DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Saturday 7/29/20
DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Saturday 7/29/20 Now’s your chance to get DFSR PRO, which will give you access to our MLB, NBA, PGA, NHL and NFL optimizers and our new player lab! Get started for free by clicking the button below. START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW! Pitchers After a night where you could almost throw a dart to pick the best of the worst, we get an elite slate for pitching so let's jump in a look at few that stand out in the system. Gerrit Cole FD - P 11700 DK - 11400 Opponent - BAL (Asher Wojciechowski) Park - BALFD - 42.44 DK - 24.4 Cole is coming off an incredible season in 2019 and pretty much picked up where he left off in his first start with the Yankees on Friday. We went five innings allowing just a solo home run to Adam Eaton while striking out five and walking one. He was also limited to just 75 pitches and should get a full run tonight against an Orioles team that has seen their games against the Marlins postponed over the last two days and were a bottom 10 offense(.308 wOBA, 88 wRC+, 23% K rate) overall last season. Cole is an elite pitcher who we have seen more expensive in worse spots so he is easily the top pitcher for me on the main slate. Chris Paddack FD - P 9700 DK - SP 8400 Opponent - SF (Johnny Cueto) Park - SF FD - 38.78 DK - 21.16 Up next is Chris Paddack who was excellent in his rookie season(3.33 ERA, 26.9% K rate, .268 wOBA against) and like Cole, has picked up where he left off in his first start. He didn't flash the upside with just four punch-outs but was incredibly efficient allowing just four walks and walking just one over six innings on just 81 pitches. Tonight, he gets a Giants team that finished last season bottom 3 in almost every offensive category and are now without Buster Posey who opted out which has resulted in another bottom 5 offensive start to the season. At these prices, Paddack is the likely pitcher in both FanDuel and DraftKings optimizer lineups on Wednesday. A great play in all formats. Catcher/First Base Pete Alonso FD - 1B 3800 DK - 1B 5000 Opponent - BOS (Nathan Eovaldi) Park - NYM FD - 12.91 DK - 9.61 The 2019 NL Rookie of the Year is off to a bit of a slow start but I am not concerned.......yet. It can be expected for some players to push the envelope early in a shortened season and that appears to be the case for Alonso...
DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Monday 7/27/20
DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Monday 7/27/20 It has been an eventful first couple of days since baseball returned with many new variables in play as the Marlins showed us yesterday with multiple positive cases of COVID-19. We now enter the first full week of action and I am excited to bring you my core plays at each position for DraftKings and FanDuel for the main slate. Now’s your chance to get DFSR PRO, which will give you access to our MLB, NBA, PGA, NHL, and NFL optimizers and our new player lab! Get started for free by clicking the button below. START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW! Pitchers I preface the write-ups in this section with the fact this is an absolutely terrible slate for pitchers. Good or bad, we must roster one(two on DraftKings) so let's jump into the pit of fire and see what we can come up with tonight. Mike Foltynewicz FD - P 8000 DK - SP 10300 Opponent - TB (Tyler Glasnow) Park - TB FD - 31 DK - 16.02 Tyler Glasnow FD - P 9700 DK - SP 8900 Opponent - ATL (Mike Foltynewicz) Park - TB FD - 35.52 DK - 19.51 I will start at the top with a pitcher who is a bit overpriced to what we have seen recently but it is completely relative to the slate and lack of options. Folty wasn't great last year posting a 4.54 ERA/4.73 xFIP but did have a 21%+ K rate and 10.5% swinging strike rate but what stands out the most is the matchup. The Rays were relatively held in check against a Jays staff that is average at best and ended up with 23 K's over the three games. The Trop is one of the best pitchers parks in the league and while the Braves are slight underdogs(+125) here, Folty is my top pitcher if you plan on paying up tonight. On the other side, we have Tyler Glasnow at a much more affordable price and is actually the favorite in this matchup. He only got 12 starts in his first full year with the Rays due to a forearm strain that had him on the IL from the end of May to the start of September. Despite the small sample size, he was tremendous posting a 1.78 ERA backed up by an elite 2.94 xFIP and 33% K rate. I am writing this before game 3 of the Braves series with the Mets but their bats were not great through the first two games scoring just six runs42 wRC+) and striking out at a ridiculous 38% rate. At this time, I lean Glasnow in cash games and...
Braves-Cardinals NLDS Preview
This is a fascinating series. We have two of the hottest teams in the league matching up and it should make for a fun series. I’ll go ahead and throw my hat in the ring on the Braves because I truly think they have the better roster. If you go position by position, there’s actually not much in favor of the Cardinals. The only real advantage is playoff experience but many of those guys are over the hill. Players like Adam Wainwright and Yadier Molina may give them an edge mentally but it hurts them just as much on the field with their ineffective play. The odds don’t really put much between these teams though, with Atlanta coming into this series as a –160 favorite to advance. With that in mind, let’s take a deeper look at the specific matchups. Now’s your chance to get DFSR PRO, which will give you access to our NFL and MLB optimizers and our new player lab! Get started for free by clicking the button below. START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW! Pitching If there’s one pitcher you’d want in this series, it’s Jack Flaherty. The Cardinals righty has been the best pitcher in baseball since the break and it’s frightening just how good he’s been recently. Over his last 16 starts, Flaherty is pitching to a 0.93 ERA, 0.70 WHIP and 11.0 K.9 rate. Holy Crap, I knew those numbers were good but woah! That’s bad news for the Braves but they have a pitcher of their own who’s feeling it. Mike Foltynewicz has been dominant since being sent to the minors, posting a 1.73 ERA and 0.84 WHIP over his last seven starts. That’s the stud that we saw last season and the Braves have to hope that he continues that form here. Atlanta also has a rookie who’s been showing out this season, with Mike Soroka pitching to a 2.68 ERA and 1.11 WHIP. That may garner him an NL Rookie of the Year award and these two righties spell bad news for the Cards. The main reason for that is because St. Louis sends out a ton of righties, but we’ll go over that more in our lineup section. To finish off the pitchers, the Cardinals will likely send out Miles Mikolas, Dakota Hudson and Adam Wainwright while the Braves will have Dallas Keuchel and either Julio Teheran or Max Fried. What’s funny about all of these guys is that they have low K rates. That’s bad news against potent lineups like this and we may be looking at high-scoring games when these guys toe the rubber. Plays: Flaherty vs. ATL and Soroka/Foltynewicz vs. STL Fades: Wainwright vs. ATL and Teheran/Keuchel...
