DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Wednesday, 8/11/21
DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Wednesday, 8/11/21 Now’s your chance to get DFSR PRO, which will give you access to our MLB and NBA optimizers and our new player lab! Get started for free by clicking the button below. START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW! I've been away for about a month recovering from ACL surgery, but I'm back and ready to go! The amount of baseball I've watched over the last month is absolutely terrifying, but it has me ready for these final two months of the year. This is a fun slate to kick things off with, too, because we have some absolute aces in some grand slam spots. With that in mind, let's start things off with those arms! Pitchers Corbin Burnes FD - P 11000 DK - RP 10300 Opponent - CHC (Jake Arrieta) Park - CHC FD - 40.37 DK - 23.31 Burnes is third in terms of NL Cy Young odds, and he's earned every bit of it with his ridiculous 2021 season. While the 6-4 record is hurting his case, his 2.39 ERA and 0.96 WHIP certainly is not. What makes him truly special is his ability to strike out hitters, generating a 12.5 K/9 rate for the season. That's obviously one of the best rates around, and it should be easy to roll through a Cubs lineup that just traded Anthony Rizzo, Javy Baez, and Kris Bryant. He actually faced this lineup at full boar once earlier this season and threw six scoreless, two-hit innings while striking out 10 Cubbies. Kevin Gausman FD - P 10300 DK - SP 9900 Opponent - ARI (Merrill Kelly) Park - SF FD - 40.84 DK - 22.57 We hate to recommend two of the highest-priced pitchers on the board, but it's pretty much impossible to fade both of these guys. These two studs are Top-5 in terms of NL Cy Young odds, and Gausman has to be one of the favorites with the way he's been carrying the Giants. While his last four starts have been a little down by his standards, Gaus still has a 2.31 ERA and 0.95 WHIP for the year. A 10.7 K/9 rate backs those absurd averages, winning seemingly every time out. That's awful news for Arizona, striking out 29 times over their last two games. They're also ranked bottom-10 in nearly every offensive metric out there and have allowed KG to accrue a 1.42 ERA and 0.90 WHIP in three starts against them this year. If you want someone cheaper, Tyler Anderson gets to face a 27th-ranked Texas offense and has allowed three runs or fewer in all but three starts this year. Catcher/First Base Max Muncy FD...
DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Tuesday 8/10/21 – Main slate
DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Tuesday 8/10/21 - Main slate Now’s your chance to get DFSR PRO, which will give you access to our MLB, NBA, PGA, NHL, and NFL optimizers and our new player lab! Get started for free by clickiang the button below. START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW! Pitchers Logan Gilbert FD 8900 DK 9600 Opponent - TEX (Kolby Allard) Park - TEXFD - 36.69 DK - 19.73 Through his first 67 major league innings, Logan Gilbert has been very good for the Mariners. He is striking out batters at a 10.56 per nine clip, good for a 28% K rate. And the peripherals are solid as well with a better than 4:1 K:BB ration. The Rangers are a dismissal offense and they sent off their best bat in Gallo at the trade deadline. Gilbert is a -198 home favorite here, some of the best win odds on the slate. He could be a popular play here. Jake Odorizzi FD 7400 DK 7700 Opponent - COL (Jon Gray) Park - HOUFD - 32.58 DK - 17.31 Odorizzi is not all that great of an arm, but he is in a good spot here on Tuesday. He comes into the game as a -176 home favorite against the Rockies who are a mediocre offense despite playing half their games in the best hitters park (by far) in baseball. Odorizzi is coming cheap for having such a good matchup and makes a solid DraftKings SP2 pairing thanks to a sub-$8K price point. Catcher/First Base Pete Alonso FD 3800 DK 4200 Opponent - WSH (Paolo Espino) Park - WSHFD - 14.19 DK - 10.53 Alonso hasn’t been able to recreate his unreal rookie season, but he remains a very strong hitter and it tough to put down on strikes. On the season, he has 24 home runs and an OPS in the low-.800s. The Mets have one of the higher implied run lines on the day against Espino and Alonso should be hitting third in the order. José Abreu FD 3700 DK 5900 Opponent - MIN (Griffin Jax) Park - MINFD - 13.88 DK - 10.5 The White Sox have one of the highest run expectations on this slate facing up in a matchup against Griffin Jax. Jax has really struggled in his first 32 major league innings, not finding much in the way of swing and miss stuff and carrying in a 5.91 xFIP. Abreu is expensive here, but is worth it considering the matchup and his still remaining power. Second Base Whit Merrifield FD 3100 DK 3800 Opponent - NYY (Nestor Cortes) Park - NYYFD - 12.34 DK - 9.61 Merrifield has an OPS under .700 on...
DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Monday 8/9/21
DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Monday 8/9/21 Now’s your chance to get DFSR PRO, which will give you access to our MLB, NBA, PGA, NHL, and NFL optimizers and our new player lab! Get started for free by clicking the button below. START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW! Pitchers Joe Musgrove FD 9000 DK 8500 Opponent - MIA (Zach Thompson) Park - MIA FD - 42.81 DK - 23.93 Very small slate tonight but we are still gifted with a couple of really good options on the mound. It starts with Joe Musgrove who, after getting hit around in his first start out of the break, has been terrific over his last three. In those starts, he has held Oakland, Miami, and Colorado to just three earned runs while striking out 20 batters. Musgrove provides a safe floor as he doesn't walk batters or give up many hits(.97 WHIP) and also provides a ton of upside with a 28% K rate and is a massive -235 favorite against a Marlins team that strikes out 26% of the time. Fire up Musgrove in all formats. Freddy Peralta FD 10200 DK 10500 Opponent - CHC (Alec Mills) Park - CHC FD - 39.95 DK - 22.69 After pitching in All-Star game, Peralta was eased back in to the rotation to start the second half and was limited to 51 and 68 pitches in his first two starts. The funny part is that during those "limited" starts he still gave us nice fantasy returns. He was unleashed in his last start making it back up to 98 pitches and struck out nine Pirates. Tonight, he gets another plus matchup against a depleted Cubs team that traded away everyone but the popcorn vendors at the deadline. The price is back up but Peralta gives us both a safe floor and a very high ceiling. Playable in all formats. **Update: This game has a right risk of PPD with 60-80% chance of rain so stay tuned for weather report in chat closer to lock*** Catcher/First Base José Abreu FD 3600 DK 6000 Opponent - MIN (Beau Burrows) Park - MIN FD - 13.46 DK - 10.19 Not only do we have a smaller five-game slate tonight but two of the games have weather implications and one (MIL/CHC) with a high chance of PPD. Thankfully this game has no issues as the White Sox are in a good spot against the Twins who will be running a bullpen game starting with a pitcher in Burrows who has given up 11 earned runs in just nine innings pitched. For Abreu, he has shown some consistency lately with hits in six straight, runs in five of those,...
DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Sunday 8/8/21 – Main slate
DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Sunday 8/8/21 - Main slate Now’s your chance to get DFSR PRO, which will give you access to our MLB, NBA, PGA, NHL, and NFL optimizers and our new player lab! Get started for free by clickiang the button below. START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW! Pitchers Zack Wheeler FD 10700 DK 10400 Opponent - NYM (Taijuan Walker) Park - NYMFD - 41.63 DK - 22.89 Pitching isn’t amazing on this slate some lower moneyline odds and bad matchups, but Wheeler is easily the best arm going so we can work with that. He has 2.81 xFIP on the season and is striking out close to 10.5 batters per nine. The peripherals are great too with a better than 5:1 K:BB rate. He faces off against the Mets as a -166 home favorite and that win expectation is good enough considering the hefty price tag. I think he ends up as the chalk cash pitcher. Tyler Mahle FD 8400 DK 9800 Opponent - PIT (Bryse Wilson) Park - PITFD - 37.18 DK - 20.47 It is tough to run out pitchers in Great American Ballpark because it is so favorable to hitters, but this slate is a bit thin with the arms and Mahle is a huge favorite here at -232 against the lowly Pirates. Pittsburgh ranks second to last in team offense on the season with a .295 wOBA and they arent likely to get better the rest of the way. Meanwhile, Mahle is best xFIP season of his career, sitting at 3.88 and striking out batters at a 28% rate. You dont love the 10 over/under, but everything else lines up here. Catcher/First Base Joey Votto FD 4100 DK 5800 Opponent - PIT (Bryse Wilson) Park - PITFD - 14.04 DK - 10.54 We wrote Votto up yesterday as a core cash play even with the big price tag and he delivered with a home run. In fact, we were stacking Reds and they ended up with 11 runs all told. We will be looking to stack them again on this slate for sure. As stated, Votto is having a complete bounce back season with 23 home runs, his best mark since 2017. The OPS is well over .900 as well, again the best in the last four seasons. He has turned it all back around in his age-37 season, which is remarkable. Here is to hoping he keeps it going on Sunday. Freddie Freeman FD 3700 DK 5400 Opponent - WSH (Patrick Corbin) Park - WSHFD - 14.05 DK - 10.51 This is lefty-lefty matchup against Corbin, but the latter has really fallen off a cliff this season, now striking out...
DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Saturday 8/7/21 – Main slate
DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Saturday 8/7/21 - Main slate Now’s your chance to get DFSR PRO, which will give you access to our MLB, NBA, PGA, NHL, and NFL optimizers and our new player lab! Get started for free by clickiang the button below. START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW! Pitchers Yu Darvish FD - P 9000 DK - SP 10100 Opponent - ARI (Taylor Widener) Park - SDFD - 42.9 DK - 24.32 His last three outings or so have been a bit rough, but Darvish is still one of the better pitchers in the game and has had a strong season overall. He is still striking out batters at a closet 30% rate and has mostly been able to limit the walks. He is a massive -260 opening favorite against the Diamondbacks who lack much punch in the lineup. And he’s pitching at home in one of the better pitchers parks in baseball. Everything is lining up for Darvish to be the cash game play on Saturday evening. Charlie Morton FD - P 8700 DK - SP 9400 Opponent - WSH (Josiah Gray) Park - ATLFD - 38.65 DK - 21.39 Morton has quietly been one of the stronger and consistent pitchers over the last few seasons. Though he has made a few different stops along the way, the results have been mostly the same, which is to say, good. This season he is striking out more than 10 batters per nine and still induces groundballs at a 47% which is close to elite. He is a -214 home favorite in this one and way too cheap on FanDuel. Catcher/First Base Ji-Man Choi FD - 1B 3000 DK - 1B 4700 Opponent - BAL (Spenser Watkins) Park - BALFD - 13.12 DK - 9.82 The Rays are in one of the best spots on the slate against Spenser Watkins and the Orioles. Choi is projected to hit second in the lineup for a team coming in over six implied runs. You love to see it. Choi strikes out almost 30% of the time, but he also walks at a 15% rate and gets on base about 36% of the time. Watkins has really struggled in the majors and the swing and miss stuff isn’t a problem for Choi here. Joey Votto FD 4100 DK 6100 Opponent - PIT (Mitch Keller) Park - PITFD - 13.71 DK - 10.29 Votto is very expensive so this is a tougher sell, but it is hard to argue with what the guy is doing this season. He is having an amazing bounce-back season with 22 home runs and an OPS well over .900 at this point. It is his best...