Daily Fantasy MLB Baseball Picks for FanDuel and DraftKings – 5/14/17
Daily Fantasy MLB Baseball Picks for FanDuel and DraftKings - 5/14/17 Now’s your chance to get DFSR PRO, which will give you access to our MLB optimizer, our NBA Optimizer, and our new player lab! Get started for free by clicking the button below. START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW! First time with MLB? Be sure to read our free MLB and NBA Ebooks on building lineups, general strategy and more. We've got you completely covered. Pitcher Jeff Samardzija FD 8600 DK 9200 Opponent - CIN (Adleman) Park - @SF FD - 33.65 DK - 22.19 This slate isn't too great from a pitcher perspective. We don't really have anyone at the top that stands out above the rest, nor any value options that are in a positive spot. We do have a few guys that are in good spots, though the risk is very evident in each spot. Jeff "Shark" Samardzija will start us out here at home against the Reds. While the Reds are an offense we typically don't target much, they do see a huge downgrade with AT&T Park and it's pitiful hitting environment. The Reds are an offense used to hitting in Great American Ballpark, where routine fly balls often end up in the seats. We also avoid the Reds due to Billy Hamilton and Jose Peraza. While they are still very present, Shark is good at holding runners and should do a pretty good job of keeping those guys off base. Samardzija is a pitcher who doesn't leave too much up to the imagination. He's slightly below average against lefties (.330 wOBA) and dominant against righties (.246 wOBA). He strikes out around 7 per 9 innings and doesn't have many problems with control. While he's not a guy you look to go out and have a 8 inning, 8 strikeout performance, he's also not one you're usually worried about getting knocked out in the first 3 innings. He's a very consistent arm in AT&T Park and this week Reds offense should be a rather easy match-up. Samardzija is my top option in cash games and tournaments on both FanDuel and DraftKings. Jacob deGrom FD 10700 DK 11000 Opponent - MIL (Peralta) Park - @MIL FD - 36.4 DK - 24.08 If you feel the need to pay up, Jacob DeGrom is a fantastic option. He's been consistent all season long and has flashed the 55 FP+ twice already. While this Brewers lineup is one with a lot of noise around it, they are a lot worse than the average fan thinks. Eric Thames and Ryan Braun are great, but they do strike out a ton and both are inevitably due for regression. Outside of...
Daily Fantasy MLB Hitter Stacks for FanDuel and DraftKings – 5/13/17
Daily Fantasy MLB Hitter Stacks for FanDuel and DraftKings - 5/13/17 Here's where you can find some recommendations for GPP stacks to target for FanDuel and DraftKings. Find our main set of cash game picks here. Now’s your chance to get DFSR PRO, which will give you access to our MLB optimizer, our NBA Optimizer, and our new player lab! Get started for free by clicking the button below. START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW! First time with MLB? Be sure to read our free MLB and NBA Ebooks on building lineups, general strategy and more. We've got you completely covered. Arizona Diamondbacks When a team outside of Coors Field has a higher implied team total than both teams inside Coors, you must take notice. The Diamondbacks currently hold a 5.77 total and I don't think Vegas is too bullish. Trevor Williams is absolutely horrible ad will be pitching in Chase Field, which is the 2nd best hitting environment in baseball. While the D-Backs are typically a team we stack against lefties, they have plenty going for them against right-handers. The usual suspects, Jake Lamb and David Peralta, are the 2 anchors here. They both hold .370+ wOBA's against righties and in Chase Field, aren't many better. Then we have A.J. Pollock and Paul Goldschmidt, the 2 best players on the team. While both righties, they have no problem with the same handedness. If you have the ability to pay up, I would recommend going with the top 4. If you need to pay down a bit or would like to get super sneaky, there are some options here. Yasmany Tomas and Brandon Drury both have a ton of power and could easily hit 2 HR's against Williams and this Pirates bullpen. Mathis and Owings are the 2 guys I would likely ignore, though Owings has definitely shown flashes in the past. Main stack - A.J. Pollock, David Peralta, Paul Goldschmidt, Jake Lamb Sneaky stack - Paul Goldschmidt, Jake Lamb, Yasmany Tomas, Brandon Drury Dodgers / Rockies Of course, these 2 offenses are in play. We have an 11 over/under with both teams projected to score around 5.5 runs. Personally, I like the Rockies a bit more. With Ian Desmond back, they are set up much better for lefties. Alex Wood does have a solid changeup, though I don't see that moving anywhere near how it does on most nights. In Coors Field, you like to target pitchers who rely on movement. Due to the elevation, the ball doesn't move the same way and will often hang up in the zone. For example, it's why we see the Rockies picking up guys like Jon Gray and Senzatela, who throw close...
