DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Sunday 9/4/22
DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Sunday, 9/4/22 Today marks the one month until the final day of the regular season! It's crazy that we're in September already, and this will be the final Sunday MLB article without football interfering. That means that the prize pools are about to plummet from here on out, but we're still going to provide quality content. It's actually a great time to play DFS because there are so many amateur football players who try their hand in MLB. Doing that at the end of the season is silly, but humans are known to be fickle creatures. With that in mind, let's kick off this Sunday card with some arms! Now's your chance to get DFSR PRO, which will give you access to our MLB, NBA, PGA, NHL, and NFL optimizers and our new player lab! Get started for free by clicking the button below. START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW! Pitchers Max Fried FD - P 10300 DK - SP 10500 Opponent - MIA (Pablo López) Park - ATL FD - 47.16 DK - 26.05 The Braves have been one of the best teams in the NL since the opening month, and this ace is a major reason why. The left-hander has a 2.56 ERA and 1.04 WHIP this season, allowing three runs or fewer in 22 of his 25 starts. That's led to Max scoring at least 29 FanDuel points in 19 of those, one of the highest floors of any player in baseball. That 30-point floor should be easy to reach against the Marlins, with Miami ranked bottom-four in runs scored, OBP, OPS, and xwOBA. In his matchup with Miami earlier this season, Fried scored 40 FanDuel points! The oddsmakers see that happening again, with Max entering this matchup as a -280 favorite. George Kirby FD - P 9200 DK - SP 9900 Opponent - CLE (Cal Quantrill) Park - CLE FD - 36.18 DK - 19.43 It's strange that Kirby remains below $10,000 on both sites. This rookie has been one of the best pitchers this month, maintaining a 2.11 ERA, 1.07 WHIP, and 10.6 K/9 rate across his last seven starts. His elite control is what's made him so scary, picking up 107 strikeouts to just 14 walks. Cleveland can be a tough matchup at times, but this offense looks lost right now. Not only do they rank 26th in xwOBA for the season, but they also have just one run in their last four fixtures. That's a nightmarish stretch, making Kirby one of the best bets for a quality start on this slate. Matt Manning (FD $8500 DK $7300) had a 2.37 ERA and 1.11 WHIP before a rare...
DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Saturday 9/3/22
DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Saturday 9/3/22 Now’s your chance to get DFSR PRO, which will give you access to our MLB, NBA, PGA, NHL, and NFL optimizers and our new player lab! Get started for free by clicking the button below. START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW! Pitchers Max Scherzer FD 11200 DK 10900 Opponent - WSH (Patrick Corbin) Park - WSH FD - 52.37 DK - 29.66 After a couple bumps in the road, Mad Max was back to his dominant self holding the Rockies to one run while striking out 11 but got the deGrom treatment and took the loss. He will look to help the Mets hold on to the NL East tonight in an elite matchup against his old team. The have been bad all season but got considerably worse in the second half, especially in the K department, after trading Juan Soto. The price is high but as we discuss daily, it is not hard to build around considering the plethora of value bats in good spots. Fire up Scherzer in all formats. Jake Odorizzi FD 8100 DK 6100 Opponent - MIA (Edward Cabrera) Park - MIA FD - 29.25 DK - 14.38 Odorizzi isn’t going to win you many GPP’s on his own due to a lack of K upside but checks all the boxes for cash games. It starts with being a huge favourite giving him elite win equity and rolls into his consistency holding opponents to two or fewer earned runs in five of his last sox starts. To top it off, he also gets an elite matchup against a Marlins team that ranks dead last in wOBA(.268) and wRC+(72) in the second half while striking out over 24% of the time. Odorizzi is my top SP2 from a PTS/$ perspective on this slate. Catcher/First Base Pete Alonso FD 3700 DK 5500 Opponent - WSH (Patrick Corbin) Park - WSH FD - 13.57 DK - 10.14 The broken pricing algorithm does make it much easier to fit Goldy but I am going to go a little more balanced and it starts with Alonso. He checks all the boxes starting with matchup as he faces Patrick Corbin who is 1-7 with a 8.54 ERA over his last nine starts while also giving up the third-most home runs(24) on the season. For Alonso, he comes in hot with hits in seven of his last nine games, has been better in the second half, and hits lefties very well. While Goldy tops the projections, the Polar Bear is my favourite PTS/$ pay up at first base tonight. Ty France FD 3700 DK 4300 Opponent - CLE (Xzavion Curry) Park - CLE FD -...
The Red Sox and Mets Highlight DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Friday 9/2/22
DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Friday 9/2/22 Now’s your chance to get DFSR PRO, which will give you access to our MLB, NBA, PGA, NHL, and NFL optimizers and our new player lab! Get started for free by clicking the button below. START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW! Pitchers David Peterson FD 8000 DK 8300 Opponent - WSH (Josiah Gray) Park - WSHFD - 36.42 DK - 18.93 The pitching options aren’t amazing on this slate though there are some guys in reasonable spots all things considered. Peterson has moved between the bullpen and the starter’s role this season and has been reasonably effective, striking out more than 10 batters per nine and sporting an ERA and xFIP in the low 3’s. The walks are a bit of an issue, but he is a -280 home favorite against the Nationals, easily the best money line win odds on the slate. I like him on both sites, but especially FanDuel where we can roster big bats because of the lower price point. Charlie Morton FD 9800 DK 9300 Opponent - MIA (Sandy Alcantara) Park - MIAFD - 37.63 DK - 19.83 The Braves are also solid home favorites today, coming in at -179 against the Marlins. The only reason Morton isn’t a bigger favorite here is he has to face off against Sandy Alcantara, the Marlins’ best pitcher. Otherwise, this is a great spot for Morton who is striking out batters at a 29% clip this season. The walks are a little on the high side but his 3.53 xFIP is much better than his 4.10 ERA and he’s run a little bad on his Hr/FB rate compared to his career numbers. Catcher/First Base Pete Alonso FD 3700 DK 5500 Opponent - WSH (Josiah Gray) Park - WSHFD - 12.93 DK - 9.66 Only two teams have a run line over 5.0 on Friday’s slate but we are going to be able to stack some hitters from those squads for sure. The Mets are one them facing off against Josiah Gray and the Nationals. Alonso is having another excellent season with an .852 OPS thanks to 31 home runs and a strikeout rate less than 20%. He is a good price on FanDuel and I think we can pay up for him on DraftKings as well. Paul Goldschmidt FD 4600 DK 6500 Opponent - CHC (Adrian Sampson) Park - CHCFD - 13.7 DK - 10.39 Goldschmidt has been one of the best hitters in baseball this season with a 1.035 OPS, .440 wOBA, and 33 home runs. The 34-year-old has been amazing and it’s why the price is so high. But he’s got a good matchup against Adrian Sampson and...
DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Thursday 9/1/22
DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Thursday 9/1/22 Now’s your chance to get DFSR PRO, which will give you access to our MLB, NBA, PGA, NHL, and NFL optimizers and our new player lab! Get started for free by clicking the button below. START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW! Pitchers Shane Bieber FD 10200 DK 9000 Opponent - BAL (Kyle Bradish) Park - BAL FD - 39.93 DK - 21.86 After giving up six runs in his first start of the second half, Bieber has been a force for the Guardians holding opponents to just seven earned runs over his last six starts while averaging 26.1 DK/46.1 FD points per game. While the K rate has dropped a bit in 2022, it has also picked up in the short-term as he has tallied eight or more in four of those six starts and faces an O's team that has lost two straight while scoring just two runs and striking out 19 times(32%). All things considered, Bieber is our top projected pitcher and an elite play in all formats. Spencer Strider FD 10000 DK 9500 Opponent - COL (Chad Kuhl) Park - COL FD - 47.01 DK - 25.99 It's a close race for the NL Rookie of the Year between two Braves with the odds leaning towards Spencer Strider who has been phenomenal, especially in the second half. He comes into Thursday's action having held opponents to one earned run in five of six second-half starts(2.51 ERA/2.60 xFIP) and shown a ton of upside striking out 34% of batters in that span. What is even more incredible is the fact he is putting up these numbers with pretty much two elite pitches(fastball/slider). On Thursday, he gets another plus matchup against the Rockies who are a bottom-three road offence(.29th in wOBA & wRC+) and a bottom-five offence overall in the second half. Fire up Strider in all formats. Catcher/First Base Matt Olson FD 3900 DK 5300 Opponent - COL (Chad Kuhl) Park - ATL FD - 14.2 DK - 10.58 Travis d'Arnaud FD 3000 DK 3900 Opponent - COL (Chad Kuhl) Park - ATL FD - 10.5 DK - 8 The Braves are once again topping our projections as a team with an outstanding matchup on Thursday. They will face a struggling Chad Kuhl who has posted a 9.39 ERA/6.03 xFIP over his last seven starts while giving up a whopping 11 home runs. My exposure to the Braves starts at first base with Matt Olson who remains affordable on both sites, mostly due to the lack of consistency on a day-to-day basis(.252 average) but there is no denying the upside as he entered Wednesday with 27 home runs and 87...
DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Tuesday 8/30/22
DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Tuesday 8/30/22 Now’s your chance to get DFSR PRO, which will give you access to our MLB, NBA, PGA, NHL, and NFL optimizers and our new player lab! Get started for free by clicking the button below. START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW! Pitchers Max Fried FD 10500 DK 9900 Opponent - COL (José Ureña) Park - COLFD - 45.94 DK - 25.08 There are a few different aces taking the mound on Tuesday though not are all on the main slate. Fried is going against the Rockies who are one of the worst offenses in the league when they are away from Coors and he’s in an excellent spot to get the win. He’s a crazy -384 home favorite against Colorado, some of the best win odds you’ll ever see. Though he isn’t striking out a batter an inning on the season, he’s going more than 6.3 innings per start because he limits the walks and induces ground balls at more than a 50% rate. Kevin Gausman FD 10200 DK 8700 Opponent - CHC (Marcus Stroman) Park - CHCFD - 41.3 DK - 22.37 Gausman is another big favorite on Tuesday, though doesn’t have quite the same win odds as Fried. He’s sitting at -217 at home against the Cubs and coming under $9K on DraftKings. Pairing these two should be no problem over there. He’s struggled in two of his last three starts but has put together an excellent season, striking out more than 10 batters per nine while sporting a 7:1 K:BB ratio. That’s some of the best peripherals you will see. I slightly prefer Fried on FanDuel but it’s very close because Gausman has more K upside. Catcher/First Base Matt Olson FD 4000 DK 5100 Opponent - COL (José Ureña) Park - COLFD - 13.32 DK - 9.91 There are a few teams in good spots on Tuesday with the run lines trending into the mid-5s. The Braves are one of them facing off against Jose Urena. Olson hasn’t put up quite the same power numbers as his last season in Oakland when he hit 39. But he does have 27 on the season with an .835 OPS. The price is up there because the Braves are a good offense, but I think you can afford him considering they are in one of the best spots on the slate. Shea Langeliers FD 2800 DK 3000 Opponent - WSH (Erick Fedde) Park - WSHFD - 10.51 DK - 8.03 For their purposes, the A’s are actually in a pretty good spot against Erick Fedde and the Nationals. Oakland has a mid-4’s implied run line which, for them, represents an above-average number....