DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Monday 8/16/21
DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Monday 8/16/21 Now’s your chance to get DFSR PRO, which will give you access to our MLB, NBA, PGA, NHL, and NFL optimizers and our new player lab! Get started for free by clicking the button below. START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW! Pitchers Gerrit Cole FD - P 11400 DK - SP 10900 Opponent - LAA (José Suarez) Park - NYY FD - 42.61 DK - 23.81 Cole hasn't pitched in two weeks and his last start was a bit of a disaster(7 ER to @TB) but he is easily the best pitcher on this slate that lacks a whole lot of depth. There has been no announcement of a pitch count at the time of writing this so I am going to assume there won't be one which puts him easily at the top of the projections. Even with multiple hiccups along the way, Cole comes into his 22nd start of the season with a 3.11 ERA, 2.87 xFIP, and 34% K rate. He now gets a plus matchup against the Angels who have been producing runs 28% below league average over the past 14 days. Fire up Cole in all formats. Wade Miley FD - P 8800 DK - SP 8200 Opponent - CHC (Justin Steele) Park - CIN FD - 35.59 DK - 19.21 If you are not planning on paying up for Cole and Gausmna together tonight, Wade Miley is a solid SP2 option on DraftKings in the mid-tier. While the strikeout upside is limited(18.5% K rate), Miley has been terrific for the Reds in 2021 as he enters tonight's start with a 3.00 ERA and has only allowed more than three earned runs in a start four times. What stands out the most is the matchup vs. the depleted Cubs lineup that has a 79 wRC+ and 32% K rate since the trade deadline. Catcher/First Base Yuli Gurriel FD 3100 DK 5000 Opponent - KC (Carlos Hernández) Park - KC FD - 13.6 DK - 10.43 Gurriel is back after missing two weeks with a neck strain and while he hasn't recorded a hit in two games, he has walked twice and only struck out once. As a whole, the veteran is having a career year hitting .321 with a .386 OBP and a huge contributor in that #1 offense on Houston. The matchup is average as Carlos Hernandez has been good, not great(3.33 ERA/4.34 xFIP) since joining the rotation so I will have much more exposure to Gurriel on FanDuel with the lower pricing(relative to salary cap). Jesús Aguilar FD 3000 DK 3300 Opponent - ATL (Touki Toussaint) Park - ATL FD - 9.39 DK - 7.06...
DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Sunday, 8/15/21
DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Sunday, 8/15/21 Now’s your chance to get DFSR PRO, which will give you access to our MLB and NBA optimizers and our new player lab! Get started for free by clicking the button below. START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW! This is a bizarre slate. There really aren't many pitchers that we're completely comfortable with, but there's a couple of five-figure guys you can ride. The rest of the options are downright ugly, though, and it's going to lead to some chalky lineups. What's also going to be chalky is the Boston Red Sox stack. They're projected for more than six runs, and rightfully so. Sometimes it's a good idea to fade chalk, but Boston feels like a lock today. With that in mind, let's kick things off with some of those pitchers we mentioned before. Pitchers Eduardo Rodriguez FD 8000 DK 9800 Opponent - BAL (Keegan Akin) Park - BAL FD - 27.97 DK - 15.15 This game has a high run total, but E-Rod is a big favorite at -280 at home against the Orioles. Again, you do not like the 10.5 over/under coming in, but the win odds are really in his favor if he can get through five innings. And the strikeout potential is definitely there against Baltimore. Rodriguez is putting down batters almost 30% of the time this season and has the lowest walk rate of his career. Sean Manaea FD 9600 DK 10400 Opponent - TEX (Kolby Allard) Park - TEX FD - 32.58 DK - 16.88 Manaea was a guy we used to fade because of his lack of strikeouts, but something has changed. Over his last 14 starts, Manaea has a 2.82 ERA, 1.14 WHIP, and 10.7 K/9 rate. Those are some shocking numbers, but it makes him one of the best options on the board. What really adds to his intrigue here is this tasty matchup with Texas. The Rangers currently rank dead-last in OBP and OPS, freefalling down the standings. The Rangers ballpark used to be a tough cookie to crack, but it's actually developed into one of the most pitcher-friendly parks once they moved to Globe Life Field. Catcher/First Base Paul Goldschmidt FD 3400 DK 4700 Opponent - KC (Kris Bubic) Park - KC FD - 13.1 DK - 9.85 We absolutely love the Cardinals in this spot. Guys like Nolan Arenado and Tyler O'Neill are fantastic options, but Goldy is the guy we want to use. We say that because he's killed left-handers throughout his career, posting an OPS just shy of .950 against them. That alone makes him a good option, but Goldy is absolutely rolling right now. Over his last...
DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Tuesday 8/14/21 – Main slate
DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Tuesday 8/14/21 - Main slate Now’s your chance to get DFSR PRO, which will give you access to our MLB, NBA, PGA, NHL, and NFL optimizers and our new player lab! Get started for free by clickiang the button below. START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW! Pitchers Joe Musgrove FD 9600 DK 9100 Opponent - ARI (Tyler Gilbert) Park - ARIFD - 37.31 DK - 20.84 There have been some ups and downs, but for the most part Musgrove has had an excellent season with the Padres. He is sporting a 3.45 xFIP and striking out more than 10 batters per nine. That walks have stayed in check and now he gets an Arizona team that is one of the weaker offenses in baseball. This lines up for him to be a strong cash play on the main slate of games with the one caveat being we are waiting for some odds on a couple of the other games. Dylan Cease FD 8900 DK 9000 Opponent - NYY (Jameson Taillon) Park - NYYFD - 35.46 DK - 18.8 Cease gets a terrible matchup against the Yankees in this one, but it is also tough to ignore just what the guy has done on the mound this season. He is striking out close to 12 batter per nine on the year, representing an unbelievable jump year-over-year. One big change has been going back to the curveball, something he through a lot more in 2019 when the K rate was higher. You are buying the most potential Ks on the cheap here with the understanding that the matchup is a real tough one. Catcher/First Base Buster Posey FD 3300 DK 3900 Opponent - COL (Kyle Freeland) Park - COLFD - 10.21 DK - 7.87 Darin Ruf FD 2700 DK 2800 Opponent - COL (Kyle Freeland) Park - COLFD - 12.63 DK - 9.54 the Giants face off against the lefty Kyle Freeland here on Saturday evening and you have a chance to stack these two guys who will likely be hitting 2-3 in the order. Posey is having a turn-bask-the-clock season for sure, one of his best campaigns in the last decade. It has been a major surprise and he’s crushed the ball all season. He has a .981 OPS which would mark the best of his career if the season finished today. That’s thanks in part to a career-best 14% walk rate and there has been some luck involved as well with a .377 BABIP. In all, facing off against a low-K Freeland, this is a good spot. Then there is Ruf who should be hitting cleanup here and has been great in his own...
DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Friday 8/13/21
DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Friday 8/13/21 Now’s your chance to get DFSR PRO, which will give you access to our MLB, NBA, PGA, NHL, and NFL optimizers and our new player lab! Get started for free by clicking the button below. START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW! The Yankees and White Sox get a night off after an amazing display in the "Field of Dreams" game last night which gives us a 14-game slate tonight. Let's take a look at a few of my top plays at each position for DraftKings and FanDuel. Pitchers Robbie Ray FD - P 10700 DK - SP 9200 Opponent - SEA (Chris Flexen) Park - SEA FD - 37.17 DK - 19.73 I have a thing for road pitchers tonight and it starts with Robbie Ray who has been a bulldog for the Jays this season. He has provided tremendous safety going six or more innings eight of his last nine starts while posting a 2.10 ERA and 28% K rate. Adding to the PTS/$ floor is the fact he is at the low end of pricing we have seen home at recently and he also gets a boost in upside against a Mariners team that strikes out a ton(26.5%) against lefties. All things considered, Ray is my favorite pitcher on this slate. Blake Snell FD - P 9000 DK - SP 8400 Opponent - ARI (Madison Bumgarner) Park - ARI FD - 31.05 DK - 16.68 The decision at SP2 was a tough one as there are multiple viable options in this mid-range of pricing. For me, Snell gets the slight edge over Morton in cash games and it comes down to matchup as he faces a D-Backs team that has the 6th lowest wOBA, 5th lowest wRC+, and 2nd highest K rate(27%) since the trade deadline. There have definitely been some hiccups along the way this season but Snell is also starting to become more consistent and has held opponents to one of fewer earned runs in three of his last four starts. In this matchup, he is my favorite SP2 on this slate and at just $9K on FanDuel makes for a nice target to help load up on bats. Catcher/First Base Freddie Freeman FD 3600 DK 4800 Opponent - WSH (Josiah Gray) Park - WSH FD - 11.79 DK - 8.82 First base is a bit of a disaster tonight unless you acquire a loan to pay up for Vladdy or Olson. I get that Freddie Freeman has struggled in the short term but he is still an elite hitter(reigning NL MVP) and comes in with a .288/.388/.491 slash line. What stands out here and the reason he...
DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Thursday 8/12/21
DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Thursday 8/12/21 Now’s your chance to get DFSR PRO, which will give you access to our MLB, NBA, PGA, NHL, and NFL optimizers and our new player lab! Get started for free by clicking the button below. START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW! Happy Field of Dreams day everyone! It has been a long time in the making but they built it and the Yankees and White Sox have arrived to play. The game is not on the main slate but you can bet I will have some action on this one in some form another. Let's dig in and look at some top DFS plays covering the entire day of baseball on Thursday. Pitchers Chris Bassitt FD - P 9900 DK - SP 10000 Opponent - CLE (Eli Morgan) Park - CLE FD - 36.13 DK - 19.83 Brandon Woodruff FD - P 11000 DK - SP 10200 Opponent - CHC (Kyle Hendricks) Park - CHC FD - 36.75 DK - 21.05 On the early slate, we get two aces on the mound, and on DraftKings I think we can consider pairing them together at just over $20K combined. Let's start with Bassitt who has been dominant in his last two starts going seven innings in both holding the Rangers and Angels to a combined one earned run with 15 strikeouts and just one walk. He gets the tougher matchup of the two but I list him first as I prefer him on FanDuel with the $1,100 discount. For Woodruff, he is a part of the best rotations in baseball and leads them with an elite 2.23 ERA and he is not only a safe play but has a ton of upside with a 30% K rate. The system has him as the top option tonight on both sites and it's hard to argue as he faces a Cubs depleted Cubs team that is striking out 28% of the time over the last two weeks. José Berríos FD - P 8500 DK - SP 8800 Opponent - LAA (Shohei Ohtani) Park - LAA FD - 35.27 DK - 19.25 I couldn't be more excited about this game as a Jays fans but also an Ohtani fan. Both pitchers are on my player pool in this smaller three-game slate but Berrios gets the edge in the much better matchup. He faces an Angels offense that has lost three of their last four(going into Wednesday night) and have tallied just a 73 wRC+ over the last two weeks with a 25% K rate. For Berrios, he has been terrific since coming over to Toronto at the deadline holding the Royals and Red Sox to a...