DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Sunday 7/11/21 - Main slate Now’s your chance to get DFSR PRO, which will give you access to our MLB, NBA, PGA, NHL, and NFL optimizers and our new player lab! Get started for free by clickiang the button below. START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW! Pitchers Brandon Woodruff FD - P 11200 DK - SP 10000 Opponent - CIN (Luis Castillo) Park - MILFD - 43.44 DK - 24.93 The Reds are a really good offense this season which makes this something of a more questionable play. But it’s tough to look at Woodruff’s numbers and not just basically run him sight unseen. He’s striking out 10.5 batters per nine and he limits the walks as well. His 2.91 xFIP is among the best of the league and he’s running even better on the ERA. He’s been among the best WAR pitchers in the league this season and even with a bad matchup, he makes for the best cash game arm on the slate. José Berríos FD - P 9900 DK - SP 8000 Opponent - DET (Wily Peralta) Park - MINFD - 35.4 DK - 19.47 The Tigers rank in the bottom third of the league in team offense with a .304 wOBA. And they strike out more than 27% of the time as well, giving Berrios big-time K upside in this matchup. Berrios is having one of the best seasons of his career with a 3.52 xFIP that would be his best number over the last six seasons. He’s striking out more than a batter per inning and been able to get the walks back to what he was doing in 2019. He’s a -215 home favorite which gives him the best win probability on the slate. Catcher/First Base José Abreu FD - 1B 3600 DK - 1B 5900 Opponent - BAL (Spenser Watkins) Park - BALFD - 14.73 DK - 11.14 For the second day in a row, you are going to see a bunch of White Sox bats in this writeup. That’s what happens when you get a team facing a middling arm who doesn’t project to strike anyone out. That’s the case with Spenser Watkins who has a low ERA in his first few innings but hasn’t had swing and miss stuff at almost any level. Abreu’s power numbers and OPS are down this season, but that’s somewhat keeping the price in check and he’s got such a good matchup here. Trey Mancini FD - 1B 2900 DK - 1B 4400 Opponent - CHW (Dylan Cease) Park - BALFD - 11.56 DK - 8.79 Mancini hit second in the order for the Orioles on Saturday and could be...

DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Saturday 7/10/21 Now’s your chance to get DFSR PRO, which will give you access to our MLB, NBA, PGA, NHL, and NFL optimizers and our new player lab! Get started for free by clicking the button below. START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW! Pitchers Afternoon Lucas Giolito FD - P 9600 DK - SP 10300 Opponent - BAL (Thomas Eshelman) Park - BALFD - 36.26 DK - 19.76 Giolito has an xFIP more than half a run lower than his ERA (3.65) and is striking out almost 11 batters per nine on the season. He’s a -192 road favorite against the Orioles and I’m only a little concerned about the 10 over/under that opens here. That being said, he’s the best high-upside K guy on this slate. Anthony DeSclafani FD - P 8200 DK - SP 9500 Opponent - WSH (Jon Lester) Park - SFFD - 29.75 DK - 15.49 DeSclafani isn’t as good as the sub-3 ERA would suggest, but he’s still put together a very good season so far. He’s striking out about a batter an inning and has been able to keep the runs in check because he’s a fly ball pitcher in a huge pitchers park. He is allowing a 48% flyball rate which plays perfectly in San Francisco and comes into this game as a -180 home favorite against the Nationals. Pitching is on the weaker side for this slate. Evening Freddy Peralta FD - P 9900 DK - SP 9200 Opponent - CIN (Vladimir Gutierrez) Park - MILFD - 42.29 DK - 24.23 Peralta is putting up huge strikeout numbers this season, putting down 12.5 batters per nine on the season. This isn’t a great matchup against the Reds who have a good offense, but he is still tough to pass up considering what he can get you for the upside. He’s a -190 home favorite here with an over/under of 9. The price isn’t reflective of what he can dial up with the strikeouts. Walker Buehler FD - P 10400 DK - SP 9600 Opponent - ARI (Caleb Smith) Park - LADFD - 40.08 DK - 22.03 Buehler enters the evening slate as a -260 favorite against the Diamondbacks who are among the worst teams in the league on offense. They rank 26th in team wOBA this season and are striking out around 24% of the time. Buehler has seen the Ks dip a little bit this season down to about a strikeout an inning, but he is still rocking decent peripherals. The xFIP is about a run higher than the ERA but he is still a borderline ace. On the evening slate he is the best...

DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Friday 7/9/21 Now’s your chance to get DFSR PRO, which will give you access to our MLB, NBA, PGA, NHL, and NFL optimizers and our new player lab! Get started for free by clicking the button below. START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW! Pitchers Charlie Morton FD 10000 DK 9600 Opponent - MIA (Zach Thompson) Park - MIA FD - 34.54 DK - 18.93 This very well may be the worst pitching slate of the season and makes our decision to fade a high-priced ace very easy as there aren't any. We still have to roster a pitcher(two on DraftKings) and for me, it starts with Charlie Morton who has been providing nice PTS/$ value but now gets a monster price which is mostly relative to the options on this slate. While he did get hit around by these very Marlins in his last start, the matchup is on the plus side as they do rank bottom 10 in almost all offensive categories. This game also has the lowest total(7.5) on the slate and with strikeouts being king Morton gives us a 5-7 K floor. All things considered, he is my top pitcher on this slate and in play in all formats. Taijuan Walker FD - P 9500 DK - SP 9000 Opponent - PIT (JT Brubaker) Park - NYM FD - 34.68 DK - 18.72 Walker got pushed up a day due to a rainout yesterday and has been terrific lately holding opponents to two or fewer earned runs in four of his last five starts(2.90 ERA/3.10 xFIP) with a 30% K rate. The Pirates don't strike out a lot(22% vs. RH pitching) which does limit the upside here but overall they rank as a bottom 5-10 offense giving Walker a nice PTS/$ floor in the $9K range on both sites. Kenta Maeda FD - P 7300 DK - SP 7100 Opponent - DET (Matt Manning) Park - MIN FD - 29.85 DK - 15.93 With an overall lack of serviceable options on this slate, I was a little surprised to see Maeda as a -205 favorite in the low $7K range on DraftKings. His first half has been a complete roller coaster ride but the good news is that he is coming off his best start of the season going six innings in KC allowing just two hits and no runs while striking out 10 and walking just one. If he limits the walks, he can easily get into the 6th inning giving him a very high PTS/$ floor and ceiling. Lock in the value at SP2 in all formats. Catcher/First Base Matt Olson FD 3700 DK 5400 Opponent - TEX (Jordan...

DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Thursday 7/8/21 Now’s your chance to get DFSR PRO, which will give you access to our MLB, NBA, PGA, NHL, and NFL optimizers and our new player lab! Get started for free by clicking the button below. START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW! Pitchers Taijuan Walker FD - P 9500 DK - SP 8400 Opponent - PIT (JT Brubaker) Park - NYM FD - 33.32 DK - 18.1 Not going to lie. I am getting tired of being burned by elite-priced pitching and making the decision to fade those top ones is much easier tonight as they are facing each other(Max vs. Yu). I will be going with a much more balanced approach and it starts with Walker who has been terrific lately holding opponents to two or fewer earned runs in four of his last five starts(2.90 ERA/3.10 xFIP) with a 30% K rate. The Pirates don't strike out a lot(22% vs. RH pitching) but rank as a bottom-five offense overall leading to the Mets being big -195 favorites and Walker one of my favorite pitchers on this slate. Alek Manoah FD - P 10300 DK - SP 6800 Opponent - BAL (Keegan Akin) Park - BAL FD - 33.44 DK - 18.38 This is mostly a DraftKings-only play as he is massively underpriced, especially considering the rookie is coming off his best start of the season. It was also his longest outing(7 IP) and against a tough Rays team that he struck out 10 times. He now has a season-low price tag(since his debut) facing a bottom 10 offense in the Orioles who are also much worse against righties with an 84 wRC+ and 25% K rate. Manoah is my top, and likely chalk, SP2 on DraftKings and makes a nice high upside/low owned GPP pivot on FanDuel. Catcher/First Base Vladimir Guerrero Jr. FD - 1B 4700 DK - 1B 6000 Opponent - BAL (Keegan Akin) Park - BAL FD - 16.83 DK - 12.77 The Blue Jays are like a super team tonight as they are easily the highest projected offense and despite being very expensive aren't too hard to fit if using Manoah as your SP2. While the lineup is stacked top to bottom it revolves around Valddy who is having an MVP-like first half hitting .344 with 28 home runs and 72 RBI. He and the Jays now get a matchup against a struggling Keegan Akin who has given up 6+ hits and 4+ earned runs in four straight starts. If you needed more convincing, Vladdy has destroyed lefties to the tune of a .409 wOBA and 159 wRC+. You know what to do! Eric Haase FD - C...

DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Wednesday 7/7/21 - Main Slate Now’s your chance to get DFSR PRO, which will give you access to our MLB, NBA, PGA, NHL, and NFL optimizers and our new player lab! Get started for free by clicking the button below. START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW! Pitchers Chris Paddack FD 7600 DK 8700 Opponent - WSH (Patrick Corbin) Park - WSHFD - 31.43 DK - 16.92 Paddack is about a run better than his 4.56 ERA with a 3.55 xFIP on the season. He’s run bad on the LOB% which has driven up the ERA some but is still solid on the peripherals with a 4.4:1 K:BB ratio and he’s also inducing groundballs at around a 43% rate. He’s a -170 home favorite against the Nationals on Wednesday evening, a solid win expectation on a slate without much in the way of stud arms. The Nats aren’t a great matchup, but the pitching options are fantastic either. Alex Wood FD 8300 DK 8500 Opponent - STL (Johan Oviedo) Park - STLFD - 35.38 DK - 19.22 Alex Wood is having his best season since 2018 with a 3.59 xFIP and 9.55 Ks per nine while also keeping the walks mostly down. Like Paddack, he’s a -172 home favorite against the Cardinals, but the latter is a better matchup than the Nationls, ranking in the bottom-third in team offense this season. Catcher/First Base Vladimir Guerrero Jr. FD 4600 DK 5900 Opponent - BAL (Matt Harvey) Park - BALFD - 16.17 DK - 12.27 Since we aren’t going to be paying through the nose for pitching on this evening slate, I think we can easily target some of the expensive Jays bats on this slate. And what better way to start than Vlad Jr? He’s having an MVP-like season to start off with a 1.100+ OPS and 27 home runs already. It’s a breakout campaign to say the least and he’s putting together one of the best age-22 seasons you’ll ever see. Against Matt Harvey, one of the leagues gas cans, this is great place to start cash games. Yuli Gurriel FD 3300 DK 4800 Opponent - OAK (Sean Manaea) Park - OAKFD - 13.05 DK - 10.01 Gurriel doesn’t get a great matchup with Manaea, but that is ok in this situation considering the price and what the former is doing this season. Yule has an .885 OPS on the season thanks to some power (10 home runs) but his patience as well. He is walking (11%) more than he’s striking out (9%) which is a feat in and of itself. He’s been much better against lefties this season with a 1.000 OPS in that...