GPP Leverage Plays for Daily Fantasy NFL Week 14 on FanDuel and DraftKings
GPP Leverage Plays for Daily Fantasy NFL Week 14 on FanDuel and DraftKings Welcome back football fans. Earlier in the week, James broke down his favorites cash game targets and then teamed up with Doug for the Mega Podcast where they broke down every single game and fantasy-relevant play. I will now be taking a look at some GPP pivots based on ownership projections. Let's get started! When projecting ownership for GPP purposes, I use the tools over at FanShareSports. They curate thousands of pieces of content in articles, tweets, videos, podcasts, etc and put it all together into easy to use tools for building DFS lineups. Check them out today and use promo code "DFSR" for 20% off your membership. Now’s your chance to get DFSR PRO, which will give you access to our NFL and MLB optimizers and our new player lab! Get started for free by clicking the button below. START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW! Sony Michel FD 6600 DK 5600 Opponent KC Proj Points FD - 9.21 DK - 9.38 Phillip Lindsay FD 6400 DK 5300 Opponent HOU Proj Points FD - 12.17 DK - 13.36 I am going to start this week with a pair of mid-range running backs who make nice GPP pivots off the chalk in this range. Yes, I am talking about Devonta Freeman and James White who have both exceeded 30 tags on FanShareSports at this point in the week. Let's start with Sony Michel who has been very inconsistent all season with some of the blame falling on him as he is down from 4.5 to 3.5 yards per carry in comparison to last year. I say some of the blame as from a fantasy perspective, the volume has been hit or miss which we shouldn't be surprised by in the Pats backfield. This game also has the highest total on the slate and the Chiefs rank 30th in DVOA against the run and dead last in fantasy points per game given up to running backs. What does this mean? A lot of volume and opportunity to hit the ceiling game at a discounted ownership. I don't even mind pairing him with White in some GPP builds and either way, I will have plenty of exposure to the Pats backfield this week. You can tell by these picks that I love the punishment of watching running back committee's on Sunday afternoon. This leads us to Phillip Lindsay who, like Michel, has been inconsistent for fantasy sharing the ball with Royce Freeman but has still impressed gaining 4.7 yards per carry and catching 78% of his targets. The Broncos are nine-point underdogs in this one but the matchup does stand...
DFS NFL Podcast – Week 14 Cash Game Breakdown for FanDuel and DraftKings 12/4/19
DFS NFL Podcast - Week 14 Cash Game Breakdown for FanDuel and DraftKings 12/4/19 Week 14 is right around the corner and the guys are getting you started with cash game considerations on their DFS NFL Podcast for FanDuel and DraftKings. Now’s your chance to get DFSR PRO, which will give you access to our NFL, NHL and NBA optimizers and our new player lab! Get started for free by clicking the button below. START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW! It's a packed podcast with the DFSR crew discussing some of the weird ownerships they've seen throughout the industry this season but also how it doesn't always make sense to eat the chalk in cash. At quarterback they discuss the safety in Lamar Jackson every week and maybe taking a cheap flyer on Gardner Minshew. Running back could get a little tricky with some plays in the mid-tier but Leonard Fournette is looking like a safer option. And at wide receiver they discuss some target leaders who are still coming too cheap. Subscribe to this podcast on iTunesListen on Stitcher Listen on Spotify The DFSR Podcasts are part of the Overtime Media Podcast...
GPP Leverage Plays for Daily Fantasy NFL Week 13 on FanDuel and DraftKings
GPP Leverage Plays for Daily Fantasy NFL Week 13 on FanDuel and DraftKings Welcome back football fans. Earlier in the week, Doug went over his top cash plays in the Cash Game Article and then he teamed up with James as they broke down every game in the NFL Mega Podcast. I will now take a look at some possible low-owned leverage plays that can help us separate ourselves in large field GPP's. Let's get started! When projecting ownership for GPP purposes, I use the tools over at FanShareSports. They curate thousands of pieces of content in articles, tweets, videos, podcasts, etc and put it all together into easy to use tools for building DFS lineups. Check them out today and use promo code "DFSR" for 20% off your membership. Now’s your chance to get DFSR PRO, which will give you access to our NFL and MLB optimizers and our new player lab! Get started for free by clicking the button below. START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW! Mark Ingram FD 7500 DK 6000 Opponent SF Proj Points FD - 13.87 DK - 14.27 Looking at the top tier running backs, it appears the ownership will mostly be sitting with four backs(McCaffrey, Fournette, Barkley, Bell) who are all projected for double-digit ownership. That opens some opportunities to pivot in GPP and I will start with Mark Ingram who is on pace for a career-year in 2019. He comes into this game averaging 5.2 yards per carry which has a lot to do with the holes created by the elite running ability of Lamar Jackson but you also have to consider Ingram is averaging over 3.0 yards per carry after contact. While the matchup against the 49ers #2 overall DVOA defense does not seem like a great spot to target consider that they have been elite against the pass(#2 DVOA pass defense) but just league-average against the run(#16 DVOA rush defense). The Ravens go into this marquee matchup as 5.5-point home favorites in a game with the fourth-highest total(45.5) on the slate. Ingram has currently only seen a few tags on FanShareSports and if that trend continues he will likely be around 5% or less owned in GPP's and a great pivot with a ton of upside. Tyreek Hill FD 8300 DK 8900 Opponent OAK Proj Points FD - 17.63 DK - 20.75 The wide receiver position is an interesting one on this shortened main slate due to the three games on Thanksgiving and two more on Sunday and Monday night. There is no Thomas, Cooper, Julio, Diggs, Lockett, Edelman, or Hopkins. With all those names missing from the main slate, Tyreek Hill sits atop the wideout salary and by a sizeable...
