DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Monday 7/4/22(Main Slate)
DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Monday 7/4/22 Now’s your chance to get DFSR PRO, which will give you access to our MLB, NBA, PGA, NHL, and NFL optimizers and our new player lab! Get started for free by clicking the button below. START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW! Pitchers Alek Manoah FD 11000 DK 9300 Opponent - OAK (Cole Irvin) Park - OAK FD - 41.64 DK - 22.22 Manoah is the most expensive arm on both sites and for good reason, as he opens as a -235 favourite against the A's who rank bottom three in almost every hitting category. While he lacks the same elite ceiling as other aces, there is no arguing his value as he has allowed more than three earned runs just once entering the night with an elite 2.09 ERA and has tallied 19 or more DK points in seven of his last eight starts. All things considered, Manoah is our top pitcher and in play in all formats. Julio Urías FD 9500 DK 8300 Opponent - COL (Kyle Freeland) Park - COL FD - 37.74 DK - 19.24 The pitch count or lack thereof for Urias(90+ pitches in just three starts) can limit his upside at times but don't mistake that for a lack of consistency. Coming into Monday's start, he has gone at least five innings in 14 straight while holding opponents to two or fewer earned runs in 11 of those. Urias and the Dodgers are also the biggest favourites(-286) on the slate going up against a Rockies team that is a bottom-five offence on the road. While he is best used in cash games, I will have exposure in all formats tonight. Catcher/First Base Vladimir Guerrero Jr. FD 4100 DK 5300 Opponent - OAK (Cole Irvin) Park - OAK FD - 11.9 DK - 8.96 Alejandro Kirk FD 3400 DK 4900 Opponent - OAK (Cole Irvin) Park - OAK FD - 7.64 DK - 5.8 When looking at implied runs tonight, the Jays are somewhat buried and sit mid-pack but are very high on my list. They also get a plus matchup vs Cole Irvin who is being hit hard by the regression we have been talking about for some time and it could get worse as he has given up a .316 wOBA and .426 SLG but the advanced stats are much worse with a .374 xwOBA and .554 xSLG. Irvin has also been much worse against right-handed batters so that's where we will begin. Let's start with Vladdy who has snapped out of that early-season slump and is hitting .290 since the start of June with an elite .402 wOBA and 164 wRC+. The price is still...
DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Sunday, 7/3/22
DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Sunday, 7/3/22 Saturday was a sensational day for yours truly. George Kirby had a monster start for me, and it has me ready to keep rolling here. This is another typical Sunday card, with all but two games in action between 1ET and 4ET. That always makes this one of the best slates of the week because we tend to have all the lineups ready in a timely manner. We have a couple of Cy Young caliber pitchers, so let's go ahead and start there! Now’s your chance to get DFSR PRO, which will give you access to our MLB, NBA, PGA, NHL, and NFL optimizers and our new player lab! Get started for free by clicking the button below. START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW! Pitchers Brandon Woodruff FD - P 10000 DK - SP 9500 Opponent - PIT (José Quintana) Park - PIT FD - 40.14 DK - 21.87 Facing Pittsburgh is one of the best matchups in DFS. The Pirates rank bottom-three in runs scored, OBP, OPS, wOBA, and xwOBA. That would put almost any pitcher in play against them, but Woodruff is one of the best arms in the NL. He hasn't necessarily shown that form this season, but an IL stint got him right back on track. The righty threw five one-run innings in his return, striking out 10 batters. That's the stud we've seen over the last two years, with Brandon collecting a 2.98 ERA, 1.00 WHIP, and 30 percent K rate since 2020. The oddsmakers also like him, making Woodruff a -170 favorite in this game, with Pittsburgh projected for just 3.5 runs. Robbie Ray FD - P 10600 DK - SP 9300 Opponent - OAK (Frankie Montas) Park - SEA FD - 39.17 DK - 21.28 Ray got off to an atrocious start this season, but he's recaptured the form that earned him an AL Cy Young last season. He's allowed two runs over his previous three starts, posting a 0.67 ERA, 0.67 WHIP, and 9.7 K/9 rate in that span. That's obviously the best stretch of his season, and he should keep that sparkling form against Oakland. The A's rank dead-last in OBP, OPS, wOBA, and xwOBA while scoring the second-fewest runs in baseball. That has Ray as the most favorable pitcher from an odds perspective, entering this matchup as a -160 favorite in a game with a 6.5-run total. Lucas Giolito (FD $8500 DK $6800) has been a Cy Young candidate in the past and remains way too cheap on DraftKings at just $6,800. Catcher/First Base Garrett Cooper FD - 1B 2800 DK - 1B 3100 Opponent - WSH (Erick Fedde) Park - WSH...
DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Saturday 7/2/22 – Afternoon and Evening Slate
DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Saturday 7/2/22 - Afternoon and Evening Slate Now’s your chance to get DFSR PRO, which will give you access to our MLB, NBA, PGA, NHL, and NFL optimizers and our new player lab! Get started for free by clicking the button below. START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW! Pitchers George Kirby FD 8500 DK 7800 Opponent - OAK (Paul Blackburn) Park - OAKFD - 36.62 DK - 19.48 Kirby has had an excellent first season in the majors, registering a 3.68 xFIP while striking out 8.32 batters per nine. He’s been able to limit the walks to right around a free pass per nine innings and has gone six innings in four of his last six starts. On Saturday he’ll face the A’s who have the league’s worst team wOBA and strike out 23% of the time. Kirby is a -184 favorite in this one and could be a popular play on the afternoon slate of games. Aaron Ashby FD 6800 DK 7500 Opponent - PIT (Bryse Wilson) Park - PITFD - 30.54 DK - 16.37 There are some aces going on Saturday, but I think we can go a little cheaper on the mound if we play our cards right. Ashby is an interesting case in that he’s coming pretty cheap here and has gone from a long reliever to a full-time starter over the last five starts. He’s been going about five-inning per start in that stretch On Saturday, he’s going against the Pirates who are the third-worst offense in the league and strike out a whopping 25% of the time. Ashby is a -188 road favorite in this matchup and is coming so very cheap on both sites. Consider Tyler Anderson (FD $8800 DK $9000) for the evening. Dylan Cease (FD $10700 DK $9500) is another interesting option, especially on DraftKings. Catcher/First Base J.T. Realmuto FD 3200 DK 4600 Opponent - STL (Matthew Liberatore) Park - STLFD - 11.06 DK - 8.43 Rhys Hoskins FD 3300 DK 4200 Opponent - STL (Matthew Liberatore) Park - STLFD - 12.84 DK - 9.53 The Phillies are coming in with a 5.4 implied run line against Matthew Libartore on Saturday and could be one of the more popular stacks on DraftKings for the afternoon. Realmuto should hit cleanup against the lefty though he’s struggled this season with the OPS sitting under .700 on the year. He’s been mostly platoon neutral for his career so you aren’t getting an overwhelming advantage in the lefty versus righty matchup, but I still like the price on him for both sites even with the struggles. Meanwhile, Hoskins has put together a strong season with 16 home runs and...
DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Friday 7/1/22 – Main Slate
DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Friday 7/1/22 - Main Slate Now’s your chance to get DFSR PRO, which will give you access to our MLB, NBA, PGA, NHL, and NFL optimizers and our new player lab! Get started for free by clicking the button below. START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW! Pitchers Corbin Burnes FD 10900 DK 10600 Opponent - PIT (Roansy Contreras) Park - PITFD - 42.36 DK - 24.16 Corbin Burnes and Gerrit Cole have seemed to always pitch on the same day this season and that’s often led us to decide between them on a given slate. Luckily, they’ve both been excellent and today is something of another close call. Burnes faces off against the Pirates who rank 28th in the league in team offense and strikeout 25.2% of the time, second most in baseball. Meanwhile, Burnes has been an ace’s ace once again, striking out 11.5 batters per nine and rocking a 2.78 xFIP with a 2.41 ERA. He’s a -204 favorite and the Pirates have the lowest implied run line of the main slate. Chris Bassitt FD 9800 DK 9800 Opponent - TEX (Glenn Otto) Park - TEXFD - 38.65 DK - 21.27 While Cole is a perfectly reasonable, and pretty much excellent second choice here, you can sake $1K on DraftKings by moving down to Bassitt against the Rangers. The Mets are -200 home favorites against Texas who rank in the bottom-third in team wOBA this season. Bassitt, for his part, is striking out close to 9.5 batters per nine on the season with a 3.56 xFIP. He isn’t in the elite class of arms, but he’s not too far behind. And like I said, getting that little bit of savings compared to Cole can help roster another quality bat or two. And, of course, Gerrit Cole (FD $10600 DK $10800) is an excellent option on this slate. Catcher/First Base C.J. Cron FD 4100 DK 5100 Opponent - ARI (Merrill Kelly) Park - ARIFD - 16.92 DK - 12.72 With an 11.5 implied run line, this game has easily the most projected scoring of the day and it isn’t all that close. It is a full two runs more than the second-closest game. That’s going to mean a lot of exposure to Coors as long as we can fit the salaries. Cron is putting together an excellent season with an .882 OPS and 17 home runs. He’s been particularly good at Coors where he has a 1.067 OPS this season and 13 of his home runs have come there. He’s expensive, but this is a great spot against Kelly. Carlos Santana FD 2400 DK 3300 Opponent - OAK (James Kaprielian) Park - OAKFD...
DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Thursday 6/30/22
DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Thursday 6/30/22 Now’s your chance to get DFSR PRO, which will give you access to our MLB, NBA, PGA, NHL, and NFL optimizers and our new player lab! Get started for free by clicking the button below. START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW! Pitchers Logan Gilbert FD 10400 DK 9500 Opponent - OAK (Adrian Martinez) Park - OAK FD - 40.65 DK - 22.79 It's a rough night if you are wanting to target top pitching as almost every one of them has a matchup against a top offence. All but Logan Gilbert that is as he gets one of the best matchups on the board against an A's team that is 2nd to last in runs scored and dead last in average, wOBA, and wRC+ on the season. For Gilbert, he has taken his game to the next level in year two as he enters the night with a sparkling 2.44 ERA/3.63 xFIP and is striking out over a batter per inning. He is my top pitcher on both sites and in play in all formats. Graham Ashcraft FD 9000 DK 8000 Opponent - CHC (Kyle Hendricks) Park - CHC FD - 26.39 DK - 13.8 Get ready for some risk at the SP2 spot on DraftKings tonight. The system loves the PTS/$ value with Kikuchi but I will keep that roller coaster ride for GPP formats. For cash games, I have much more faith in Ashcraft who has put together a very solid rookie campaign. He has held opponents to two or fewer earned runs in five of seven starts and flashed his upside last time out striking out eight Giants and walking none. The rubber match of this series is a pickem in Vegas but I like the matchup against a league-average Cubs offence and will have exposure to Ashcraft in all formats. Also Consider: Yusei Kikuchi(TOR) for even more saving at the SP2 position but strap in as the variance has been off the charts. The good news is that the Rays strike out about 6-7% more against left-handed pitching Catcher/First Base Vladimir Guerrero Jr. FD 4100 DK 5100 Opponent - TB (Jeffrey Springs) Park - TB FD - 10.37 DK - 7.81 He is coming off an 0 for 2 yesterday but Vladdy has really started to find his swing over the last month hitting .294 in June with nine home runs and 22 RBI. The matchup is unclear at this time as it could also be Drew Rasmussen returning from the IL but either way, it is hard to ignore the high floor and ceiling with Vladdy at a trending price that has dropped $1,000 on DraftKings in...