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Daily Fantasy NFL Picks for FanDuel and DraftKings – Week 16 Christmas Day Slate

Posted by on Dec 24, 2021 in featured, Football Strategy, Uncategorized |

Daily Fantasy NFL Picks for FanDuel and DraftKings - Week 16 Christmas Day Slate The 2021 NFL season is now in full swing and the DFSR team has covered with content all week long. Earlier in the week, we covered our top cash game plays and also looked at all the relevant injuries and now it's time to look at some of the top stacks for GPP formats. Now’s your chance to get DFSR PRO, which will give you access to our NFL and MLB optimizers and our new player lab! Get started for free by clicking the button below. START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW! Quarterback Aaron Rodgers FD 8300 DK 7400 Opponent CLE Proj Points FD - 18.73 DK - 19.11 Take 2 for a Saturday slate as last weeks was blown up with the Browns game being pushed back to Monday due to Covid. Coincidentally, those same Browns are back in action this Saturday but this time facing the NFC's #1 seed in the Green Bay Packers. Leading the way is reigning MVP, Aaron Rodgers, who is also the current odds leader to win it again which would make him the first back-to-back winner since Peyton Manning(2008, 2009). While Rodgers has been great all season, he has been at his best in the short term throwing for over 300 yards in three of his last four games(325.3 avg) with a total of 12 touchdowns. In that time, he has scored 24 or more fantasy points in each game while averaging 30.6 DK/28.1 FD points per game. He now faces a short-handed Browns team that already ranks 23rd in DVOA against the pass. Look for Rodgers to deliver gifts to all the fantasy players who roster him. He is easily my top quarterback on this slate. Also Consider: Kyler Murray(ARI) as a GPP pivot off Rodgers or Backer Mayfield(CLE) who is slated to return this week and is the cheapest QB on the slate Running Back Jonathan Taylor FD 10500 DK 8300 Opponent ARI Proj Points FD - 22.98 DK - 24.43 While the MVP race likely comes down to a battle between veteran quarterbacks Aaron Rodgers and Tom Brady, Jonathan Taylor is most definitely making his case and not that far off sitting at +800 right now. He comes into Week 16 tallying 100 or more yards rushing in seven of his last nine games(132.3 avg) and has totaled 97 or more yards from scrimmage in 11 straight(146.6 avg).  & BUF). That alone has me feeling a lot better about this below-average matchup against the Cardinals who rank 8th overall in DVOA against the rush. Believe it or not, there is even a path to playing a...

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Daily Fantasy Football Cash Game Picks for FanDuel and DraftKings Week 15 – Main Slate

Posted by on Dec 17, 2021 in featured, Weekly Fantasy Football Picks |

Daily Fantasy Football Cash Game Picks for FanDuel and DraftKings Week 15 - Main Slate Want access to the projections that power these picks? For a limited time, we're offering a free one-week trial to all the sports that we cover - that's optimal lineups for NFL and NBA - for the same low price. Get started now! START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW! Quarterback Kyler Murray FD 8800 DK 7900 Opponent DETProj Points FD - 24.15 DK - 24.88 It’s been a really good sign for Murray’s return to full health that he’s gotten out and run over the last couple of weeks, totally 17 attempts on the ground and piling up 120 yards and two touchdowns. It gives him such a high fantasy floor, something that only a few quarterbacks in the game have. I think we can pretty confidently roster him in cash this week against the Lions who ranks 31st in defensive DVOA and are equally terrible against both the pass and the run. Murray should be able to pile on the points here with the Cardinals still fighting for a first-round bye in the playoffs. Though he will be without DeAndre Hopkins in the receiving corps, the Cardinals still have plenty of weapons. Dak Prescott FD 7500 DK 6500 Opponent NYGProj Points FD - 21.15 DK - 21.94 The Cowboys face the Giants this week who rank 18th in overall DVOA this season, though it’s worth noting that they are better against the pass than the run. Dak hasn’t run as much as we would like this season, though did get out there seven times last week. But the pass attempts are up over the short-term, averaging more than 40 over the last four games. That’s a good sign even if the yards and touchdowns haven’t exactly followed. The price is in a tier lower than the stud quarterbacks for a reason. Dak’s performance just hasn’t warranted an increase. But I think this is the perfect time to buy relatively low considering the matchup. If Lamar Jackson were to sit out, I think Tyler Huntley makes for an interesting and cheap option.  Running Back Sony Michel FD 6800 DK 5800 Opponent SEAProj Points FD - 14.24 DK - 15.35 The Rams have been rocked by Covid this week and as of this writing had placed 25 players into the protocols. But it looks like Sony Michel will be able to suit up and should have an every-down role for LA. It doesn’t appear that Darrell Henderson is going to be able to clear protocols to play in this one. Last week, in a similar situation, Michel played 100% of the Rams’ snaps and carried the ball...

