DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Tuesday 6/15/21 Now’s your chance to get DFSR PRO, which will give you access to our MLB, NBA, PGA, NHL, and NFL optimizers and our new player lab! Get started for free by clicking the button below. START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW! Pitchers Yu Darvish FD - P 9000 DK - SP 9400 Opponent - COL (Chi Chi Gonzalez) Park - COL FD - 38.18 DK - 21.54 You know it's a weird night for pitching when our top pitcher gets a huge park downgrade heading into Coors Field. What stands out the most and reason for his lofty PTS/$ projection is the fact he is near season-low pricing on both sites sitting 3rd/4th in pricing on DraftKings and FanDuel. While the K upside has been up and down, Darvish has been consistent holding opponents to two or fewer earned runs in 11 of 13 starts this season. If you can get past the ballpark the matchup is a plus one as the Rockies have scored a league-low 91 runs over the last month and have an ugly 67 wRC+ vs. right-handed pitching. Fire up Darvish in all formats. Trevor Rogers FD - P 10000 DK - RP 10000 Opponent - STL (Undecided) Park - STL FD - 34.96 DK - 18.8 The optimizer often pairs two top pitchers on DraftKings and that will most likely be the case tonight with a lack of pitching and Rogers/Darvish combined salary being under $20K. Rogers has also been terrific to start his second season averaging almost six innings per start and has held opponents to two or fewer earned runs in seven straight and 12 of his 13 starts(3 ER in the other). He has not only been consistent but provided but upside as well with a 30% K rate/15% swinging-strike rate and now faces a struggling Cardinals team that has posted a 80 wRC+ and 26% K rate over the last two weeks. I will have exposure in all formats. Also Consider: Casey Mize(DET) as value SP2 option who has posted a 2.45 ERA over his last seven starts Catcher/First Base Daniel Vogelbach FD - 1B 3000 DK - 1B 3800 Opponent - CIN (Luis Castillo) Park - MIL FD - 9.36 DK - 6.92 It another Coors night and I really like the matchup or the Padres which means we are going to need some value if we want to stack them. One team I have turned to quite a bit recently for value has been the Brewers and specifically the top of the lineup. While hitting just .221 on the season, Vogelbach has been consistent in the short term with hits in...

DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Monday 6/14/21 Now’s your chance to get DFSR PRO, which will give you access to our MLB, NBA, PGA, NHL, and NFL optimizers and our new player lab! Get started for free by clicking the button below. START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW!   Pitchers Tyler Glasnow FD - P 10800 DK - SP 10700 Opponent - CHW (Lance Lynn) Park - CHW FD - 42.14 DK - 24.01 Lance Lynn FD - P 11000 DK - SP 9900 Opponent - TB (Tyler Glasnow) Park - CHW FD - 33.46 DK - 17.7 We have the grim misfortune of having the two aces on the slate A) squaring off with each other and B) facing off against good opposing offenses. The White Sox and Rays have the fourth and thirteenth best offenses in the Majors, respectively, and the Rays are slight -135 favorites in this one. Glasnow is a better pitcher than Lynn, but the White Sox are a decidedly tougher match-up as well. Still, these two are in a league of their own today, and your first stop for cash game options. Our system leans Glasnow, even as a slight underdog. Adam Wainwright FD - P 8000 DK - SP 8800 Opponent - MIA (Braxton Garrett) Park - STL FD - 32.87 DK - 16.54 If you find yourself unable to pull the trigger on a top-tier guy, you find yourself without the money for both on DraftKings, consider Adam Wainwright. The aging Cardinal has his best xFIP since 2015 on the back of a reasonable K rate and a 2.32 BB/9. For DFS purposes he's also attractive because he's averaging better than 6 innings a start in 2021. The match-up is excellent as well, with the Marlins ranking in the top 5 in strikeout percentage and the bottom 5 in wOBA. Also considered: Alex Wood. Catcher/First Base Paul Goldschmidt FD - 1B 3100 DK - 1B 4000 Opponent - MIA (Braxton Garrett) Park - STL FD - 12.75 DK - 9.59 We'll start our position players with the aging Goldschmidt, who is undoubtedly having the worst season of his career. While it's generally exciting to run hitters during their decline phase, I think we have reason to take a risk here. Goldschmidt's BABIP is .050 points below his career levels, and while some of the power is gone, he's still got pop. Then there's the match-up. Braxton Garrett has been flat out terrible in his 20 or so Major League innings, with a walk rate in the mid 5s per 9. With the platoon advantage in his favor, Goldschmidt should farm him here. C.J. Cron FD - 1B 2900 DK - 1B...

DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Sunday 6/13/21 Now’s your chance to get DFSR PRO, which will give you access to our MLB, NBA, PGA, NHL, and NFL optimizers and our new player lab! Get started for free by clicking the button below. START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW! Pitchers Shane Bieber FD - P 12000 DK - SP 11000 Opponent - SEA (Logan Gilbert) Park - CLEFD - 44.53 DK - 25.46 Bieber continues to be one of the most dominant starting pitchers in baseball, dialing up the strikeouts with the best of them. He’s putting down almost 13 batters per nine this season, which amazingly is a dip from his numbers last season. But the xFIP still sits under 3.00 and he still induces ground ball at a 46% rate. He’s just an elite arm and on Sunday face a Mariners team as a -228 home favorite with 7.5 over/under. This is the spot to pay up for him in cash and he’s the safest arm on the slate. Carlos Rodón FD - P 10500 DK - SP 10200 Opponent - DET (Undecided) Park - DETFD - 35.68 DK - 19.48 Rodin has sure turned things around this season, showing much more of the high upside promise many had dreamed about earlier in his career. This is shaping up to be, by far, his best year thanks to increased velocity on his fastball which he’s throwing more often and ditching the sinker he’d been using for years. It’s paying off. He’s striking out batters at a 37% clip and the 2.73 xFIP is just slightly behind the 1.96 ERA. On Sunday he’ll face off against a weaker Tigers’ lineup in a smash spot for the lefty. Catcher/First Base Vladimir Guerrero Jr. FD - 1B 4300 DK - 1B 5000 Opponent - BOS (Martin Perez) Park - BOSFD - 13.03 DK - 9.89 This game between the Red Sox and the Blue Jays has the highest implied run line to open the slate with an over/under of 10. Guerrero is having an MVP-type season so far with an OPS around 1.100 thanks to tremendous power with 19 home runs already and an elite 15% K rate. He’s quickly become one of the very best hitters in the league and faces off against the lefty Perez in this matchup. His OPS is lower against lefties for his career, but a lot of that is BABIP driven. This is a smash spot for Vlad. Josh Bell FD - 1B 2500 DK - 1B 4200 Opponent - SF (Johnny Cueto) Park - WSHFD - 12.88 DK - 9.62 Bell wasn’t in the lineup on Saturday against the lefty, but should be back...

DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Saturday 6/12/21 Now’s your chance to get DFSR PRO, which will give you access to our MLB, NBA, PGA, NHL, and NFL optimizers and our new player lab! Get started for free by clicking the button below. START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW! Pitchers Afternoon Corbin Burnes FD - P 12000 DK - RP 10500 Opponent - PIT (Chad Kuhl) Park - MILFD - 44.56 DK - 24.42 Burnes has been stupid good this season with numbers that are truly eye-popping even for the strikeout age of baseball. Through his first 59 innings and change, he’s struck out 42% of the haters he’s faced for a 14 K/9 rate. It’s led to a 1.71 xFIP and 0.97 FIP. These are cheat-code level stats for a starting pitcher and he’s just been fully dominating. On Saturday afternoon he’ll face off against a very weak Pirates team and is opening as a -270 home favorite. Even at the high prices, this is just a very tough fade based on what he’s done this season. Joe Musgrove (FD $8300 DK $9300) is a great play against the Mets. The FanDuel price is a total steal for what he’s been doing this season. Evening Trevor Bauer FD - P 11000 DK - SP 9800 Opponent - TEX (Kolby Allard) Park - LADFD - 51.69 DK - 28.73 Bauer is a monster favorite for the evening slate of games, with the Dodgers opening at -290 at home against the Rangers. Bauer isn’t as good as the 2.40 ERA would suggest, but the xFIP is only trailing by a little more than a run this season. He’s struck out more than 11 batters per nine and has the walk rate under his career average. The Rangers rank 28th in terms of team offense on the season and are striking out 26% of the time as a team. This is a smash spot for Bauer and he’ll likely be the chalk pitcher for the evening. Catcher/First Base Afternoon Freddie Freeman FD - 1B 3400 DK - 1B 5200 Opponent - MIA (Undecided) Park - MIAFD - 14.63 DK - 10.95 The Marlins haven’t announced their starter for Saturday and that’s going to have the Braves in a good spot for this game. While there isn’t an early line on the game, we can assume Atlanta is the clear favorite. Freeman’s OPS is down a bit this season compared to years past, but he’s still tough to K at only 18%, takes a ton of walks, and is running so bad on batted ball stuff with a BABIP over 100 points lower than his career average. He’s coming at a deal because...

DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Friday 6/11/21 Now’s your chance to get DFSR PRO, which will give you access to our MLB, NBA, PGA, NHL, and NFL optimizers and our new player lab! Get started for free by clicking the button below. START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW! Pitchers Brandon Woodruff FD - P 11800 DK - SP 10400 Opponent - PIT (Chase De Jong) Park - MIL FD - 43 DK - 24.06 Don't get me wrong, fading deGrom in cash in a game with a silly 5.5 total seems silly but hear me out. Woodruff is not only a much larger favorite(-265) here but also gets a much better matchup against a Pirates team that ranks 2nd to last in runs scored and wRC+(81) and dead last in wOBA(.286) on the season. For Woodruff, he has been elite since the short outing on opening day holding opponents to two or fewer earned runs in 11 straight starts(1.13 ERA/2.66 xFIP) with a 33% K rate. Add in the $900 discount on DraftKings and he is my top pitcher on this slate. Tyler Mahle FD - P 8500 DK - SP 7900 Opponent - COL (Kyle Freeland) Park - CIN FD - 37.24 DK - 20.71 Up next is my favorite value pitcher on the slate in Tyler Mahle who continues to come in under the $8K mark on DraftKings despite getting off to a career-best start. Outside of two awful starts where he allowed six and seven earned runs, he has held opponents to two or fewer in 10 of 12 starts and enters with an impressive 3.32 ERA/3.62 xFIP. He also gets a plus matchup tonight against a Rockies team that ranks dead last in wRC+(71) which is park-adjusted. No matter which elite arm you are paying up for, Mahle is my favorite SP2 on DraftKings in all formats. Catcher/First Base Matt Olson FD - 1B 3800 DK - 1B 5400 Opponent - KC (Brady Singer) Park - OAK FD - 11.16 DK - 8.27 If paying up at the first, Olson is the clear choice for me for a couple of reasons starting with the matchup. He and the A's face Brad Singer who has given up eight or more walks/hits in five of his last six starts and struggles much more against lefties with a 4.99 xFIP and has given up a .348 wOBA and all four home runs against in the splits. The biggest change for Olson this season has been the patience as he has brought his K rate down to 17% after topping 25% in four previous seasons. This has pushed him to an insane .393 wOBA and 158 wRC+, both among...