Daily Fantasy NFL GPP Leverage Plays for FanDuel and DraftKings - Week 3 The 2020 NFL season is now in full swing and the DFSR team has covered in every area. Earlier in the week, we covered Cash Game Plays, our Top Bets, and looked at Injury Report. Now let's take a look at a few possible low owned GPP plays based on some of the industry buzz and ownership projections. Keep in mind, these are not safe plays and are generally very boom or bust. Roster accordingly. Now’s your chance to get DFSR PRO, which will give you access to our NFL and MLB optimizers and our new player lab! Get started for free by clicking the button below. START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW! Matt Ryan FD 7800 DK 6600 Opponent CHI Proj Points FD - 18.56 DK - 19.34 I am going to start at the quarterback position where it appears Matt Ryan is going to not just be low owned overall but could be lower owned than Mitch Trubisky in the same game. Repeat that to yourself and let's dive in. While I do like the value with Trubisky on DraftKings in the sub $6K range, Ryan has more upside and has shown that early on this season. First of all, he is second overall in passing attempts(90)thanks to a defense(78 points against) that can't stop a high school team. He has also been very effective throwing for 723 yards and six touchdowns, as well. In terms of value, he has hit at least 4.2x on DraftKings and 3.2x on FanDuel in each game. That is GPP winning upside that we can possibly get at 2%-5% ownership. Sure, some might be scared of the matchup but this is not the 85' Bears and did give up 297 passing yards to Stafford and almost 241 yards to Daniel Jones who lost his top wideout and running back. I am not convinced this is still an elite defense and either does Vegas, to be honest, as this game has one of the highest totals(48) on the slate. I will most definitely be taking a few shots in GPP with Ryan. Favorite Stack with Matt Ryan: Calvin Ridley, Russell Gage Nick Chubb FD 7800 DK 6900 Opponent WAS Proj Points FD - 13.49 DK - 13.88 Kareem Hunt FD 6200 DK 6100 Opponent WAS Proj Points FD - 12.62 DK - 14.21 Next up is the Cleveland backfield that is being completely overlooked this week. Let's talk about the matchup first as it is what seems to be scaring most people as they face a Washington Football Team that has allowed the 9th fewest rushing yards to running backs...

  Week 3 NFL Betting Picks and Strategy 9/24/20 Recapping last week, these were bets put out in our article along with those given away in our members-only chatroom. Cardinals -6.5 (W)Vikings +3 (L)Giants-Bears Over 43 (L)Panthers +9 (L - This one was brutal)Dolphins +6 (W)Chargers +9 (W)Patriots-Seahawks Over 45 (W)Saints-Raiders Over 48.5 (W)Overall Week 2 Record 5-3 Season Record 7-4 Also check out our Week 3 cash game plays as well as our Week 3 injury breakdown. Want access to the projections that power these picks? For a limited time, we're offering a free one week trial to all the sports that we cover - that's optimal lineups for NFL, NBA, NHL, and MLB - for the same low price. Get started now! START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW! Baltimore RavensOpponent KCBAL -3.5OVER 53.5 (-115)The Ravens have picked up this regular season right where they left off last year: dominating. They are already +49 on the season through two games, 19 points better than the next-closest team. Sure, it was the Browns and Texans, though I’d contend those aren’t really bottom-feeders. The Ravens have just had no issues making easy work of mostly everyone over their last 18 regular-season games.   Meanwhile, the Chiefs came out gunning to start the season against the aforementioned Texans, but barely squeaked out a victory over Justin Herbert and the Los Angeles Chargers in Week 2. It took overtime, a stop and a long field goal to bring home the W. This bet isn’t an overreaction to that performance, but rather some recognition that Baltimore has a gameplan which is problematic for the Chiefs. Namely, they can control the ball for long stretches and KC hasn’t solved one of their bigger “weaknesses” from last season: stopping the run.   Expect Lamar Jackson and company to keep the ball on the ground consistently with a lot of different looks. KC allowed 167 yards on the ground to the Chargers in Week 2 and 124 to Houston in Week 1 on close to six yards per carry. But even that said, there are still a lot of paths to hitting the over as well. A tight game almost assuredly has both teams keeping their feet on the proverbial gas and it stands to reason KC will want to air it out to keep the pressure on the Baltimore attack to take it to the air. BroncosOpponent TBBoncos +6 Over the last two+ seasons, the average away team score when coming into Denver is a meager 18.8 points. Part of that is a solid Denver defense in the last couple of years, but it’s also just really tough to fly in and play in the Denver...

