Daily Fantasy Football Cash Game Picks for FanDuel and DraftKings Week 15
Daily Fantasy Football Cash Game Picks for FanDuel and DraftKings Week 15 Want access to the projections that power these picks? For a limited time we're offering a free one week trial to all the sports that we cover - that's optimal lineups for NFL, NBA, NHL, and MLB - for the same low price. Get started now! START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW! Quarterbacks Russell Wilson FD 8100 DK 7000 Opponent CAR Proj Points FD - 21.75 DK - 22.81 Wilson is off some tough weeks that have seen a dip in production from a guy who was among the fantasy scoring leaders at the position for much of the first half of the season. The interceptions regressed some, throwing one in each of the last four games after not yielding a single one through the first seven. But now he heads into Carolina to face a Panther team fresh off giving up 40 to Atlanta in Week 14. The Seahawks 27.25 implied points are the second-highest of the main slate and Wilson should have his hand all over that number. He’s second only to Lamar Jackson in TD:INT rate this season and ranks fifth in quarterback rushing yards. I see this as a bounce back opportunity for Wilson with the price coming down in the short term. Dak Prescott FD 7800 DK 6300 Opponent LAR Proj Points FD - 21.01 DK - 22.07 Only two teams in football have a losing record and a positive point differential: the Colts (+1.0) and the Cowboys (+67!!). And yet here they are in a borderline must-win game against the Rams at home as they struggled to keep a grip on the NFC East. Dak ranks fourth in FanDuel points per game and fifth on DraftKings. From a game-to-game consistency standpoint, he ranks behind only Lamar Jackson in coefficient of variation and he could be in a high volume spot against the Rams on Sunday. Prescott is averaging more than 38 pass attempts per game because of game scripts this season and though the rushing is down against his career numbers, he still has 223 yards this year. I love the DraftKings price especially where he’s the seventh-most expensive quarterback on the main slate. Keep an eye on any injury fallout from the hand issue that cropped up in Week 14 against the Bears, but he should be good to go. Other thoughts Patrick Mahomes is in another great spot but I’m a little worried about the injury situation there. Carson Wentz has an okay matchup against the Redskins, but the Eagles just continue to lose skill position players to injury. Running Backs Christian McCaffrey FD 10400 DK 10000 Opponent SEA Proj...
GPP Leverage Plays for Daily Fantasy NFL Week 14 on FanDuel and DraftKings
GPP Leverage Plays for Daily Fantasy NFL Week 14 on FanDuel and DraftKings Welcome back football fans. Earlier in the week, James broke down his favorites cash game targets and then teamed up with Doug for the Mega Podcast where they broke down every single game and fantasy-relevant play. I will now be taking a look at some GPP pivots based on ownership projections. Let's get started! When projecting ownership for GPP purposes, I use the tools over at FanShareSports. They curate thousands of pieces of content in articles, tweets, videos, podcasts, etc and put it all together into easy to use tools for building DFS lineups. Check them out today and use promo code "DFSR" for 20% off your membership. Now’s your chance to get DFSR PRO, which will give you access to our NFL and MLB optimizers and our new player lab! Get started for free by clicking the button below. START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW! Sony Michel FD 6600 DK 5600 Opponent KC Proj Points FD - 9.21 DK - 9.38 Phillip Lindsay FD 6400 DK 5300 Opponent HOU Proj Points FD - 12.17 DK - 13.36 I am going to start this week with a pair of mid-range running backs who make nice GPP pivots off the chalk in this range. Yes, I am talking about Devonta Freeman and James White who have both exceeded 30 tags on FanShareSports at this point in the week. Let's start with Sony Michel who has been very inconsistent all season with some of the blame falling on him as he is down from 4.5 to 3.5 yards per carry in comparison to last year. I say some of the blame as from a fantasy perspective, the volume has been hit or miss which we shouldn't be surprised by in the Pats backfield. This game also has the highest total on the slate and the Chiefs rank 30th in DVOA against the run and dead last in fantasy points per game given up to running backs. What does this mean? A lot of volume and opportunity to hit the ceiling game at a discounted ownership. I don't even mind pairing him with White in some GPP builds and either way, I will have plenty of exposure to the Pats backfield this week. You can tell by these picks that I love the punishment of watching running back committee's on Sunday afternoon. This leads us to Phillip Lindsay who, like Michel, has been inconsistent for fantasy sharing the ball with Royce Freeman but has still impressed gaining 4.7 yards per carry and catching 78% of his targets. The Broncos are nine-point underdogs in this one but the matchup does stand...
DFS NFL Podcast – Week 14 Cash Game Breakdown for FanDuel and DraftKings 12/4/19
DFS NFL Podcast - Week 14 Cash Game Breakdown for FanDuel and DraftKings 12/4/19 Week 14 is right around the corner and the guys are getting you started with cash game considerations on their DFS NFL Podcast for FanDuel and DraftKings. Now’s your chance to get DFSR PRO, which will give you access to our NFL, NHL and NBA optimizers and our new player lab! Get started for free by clicking the button below. START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW! It's a packed podcast with the DFSR crew discussing some of the weird ownerships they've seen throughout the industry this season but also how it doesn't always make sense to eat the chalk in cash. At quarterback they discuss the safety in Lamar Jackson every week and maybe taking a cheap flyer on Gardner Minshew. Running back could get a little tricky with some plays in the mid-tier but Leonard Fournette is looking like a safer option. And at wide receiver they discuss some target leaders who are still coming too cheap. Subscribe to this podcast on iTunesListen on Stitcher Listen on Spotify The DFSR Podcasts are part of the Overtime Media Podcast...