Daily Fantasy MLB Pitchers for FanDuel and DraftKings – 5/13/17
Daily Fantasy MLB Pitchers for FanDuel and DraftKings - 5/13/17 Here's where you can find some recommendations for tournament pitchers target for FanDuel and DraftKings. Find our main set of cash game picks here. Now’s your chance to get DFSR PRO, which will give you access to our MLB optimizer, our NBA Optimizer, and our new player lab! Get started for free by clicking the button below. START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW! First time with MLB? Be sure to read our free MLB and NBA Ebooks on building lineups, general strategy and more. We've got you completely covered. Pitchers Jon Lester FD 10300 DK 10700 Opponent - STL (Martinez) Park - @STLFD - 32.73 DK - 21.68 While Lester can be frustrating to roster at times, he tends to be one of the more consistent pitchers in the league. He's gone 5 innings in every start this year and his pitch count will be up as we approach the dog days of summer. In 2016, Lester was the best pitcher on the Cubs. He held a .237 wOBA against lefties and a .278 against righties, which are both very elite numbers. He strikes out 9 per 9 innings and typically has fantastic control of his primary pitches. He moves from Wrigley Field to Busch Stadium, where the ball seems to die in the air. I don't think this Cardinals team is very good this year and their 2 best hitters (Diaz + Carpenter) see a negative platoon split here. We all know the problem with rostering Lester. He can't Hold runners or even throw over to 1st base. Fortunately, Dexter Fowler is the only guy the Cards have that poses a real problem. This is a team without much speed and Lester should be able to stay calm with guys on base. Remember, all of those numbers are with him being atrocious at holding runners. He finds a way to get it done and should be in the proper mindset for this one. Carlos Martinez and the Cards are some stiff competition and we know how competitive Lester is. While I still like Sale more, Lester definitely holds some appeal. Tanner Roark FD 8600 DK 8800 Opponent - PHI (Pivetta) Park - @WSH FD - 34.51 DK - 22.63 It looks like Roark will finally be making his start. With weather and late news being such a disaster lately, make sure you keep an eye out on Twitter as lineup lock approaches. Roark, one of the more consistent arms of the short season, has sat right around the 6 IP/ 2 ER/ 5 K stat line all season long. If the Nats are able to put up some runs...
