Daily Fantasy MLB Baseball Picks for FanDuel and DraftKings – 5/3/17
Daily Fantasy MLB Baseball Picks for FanDuel and DraftKings - 5/3/17 Now’s your chance to get DFSR PRO, which will give you access to our MLB optimizer, our NBA Optimizer, and our new player lab! Get started for free by clicking the button below. START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW! First time with MLB? Be sure to read our free MLB and NBA Ebooks on building lineups, general strategy and more. We've got you completely covered. Pitcher Jacob deGrom FD 10600 DK 10400 Opponent - ATL (Colon) Park - @ATL FD - 35.89 DK - 23.6 Although we have a 15-game full slate on our hands, the pitching is not great. Looking towards the bottom of the pricing, we don't have much. Antonio Senzatela does have some upside but is a young guy that can be wild at times. Luckily, we have a few solid options towards the top. Jacob DeGrom and the Mets will face-off with the Braves in an attempt to take the series. While the Braves have been hitting somewhat well to start the season, they are obviously one of the bottom offenses in the league. They sported a league 5th-worst .308 wOBA that was backed up by a 20% K rate and .137 ISO in 2016. Freddie Freeman and Matt Kemp are both dangerous but also strikeout a lot. Outside of those guys, there isn't much power and surely is a lot of strikeouts. Adonis Garcia, Tyler Flowers, and Brandon Phillips all hold 23%+ K rates and have wOBA's under .310 against righties. DeGrom, while usually not, has been one of the best arms in baseball when healthy. In his short 2016 stint, he sported a .248 wOBA and a 12 K/9. Without much pitching on this slate, you can go ahead and pay up for DeGrom in all formats. He's affordable on both sites and will be the highest owned pitcher on the slate. The match-up is safe and DeGrom has a built-in strikeout floor. Jake Arrieta FD 10100 DK 10900 Opponent - PHI (Eickhoff) Park - @CHC FD - 36.87 DK - 24.1 If you want to look at Arrieta through 19 innings and conclude that he's now a bad pitcher, by all means, go pick up my cash games. His peripherals are the exact same as last year and the only difference is the .380 BABIP, which has inflated his wOBA. He has held his high K rate and has simply run into bad luck to begin the year. The numbers will start to even out as the season progresses and fortunately, he matches up at home with a bottom-tier offense tonight. While the Phillies, like the Braves, often find a way...
Daily Fantasy MLB Baseball Picks for FanDuel and DraftKings – 5/1/17
Daily Fantasy MLB Baseball Picks for FanDuel and DraftKings - 5/1/17 Now’s your chance to get DFSR PRO, which will give you access to our MLB optimizer, our NBA Optimizer, and our new player lab! Get started for free by clicking the button below. START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW! First time with MLB? Be sure to read our free MLB and NBA Ebooks on building lineups, general strategy and more. We've got you completely covered. Pitcher Clayton Kershaw FD 12600 DK 13900 Opponent - SF (Cueto) Park - @LAD FD - 46.35 DK - 30.63 Ah, you gotta love when Clayton Kershaw is on the hill. He's by far the best pitcher in baseball and gets a match-up here that he has always dominated in. He faced these Giants just a week ago, going 7 innings, striking out 7 and getting the win. This Giants lineup is a really great one for Kershaw, as it relies on lefties for production. Kershaw has sported a .137 wOBA dating back to 2016 and strikes them out an 11.51 /9 clip. The likes of Brandon Belt, Joe Panik, etc. are all in a very bad spot. That's not to say the righties are in some kind of good spot. They're still facing a guy who allowed a .227 wOBA to righties in 2016, the best in the majors. Dodgers Stadium is a solid piptchers ballpark and Kershaw has pitched better there over his entire career. His price is high, though it has come down a little bit since his last start. He remains an elite cash game option and the top point projected play of the day. Without any expensive offenses I need to pay up for, Kershaw will be a mainstay in my cash lineup. Luis Severino FD 8500 DK 8000 Opponent - TOR (Estrada) Park - @NYY FD - 34.64 DK - 22.71 Luis Severino is a very good pitcher. While he has shown flashes of his upside, he hasn't been able to piece it all together. In 2015 and '16, he sported a 2.5 BB/9. He also just got hit a little bit. His fastball was down in velocity and he wasn't throwing his change-up as much. So far this season, you can throw that out of the window. While he may not be as good as his box scores may suggest, this is a pitcher with 12K upside every time he takes the mound. He has taken the cutter out of his arsenal and has held batters under a .100 wOBA with both his change-up and slider. He faces off with the Blue Jays tonight, who exaggerate all aspects of Severino. They strikeout a lot and have...
