DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Thursday, 7/1/21 Now’s your chance to get DFSR PRO, which will give you access to our MLB and NBA optimizers and our new player lab! Get started for free by clicking the button below. START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW! This week has been crazy. It feels like Shohei Ohtani, Joey Gallo, and Kyle Schwarber homer every day, with the league OPS creeping up by 15 points in a one-week span. That's an indicator of how much the ball is flying right now, and you probably understand by the heat across the country. That means finding the right pitchers is more critical than ever, and there's 3-4 guys we absolutely love on this slate. Let's go ahead and start with two of those players! Pitchers Corbin Burnes FD - P 10600 DK - RP 9200 Opponent - PIT (Wil Crowe) Park - PIT FD - 44.44 DK - 25.32 Milwaukee has quietly developed one of the best rotations in baseball, and this guy is a major reason why. Big Burnes has a 2.53 ERA, 0.92 WHIP, and 115/14 K:BB rate to kick off his Cy Young campaign. Those are truly absurd numbers, with CB providing a ridiculous 13.9 K/9 rate as well. Those crazy figures have led to an imposing floor for Burnes, scoring at least 22 FanDuel points in all 13 starts while dropping at least 39 fantasy points in nine of those. That would make him a great option against anyone, but he happens to have one of the best matchups in baseball here. The Pirates currently rank 28th in OBP and dead-last in both wOBA and wOBACON. All of that is backed by the fact that Pittsburgh is projected for just three runs here, with Burnes entering this matchup as a -220 favorite. Ian Anderson FD - P 8400 DK - SP 7100 Opponent - NYM (Jacob deGrom) Park - ATL FD - 42.57 DK - 22.62 This pricing is crazy. Anderson established himself as an up-and-coming stud last year and has carried that form over to this year. In fact, Mr. Anderson has a 3.28 ERA, 1.18 WHIP and 9.5 K/9 rate through 15 starts this year. That's slightly below his amazing averages last year, but it makes these price tags hard to understand. The $7,100 DraftKings price tag is especially egregious, with IA playing at a $9,000 level. What makes it even crazier is the fact that he has a superb matchup, with the Mets ranked 28th in OBP while scoring the fewest runs in baseball. That was pretty clear when Anderson pitched 5.1 scoreless innings against them just last week. If you have the salary, Jacob deGrom is...

DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Wednesday 6/30/21 Now’s your chance to get DFSR PRO, which will give you access to our MLB, NBA, PGA, NHL, and NFL optimizers and our new player lab! Get started for free by clicking the button below. START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW! Pitchers Chris Bassitt FD - P 9800 DK - SP 10500 Opponent - TEX (Kolby Allard) Park - OAK FD - 41.53 DK - 22.63 Bassitt may not provide the upside we are used to getting with our top-priced pitcher but his price is mostly relative to the size of the slate and lack of options at the top. The good news here is that he has been one of the more consistent arms this season holding opponents to two or fewer earned runs in 12 of his last 14 starts lowering his ERA to 3.25 on the season. On top of the consistency, he gives us some of the best win equity on the slate as a -200 favorite against a below-average Rangers offense. All things considered, he is my top pitcher on this main slate. Joe Musgrove FD - P 8700 DK - SP 9200 Opponent - CIN (Vladimir Gutierrez) Park - CIN FD - 37.66 DK - 20.83 First of all, this is a big park downgrade for Musgrove but as I mentioned above we are short on options tonight so talent wins out. The year started off with a bang as he shutout Arizona over six innings followed by a no-hitter against Texas and then three more starts holding opponents to just five total earned runs. After a couple of rough outings, he has been consistent since posting a 1.57 ERA over his last eight starts and has gone at least six innings in three straight. He has provided a high floor all season and despite a smaller slate the price has actually come back down making him a top PTS/$ option and my favorite SP2 on the slate. Catcher/First Base Vladimir Guerrero Jr. FD 4700 DK 5900 Opponent - SEA (Justus Sheffield) Park - SEA FD - 16.14 DK - 12.24 There are really only two ways to go at first base it seems like on a nightly basis. You either pay up for pitching and scatter value bats throughout your lineup or find some value pitching and load up on bats. If paying up, there is really only one option and it's Valddy Jr who comes in with hits in nine straight including five multi-hit efforts, and has arguably been the MVP of the league with a .344/.446/.685 slash line. Unlike a year ago, he has really crushed lefties as well and is in play...

DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Tuesday 6/29/21 Now’s your chance to get DFSR PRO, which will give you access to our MLB, NBA, PGA, NHL, and NFL optimizers and our new player lab! Get started for free by clicking the button below. START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW! Pitchers Brandon Woodruff FD - P 11400 DK - SP 11000 Opponent - CHC (Zach Davies) Park - MIL FD - 38.06 DK - 21.26 The Cubs run into an absolute buzzsaw this series facing the Brewers top pitching and they face arguably the best of the bunch in Woodruff tonight. He has been one of the best pitchers in baseball on the season with the 3rd best ERA(1.89) and xFIP(2.81) among qualified pitchers. He just doesn't give up a ton of contact or walk many batters(.76 WHIP) giving him a high floor and also provides a ton of upside with a 31% K rate facing a Cubs team that has struck out over 30% of the time over the past few weeks. Easily my top pitcher in all formats on this slate. Jose Urquidy FD - P 9500 DK - SP 9900 Opponent - BAL (Undecided) Park - HOU FD - 36.65 DK - 19.11 The price is on the rise but it's most definitely warranted as Urquidy has been terrific since returning from injury going 3-1 with a 3.45 ERA/3.50 xFIP and has seen the K #'s rise substantially since the start of the season. He now gets an elite matchup against a struggling Orioles team that has dropped 16 of their last 18 games while scoring just an average 3.1 runs per game and striking out 27% of the time. With a larger slate and tons of value bats, it won't be hard to pair Urquidy with another top pitcher making him my favorite SP2 on this slate and is close to my favorite PTS/$ option on FanDuel. Catcher/First Base Yuli Gurriel FD - 1B 3000 DK - 1B 5300 Opponent - BAL (Undecided) Park - HOU FD - 13.52 DK - 9.85 First article of the week for me so of course, I am going to start off with one of my favorite DFS plays this season in Yuli Gurriel. He has been great all season(.333/.396/.517 slash) and it's also hard to ignore the short-term as he went into Monday night's game hitting .386 in June with a .406 wOBA and 164 wRC+. DraftKings is catching up in terms of pricing but he is still 7th in pricing but the real value lies on FanDuel where he is still $3K. I will have exposure in all formats. Nate Lowe FD - 1B 2700 DK - 1B 4200...

DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Monday, 6/28/21 Now’s your chance to get DFSR PRO, which will give you access to our MLB, NBA, PGA, NHL, and NFL optimizers and our new player lab! Get started for free by clicking the button below. START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW!   Pitchers Freddy Peralta FD 9500 DK 10500 Opponent - CHC (Kyle Hendricks) Park - CHC FD - 43.48 DK - 24.69 Of the ace-level pitchers going today, Peralta has by far the most appealing match-up. The Cubs are basically a league-average team in terms of wOBA, but with the 4th highest K rate in the Majors they represent a lot of DFS upside for a starting pitcher. Peralta, meanwhile, has been outrageously good this season, with his electric stuff seamlessly translating from the bullpen to the starting rotation. With a 12.67 K/9, the sky is the limit for him here. Zack Greinke FD 8700 DK 9800 Opponent - BAL (Thomas Eshelman) Park - BAL FD - 38.37 DK - 20.12 If you want a steady option with nearly guaranteed win upside, consider Zack Greinke. The Ks are down this season, but Greinke is a -286 favorite against the Orioles, who are just .010 wOBA points away from dead last in the Majors. Greinke doesn't have huge upside, but you're picking him for his floor here. If you can afford to pay up for two pitchers, I strongly prefer Trevor Bauer over Lucas Giolito today. Catcher/First Base José Abreu FD 3500 DK 5100 Opponent - MIN (Kenta Maeda) Park - MIN FD - 11.13 DK - 8.42 It's been a rather slow start to the season for Abreu, but the peripherals seem to support him heading back on track soon. He's running .043 BABIP points below his career levels in spite of no discernable change in his hard-hit percentage, and our model believes that should correct by the end of the season. As for Maeda, it looks for all the world like last season was an aberration, as he's drifted back into being a league-average pitcher with a proclivity to give up the long ball. I like Abreu a lot on a day where first base is shallower than usual. Luke Voit FD - 1B 2600 DK - Opponent - LAA (Dylan Bundy) Park - NYY FD - 12.56 DK - 10.15 Voit has been seeing more reps in the deadly Yankees lineup, but the price has yet to catch up. Voit hasn't been able to produce at the stratospheric levels we've seen in the past, but this is still plenty of bat if he's batting sixth or better against Dylan Bundy today. Vegas loves the Yankees thanks to Bundy's inability...

DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Sunday 6/27/21 Now’s your chance to get DFSR PRO, which will give you access to our MLB, NBA, PGA, NHL, and NFL optimizers and our new player lab! Get started for free by clicking the button below. START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW! Pitchers Max Scherzer FD - P 11200 DK - SP 10700 Opponent - MIA (Sandy Alcantara) Park - MIAFD - 45.1 DK - 25.26 Joe Girardi’s histrionics aside, Scherzer doesn’t seem like he’s had any issues with the no grip rules and he’s been pretty awesome again this season. He’s once again striking out more than 12 batters per nine this season and the xFIP is still sitting in the low-3’s. He’s not an overwhelming favorite in this game against the Marlins, but he’s the best arm going on the main slate of games. The Marlins are the second-worst offense in the league this season with a .294 team wOBA. Despite lower win odds than normal, I still think Scherzer is the cash game play for this slate. Jake Odorizzi FD - P 7600 DK - SP 6900 Opponent - DET (Tarik Skubal) Park - DETFD - 32.22 DK - 17.25 Odorizzi has had an injury-shortened season so far but the peripherals, when on the mound, have been solid. He’s striking out 29% of the batters he’s faced and the walk rate is the second-lowest number he’s sported over the last five years. His 3.53 xFIP is more than a run lower than the 4.75 ERA and he’s had some LOB% issues along the way. He’s a -185 road favorite against the Tigers and I think the price is such that he’s a SP2 option on DraftKings for sure. Ryan Yarbrough (FD $7500 DK $9200) might be an okay option on FanDuel in this matchup. Catcher/First Base Yuli Gurriel FD - 1B 3300 DK - 1B 4900 Opponent - DET (Tarik Skubal) Park - DETFD - 15.04 DK - 11.53 Tarik Skubal isn’t showing quite the promise expected from him coming out of the minors and is really struggling with his control. Gurriel meanwhile has put it all together so far this season with low-.900s OPS thanks to a dramatically increased walk rate (10%) and 10 home runs already. He’s mispriced on FanDuel especially hitting in the middle of the order. The platoon numbers are slightly better against lefties for his career and the Astros are in a good spot here. Nate Lowe FD - 1B 2800 DK - 1B 4300 Opponent - KC (Brady Singer) Park - TEXFD - 11.11 DK - 8.41 Lowe is locked into the two spot in the Rangers’ lineup and has actually had a pretty...