Daily Fantasy Football Cash Game Picks for FanDuel and DraftKings Week 13 – 11/28/19
Daily Fantasy Football Cash Game Picks for FanDuel and DraftKings Week 13 - 11/28/19 Want access to the projections that power these picks? For a limited time we're offering a free one week trial to all the sports that we cover - that's optimal lineups for NFL, NBA, NHL, and MLB - for the same low price. Get started now! START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW! Quarterbacks Carson Wentz FD 7300 DK 5800 Opponent MIA Proj Points FD - 20.4 DK - 20.74 The recipe of starting quarterbacks against the Miami Dolphins this season has been, generally, a winning strategy and we have a few more weeks to put it into practice. The last two weeks have been especially great for opposition QBs with Baker Mayfield putting up 27.5 DraftKings points in Week 12 and Josh Allen going for 33.84 in Week 11. Now Wentz will get a turn. Wentz completed 73% of his passes in Week 12 against the Seahawks though threw two interceptions and missed a couple of very easy throws, one that would have almost definitely been a Miles Sanders touchdown. This is a smash spot for Wentz though and he’s the 10th most expensive QB on DK and 12th on FanDuel. It’s just too good a value considering the opponent and works perfectly for fitting in some of the very expensive skill position guys at RB and WR. Patrick Mahomes FD 8600 DK 7400 Opponent OAK Proj Points FD - 23.05 DK - 24.26 He’s listed second here only because of price. Mahomes, coming off a bye week with a fully healthy receiving corps is in a great spot to crush in Week 13. Oakland has the 29th ranked defense in DVOA this season and are coming off a week in which Sam Darnold picked them apart. Mahomes should have his way here and the Chiefs have, deservedly, the highest implied total of Sunday’s main slate at 30.5. He looked, dare-I-say-it, human against the Chargers in Week 11, but that was following a 446 yard, 3 TD performance against the Titans in Week 10. He has a 19:2 TD:INT rate on the season and even got out in the running game two weeks ago with 59 yards, his highest of the season. Other Thoughts I don’t want to run Lamar Jackson into the 49ers defense this week, but man if there was any quarterback to do it with it would be Jackson. He just continues the world crushing tour this season following a dismantling of the Rams on Monday night. We had Jameis Winston as a borderline cash play for Week 12 and he was very Jameis-y in his final line. He got to 300+ yards...
DFS NFL Podcast – Week 13 Game-By-Game Breakdown for FanDuel and DraftKings 11/28/19
DFS NFL Podcast - Week 13 Game-By-Game Breakdown for FanDuel and DraftKings 11/28/19 Coming at you Thanksgiving morning, the DFSR crew looks at the Week 13 main slate for their DFS NFL Podcast for FanDuel and DraftKings. Now’s your chance to get DFSR PRO, which will give you access to our NFL, NHL and NBA optimizers and our new player lab! Get started for free by clicking the button below. START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW! The guys go through every game on the main slate, looking at the cash vs GPP options, betting lines, injury news and much more for a packed week of football. Highlights include Carson Wentz and the Eagles in a great matchup agianst the Dolphins, Mahomes looking like maybe the chalk play at QB what do you do with Christian McCaffrey's price. All of this and much more on an hour-long Week 13 game-by-game breakdown for FanDuel and DraftKings. Subscribe to this podcast on iTunesListen on Stitcher Listen on Spotify The DFSR Podcasts are part of the Overtime Media Podcast...