Daily Fantasy NFL GPP Leverage Plays for FanDuel and DraftKings - Week 2 If you are looking for football content, you have come to the right place. Our DFS NFL team has already gone over our top Cash Game Plays, discussed our Top Bets, went over all of the Injury News, and broke everything down on the Game by Game Podcast. In this article, I will now be looking at a few GPP plays that we can use for leverage to try and take down a big contest. Now’s your chance to get DFSR PRO, which will give you access to our NFL and MLB optimizers and our new player lab! Get started for free by clicking the button below. START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW! Saquon Barkley FD 9000 DK 8400 Opponent CHI Proj Points FD - 17.72 DK - 20.16 If you are not paying up for McCaffrey you are likely running one or two of Zeke and Henry in the top tier and that leaves a giant gap of ownership with Saquon Barkley. Last week's performance(15 carries for 6 yards) definitely isn't going help me make a case here from a performance perspective but the good news is that he did catch six of nine targets for 60 yards, somewhat salvaging his price tag. We know the upside he provides as one of the best running backs in football and gets to now go up against a Bears defense that is not as scary as some make it out to be as they just gave up 93 rushing yards to a 35-year-old Adrian Peterson on just 14 carries(6.6 yards per rush). At the end of the day, I am not going to trust him in cash games but if we are getting him around 5% ownership, I think he makes an excellent GPP play. At that kind of ownership, we also don't need a lot of exposure to have more than the field and take advantage of his ceiling game.   Philip Rivers FD 7100 DK 5900 Opponent MIN Proj Points FD - 15.24 DK - 16.17 T.Y. Hilton FD 6300 DK 5700 Opponent MIN Proj Points FD - 11.7 DK - 14.33 Parris Campbell FD 5300 DK 4500 Opponent MIN Proj Points FD - 10.04 DK - 12.57 From a stacking perspective, I love the Colts this week and don't think they see a whole lot of ownership with Lamar, Dak, Kyler, Rodgers, and even Matt Ryan in good spots. When looking at the Colts team and projected ownership, I think Nyheim Hines has a chance to be the highest owned on the team with Marlon Mack hitting the IR and Jonathan Taylor in only his...

Week 2 NFL Betting Strategy 9/17/20 Last week we gave out three bets in our Member’s only chat. BAL -7.5 (W), LAR +2.5 (W) and CAR +130 .5 units (L). This week let’s put some of them live. Want access to the projections that power these picks? For a limited time, we're offering a free one week trial to all the sports that we cover - that's optimal lineups for NFL, NBA, NHL, and MLB - for the same low price. Get started now! START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW! Arizona CardinalsOpponent WASARI -6.5 Arizona handled some business on Sunday, taking down the 49ers on the road in one of the bigger upsets of opening weekend. Though was it really all that surprising? This is a team that worked to upgrade a major area of need (WR) in the offseason while giving up a guy who basically dragged them down while on the field (David Johnson). It was almost additional by subtraction just on the DJ part but they also got back a top 3 WR in football for their efforts. It paid off. Kyler Murray was even freer to be a playmaker with the Hopkins threat looming and a full season of Kenyan Drake is also a major upgrade. All of this plus they handled a major area of weakness, defending the pass, against an admittedly beat-up 49ers’ WR group. And the run defense was strong, holding Raheem Mostert to 3.7 yards per carry (15/56) after he finished at a 5.6 YPC clip in 2019. Meanwhile, Washington pulled off an upset win over the Eagles in Week 1 thanks in large part to continually pressuring a foot-in-cement Carson Wentz and facing an Eagles’ team that played with its third-string RB from the second quarter on. Dwayne Haskins was still a moderate mess (17/31 for 178 yards) and the running game averaged a putrid 2.2 yards per carry on 36 attempts. Washington is still a bad team and now need to fly across the country to play the Cardinals. This line appears a little too built on Washington's Week 1 win.  Minnesota VikingsOpponent INDBet: Minnesota +3, Minnesota +142 (.5 units) What exactly did we see from the Colts that rate them as a three-point favorite against anyone, even if it is at home in Week 2? They lost Marlon Mack with an Achilles tear, admittedly not a line mover but not all that great from a top-down perspective. And they are coming off a Week 1 loss to a team who everyone universally agreed (except for them I suppose) would be the worst team in football this season, the Jacksonville Jaguars. The defense looked rough, allowing Gardner Minshew to complete...

Daily Fantasy NFL GPP Leverage Plays for FanDuel and DraftKings - Week 1 Welcome back football fans. The 2020 season is actually happening and we are extremely excited to bring you our weekly articles, podcasts, and suite of fantasy tools. In this article, I will be looking at some plays who may not necessarily be optimal going in but have big upside and could be very low owned, leading to a huge GPP payday. Let's get started. Now’s your chance to get DFSR PRO, which will give you access to our NFL and MLB optimizers and our new player lab! Get started for free by clicking the button below. START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW! Aaron Jones FD 7800 DK 6900 Opponent MIN Proj Points FD - 14.75 DK - 16.22 It is pretty clear where people will mostly be going at running back this week. Paying up for Christian McCaffrey and pairing him with Antonio Gibson or going a bit more balanced and pairing Josh Jacobs with Austin Ekeler. I definitely favor the latter in week one and that creates a pivot with Aaron Jones who falls right in between Jacobs and Ekeler on DraftKings. He is likely going to be around 5% owned and while he does have competition for touches(Williams & Dillon) he had that last year for the most part and still flashed huge upside. Also of note, Jones had a nice 16% target share in the redzone for the Packers. While there is risk with Jones and possibly fading one of the other backs, you don't have to have a ton of exposure here to have more than the field and maximize on another Aaron Jones ceiling game.   Stefon Diggs FD 6600 DK 6400 Opponent NYJ Proj Points FD - 11.2 DK - 13.31 John Brown FD 6100 DK 5600 Opponent NYJ Proj Points FD - 9.63 DK - 11.53 Even with a new shiny weapon in Stefon Diggs, the Bills are barely getting any fantasy attention.......against the Jets. This immediately grabs my attention as those Jets ranked 17th in passing yards per game allowed and 23rd in fantasy points per game allowed to wideouts. Diggs was explosive downfield in Minnesota with a 14.9 aDOT(average depth of target) which was 8th-highest in the league(of WR with 50+ targets). Brown was a go-to for Josh Allen in 2019 as he commanded a 25% target share in the offense leading to his second career 1,00-yard season(first with BUF). The matchup doesn't jump off the page but the projected low ownership and high upside certainly do making the Bills stack one of my favorite for big GPP contests in week one.   GRAB A FREE TRIAL OF...