Daily Fantasy Football Picks for FanDuel and DraftKings Plus Prop Bets – Conference Championship
Daily Fantasy Football Picks for FanDuel and DraftKings Plus Prop Bets - Conference Championship This is shaping up to be an almost historic weak of offense for the Conference Championship. We have two games with 56 over/unders on the road to the Super Bowl. There are almost too many great plays. Let's take a look at some of the DFS targets as well as some potential prop bets. New England Patriots (+3) vs. Kansas Chiefs (-3) Patrick Mahomes FD 9000 DK 6600 Opponent NE Proj Points FD - 25.37 DK - 26.95 Once again he’s the highest projected fantasy quarterback and it isn’t particularly close. Mahomes didn’t let the stage of his first ever playoff games affect him in the Divisional Round against the Colts. He completed 27-41 passes (66%) and threw for 278 yards. The Chiefs had the game completely under control early (up 24-7 at half) and didn’t need to press Mahomes much. He did scramble for a touchdown which helped save some of his day considering he didn’t throw for any touchdowns. Too long, rushing TDs early put the game almost out of reach. Figuring the Patriots will be able to hang a little more on Sunday will have Mahomes in play as the cash game quarterback even at his elevated price points. Prop Bets Patrick Mahomes Over 308.5 Passing Yards Patrick Mahomes Over 13.5 Rushing Yards Damien Williams FD 7200 DK 6400 Opponent NE Proj Points FD - 17.26 DK - 19.58 Spencer Ware ended up inactive for the Divisional Round, putting the RB1 duties once again squarely on Damien Williams’ shoulders. I suspected Williams would have gotten all the run even if Ware had been active, but that ended up not being a concern. Things should remain that way this week against the Patriots. Williams played 65 snaps on Sunday and finished with 25/129/1 on the ground and another 5/25 through the air on six targets. This is elite usage and, at this point, he’s almost a game script independent running back. If they get out to a lead he should rack up the carries, but he’s so active in the passing game that he’s getting snaps regardless. Prop bets Damien Williams Rushing Yards Over 64.5 Damien Williams Receiving Yards Over 31.5 Sammy Watkins FD 5600 DK 4000 Opponent NE Proj Points FD - 11.14 DK - 13.04 Watkins represents about as close to a *value* receiver as you’ll find on this two-game slate. He saw eight targets last week after finally returning from the injury that kept him out about a month. Watkins looked no worse for wear and finished with six catches for 62 yards. The main thing to like...
NFL Podcast – Conference Championship Game-by-game Breakdown for FanDuel and DraftKings
NFL Podcast - Conference Championship Game-by-game Breakdown for FanDuel and DraftKings DFSR crew is back for their final NFL podcast of the season! It's only a two-game slate this weekend, but thankfully it features four of the most DFS relevant teams of the season. There are some real questions, though. Is Mahomes the clear cut option at QB? If you're deciding between Kelce at a hefty price tag or throwing away the tight end position completely, where should you land? Can we make room for Michael Thomas without sacrificing too much? This week is full of questions. The guys also rank the mid-tier running back options like Sony Michel, Damien Williams, and Mark Ingram, and talk about their favorite mid-tier wide receivers as well. It's a short slate, but an interesting one - and the DFSR guys are here to walk you through it. Subscribe to this podcast on...
Daily Fantasy Football Cash Game Picks for FanDuel and DraftKings Divisional Round – Sunday
Daily Fantasy Football Cash Game Picks for FanDuel and DraftKings Divisional Round - Sunday With the Eagles, Saints, Patriots, and Chargers playing we actually have some decent players to pick from. But do we have enough cheap value to wind up with lineups that don't include throwaway players that barely touch the ball? Ugh. Let's see what we can do. Looking for Saturday's article? Doug wrote up that two game slate here! Now’s your chance to get DFSR PRO, which will give you access to our NFL optimizer for FanDuel and DraftKings, our NBA Optimizer, and our NFL Player Lab! Get started for free by clicking the button below. START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW! First time with NFL? Be sure to read our free MLB and NFL Ebooks on building lineups, general strategy and more. We've got you completely covered. Los Angeles Chargers (4) vs. New England Patriots (-4) As we get deeper into the playoffs we usually wind up with more good players, which is nice, but we also wind up with worse match-ups, which isn't as nice. The Pats and Chargers were both in the "sneaky good" defensive category this season. Neither of them is necessarily known for their defensive reputation, but each has things they do well. The Chargers were the 12th toughest team in the NFL against the run, and the 9th toughest against the pass. The Patriots allowed the 5th fewest yards per pass to opposing QBs this season, but were pretty bad against the run, allowing the 3rd highest yards per carry in the NFL. This is all relative on a two game slate, of course, but I wanted to get the context out of the way before we got into the specific picks. Melvin Gordon FD 7400 DK 6200 Opponent NE Proj Points FD - 15.19 DK - 16.88 If New England was one of the most generous defenses to opposing running backs this season, we should probably think long and hard about running Gordon out there on a two game slate. The case against Gordon is a pretty good one, though. He was bottled up against the Ravens last week, turning his 18 touches into just 43 yards. He split time with Ekeler, and missed a few series with an injury. He's a 4 point dog, so there is some chance that the Chargers are playing from behind here. He also came up with a sore knee after last week, and has been missing practice this week. I still believe that all of that is just precautionary, though. Gordon punched in the Chargers' goal line carry last week, and the Chargers as a whole ran pretty bad in terms...
