DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Tuesday 5/18/21
DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Tuesday 5/18/21 Now’s your chance to get DFSR PRO, which will give you access to our MLB, NBA, PGA, NHL, and NFL optimizers and our new player lab! Get started for free by clicking the button below. START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW! Pitchers Brandon Woodruff FD - P 11000 DK - SP 10200 Opponent - KC (Kris Bubic) Park - KC FD - 32.81 DK - 17.74 I don't think you can go wrong with either top pitcher tonight but I would be doing Woodruff an injustice not mentioning him here as he has been incredible to start the 2021 season. he has held opponents to two or fewer earned runs in seven straight straights going at least six innings in all of them while averaging 27.4 DK/46.36 FD points per game. That is just pure dominance on the back of a 33% K rate and 14% swinging-strike rate. The Royals are a league-average offense but what stands out to me here is that they rank outside the TOp 20 as a team against fastballs and Woodruff has the 2nd best one in the game, at the moment, and throws it 66% of the time. All things considered, Woodruff is my top pitcher in all formats. Andrew Heaney FD - P 7600 DK - SP 7800 Opponent - CLE (Zach Plesac) Park - LAA FD - 36.33 DK - 19.35 If not paying up for both pitchers on DraftKings tonight there are some interesting options. I think the chalk SP2 falls with Snell who appears to be massively underpriced but for cash games, I just can't trust that 1.54 WHIP. This has me taking the savings with Andrew Heaney who is back under $8K after putting up a dud in two of his last three starts. The good news here is that he faces an Indians team that has an ugly 82 wRC+ on the season and even worse 76 wRC+ vs. left-handed pitching. At these prices Heaney is my favorite PTS/$ value play tonight. Also Consider: Zack Wheeler(PHI) as another top pay-up option. He has been consistent all season and has held opponents to two or fewer earned runs in four of his last five starts and walked just two batters over his last three starts. Catcher/First Base Max Muncy FD - 1B 3700 DK - 1B 5500 Opponent - ARI (Merrill Kelly) Park - LAD FD - 12.18 DK - 8.97 After somewhat of a slump, the Dodgers offense looks to be heating back up as they are averaging over 5.5 runs per game over the last 10 days. Muncy has been a big part of that as he has hits...
DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Monday 5/17/21
DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Monday 5/17/21 Now’s your chance to get DFSR PRO, which will give you access to our MLB, NBA, PGA, NHL, and NFL optimizers and our new player lab! Get started for free by clicking the button below. START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW! Pitchers Gerrit Cole FD - P 12300 DK - SP 10900 Opponent - TEX (Jordan Lyles) Park - TEX FD - 50.36 DK - 28.62 It's really hard to overstate how dominant Cole has been so far this season. He's been .4 WAR better than the second-place Jacob deGrom, who is .5 WAR better than the third-place John Means. That's bananas! With a K/9 north of 13 and a BB/9 below 1, Cole is doing legitimately everything you could possibly ask for. Texas, meanwhile, pairs a league average wOBA with a top 9 K%. That's plenty of match-up for a guy like Cole, and he should see huge cash game ownership here. Max Fried FD - P 7200 DK - SP 7300 Opponent - NYM (Taijuan Walker) Park - ATL FD - 33.77 DK - 17.66 I kind of feel like Max Fried is a little bit slept on right now. Yes, the ERA this season is ugly, but this is a 27 year old pitcher with a career 3.59 xFIP. His fastball velocity is as good as ever, and he just had a quality start against a potent Blue Jays offense. Today he gets the Mets, a team that doesn't strike out very much, but also owns the tenth worst wOBA in the league. At these bargain basement prices, I'm buying Max Fried. Also considered: Walker Buehler. Catcher/First Base José Abreu FD - 1B 3800 DK - 1B 5400 Opponent - MIN (J.A. Happ) Park - MIN FD - 11.29 DK - 8.54 Andrew Vaughn FD - 1B 2300 DK - OF 2400 Opponent - MIN (J.A. Happ) Park - MIN FD - 8.65 DK - 6.57 We've got two solid White Sox options out of the first base position today, though both are obviously different plays. Abreu is a classic pay-up option - a career lefty killer who has had some bad BABIP luck this season. Vaughn is more of a down-lineup punt, though one with real merit. Fangraphs has him as the league's 13th best prospect, and he's off to a fine stat for his rookie year. Happ, meanwhile, is hot trash at this point his career. His 5.52 ERA will likely be good for worst in the Majors if it holds up, and his 5.4 K/9 isn't fooling anyone. Freddie Freeman FD - 1B 3900 DK - 1B 5600 Opponent - NYM (Taijuan Walker) Park -...
DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Sunday 5/16/21
DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Sunday 5/16/21 Now’s your chance to get DFSR PRO, which will give you access to our MLB, NBA, PGA, NHL, and NFL optimizers and our new player lab! Get started for free by clicking the button below. START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW! Pitchers Lance McCullers Jr. FD - P 8400 DK - SP 9600 Opponent - TEX (Kyle Gibson) Park - HOUFD - 38.53 DK - 20.81 This is a good spot for McCullers facing off against the Rangers on Sunday. He’s opening as a -173 home favorite which represents some of the better win odds on the slate. Texas has been a middling offense on the season, but they are striking out 26% as a team which bodes well for McCullers’ upside. He’s striking out 10.4 batters per nine at a 29% rate. The walks are still a little of a concern, something he’s struggled with most of his career. But in terms of talent, he’s one of the better pitchers on this main slate and should be a top cash option. Dylan Cease FD - P 7400 DK - SP 7400 Opponent - KC (Brady Singer) Park - CHWFD - 33.05 DK - 16.72 The Royals rank 22nd in team wOBA on the season and though they don’t strike out at higher volume, there also isn’t all that much pop in these bats. Cease opens as a -150 home favorite here and he’s really spiked his K rate on the season, striking out 32% of opposing batters and putting down seven or more in each of his last three games. This hasn’t always been part of his profile, but he’s throwing the fastball more and can get it up to over 96MPH. I like the matchup for the righty on Sunday. Catcher/First Base Vladimir Guerrero Jr. FD - 1B 3800 DK - 1B 6000 Opponent - PHI (Chase Anderson) Park - TORFD - 12.73 DK - 9.66 He’s having a breakout season and is priced as such. But man is he ever a tough fade here on Sunday. The young superstar is sitting with an OPS right around 1.000 for the season, easily the best mark he’s seen in his time in the majors. He’s walking (17%) more than he’s striking out (16%) and is just one of the tougher outs in the game right now. We are going to be getting into some more Blue Jays in short order, but know that the Toronto stacking begins with Vlad-y. if Rowdy Tellez (FD $2200 DK $3300) moves up at all in the lineup then he’d be a lock at these prices. José Abreu FD - 1B 3800 DK - 1B 5400...
DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Saturday 5/15/20
DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Saturday 5/15/20 Now’s your chance to get DFSR PRO, which will give you access to our MLB, NBA, PGA, NHL, and NFL optimizers and our new player lab! Get started for free by clicking the button below. START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW! Pitchers Trevor Bauer FD - P 11000 DK - SP 11000 Opponent - MIA (Undecided) Park - LADFD - 38.22 DK - 20.86 Miami ranks in the bottom third of the league this season in offensive wOBA as a team putting Bauer in position to really go pretty far in this game. He’s a huge favorite going in and will make for a tough fade on the evening slate even at these high prices. He’s striking out 12 batters per nine on the season and has an xFIP in the low threes. Again, you are going to need to really spend up to roster Bauer here, but considering the matchup it makes all the sense in the world. Carlos Rodón FD - P 11400 DK - SP 10000 Opponent - KC (Mike Minor) Park - CHWFD - 38.41 DK - 20.75 Rodon has put it all together this season, showing off the upside many have been dreaming about for years from the lefty. He’s striking out batters at a 37% rate is rocking a 0.58 ERA even though the xFIP is about two runs higher. He’s throwing his fastball more and has reduced the slider use as well. He’s a -173 home favorite against the Royals. Kansas City ranks 22nd in the league in team wOBA on the season making this a good matchup for Rodon. He’s expensive, but it’s worth it on this slate. If you are looking to save some money on salary at pitcher, Ian Anderson (FD $8600 DK $9200) makes a reasonable option against the Brewers and their 26th ranked offense. Catcher/First Base Max Muncy FD - 1B 3700 DK - 1B 5500 Opponent - MIA (Undecided) Park - LADFD - 11.07 DK - 8.15 The Blue Jays haven’t announced their pitcher yet for Saturday’s game which typically these the opposing bats in a really good spot. That should be the case with the Dodgers. After a down 2020 campaign, Muncy is right back to raking this season with an OPS over .900 thanks to some power and an absurd 23% walk rate. That’s just the very definition of a cash game play on this slate. Alec Bohm FD 2400 DK 3200 Opponent - TOR (Anthony Kay) Park - TORFD - 10.42 DK - 7.97 Bohm has been moved down in the order thanks to a slow start but does draw the lefty Kay on this slate....
DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Friday 5/14/21
DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Friday 5/14/21 Now’s your chance to get DFSR PRO, which will give you access to our MLB, NBA, PGA, NHL, and NFL optimizers and our new player lab! Get started for free by clicking the button below. START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW! Pitchers Tyler Glasnow FD - P 10500 DK - SP 10900 Opponent - NYM (David Peterson) Park - TB FD - 43.89 DK - 24.67 For the second day in a row, there is almost too much pitching on this slate, and while we are splitting hairs Tyler Glasnow is my favorite for a couple of reasons. It starts with the FanDuel price that sticks out like a sore thumb and even with a season-high price on DraftKings he tops my target list. It all comes down to the currency of strikeouts and how the sites are set up. While he has given up three earned runs and four walks in each of his last two starts, he has still given us a 2x return on DraftKings. The only risk here is the matchup against the red-hot Mets but floor/ceiling combination each and every time Glasnow steps on the mound is too much to pass up. Frankie Montas FD - P 7400 DK - SP 7000 Opponent - MIN (Matt Shoemaker) Park - MIN FD - 31.4 DK - 16.44 Getting one of those elite pitchers on DraftKings is made much easier with the value on this slate and no one stands out more than Frankie Montas. He hits a season-low price on DraftKings while producing 13 or more DK points in five of his last six games and 20+ in three of them. Two bad starts(6 & 7 ER) have inflated his ERA(5.50) but the good news is that the xFIP(4.18) is over a run better and he also faces a struggling Twins team that has dropped four straight and seven of their last eight games. There are more expensive options with more upside tonight but Montas is my favorite PTS/$ SP2 tonight if you want to upgrade those bats. Also Consider: Max Scherzer(WSH) on DraftKings as the second most expensive option facing a D-backs team that has been much more productive vs. lefties. For value, I also like Joe Musgrove(SDP) who leads the slate with a 2.35 xFIP and faces a Cards team that has tallied just a 70 wRC+ over the last seven days. Catcher/First Base Mike Moustakas FD - 2B 4000 DK - 1B/3B 4400 Opponent - COL (German Marquez) Park - COL FD - 12.58 DK - 9.43 Moose isn't first base eligible on FanDuel but that's fine as I am much more interested on DraftKings...