Three GPP Running Backs for NFL Week 1 FanDuel and DraftKings
Three GPP Running Backs for NFL Week 1 FanDuel and DraftKings We took a look at the major cash game considerations at running back for Week 1 in our Value Plays article for FanDuel and DraftKings. Here, we'll take a look at some possibly lower-owned running back options with big upside. Want to see the rest of this article? Go grab a free three day trial of DFSR Pro or DFSR Basic! Your subscription will include access to premium content, our lineup optimizer, our members only chatroom, and more! START YOUR FREE TRIAL - AND READ THE REST! James White FD 5500 DK 4000 Opponent HOU Proj Points FD - 9.15 DK - 11.35 The Pats enter Week 1 with a lot of question marks. Julian Edelman is out for the first four weeks on suspension. 2017 team-target leader Brandin Cooks is gone. The running back situation is looking murky at best with Sony Michel “behind schedule” in terms of practicing and Rex Burkhead possibly not 100%. Plus, the Pats overhauled a majority of their receiving corps bringing in Cordarelle Patterson and basically promoting Phillip Dorsett from within. From a *sure thing* perspective, the Pats are basically working with Chris Hogan and Rob Gronkowski. (The former looking more and more like a cash play for Week 1.) All of these question marks could lead to a much more prominent role for White, who was fourth overall in Pats’ targets last season (72 in 14 games) and in 2016 had the second-most on the team. White wasn’t asked to do much on the ground later in the season because Dion Lewis established himself as close to an “every down back” as you’ll see from the Pats, but he’s gone as well. In what projects to be a very high-scoring game against the Texans (51.5 o/u - the highest of the day) is it unreasonable to assume White sees 10-15 looks (carries + targets) with the number trending to the higher end if the Pats are playing any kind of catchup? The Patriots were rarely tasked with coming from behind last year, but in the two games they did have to (KC Week 1, Carolina Week 4), White combined for 11 carries and 17 targets. He makes for a very attractive correlation play with the Texans (Deshaun Watson, Lamar Miller and DeAndre Hopkins) if the Texans can get out to a lead or the game turns into a shootout. Kenyan Drake FD 6600 DK 5900 Opponent TEN Proj Points FD - 11.73 DK - 13.01 When Damien Williams went down to injury in Week 12, Kenyan Drake instantly burst on the scene, averaging 24 carries and four receptions in back-to-back wins...
Daily Fantasy Football Top Stacks for FanDuel and DraftKings Week 1 – 9/9/18
Daily Fantasy Football Top Stacks for FanDuel and DraftKings Week 1 - 9/9/18 Welcome back football fans. After a long offseason and even longer preseason, week one of the NFL regular season has finally arrived. I will be breaking down some of my top stacks for GPP formats and that doesn't mean just quarterback and receiver combos but also some other off the board correlation plays that can help you cash big. Let's get started. Want to see the rest of this article? Go grab a free three day trial of DFSR Pro or DFSR Basic! Your subscription will include access to premium content, our lineup optimizer, our members only chatroom, and more! START YOUR FREE TRIAL - AND READ THE REST! New Orleans Saints Quarterback - Drew Brees Primary Target - Micheal Thomas Secondary Target - Alvin Kamara Using the DFSR Player Lab, I used three filters for my first query this week looking at games with high totals, quarterbacks projected for 35 or more pass attempts, and teams facing weak passing defenses. Drew Brees was the only QB that popped in that model which is why the Saints sit as my #1 stacking option this week. It is no secret that Saints are going to be high owned and it makes sense as they face a Bucs team that is coming off a season where they allowed a league-high 261 passing yards per game and ranked dead last in DVOA passing defense. This game has the second-highest total(50) on the board and if the Saints score like we all expect them to, most of the production should fall on the pass game. It starts with Drew Brees who did see his pass attempts(536) go down last season but still led the league in yards per attempt(8.09) and was fifth in passing yards(4,334). His top receiver was Michael Thomas who was incredibly consistent finishing sixth in targets per game(9.3) and third in receptions(104) for a 69% catch rate while racking up 1,245 yards. With the Saints early-down running back suspended, Alvin Kamara takes over the bell cow duties and he is also an incredible pass catcher who finished third among backs with 6.3 targets per game with an 81% catch rate and led all backs with 826 receiving yards. While I will have Brees pair with one of the two in a ton of lineups, I will also have some stacks with all three together this week as the ceiling is very high, especially if the Bucs can score some points and keep it relatively close. Cincinnati Bengals Quarterback - Andy Dalton Primary Target - AJ Green Secondary Targets - John Ross Next, I wanted to look at the wide receiver position on the...