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Daily Fantasy NFL Picks for FanDuel and DraftKings – Week 15 Saturday Slate

Posted by on Dec 15, 2021 in featured, Football Strategy, Uncategorized |

Daily Fantasy NFL Picks for FanDuel and DraftKings - Week 15 Saturday Slate The 2021 NFL season is now in full swing and the DFSR team has covered with content all week long. Earlier in the week, we covered our top cash game plays and also looked at all the relevant injuries and now it's time to look at some of the top stacks for GPP formats. Now’s your chance to get DFSR PRO, which will give you access to our NFL and MLB optimizers and our new player lab! Get started for free by clicking the button below. START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW! Quarterback Derek Carr FD 7500 DK 6000 Opponent CLE Proj Points FD - 1.56 DK - 1.56 By default, Derek Carr is our top quarterback on Saturday. Baker Mayfield tested positive for Covid, Carson Wentz faces the #2 overall defense in New England, and Mac Jones is coming off a two-attempt performance and is averaging just 20 attempts per game over his last five. Volume has not been an issue for Carr who is averaging 40.1 attempts over his last three games and has been accurate, as well, completing 70% of those passes. The matchup doesn't jump off the page as the Browns have allowed the 7th fewest passing yards but do rank 20th in DVOA against the pass. Making the matchup more appealing this week is the fact the Browns are not only dealing with injuries but also a C-19 breakout which has both starting safeties and two of their top three corners questionable. Fire up Carr in all formats. Mac Jones FD 7000 DK 5200 Opponent IND Proj Points FD - 13.72 DK - 14.25 There is much less safety with this pick as Jones is coming off an almost unbelievable three-pass-attempt performance against Buffalo. While that is likely a one-off due to the wind and heavy run gameplan, Jones has still been inconsistent in his rookie season but what I do like is the potential 4-5x upside and his price which allows you to load up at RB/WR/TE. The matchup is also very intriguing as the Colts rank Top 5 in run defense but 17th in DVOA against the pass. It is very risky as the floor is very low but for GPP formats, I am on board considering the upside and ability to spend up elsewhere. Running Back Jonathan Taylor FD 10200 DK 9000 Opponent NE Proj Points FD - 22.01 DK - 23.42 With Derrick Henry out with injury, the often underrated Jonathan Taylor has quickly taken on the "best running back in football" tag, and for good reason. He has rushed for 100 or more yards in seven of...

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Daily Fantasy NFL GPP Stacks for FanDuel and DraftKings – Week 14