Daily Fantasy MLB Baseball Picks for FanDuel and DraftKings – 5/13/17
Daily Fantasy MLB Baseball Picks for FanDuel and DraftKings - 5/13/17 Now’s your chance to get DFSR PRO, which will give you access to our MLB optimizer, our NBA Optimizer, and our new player lab! Get started for free by clicking the button below. START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW! First time with MLB? Be sure to read our free MLB and NBA Ebooks on building lineups, general strategy and more. We've got you completely covered. Pitcher Chris Sale FD 11800 DK 13100 Opponent - TB (Snell) Park - @BOSFD - 48.99 DK - 32.52 The Red Sox will send Chris Sale to the mound for today's game with the Rays. Perhaps you've heard of him? Sale has had an extremely successful start to the 2017 season, rocking the best SIERA in the majors through the first month and change (2.20) and his 12.72 K/9 is the second best behind Danny Salazar. The Rays meanwhile are about as averge at the plate as you'll find against left handed pitchers, with a .308 wOBA and a 97 wRC+, but when it comes to the money shot, we find they strike out a whopping 26.7% of the time against southpaws, more than any team in baseball. That right there, along with Boston being nearly a 2 run favorite for the win against Blake Snell tells us all we need to know. Sure, Sale is going to eat up a hefty amount of your salary on both sites, but the returns should more than make up for it as the projection system sees him as the raw points total leader on the day and among the top point per dollar plays. Luis Severino FD 9100 DK 9100 Opponent - HOU (Fiers) Park - @NYYFD - 31.85 DK - 21.01 So you say you just can't spend up for Sale at the starting pitcher spot? Then let me introduce you to Luis Severino. For less than 10K you get a right handed arm that has been excellent to start the season, striking out 10.21 batters per 9 while maintaining a 3.40 ERA, 0.91 WHIP and 45/7 K/BB ratio through 39.2 innings. The match up isn't quite as favorable though as the Astros only strike out 18.3% of the time against right handed pitching and are rocking a .347 team wOBA against the split, the fourth best in the majors. For safety purposes I'll stick with Sale in cash games, but Severino will definitely get some tournament love with the potential upsdie, and allowance for some better bats. Trevor Cahill FD 8100 DK 9300 Opponent - CHW (Covey) Park - @CHWFD - 29.2 DK - 19.5 There's not a whole lot to be excited about...
Daily Fantasy MLB Baseball Picks for FanDuel and DraftKings – 5/12/17
Daily Fantasy MLB Baseball Picks for FanDuel and DraftKings - 5/12/17 Now’s your chance to get DFSR PRO, which will give you access to our MLB optimizer, our NBA Optimizer, and our new player lab! Get started for free by clicking the button below. START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW! First time with MLB? Be sure to read our free MLB and NBA Ebooks on building lineups, general strategy and more. We've got you completely covered. Pitcher Clayton Kershaw FD 9800 DK 11300 Opponent - COL (Chatwood) Park - @COL FD - 38.12 DK - 25.14 Even with the best pitcher in baseball, Coors Field is a huge red flag. However, this is Clayton Kershaw we're talking about. He's also priced down on a day without many great pitching options. Kershaw has been up and down in Coors Field over his career but has gone at least 5 2/3 in every game and seems to strikeout at least 8 every appearance. At home (Coors Field), the Rockies hold the 6th highest wOBA in baseball and the 8th highest K rate against lefties. While the 6th best offense may be one we usually want to avoid, the Rockies should have the number 1 offense in the league by far playing at Coors Field. This isn't a great lineup against lefties as they end up relying on the power of Nolan Arenado and Mark Reynolds with Story on the DL. You all know how great Clayton Kershaw is so I'm not going to stuff the same stats down your throat every 5 days. He makes adjustments like no other pitcher and if anyone will be able to dominate in Coors Field, it's him. He makes sense in all formats and with his price down, you won't be forced to spend down elsewhere. With all of that being said, Kershaw is not the clear top option of the night. With Coors Field being such a hitters haven, there is definite merit in paying down. Let's take a look at a few options. Johnny Cueto FD 9700 DK 12600 Opponent - CIN (Feldman) Park - @SF FD - 32.84 DK - 21.69 There are 2 big turn-offs to rostering pitchers against the Reds. 1, Jose Peraza and Billy Hamilton are menaces on the basepaths. they can single-handedly blow up a start and make the pitcher get in his own head. 2nd is Great American Ballpark. Fortunately, they play in AT&T Park tonight, one of the most spacious ballparks in all of the league. They also face Johnny Cueto, who is easily the best pitcher in baseball at holding runners. He has a multitude of different pickoff moves and may be one of only a...