NFL Podcast – Divisional Round Game-by-game Breakdown for FanDuel and DraftKings
NFL Podcast - Divisional Round Game-by-game Breakdown for FanDuel and DraftKings DFSR’s Doug Norrie and James Davis take to the NFL podcast discussing a weekend of Divisional Round playoff games for FanDuel and DraftKings. There’s a lot to like about both the Saturday and Sunday slates from a fantasy perspective. The guys go game-by-game looking at some of the cash game considerations. They debate Todd Gurley vs. Ezekiel Elliott at the top tier of running back on Saturday. They also look at the Rams’ pass-catching corps and the idea of possible stacking some Cowboys in the same game. Clearly Patrick Mahomes is the top quarterback option for the weekend, but can you fade him in favor of someone like Andrew Luck for cheaper? They also make sense of the Eagles and Nick Foles, how to project the Patriots and much more. Subscribe to this podcast on...
Daily Fantasy Football Cash Game Picks for FanDuel and DraftKings Divisional Round – Saturday
Daily Fantasy Football Cash Game Picks for FanDuel and DraftKings Divisional Round - Saturday The Divisional Round is here for the NFL playoffs and we've got the making of an offense-fueled weekend of football. With the Chiefs, Rams, Saints and more all taking the field, expect a lot of scoring. We'll take you through the two days of DFS plays starting with Saturday's matchups. Now’s your chance to get DFSR PRO, which will give you access to our NFL optimizer for FanDuel and DraftKings, our NBA Optimizer, and our NFL Player Lab! Get started for free by clicking the button below. START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW! First time with NFL? Be sure to read our free MLB and NFL Ebooks on building lineups, general strategy and more. We've got you completely covered. Indianapolis Colts (5.5) vs. Kansas Chiefs (-5.5) Patrick Mahomes FD 9000 DK 7000 Opponent IND Proj Points FD - 25.91 DK - 27.26 It doesn’t take much in the way of analytics to see that Mahomes is the top overall quarterback for the Divisional round of games. After all, this guy finished as the number one fantasy quarterback on the season by a wide margin. That’s what 5,000+ passing yards and 50 touchdowns will get you. He was on another level and will have a chance to continue the breakout season on Saturday against the Colts. The Chiefs come in with the highest implied total (31) though Vegas does see Indy somewhat hanging here. Though he’s the most expensive quarterback on the weekend, it’s worth paying up for Mahomes in cash games on both sites. We currently have him projected around 24% higher than the next closest QBs (Goff and Luck). This doesn’t strike me as a fade opportunity in cash games considering how much KC relies on the pass and just how head and shoulders above Mahomes is than the rest of the field. Damien Williams FD 6100 DK 5100 Opponent IND Proj Points FD - 13.61 DK - 15.2 Spencer Ware has returned to practice this week, but at this point, I’m hard-pressed to see why the Chiefs would get away from how they’ve been using Damien Williams. Over the final three weeks of the season, with Ware on the shelf (and Kareem Hunt out of the picture) Williams has been superb. He’s carried the ball 34 times for 203 yards (5.97 YPC) and caught 14 balls for 119 yards. He’s basically been the perfect running back for this offense and I don’t know why the Chiefs would go away from something that’s working well. So while bringing Ware back does crowd the backfield, I’m counting on Williams retaining the bulk of the workload on...