fbpx

DFS NFL Podcast – Week 8 Cash Game Podcast for DraftKings and FanDuel

Posted by on Oct 28, 2020 in featured, News, Podcast |

DFS NFL Podcast - Week 8 Cash Game Podcast for DraftKings and FanDuel Enjoy our week 8 NFL cash game podcast, where Doug and James take an early look at cash game plays for week 8 of NFL DFS on FanDuel and DraftKings. Now’s your chance to get DFSR PRO, which will give you access to our NFL, NHL and NBA optimizers and our new player lab! Get started for free by clicking the button below. START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW!   There are a number of unknown factors that make it impossible to fully project what cash game lineups will look like for week 8, but there is still quite a bit to talk about here. Quarterback looks like it's going to come down to a decision between Russell Wilson and some cheap options in Ryan Tannehill and Derek Carr. If we wind up getting cheap options at other plays (like running back) we will wind up paying up. If we don't, we might need to go cheaper this week. Running back could go in any number of directions this week. Can we afford Derrick Henry? Perhaps, if we can get punt plays like Carlos Hyde going this week. There are several known question marks this week, with the status of Joe Mixon, Dalvin Cook, Aaron Jones, Chris Carson, and even Carlos Hyde up in the air. This is a position we'll need to revisit later in the week. Wide receiver has its own interesting discussions. What do we make of Tyler Lockett's 20 target week? How about Davante Adams' return to greatness? Can we roll it back with Marquez Callaway if Michael Thomas misses another game? Is Keenan Allen an easy play in spite of his ongoing touchdown issues? The guys break all this down, and more. Tight end is a mess, as usual, and we're hoping to be able to pay up for George Kittle. That will likely depend on getting cheap plays elsewhere, though, so for now we're standing by. Love the DFSR podcast? Go ahead and subscribe and listen wherever you get your daily podcasts. Subscribe to this podcast on iTunes Listen on Stitcher Listen on Spotify The DFSR Podcasts are part of the Overtime Media Podcast...

Read More

Week 8 NFL Betting Picks and Strategy 10/27/20

Posted by on Oct 27, 2020 in NFL Betting, Sports Betting |

Week 8 NFL Betting Picks and Strategy 10/27/20 Plenty of early NFL betting action to get in on before lines more before Week 8. Want access to the projections that power these picks? For a limited time, we're offering a free one week trial to all the sports that we cover - that's optimal lineups for NFL, NBA, NHL, and MLB - for the same low price. Get started now! START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW!   Los Angeles Chargers Opponent DENChargers -3 The Chargers didn’t make it always look easy, but they did end up with a 10-point road win over the lowly Jaguars on Sunday. It was their first win since Week 1 and Justin Herbert’s first W since taking over behind center for Tyrod Taylor. The team’s offense has looked more than confident over the last three weeks with close losses to very good Buccaneers and Saints teams in Weeks 5 and 6 respectively. But don’t overlook the defense, while the losses point to a unit looking for an identity, the schedule has been on the tougher side. This defense ranks 12th in defensive DVOA on the season even though the record would seem to point a different direction. This week, they’ll get the Broncos in Denver which has historically been a tough place to travel. But like we said last week with the Chiefs, this Broncos teams’ deficiencies more than offset any downgrade teams get going into the Mile High air of Denver. They got destroyed by the Chiefs last week following two straight wins, but those were over the Jets and the increasingly suspect looking New England Patriots. While the defense has looked competent at times, last week notwithstanding, the offense has been horrific no matter who’s been under center. Sure, it’s been a shaky ride with Lock out of the lineup for some games and the running back situation is hit or miss because of injuries (and otherwise). But this is a team without a ton of hope for improvement on the offensive end. They rank 31st in offensive DVOA. Meanwhile, I still think there’s room for growth on the Chargers’ end as Herbert becomes increasingly more comfortable. Even heading out on the road, it’s hard to imagine the Denver offense getting much of anything going here.   Tampa Bay BuccaneersOpponent NYGBuccaneers -10.5 We are starting to get to the point of the season where the separation between the haves and have nots becomes increasingly glaring. Such is the case with the Bucs and the Giants. While 10.5 is a huge number to give on the road, it’s worth noting that this season road teams are slightly outscoring home teams so the advantage of...

Read More

Daily Fantasy NFL GPP Leverage Plays for FanDuel and DraftKings – Week 7

Posted by on Oct 23, 2020 in featured, Football Strategy, Uncategorized |

Daily Fantasy NFL GPP Leverage Plays for FanDuel and DraftKings - Week 7 The 2020 NFL season is now in full swing and the DFSR team has covered in every area. Earlier in the week, we covered Cash Game Plays, our Top Bets, and looked at Injury Report. Now let's take a look at a few possible low owned GPP plays based on some of the industry buzz and ownership projections. Keep in mind, these are not safe plays and are generally very boom or bust. Roster accordingly. Now’s your chance to get DFSR PRO, which will give you access to our NFL and MLB optimizers and our new player lab! Get started for free by clicking the button below. START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW! Quarterback With a ton of players already ruled out and a bunch more questionable, there is going to be a lot of chalk this week but one position I like making some pivots to differentiate is teh quarterback position. The Chalk(not in any projected order of own%) - Russell Wilson, Kyler Murray, Matt Stafford, Aaron Rodgers, Deshaun Watson, Justin Herbert Let's take a look at a couple of projected low-owned options with big upside. Patrick Mahomes FD 9000 DK 7400 Opponent DEN Proj Points FD - 22.91 DK - 23.45 Doug talked about the Chiefs in his Top Bets Article and I am going to parlay that in DFS as I absolutely love Mahomes in GPP this week. I listed six quarterbacks above who are all projected to be higher owned this week and the crazy part is Mahomes is only the third-highest priced on DraftKings(highest priced QB on FanDuel). I think a lot of people will go back to Clyde Edwards-Helaire after a breakout game and that makes sense but even with that huge game Mahomes still came just shy of 3x on DraftKings last week. There is snow and low temps in the forecast and likely scares people away but I am not concerned at all as Mahomes faced the Broncos team in the snow last December and put up 340 yards and two touchdowns. It really doesn't feel too risky banking on a former MVP and reigning Super Bowl MVP and I love the upside and especially the possible sub 5% ownership. Stack with - Travis Kelce, Tyreke Hill  Run it back with -  Gardner Minshew II FD 7200 DK 5900 Opponent LAC Proj Points FD - 19.07 DK - 19.7 We can get even more leverage in the mid-tier as Stafford and Herbert should be the overwhelming chalk in this range. While Mahomes gives us a feeling of "safety" when we roster him, the same cannot be said for Minshew...

