DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Thursday 8/20/20
DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Thursday 8/20/20 Now’s your chance to get DFSR PRO, which will give you access to our MLB, NBA, PGA, NHL and NFL optimizers and our new player lab! Get started for free by clicking the button below. START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW! Pitchers Shane Bieber FD - P 12000 DK - SP 10600 Opponent - PIT (Trevor Williams) Park - PIT FD - 42.91 DK - 23.41 We have been gifted some excellent slates in terms of starting pitching and that continues tonight. With a price tag just $400 more than Kershaw on DraftKings, Shane Bieber is where I will be starting my builds. He continues to develop into an ace and is having an elite start to the season allowing just five earned runs(1.30 ERA/1.65 xFIP) over five starts, winning four of them. It doesn't stop there as he has struck out at least eight in every start and comes into tonight with an insane 43% K rate and 19.8% swinging-strike rate. The matchup couldn't get much better either as he faces a Pirates team that has a 53 wRC+ and 25% K rate against right-handed pitching on the season. You might be better off taking the saving with Kershaw on FanDuel but on DraftKings Bieber is my top pitcher in all formats. Alex Young FD - P 5800 DK - SP 6700 Opponent - OAK (Sean Manaea) Park - OAK FD - 25.54 DK - 12.99 The system absolutely loved the double pay-up at pitcher on DK last night and I suspect it will again as the total cost is cheaper tonight. If that is the route you want to go, both Kershaw and Sonny Gray are terrific options but if you want more bats, I have a value play for you. Alex Young got his first start on Saturday limiting the red-hot Padres to four hits and one earned run and while he only went 4.1 innings on 63 pitches, he still put up 14.8 DK points, over 2x at these prices. The D-backs are underdogs(+139) tonight but Oakland is a good pitcher's park and he faces an A's team that strikes out 29% of the time vs. left-handed pitching and 26% of the time overall. I suspect the pitch count will be up to about 75-80 and if he can tally some K's even a few earned runs against will still allow him to hit value, at least for cash games. Catcher/First Base Mitch Moreland FD - 1B 3300 DK - 1B 4800 Opponent - BAL (Asher Wojciechowski) Park - BAL FD - 11.28 DK - 8.46 The Red Sox are in a plus spot tonight and currently sit...
DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Wednesday 8/19/20
DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Wednesday 8/19/20 Now’s your chance to get DFSR PRO, which will give you access to our MLB, NBA, PGA, NHL and NFL optimizers and our new player lab! Get started for free by clicking the button below. START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW! Pitchers Jacob deGrom FD - P 10700 DK - SP 11800 Opponent - MIA (Pablo López) Park - MIA FD - 36.98 DK - 20.87 We have a tough decision to make tonight with two elite aces on the bump and for cash, it is deGrom who gets the edge for me tonight. It is very close but the consistency is what stands out as deGrom has yet to allow more than two earned runs in a start and since seeing his pitch count extended over 90 pitches he has won twice with a 16:3 strikeout to walk ratio. He also gets the better matchup as the depleted marlins roster sits with a 88 wRC+ and 26% K rate over the last 14 days. All things considered, DeGrom is the top pitcher on this slate and in play in all formats. Pablo López FD - P 8300 DK - SP 7200 Opponent - NYM (Jacob deGrom) Park - MIA FD - 25 DK - 12.68 Whether you are rolling with deGrom or Cole tonight, you are going to have to pair him with a value SP2 to get any bats in your lineup on Draftkings and Lopez stands out above the rest. The Marlins rotation is currently Top 10 in ERA and Lopez has played a huge role winning two of his three starts while allowing just four earned runs over 16 innings(2.25 ERA) and that is backed up by an elite 2.73 xFIP. On top of that, he is also missing a ton of bats with a 17% swinging strike rate which has led to 28% K rate. The only concern is the matchup against a hot Mets team but at his price tag, I am willing to take the risk at SP2 on DraftKings even if it means two pitchers from one game. Catcher/First Base Travis d'Arnaud FD - C 3200 DK - C 3200 Opponent - WSH (Erick Fedde) Park - ATL FD - 11.7 DK - 8.87 Tyler Flowers FD - C 2700 DK - C 3600 Opponent - WSH (Erick Fedde) Park - ATL FD - 8.92 DK - 6.73 Outside of the game at Coors, the Braves/Nats has the highest total at the moment and whichever catcher is behind the plate is a great value. We have discussed D'Arnaud who, after running in the mid $4K range for a couple of weeks, dropped big-time on...
DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Monday 8/17/20
DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Monday 8/17/20 Now’s your chance to get DFSR PRO, which will give you access to our MLB, NBA, PGA, NHL and NFL optimizers and our new player lab! Get started for free by clicking the button below. START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW! Pitchers Kenta Maeda FD - P 8700 DK - SP 9600 Opponent - KC (Kris Bubic) Park - MIN FD - 34.81 DK - 19.29 A common theme so far in the 2020 season has been a ton of ugly slates in terms of starting pitching and Monday fits that mold perfectly. The only real ace on the mound is Hyun Jin Ryu and he faces a surprising Orioles team that leads the pack in terms of hitting lefty pitching. I love the upside but for cash games, I will be rolling with Kenta Maeda who is having a solid start to his Twins career winning three of his four starts with a 2.66 ERA backed up by a tremendous 3.34 xFIP. For FanDuel, he has tallied a quality start in three straight and now faces a Royals team that has struck out 27% of the time over the last week and rank in the bottom half of the league in almost all hitting categories on the season. Fire up Maeda in all formats. **Update - Matt Wisler has been named the Twins starter for Monday night. Stay tuned to the projections for our updated top pitchers for the night.** Ross Stripling FD - P 8100 DK - RP 7900 Opponent - SEA (Justin Dunn) Park - LAD FD - 36.19 DK - 19.42 While the consistency isn't quite on the same level as his ex-teammate Maeda, Stripling is still a very solid option tonight, especially at his price point. Despite some struggles early on with the fastball(four of five home runs given up off four-seamer), he has won three of his four starts and while the K rate is down he has recorded seven in two of his four starts. What stands out the most tonight is that Stripling gets a great shot at his fourth win as the Dodgers are huge -260 favorites against a Mariners team that ranks dead last in runs scored over the last 14 days and bottom 5 in wOBA(.289) and wRC+(86) on the season with a 24% K rate. Maeda has a slight edge in raw points projection but from a PTS/$ perspective, Stripling is the play in the system. Lock and load in all formats. Catcher/First Base Freddie Freeman FD - 1B 3900 DK - 1B 5300 Opponent - WSH (Anibal Sanchez) Park - ATL FD - 14.31 DK - 10.75 Travis d'Arnaud...
DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Thursday 8/13/20
DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Thursday 8/13/20 Now’s your chance to get DFSR PRO, which will give you access to our MLB, NBA, PGA, NHL and NFL optimizers and our new player lab! Get started for free by clicking the button below. START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW! Pitchers Yu Darvish FD - P 9600 DK - SP 10400 Opponent - MIL (Brett Anderson) Park - CHC FD - 36.91 DK - 20.11 Buckle up for the weirdest slate of the season with six games, all starting at the same time. Luckily, we do get some decent pitching options and it starts with Yu Darvish who is having a fantastic start to the season as he has allowed just four earned runs over his first three starts(2.12 ERA) and just one over his last two starts. On top of that, he is rolling with a 16:2 K to BB ratio and faces a team in the Brewers who are near the bottom of the league in offense to start the year and have an ugly 28% K rate. Darvish is easily my top pitcher on this weird all-day slate. Jake Arrieta FD - P 8300 DK - SP 7300 Opponent - BAL (Thomas Eshelman) Park - PHI FD - 31.13 DK - 15.62 From a PTS/$ perspective, it is impossible to ignore Arrieta tonight who, in my opinion, is greatly underpriced for this slate. He and the Phillies are the biggest favorites(-191) on the slate and while the game is in one of the best hitters parks, Arrieta is a groundball machine and also doesn't hand out free passes(2.4% BB rate). That alone puts him in cash consideration and he has also shown a little upside with a 24% K rate but I wouldn't bank on him breaking the slate. Either way, he is my top PTS/$ option tonight, especially on DraftKings as the SP2. Catcher/First Base Willson Contreras FD - C 3200 DK - C 4400 Opponent - MIL (Brett Anderson) Park - CHC FD - 12.16 DK - 9.17 Despite it being a small slate, we have two elite hitting catchers in great spots tonight but with the risk of Realmuto sitting(day game after night game) plus the discount, I side with Contreras tonight. The Cubs are one of my favorite teams to stack today and checks all the boxes as he hits cleanup on a Top 5 offense and has been very successful vs. southpaws posting a .381 wOBA, 137 wRC+, and .267 ISO in the split since the start of last season. He is one of the top bats on the slate and in play in all formats. Joey Votto FD - 1B 3200 DK...
DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Wednesday 8/12/20
DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Wednesday 8/12/20 Now’s your chance to get DFSR PRO, which will give you access to our MLB, NBA, PGA, NHL and NFL optimizers and our new player lab! Get started for free by clicking the button below. START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW! Pitchers Kenta Maeda FD - P 8700 DK - SP 9100 Opponent - MIL (Eric Lauer) Park - MIL FD - 32.69 DK - 18.09 Maeda will take the mound for the Twins on Wednesday and has been a welcome addition to the club after being traded from the Dodgers in the offseason. While he has yet to throw 90 pitches in a game, he has been efficient averaging 5.7 innings over three starts where he has only given up five earned runs(2.65 ERA) with a 16:3 walk rate. He now gets a plus matchup against a Brewers team that is bottom 10 in almost all offensive categories including K rate(28%). All things considered, Maeda is my top pitcher in all formats on the main slate. Zack Greinke FD - P 9800 DK - SP 10300 Opponent - SF (Undecided) Park - HOU FD - 34.11 DK - 17.81 At the time of writing this(Tues night), there is no line on this game as the Giants have yet to announce a starter but I am not going out on a limb predicting the Astros will be big favorites here at home. I am not thrilled about paying these prices for Greinke but SP2 is a little muddy on tonight's smaller main slate. The strikeout rate(18.6%) is somewhat concerning but digging deeper, he has improved each game in almost all facets(innings pitched, strikeouts, ER allowed). The Giants are another one of those struggling offenses to start the year giving Greinke a great shot at a win and his best performance of the season. Safe in all formats on this slate. Catcher/First Base Rhys Hoskins FD 2900 DK 3800 Opponent - BAL (Wade LeBlanc) Park - BAL FD - 12.56 DK - 9.28 J.T. Realmuto FD 3500 DK 5100 Opponent - BAL (Wade LeBlanc) Park - BAL FD - 12.36 DK - 9.41 We are back to a non-Coors main slate tonight and the first team I am targeting(you might see a lot of them this article) is the Phillies. They lead all team on the main slate in implied runs tonight as -171 home favorites and a lot of it has to do with the matchup against Wade LeBlanc who was terrible with the Mariners last season and that has carried over to Baltimore. He has given up at least one home run in each start and 11 earned runs in...