for free by clicking the button below. START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW! Pitchers Nestor Cortes FD - P 10000 DK - RP 10000 Opponent - KC (Kris Bubic) Park - KCFD - 36.41 DK - 19.62 Nestor Cortes is a $10K pitcher just a month or so into the season just like we all thought, right? Well, he deserves every bit of this pricing bump considering how lights-out he’s been to start the season. He has a ridiculous 45% K rate through his first 15.2 innings on the season and has 25 K’s to 3 BBs. It’s just be so sick from the 27-year-old who showed flashed of this last season. The K rate isn’t likely to sustain at this level, but it really doesn’t need to for him to maintain this price point. He’s a -200 road favorite against the Royals and could be a popular arm on the slate. Frankie Montas FD - P 10200 DK - SP 8100 Opponent - CLE (Aaron Civale) Park - OAKFD - 41.92 DK - 22.79 Montas has gone six or more innings in each of his last three starts and is able to do so by combining swing-and-miss stuff with excellent control. He has a 5:1 K:BB ratio and comes as a -127 home favorite in this matchup. But the Indians have one of the lowest implied run lines on the slate seeing as how the over/under on this game is sitting at an even 7. Montas is a great price on DraftKings where he’s likely to one of the highest owned players on Friday. Catcher/First Base Joey Votto FD - 1B 2900 DK - 1B 2800 Opponent - COL (Antonio Senzatela) Park - COLFD - 13.58 DK - 10.16 The Reds have been horrible to start the season with a 3-15 record and the worst team wOBA in the league, kind of by a lot. It’s been a rough road. And now we are left in an interesting spot. Because some of their prices are way down as they head into Coors Field for the weekend. Votto is hitting in the middle of the order and coming sub-$3K on both sites. Yes, he’s been worse than bad to start the season but I think we need to take the risk on the park and an early sample size driving things down. C.J. Cron FD 4100 DK 5200 Opponent - CIN (Hunter Greene) Park - CINFD - 14.18 DK - 10.66...