Daily Fantasy Football Cash Game Picks for FanDuel and DraftKings Week 14
Daily Fantasy Football Cash Game Picks for FanDuel and DraftKings Week 14 Want access to the projections that power these picks? For a limited time we're offering a free one week trial to all the sports that we cover - that's optimal lineups for NFL, NBA, NHL, and MLB - for the same low price. Get started now! START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW! Quarterbacks Lamar Jackson FD 9000 DK 7400 Opponent BUF Proj Points FD - 24.82 DK - 24.69 There’s no safer fantasy commodity than Lamar Jackson at this point. He’s averaging the most FanDuel points per game, is second on DraftKings and his coefficient of variation (Standard Deviation/Average points) is easily the lowest among the top fantasy performances. Depending on how you look at it, he’s twice as *safe* as the next closest player this season. It’s really pretty ridiculous. Outside of the 11 point fantasy day against the Steelers he’s scored 20+ fantasy points every week this season and is in line for another good game even against a tougher Bills’ defense on the road in Buffalo. In terms of locking up a good floor, Jackson provides more safety than any other player in the game and there’s a lot to be said for that in cash games. Jameis Winston FD 7700 DK 6400 Opponent IND Proj Points FD - 20.74 DK - 21.87 Winston had a very un-Jameis-y game in Week 13 against the Jaguars. Sure, he completed 64% of his passes, but failed to go over 300 yards for the first time in seven weeks. He didn’t throw any touchdowns, but almost more amazingly he didn’t throw an interception either (though there were a few close calls). His 22:20 TD:INT rate is always going to be a concern, but he remains a volume thrower and I do like the floor in this match-up against the Colts. Indy’s been an average defense on the season, slightly better against the pass, but the Bucs come in with the fourth-highest implied point total of the Week 14 main slate. I much prefer Lamar obviously, but the savings you get on Winston might be worth it this week if some of the other positional decisions are close. Gardner Minshew FD 6600 DK 5400 Opponent LAC Proj Points FD - 16.97 DK - 17.43 Minshew will be back as the Jaguars’ signal-caller in Week 14 after Nick Foles looked every bit a piece of terrible and was subsequently benched in Week 13. Minshew came in off the bench against the Bucs and honestly didn’t look much better. But if we go back to the beginning of November, there’s a lot to like on the stat line. In five of...
GPP Leverage Plays for Daily Fantasy NFL Week 13 on FanDuel and DraftKings
GPP Leverage Plays for Daily Fantasy NFL Week 13 on FanDuel and DraftKings Welcome back football fans. Earlier in the week, Doug went over his top cash plays in the Cash Game Article and then he teamed up with James as they broke down every game in the NFL Mega Podcast. I will now take a look at some possible low-owned leverage plays that can help us separate ourselves in large field GPP's. Let's get started! When projecting ownership for GPP purposes, I use the tools over at FanShareSports. They curate thousands of pieces of content in articles, tweets, videos, podcasts, etc and put it all together into easy to use tools for building DFS lineups. Check them out today and use promo code "DFSR" for 20% off your membership. Now’s your chance to get DFSR PRO, which will give you access to our NFL and MLB optimizers and our new player lab! Get started for free by clicking the button below. START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW! Mark Ingram FD 7500 DK 6000 Opponent SF Proj Points FD - 13.87 DK - 14.27 Looking at the top tier running backs, it appears the ownership will mostly be sitting with four backs(McCaffrey, Fournette, Barkley, Bell) who are all projected for double-digit ownership. That opens some opportunities to pivot in GPP and I will start with Mark Ingram who is on pace for a career-year in 2019. He comes into this game averaging 5.2 yards per carry which has a lot to do with the holes created by the elite running ability of Lamar Jackson but you also have to consider Ingram is averaging over 3.0 yards per carry after contact. While the matchup against the 49ers #2 overall DVOA defense does not seem like a great spot to target consider that they have been elite against the pass(#2 DVOA pass defense) but just league-average against the run(#16 DVOA rush defense). The Ravens go into this marquee matchup as 5.5-point home favorites in a game with the fourth-highest total(45.5) on the slate. Ingram has currently only seen a few tags on FanShareSports and if that trend continues he will likely be around 5% or less owned in GPP's and a great pivot with a ton of upside. Tyreek Hill FD 8300 DK 8900 Opponent OAK Proj Points FD - 17.63 DK - 20.75 The wide receiver position is an interesting one on this shortened main slate due to the three games on Thanksgiving and two more on Sunday and Monday night. There is no Thomas, Cooper, Julio, Diggs, Lockett, Edelman, or Hopkins. With all those names missing from the main slate, Tyreek Hill sits atop the wideout salary and by a sizeable...