Posted by on Dec 11, 2021 in featured, Football Strategy |

Daily Fantasy NFL GPP Stacks for FanDuel and DraftKings - Week 14 The 2021 NFL season is now in full swing and the DFSR team has covered with content all week long. Earlier in the week, we covered our top cash game plays and also looked at all the relevant injuries and now it's time to look at some of the top stacks for GPP formats. Now’s your chance to get DFSR PRO, which will give you access to our NFL and MLB optimizers and our new player lab! Get started for free by clicking the button below. START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW! Game Stack - Dallas Cowboys/Washington Football Team Dak Prescott FD 8100 DK 6700 Opponent WAS Proj Points FD - 22.83 DK - 23.67 CeeDee Lamb FD 7800 DK 7200 Opponent WAS Proj Points FD - 12.63 DK - 15.24 Antonio Gibson FD 7400 DK 6000 Opponent DAL Proj Points FD - 12.32 DK - 13.33 Let's get things started this week with a game that is perfect for a multi-entry game stack. There are a ton of different ways to run this one but the above stack is by far my favorite. Let's start with the Cowboys passing game which ranks 8th in passing DVOA and 4th in passing yards per game coming into Week 14. The schedule has also been kind to them as of late facing some weaker defenses against the pass and this week is no different facing a Washington defense that ranks 30th in DVOA against the pass, have allowed the 4th most passing yards and most fantasy points to QB's, and the 6th most receiving yards and 3rd most fantasy points to wide receivers. Prescott has been a bit inconsistent lately(under 15 fantasy points twice in the last three games) but that has helped create a buy low with the price and looking at ownership projections, he could also be outside the Top 5 this week. I love pairing him with Lamb who has been not only the most consistent of the Cowboys wideouts but also shown the most upside with 19+ DK points in five of his last seven games. On the other side of the ball, there are multiple options and it really comes down to if you think Washington can keep this game close and I agree with Vegas that it will. This has Antonio Gibson at the top of my Washington exposure list. He comes in red-hot totaling 111 and 146 scrimmage yards in each of the last two games and has averaged 27 touches a game over the last four. The one hesitancy here is that the Cowboys rank 2nd in fantasy points against wideouts as...

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Daily Fantasy Football Cash Game Picks for FanDuel and DraftKings Week 14 – Main Slate

Posted by on Dec 8, 2021 in Weekly Fantasy Football Picks |

Daily Fantasy Football Cash Game Picks for FanDuel and DraftKings Week 14 - Main Slate Want access to the projections that power these picks? For a limited time, we're offering a free one-week trial to all the sports that we cover - that's optimal lineups for NFL and NBA - for the same low price. Get started now! START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW! Quarterback Patrick Mahomes FD 8500 DK 8000 Opponent LVProj Points FD - 26.35 DK - 26.96 After stumbling some to start the season, the Chiefs have turned things around of late, winning their last five in a row against a more difficult part of their schedule overall. Mahomes has been up and down from a fantasy perspective, throwing for fewer than 300 yards in all but one of the last six games, with no touchdowns in the last two. The price hasn’t dipped as much as we would like on the back of these weaker performances, but I also don’t think we need to read all that much into them either. This is a decent enough matchup against the Raiders who are about league average against the pass (worse against the run). Fire up Mahomes here with the idea that the touchdowns come back around. Taysom Hill FD 7700 DK 5600 Opponent NYJProj Points FD - 22.59 DK - 23.27 We are in an interesting spot with Hill here. On the one hand, there’s his hand. He’s dealing with a finger injury that’s definitely affecting his ability to throw. So on that front, not good. On the other hand, he’s coming so, so cheap on DraftKings and has shown the ability to make up for a lot on the ground in the run game. Last week, he ran 11 times for 101 yards. Sure, he completed less than 50% of his passes, but also managed a couple of TDs through the air. On DK, in the mid-$5K range I think you just have to play him against the Jets and hope he racks up a ton of yards with his legs. Running Back Javonte Williams FD 6700 DK 5900 Opponent DETProj Points FD - 20.56 DK - 22.24 With Melvin Gordon out of the lineup, it was all Javonte Williams for the Broncos. Sure, they lost to the Chiefs, but for our purposes, we don’t care all that much about the outcome. Williams played 78% of the snaps, and got 32 total looks with 23 carries and nine targets. That’s elite (elite!) usage and this week gets a much better matchup. Denver is -8 home favorites against the 29th defense in the league in the Lions. This is a smash spot again for Williams if Gordon...

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