Daily Fantasy MLB Hitter Stacks for FanDuel and DraftKings – 4/30/17
Daily Fantasy MLB Hitter Stacks for FanDuel and DraftKings - 4/30/17 Here's where you can find some recommendations for GPP stacks to target for FanDuel and DraftKings. Find our main set of cash game picks here Now’s your chance to get DFSR PRO, which will give you access to our MLB optimizer, our NBA Optimizer, and our new player lab! Get started for free by clicking the button below. START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW! First time with MLB? Be sure to read our free MLB and NBA Ebooks on building lineups, general strategy and more. We've got you completely covered. Cleveland Indians The tribe have split their first two games this weekend with the Mariners, just edging past them 4-3 last night. They go for the series win today against rookie Chase De Jong. De Jong was called up when King Felix found himself on the DL and will make his first big league start today. in 4.2 innings out of the bullpen He's allowed 3 runs off of 3 hits and 3 walks, all three runs coming off a George Springer blast. His numbers in the minors don't suggest Seattle should expect much out of him against a team like Cleveland. Last season he had a 3.68 FIP in 25 AA starts, and was up to 5.58 in two AAA starts this season, with less than impressive strikeout rates. Vegas projects the Indians bats for the highest run total of the day and I'd put the top two thirds of their lineup (Carlos Santana, Francisco Lindor, Michael Brantley, Edwin Encarnacion, Jose Ramirez, and Jason Kipnis) clearly in play today. Cleveland is sporting a .326 team wOBA, with a .331 OBP. They've gone long 28 times this season and are walking 10.3% of the time. St Louis Cardinals The Cardinals and Reds had the second game of the series postponed yesterday due to weather. Light rain is still in the forecast for today, but you have to think with the early start they're going to do all they can to get today's match in. The Cards won the game Friday night, and will look to close out with another win today against Bronson Arroyo. The 40 year old is 2-2 through his first two starts to the season, allowing 13 runs over his first two starts, and 5 runs over his second two. I suspect the true Arroyo lies somewhere in between. St. Louis rocked him in his 2017 debut for 6 runs, chasing him out after just 4 innings. They'll come at him hard today from the right side of the plate where he's allowing a .451 wOBA to start off the season, which they'll exploit with their...
Daily Fantasy MLB Pitchers for FanDuel and DraftKings – 4/30/17
Daily Fantasy MLB Pitchers for FanDuel and DraftKings - 4/30/17 Here's where you can find some recommendations for tournament pitchers to target for FanDuel and DraftKings. Find our main set of cash game picks here. Now’s your chance to get DFSR PRO, which will give you access to our MLB optimizer, our NBA Optimizer, and our new player lab! Get started for free by clicking the button below. START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW! First time with MLB? Be sure to read our free MLB and NBA Ebooks on building lineups, general strategy and more. We've got you completely covered. Pitchers Wade Miley FD 7800 DK 8200 Opponent - NYY (Montgomery) Park - @NYYFD - 24.75 DK - 16.53 Pitcher as a whole is pretty ugly today. Austyn gave you Keuchel and Archer, who are fine cash game plays, but if you're looking for a nice tournament play with a ton of upside, then look no further than Wade Miley. Miley is severely underpriced for his ceiling, but he's also sitting with a pretty low floor today due to his match up with the Yankees. It's because of the match up that I won't look to Miley in cash games, but he's my play of the day in tournaments. The Yankees have a team wOBA of .310 against southpaws dating back to last year, but it climbs to .334 in the first month of this season. They've got 32 home runs, 21 coming at home, and they are actually favored to win the final game of this series. That said, in Miley we have an arm with 11.08 K/9 which is the fifth best in the AL, giving up only 0.69 HR/9 and holding opposing left handed batters to a .244 wOBA dating back to last season (.303 for right handers). The 4.85 BB/9 is concerning, but if he can take advantage of the Yankees 20.4 K% to get them swinging he can collect some K's, hope for some runs support from his offense while holding the Yanks in check, he could be in for a big day, paying huge value on his bargain salary. Hyun-Jin Ryu FD 6600 DK 9200 Opponent - PHI (Pivetta) Park - @LADFD - 29.73 DK - 19.5 After Miley we're really looking at some risky plays. The Dodgers look to Sweep the Phillies out of L.A. today after a dramatic comeback last night. To complete the sweep they will send Hyun-Jin Ryu to the mound. The system loves Ryu as the top points per dollar play on FanDuel where he is coming in at a steal. It's a little more iffy on DraftKings. Ryu is better than his 0-4 record would suggest, striking out...
Daily Fantasy MLB Baseball Picks for FanDuel and DraftKings – 4/30/17
Daily Fantasy MLB Baseball Picks for FanDuel and DraftKings - 4/30/17 Now’s your chance to get DFSR PRO, which will give you access to our MLB optimizer, our NBA Optimizer, and our new player lab! Get started for free by clicking the button below. START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW! First time with MLB? Be sure to read our free MLB and NBA Ebooks on building lineups, general strategy and more. We've got you completely covered. Pitcher Dallas Keuchel FD 10500 DK 9400 Opponent - OAK (Hahn) Park - @HOU FD - 34.86 DK - 22.88 It looks like Cy Young Dallas Keuchel is back. While he hasn't been bad over the last year, he hasn't shown the same upside or consistency we have seen at other times. So far this season, he has held a .207 combined wOBA that's backed up by an elite 22% hard contact rate allowed. He has been around 7 strikeouts for 3 seasons now and it looks like the type of pitcher he is now. He faces off with the Oakland Athletics, who are a very inept offense. Just looking at the lineup, it's not hard to see why we like picking on them. The projected top 3 in this order is Adam Rosales - Jed Lowrie - Ryon Healy. Khris Davis is the only bat to be scared of here and I expect Keuchel to pitch around him. Lower in the lineup, Keuchel should have some easy outs with the likes of Joyce, Decker, and Pinder. He's at home, where's he has pitched much better over his career. As long as he's able to do what he's been doing and staying inside the strike zone, he'll have a great game. He can get into trouble when he starts walking batters and is forced to make uncomfortable pitches to good hitters in bad counts. Keuchel is actually more expensive on FanDuel, and by a pretty good margin. I like him a lot more on DraftKings and would say he's definitively my top cash game option. On FanDuel, there's a discussion to be had with Archer more than $1000 cheaper. Let's take a look at the spot he's in. Chris Archer FD 9100 DK 10500 Opponent - TOR (Sanchez) Park - @TOR FD - 34.05 DK - 22.59 We know what were going to get when we roster Archer, but not at all. He is pretty consistent and after the 1st inning, you will have a pretty good idea of how your night is going to end up. This match-up with the Blue Jays will only exaggerate that. He had his worse start of the year last time out against the Orioles, who seem...