DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Monday 8/29/22
DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Monday 8/29/22 Now’s your chance to get DFSR PRO, which will give you access to our MLB, NBA, PGA, NHL, and NFL optimizers and our new player lab! Get started for free by clicking the button below. START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW! Pitchers Corbin Burnes FD - P 11100 DK - SP 10400 Opponent - PIT (JT Brubaker) Park - MIL FD - 39.23 DK - 22.57 The Dodgers got to him last time out but it doesn't really change the big picture which has been another Cy Young-worthy season. He is one of just seven pitchers in baseball with an ERA(2.84) and xFIP(2.97) under three and then adds a ton of upside with a 31.4% K rate and 15.4% swinging strike rate. He will look to add to those numbers tonight in an elite matchup against a Pirates team that ranks dead last in wOBA(.271) and wRC+(71) in the second half while striking out 26% of the time. Burnes leads our projections on Monday and is an elite play in all formats. Frankie Montas FD - P 9100 DK - SP 7200 Opponent - LAA (José Suarez) Park - LAA FD - 35.6 DK - 19.44 It has been an up-and-down start with the Yankees since being traded but to be fair, he has faced some tough offences and ran a BABIP that is 44 points higher than his time with the A's. More good news as he easily gets his best matchup since the trade against an Angels team that is bottom five in wOBA(.284) and wRC+(82) in the second half with a 25% K rate as a team. The DraftKings optimizer is always going to lean on double pay-up at starting pitching but it is hard to ignore the absurd price on such a talented arm in Montas. I will have exposure in all formats. Catcher/First Base Paul Goldschmidt FD 4700 DK 6200 Opponent - CIN (Chase Anderson) Park - CIN FD - 16.17 DK - 12.26 It should come as no surprise that Paul Goldschmidt leads our overall projections on Monday as he is chasing Triple Crown history. He leads in average(.338) and RBI(105) and is just two home runs(33) behind Schwarber and not that it counts but he also leads the slash line Triple Crown with a crazy .338/.421/.629 line. It's no secret he has been all-world against lefties but has definitely held his own(lol) against righties with a .415 wOBA/173 wRC+ on the season. Paying up for pitching and a big bat is not that hard these days and Goldy is one of those elite bats we can build around in all formats. Rhys Hoskins FD 3400...
DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Sunday 8/28/22
DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Sunday, 8/28/22 We're getting down to the final few weeks of the fantasy baseball regular season, and it has me more zoned in more than ever. I have more season-long teams than I'd like to admit, but it forces me to pay more attention than the average person. We're just hoping that can be beneficial for you guys because season-long fantasy and DFS have a ton of correlation. The pitching pool on this particular slate is amazing, so let's kick things off with the best pitcher of this generation. Now’s your chance to get DFSR PRO, which will give you access to our MLB, NBA, PGA, NHL, and NFL optimizers and our new player lab! Get started for free by clicking the button below. START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW! Pitchers Justin Verlander FD - P 11400 DK - SP 11000 Opponent - BAL (Austin Voth) Park - HOU FD - 45.69 DK - 25.67 Verlander is the heavy favorite for AL Cy Young, and it's crazy to see him have such a massive season after Tommy John surgery. The future Hall-of-Famer has a 1.87 ERA and 0.85 WHIP this season, en route to a 15-3 record. That makes him one of the best options in fantasy, entering this matchup as a -275 favorite in a game with a seven-run total. That means Baltimore is projected for less than three runs! That's easy to understand when looking at this matchup, with the Orioles ranked 25th in OBP, 21st in OPS, and 20th in wOBA. Not to mention, JV has at least nine Ks in each of his last five meetings with the O's dating back to 2017. Dylan Cease FD - P 10600 DK - SP 10600 Opponent - ARI (Zach Davies) Park - CHW FD - 41.69 DK - 23.29 Cease is quietly having a monster season for an underperforming White Sox team, leading all starters in K rate. That makes him an elite option in DFS, but his recent form is absurd. Over his last 16 starts, Cease has compiled a 1.27 ERA, 1.09 WHIP, and 10.8 K/9 rate. He's actually scored at least 29 FanDuel points in all but two of those, and that threshold should be easy to reach in this matchup. The Diamondbacks rank 22nd in OBP, 20th in OPS, and 21st in xwOBA. All of that has Cease and the Sox entering this matchup as a -180 favorite, with Arizona projected for just 3.5 runs. Max Scherzer (FD $11000 DK $11400) is a -350 favorite against the Rockies and is one of the safest plays if you're willing to pay up. Catcher/First Base Vladimir Guerrero Jr. FD -...
DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Saturday 8/27/22
DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Saturday 8/27/22 Now’s your chance to get DFSR PRO, which will give you access to our MLB, NBA, PGA, NHL, and NFL optimizers and our new player lab! Get started for free by clicking the button below. START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW! Pitchers Yu Darvish FD 10600 DK 10400 Opponent - KC (Daniel Lynch) Park - KC FD - 40.37 DK - 21.82 Darvish missed just one start(paternity list) and will be back on the mound Saturday to help the Padres attempt to hold on to the final NL wildcard spot. His second-half performance almost mirrors his first half in terms of ERA(3.41/3.35) but one area he has seen a huge improvement is in the strikeout department as he is striking out 29.6% of batters, almost 4% more than before the all-star break. That lines up well in this matchup against the Royals who have been a bottom 6 offense all season and have been striking out nearly 4% more in the second half. Darvish is our top projected pitcher on slate and an elite play in all formats. Davis Martin FD 6300 DK 5700 Opponent - ARI (Merrill Kelly) Park - ARI FD - 23.02 DK - 11.32 There is definitely a path to paying up for both pitchers on DraftKings tonight but I love finding a value SP2 to help load up on bats. Tonight I am Davis Martin who has been recalled by the White Sox to make another start after a successful one in early August where he held the Royals to three hits and one earned run over 5.2 innings. There is always some risk with these young guys who bounce around between the minors and majors and even between the bullpen and rotation but at a sub $6K price tag we are only looking for about 12 DK points and another performance like his last also gives him 3x+ upside. I will be taking a shot in all formats tonight. Also Consider: Brandon Woodruff(MIL) as a -200 favourite against the Cubs or Domingo German(NYY) as a -240 favourite in a plus matchup against the A's Catcher/First Base Pete Alonso FD 4100 DK 5200 Opponent - COL (Kyle Freeland) Park - NYM FD - 13.21 DK - 9.87 With Goldschmidt in a tougher matchup and priced like a mid-tier starting pitcher, it makes easy to start off with and build around Alonso tonight. He comes in red-hot with three straight multi-hit games, gets a plus matchup against a struggling Kyle Freeland(5.96 ERA/.828 OPS against since start of July), and crushes lefties(.368 wOBA/143 wRC+). He is my top pay-up bat tonight and I will be building around him and...
DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Friday 8/26/22
Mets and Phillies lead the DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Friday 8/26/22 Now’s your chance to get DFSR PRO, which will give you access to our MLB, NBA, PGA, NHL, and NFL optimizers and our new player lab! Get started for free by clicking the button below. START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW! Pitchers Chris Bassitt FD 10400 DK 9900 Opponent - COL (Chad Kuhl) Park - COLFD - 44.23 DK - 24.31 The Mets are whopping -331 favorites against the lowly Rockies here on Friday and Bassitt rings in as one of the best cash game options on the slate. The Rockies don’t strike out a ton, but away from home this season they have the second-least runs in the league and just don’t have much pop in in the lineup at all. Bassitt is putting down right around a batter per inning on the season, keeps the walks mostly in check and averages more than six innings per start. That all lines up as a pretty safe play here. Gerrit Cole FD 11000 DK 10700 Opponent - OAK (JP Sears) Park - OAKFD - 45.16 DK - 25.64 I get that four of his last six starts have been pretty rough but Cole still rates out as one of the best pitchers in the game. The A’s have the second-worst team OPS in the league this season and strike out more than 23% of the time. Cole’s 2.81 xFIP is about 0.6 runs behind the 3.41 ERA and he still strikes out more than 11 batters per nine. Some might be down on Cole a bit here, but I’m not and think he’s actually a bargain on DraftKings. Consider Bailey Falter (FD $6200 DK $6700) coming cheap as a big favorite here on Friday. Catcher/First Base Rhys Hoskins FD 3400 DK 4700 Opponent - PIT (Bryse Wilson) Park - PITFD - 14.06 DK - 10.43 J.T. Realmuto FD 3700 DK 5700 Opponent - PIT (Bryse Wilson) Park - PITFD - 12.84 DK - 9.79 The Phillies have one of the highest team run lines on the day facing off against Bryse Wilson and the Pirates. Hoskins and Realmuto should hit second and fourth respectively and both are coming moderately priced on FanDuel especially. Realmuto is a bit steep on DraftKings but that’s because of the the positional scarcity. Hoskins has 28 home runs on the season and though, for his career, he’s been much better against lefties, the .822 OPS against righties still plays. Meanwhile, Realmuto now has the OPS up and over .800 and for a catcher (or really anyone) offers a higher fantasy floor with the 14 home runs and 15 stolen bases. Again, he’s...
DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Thursday 8/25/22(Main Slate)
DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Thursday 8/25/22(Main Slate) Now’s your chance to get DFSR PRO, which will give you access to our MLB, NBA, PGA, NHL, and NFL optimizers and our new player lab! Get started for free by clicking the button below. START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW! Pitchers Jacob deGrom FD 12500 DK 10800 Opponent - COL (Ryan Feltner) Park - NYM FD - 51.84 DK - 30.19 The Mets ace finally got a full workload in his last start and despite giving three runs, continued his swing and miss domination with nine strikeouts. Over four starts, he has now recorded 37 strikeouts(46%) while walking just one and enters the night with a today 2.31 ERA and eye-popping 1.08 xFIP. He now gets arguably his best matchup of the season against the Rockies who have dropped 12 of 15 road games in the second half and have the widest home/road splits over the course of the season(.349 wOBA at home/.284 on the road). I will be building around deGrom in all formats. Lance Lynn FD 9100 DK 7800 Opponent - BAL (Jordan Lyles) Park - BAL FD - 31.37 DK - 17.08 There is probably a path to playing both deGrom and Nola on this slate but if you want any sort of bats in your lineup a value SP2 might just be the route to take. Enter Lance Lynn who has been very good in the second half holding opponents to two or fewer earned runs in four of six starts resulting in a 3.06 ERA and slightly better 2.73 xFIP. The Orioles have been much better in the second half and sit ahead of the White Sox in the wildcard standings but are still just an average offence against right0handed pitching and strike out more in the split than against lefties. All things considered, Lynn is my top SP2 option on DraftKings tonight and a salary-saving GPP option on FanDuel. Catcher/First Base Vladimir Guerrero Jr. FD 4000 DK 5600 Opponent - BOS (Kutter Crawford) Park - BOS FD - 13.03 DK - 9.81 The Jays are right up there with the Yankees in terms of implied runs tonight forcing some decisions for the expensive bats, especially if loading up on deGrom.At first base, I will be playing the homer card and rolling with Vladdy who is tearing the cover off the ball in the second half hitting .319 with a .400 wOBA and 167 wRC+ and despite a drop in the power numbers(6 HR) is still running a 53% hard contact rate and 13% barrel rate in that time. It also helps he faces a pitcher in Kutter Crawford who has given up 17 earned...