Read More

Week 7 NFL Betting Picks and Strategy 10/23/20

Posted by on Oct 23, 2020 in NFL Betting |

Week 7 NFL Betting Picks and Strategy 10/23/20 On Thursday we gave out New York Giants +5 and the under 44.5 both of which hit. Let’s take a look at some other bets to target going into Week 7. Want access to the projections that power these picks? For a limited time, we're offering a free one week trial to all the sports that we cover - that's optimal lineups for NFL, NBA, NHL, and MLB - for the same low price. Get started now! START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW!   Kansas City ChiefsOpponent DENChiefs -10, -9.5 in some spots I know I wrote up earlier in the season that going into Mile High made it a tough cover for road favorites there. The thin air specifically gives opponents trouble. But those opponents aren’t anything like these Chiefs and other iterations of the Broncos haven’t been quite as bad as this group. Despite a rather odd loss to the Raiders on the road in Week 5, the Chiefs came back and handled business against the Bills in Week 6 on a wet and cool evening in Buffalo. Denver’s been frisky over the last couple of weeks with a surprise win over the Patriots and a rather predictable victory over the Jets. But the Broncos offense is awful, ranking 29th on the season and scoring more than 21 points only once this season (against the Jets). The defense has looked solid (ranked 6th) thanks to an adjusted boost based on their pretty tough schedule to start the season. This is still the high octane Chiefs who’ve won games by nine or more in four of their first six games. And despite the solid defense relatively speaking, Denver allows the sixth-most opponent plays per game this season. This is a cover for the Chiefs.   Houston Texans Opponent GBTexans +4 It was a crime against humanity that Houston didn’t cover the +3.5 we had them at last week against Tennessee. They led by seven with 1:50 to go after the Brandin Cooks touchdown. They then allowed a 76-yard drive from Ryan Tannehill to get the Titans tied and headed to overtime. Then they allowed another 82-yard drive in overtime ending in a Derrick Henry touchdown and that was all she wrote. What a mess. I’m willing to go back to the well here with Houston who’s shown plenty of fight over the last two weeks since firing Bill OBrien. They’ll now face a Green Bay team at home getting points once again. The Packers have been sneaky bad on defense this season, ranking 30th in DVOA and have let it up both on the ground and through the air. They were trounced...

Read More

DFS NFL Podcast – Week 7 Game by Game Game Podcast for DraftKings and FanDuel

Posted by on Oct 22, 2020 in featured, Podcast |

DFS NFL Podcast - Week 7 Game by Game Game Podcast for DraftKings and FanDuel Enjoy our week 7 NFL game by game podcast, where Doug and James Now’s your chance to get DFSR PRO, which will give you access to our NFL, NHL and NBA optimizers and our new player lab! Get started for free by clicking the button below. START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW! James and Doug are back to discuss every game on the main slate of NFL DFS games on FanDuel and DraftKings. While some positions are looking chalky, there are a number of interesting tidbits to discuss this week. The greatest discussion centers around the running back options this week. Each of the big-ticket guys has their own question marks - whether it's Zeke's terrible week 6, Alvin Kamara's role with the return of Michael Thomas, or Derrick Henry's tough match-up with Pittsburgh, things are looking fairly difficult. We also have some potentially intriguing mid-range options, with Clyde Edwards-Helaire far too cheap if Le'Veon Bell doesn't arrive, Kareem Hunt back in a good situation, and Joe Mixon potentially missing this one. There are also cheap plays people could target, like Kenyan Drake or DeAndre Swift. For big tournaments, it seems like we could go in any number of directions. Wide receiver has plenty of questions of its own. Should we be thinking about expensive options in big tournaments, even if we can't play them in cash? We might have buy low opportunities on Davante Adams or DeAndre Hopkins, for instance. There are also some guys whose stock might be too expensive. Can we go back to the Julio Jones well after one big week? Can we keep buying on the way up for guys like Chase Claypool or DK Metcalf, whose prices are on the rise based mostly on touchdown equity? All in all, there is a ton to discuss, so this isn't a podcast you're going to want to miss. Love the DFSR podcast? Go ahead and subscribe and listen wherever you get your daily podcasts. Subscribe to this podcast on iTunes Listen on Stitcher Listen on Spotify The DFSR Podcasts are part of the Overtime Media Podcast...

Read More

DOWNLOAD YOUR EBOOK NOW

Our free NBA and MLB eBooks, and picks to your inbox every day!

Your eBooks are on their way!