Dodgers-Nationals NLDS Preview
After an exciting start to the MLB playoffs, we have our first team advancing. That happens to be the Washington Nationals, as they miraculously overcame a three-run deficit in the eighth inning to advance. While it was an error that got them that victory, they appeared to be the better team over the Brewers. We have been rewarded with outstanding series of pitching. The three main starters for both of these clubs can shut down a lineup on any given night and it should make for a low-scoring series. With that said, we’re going to place the pitchers against the offense and discuss how it could play out. So, let’s dig into this NLDS. Now’s your chance to get DFSR PRO, which will give you access to our NFL and MLB optimizers and our new player lab! Get started for free by clicking the button below. START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW! WSH vs. Clayton Kershaw: The future Hall-of-Famer had a bounce-back season for the Dodgers and I truly believe that Dave Roberts will peg him as the number-one guy to show that they have confidence in him. That’s just what he needs too, as this dude has struggled mightily throughout his postseason career. His 9-10 record goes along with an ugly 4.32 ERA. That’s shocking from a guy who has a 2.44 ERA and 1.00 WHIP for his career which was pretty much on par with his 3.03 ERA and 1.04 WHIP this year. That postseason ERA and win-loss record is a fluke in my opinion though, as his 1.09 WHIP and 9.8 K/9 rate is plenty good. That makes the Nationals a tough bet in this game but righties like Anthony Rendon and Trea Turner are in the best spots to succeed. If you’re looking for someone cheaper, Howie Kendrick and Brian Dozier have had a ton of success against lefties this season too. WSH vs. Hyun-Jin Ryu: The southpaw from Japan has had a breakout season for the Dodgers and it may earn him an NL Cy Young award. A 2.32 ERA and 1.01 WHIP were some of the best marks in the Majors and it has him likely to start one of these first two games. What is scary is the fact that he struggled in the second half, pitching to a 5.40 ERA and 1.27 WHIP over his last seven starts. That can be attributed to his career-high in innings pitched and it remains to be seen if that’ll be an issue in the postseason. In terms of matchups, the same things fly as the Kershaw write-up with Ryu throwing from the left side. With that said, Ryu allowed just 11 baserunners and one run across 14.2 innings in two starts against...
DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Sunday 9/29/19
DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Sunday 9/29/19 Now’s your chance to get DFSR PRO, which will give you access to our MLB and NBA optimizers and our new player lab! Get started for free by clicking the button below. START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW! It's here boys and girls! It's the final day of the regular season. If you're unaware of how this works, it's simply one of the most bizarre days of the season. Some players play just one inning, some pitchers throw 135 pitches and some random starters make appearances out of the bullpen. Trying to predict what will happen on this day is nearly impossible but we'll do our best to provide some value for you guys. Pitchers Noah Syndergaard FD 8000 DK 9600 Opponent - ATL (Mike Soroka) Park - ATLFD - 31.66 DK - 16.68 Syndergaard has been struggling recently, but it's lowered his price to this tempting number. This is a dude who has a 3.17 xFIP and 26 percent K rate for his career. He's shown flashes of that this season, pitching to a 1.82 ERA and 0.98 WHIP between July and August before struggling over his last six starts. While Atlanta is a tough matchup, they might send out a terrible lineup with their playoff odds already being decided. They'll also be without Ronald Acuna for sure and it's very possible that this will be a Triple-A lineup in one of the most pitcher-friendly parks in baseball. After Syndergaard, your options are honestly horrifying. I don't think you want to play anyone who is going to be in the playoffs, with the possible exception of Gerrit Cole, who is pitching for his 20th win of the season today. Maybe it's a day for Eduardo Rodriguez? Will the Twins really be concerned about holding back Martin Perez? Today's not for the faint of heart, my friends. Tread cautiously. Catcher/First Base Luke Voit FD 2900 DK 3900 Opponent - TEX (Lance Lynn) Park - TEXFD - 10.71 DK - 8.11 This FanDuel price makes no sense at all. This dude has been one of the best hitters in the AL since last season and I'd argue that he should be $1,000 more on FD. Dating back to last season, Voit has a .384 OBP, .518 SLG and .902 OPS. That's really all you can ask for from a player priced this cheaply, especially in such a potent lineup. This Yanks lineup hitting in Globe Life Park makes this even scarier for Lance Lynn, with NY projected for about six runs in the second-best hitting parks in baseball. Lynn has been struggling recently too, pitching to a 4.61 ERA and 1.44 WHIP over...