DFSR NFL Podcast Week 1 – Cash Game Plays for FanDuel and DraftKings 9/6/18
DFSR NFL Podcast Week 1 - Cash Game Plays for FanDuel and DraftKings 9/6/18 The DFSR crew is on the Week 1 NFL podcast discussing the cash game plays for both FanDuel and DraftKings. There’s a ton to dissect leading into Sunday with the most relevant piece of news being the status on Le’Veon Bell. The guys start there talking about how to evaluate the Steelers and most importantly, James Conner, if Bell were to sit. Then they go position by position, making the case for guys like Tom Brady, Alvin Kamara, David Johnson and why spending up at QB and RB is totally feasible this week. They also look at some cheaper WR options as well as some savings at TE. It’s a packed cash game podcast for Week 1 on FanDuel and DraftKings. Subscribe to this podcast on...
Daily Fantasy NFL Picks for FanDuel and DraftKings Cash Games – Week 1 – 9/9/18
Daily Fantasy NFL Picks for FanDuel and DraftKings Cash Games - Week 1 - 9/9/18 Considering NFL news is basically on a full-year long news cycle, it doesn't feel like Week 1 snuck up on us at all. But it's still exciting to finally be here. With FanDuel and DraftKings releasing their pricing very early, we could be looking at major cash game chalk at a few positions. Let's dive into some values for Week 1. Now’s your chance to get DFSR PRO, which will give you access to our NFL optimizer for FanDuel and DraftKings, our MLB Optimizer, and our new Player Lab! Get started for free by clicking the button below. START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW! First time with NFL? Be sure to read our free MLB and NFL Ebooks on building lineups, general strategy and more. We've got you completely covered. Quarterback Tom Brady FD 8600 DK 7200 Opponent HOU Proj Points FD - 20.73 DK - 21.56 Ever heard of him? Brady enters his 19th season, coming off a 2017 in which he led the league in pass attempts (581), passing yards (4,577) and was third in TDs (34). Some of those season-long comparisons are a little skewed because of injuries to Carson Wentz and Deshaun Watson, but it’s still a testament to Brady’s consistency. He’s played all 16 games in eight of the last nine seasons and enters Week 1 as probably the *safest* cash game play on the board. With so many question marks on quarterbacks returning from injury (Watson, Tannehill, Luck), switching teams (Cousins, Smith) or rookies/newly minted starters/quasi-backups (Mahomes, Keenum, Bradford, Tyrod, Darnold, Peterman-lol, Foles, Fitzpatrick) we are suddenly left with less than half of the main slate quarterback player pool walking into relatively similar situations as last season. Brady is playing at home in the game with the highest over/under of the week (51.5) and the Patriots as solid -6.5 favorites. The biggest “concern* with Brady is how the receiving options look. He’s getting Chris Hogan back, and Gronk is still there of course, but after that Phillip Dorsett and Cordarelle Patterson round out the receiving corps. Brady has pass-catching backs in Rex Burkhead and James White which helps. But Brady has shown the ability to make the best with what he’s given. Because there are so many other cheap options at the skill positions this week, I think paying up for Brady in cash games gives you a higher (safer) floor even if he doesn’t run which I often like to see from my cash game QBs. Ben Roethlisberger FD 8000 DK 6600 Opponent CLE Proj Points FD - 19.62 DK - 20.46 Like I said with Brady, for...
DFS NFL Talk Week 1 – Early Thoughts for FanDuel and DraftKings 9/4/18
DFS NFL Talk Week 1 - Early Thoughts for FanDuel and DraftKings 9/4/18 The DFSR crew is back on the NFL podcast starting to take a look at Week 1 for FanDuel and DraftKings. They spend the podcast trying to take a high-level look at some of the situations to take a look at going to into the first main slate of games. They look at some of the quarterback situations Guys like Andrew Luck and Deshaun Watson are returning from injury and the guys try to wade through how to deal with those kinds of situations for the first week. They give a high-level view on the quarterback considerations and then getting into whether the same kind of issues comes with running back and wide receiver. They discuss guys like David Johnson, LeVeon Bell, Alvin Kamara and much more. It's a first look at Week 1 for FanDuel and DraftKings NFL. Subscribe to this podcast on...