DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Friday 7/30/21 Now’s your chance to get DFSR PRO, which will give you access to our MLB, NBA, PGA, NHL, and NFL optimizers and our new player lab! Get started for free by clicking the button below. START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW! Pitchers Corbin Burnes FD - P 11200 DK - RP 10200 Opponent - ATL (Touki Toussaint) Park - ATL FD - 37.75 DK - 20.86 It is very close for me at the top tonight so I will lean on the projections which favor Burnes and by a fairly wide margin. While both have been extremely consistent all season, Burnes gives us so much more in terms of strikeouts with almost a 10% higher K rate and 4% higher swinging strike rate. The Braves are just league average(100 wRC+) against righties but they strike out 25% of time. All things considered, Burnes is my #1 pitcher in all formats. José Berríos FD - P 9000 DK - SP 8100 Opponent - STL (Wade LeBlanc) Park - STL FD - 33.96 DK - 18.42 Once again we have options at SP2 on DraftKings. You can fairly easily pair Lynn and Burnes with all the value on this full slate but if you want more room for bats, I like this spot for Berrios who has seen his price trend back down into the low $8K range. This gives him a high floor and ceiling as he has hit 2x value on DraftKings in eight of his last 10 starts and hit 3x or more in four of those. The matchup isn't at the top of my list but the Cards have been slightly worse against righties(.299 wOBA/88 wRC+) so all things considered, Berrios is my favorite mid-tier value tonight. Catcher/First Base Joey Votto FD 4200 DK 4700 Opponent - NYM (Carlos Carrasco) Park - NYM FD - 9.21 DK - 6.91 This one fits right into the "ride the hot hand" narrative as Votto has been out of this world since the All-Star break. He has now homered in six straight games and has nine in 13 since the break to go along with a .375 average. His price on FanDuel shot up to the point where we really have to contemplate using him in cash button DraftKings, he is still under $5K and will be a core play for me in all formats. Rowdy Tellez FD 2300 DK 2600 Opponent - ATL (Touki Toussaint) Park - ATL FD - 10.36 DK - 7.8 While not quite on the same level as Votto, Rowdy also comes in red-hot with hits in six straight games including four long balls, and has been a...

DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Thursday 7/29/21 - Main Slate Now’s your chance to get DFSR PRO, which will give you access to our MLB, NBA, PGA, NHL, and NFL optimizers and our new player lab! Get started for free by clicking the button below. START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW! Pitchers Freddy Peralta FD - P 9700 DK - SP 10000 Opponent - PIT (Chad Kuhl) Park - PIT FD - 38.87 DK - 22.08 He was limited in his last start due to a prolonged break between starts but is expected back to full go on Thursday and is in a great spot. He has been extremely consistent all season holding opponents to two or fewer earned runs in 16 of 18 starts for an elite 2.29 ERA and added a ton of upside with a 35% K rate. He now faces a Pirates team that is dead last in runs scored, 27th in wOBA, and 28th in wRC+ on the season. Unless more news comes out about a limit, Peralta is my top pitcher on this main slate on both sites. Joe Musgrove FD - P 8400 DK - SP 8200 Opponent - COL (Kyle Freeland) Park - SD FD - 35.86 DK - 19.44 After a shaky first start out of the ASB, Musgrove bounced back with his longest outing(6 IP) in a month and despite the low strikeout count(4) was still able to give us more than 2x and 4x returns on DraftKings and FanDuel. It has been a roller coaster ride and there are some red flags but I do like the price on this small slate given the matchup vs. the Rockies who are dead last in road offense by a wide margin. I will have exposure in all formats. Catcher/First Base Rowdy Tellez FD 2200 DK 2600 Opponent - PIT (Chad Kuhl) Park - PIT FD - 10.72 DK - 8.06 First base is a bit of a mess tonight with Vladdy in a potential rain game in Boston and my other favorite in Jonathan Schoop is likely out with back tightness after being scratched last night. As of now, I will be going the value route and riding the hot hand in Rowdy Tellez who has hits in five straight including three multi-hit efforts and three home runs. The savings makes this a great option if you are paying up for pitching like me. If you have the salary also consider: Vladimir Guerrero Jr.(TOR) if the rain goes away and the game is a full-go or Shohei Ohtani(LAA) who has heated back up with hits in five straight including three multi-hit efforts Second Base Kolten Wong FD - 2B 3000...

DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Wednesday 7/28/21 - Main slate Now’s your chance to get DFSR PRO, which will give you access to our MLB, NBA, PGA, NHL, and NFL optimizers and our new player lab! Get started for free by clickiang the button below. START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW! Pitchers Zack Wheeler FD 10600 DK 10300 Opponent - WSH (Patrick Corbin) Park - PHIFD - 41.63 DK - 22.75 Wheeler has turned in a borderline Cy Young worthy season so far with a 2.74 xFIP that’s only slightly worse than the 2.37 ERA. He’s striking out more than 30% of the batters he’s faced and has a 5.3:1 K:BB ratio. The Nats have been hit with some Covid issues and Wheeler is a -202 home favorite in this one. I think he’s the chalk pitcher on the main slate and it is for good reason. He’s been awesome this season. Andrew Heaney FD 7600 DK 7400 Opponent - COL (Chi Chi González) Park - ANAFD - 34.1 DK - 18.63 Don’t let the 5.32 ERA fool you, Heaney has been much, much better than that this season. He’s been hurt some by an elevated BABIP and the 67% LOB% shows some signs of running bad. The 3.83 xFIP is more in line with his peripherals which have him striking out 10.74 batters per nine and walking only 2.86. He’s a -200 home favorite against the lowly Rockies and makes the perfect DraftKings SP2 on this slate. Catcher/First Base José Abreu FD 3600 DK 5000 Opponent - KC (Kris Bubic) Park - KCFD - 13.62 DK - 10.3 Get ready to see a lot of White Sox on this slate with them facing off against Bubic. They have, for now, the highest implied run line on the slate and for good reason. Abreu hasn’t been able to recreate his 2019 or 2020 season at the plate this time around with the power numbers dipping somewhat dramatically, but he’s still been great against lefties for his entire career. In that split, Abreu has a .922 OPS and 148 wRC+. The price is a little steep on DraftKings especially, but there is a strong case for paying up. J.T. Realmuto FD 3500 DK 4600 Opponent - WSH (Patrick Corbin) Park - PHIFD - 12.79 DK - 9.68 Patrick Corbin is now a shell of his former self and the Phillies are big-time favorites in this game. Realmuto isn’t putting up quite the same power numbers he’s had in the past, but there is still some pop in the bat and he will steal a base or two as well. He’s been basically platoon neutral for his career, so there isn’t...

DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Tuesday 7/27/21 - Main slate Now’s your chance to get DFSR PRO, which will give you access to our MLB, NBA, PGA, NHL, and NFL optimizers and our new player lab! Get started for free by clickiang the button below. START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW! Pitchers Julio Urías FD 8700 DK 9000 Opponent - SF (Logan Webb) Park - SFFD - 36.18 DK - 19.18 This is a good day for starting pitching with a number of solid options near the top of the food chain. It will be close among some of these upper price tier arms. Urias has the worst matchup among some of them against the Giants, which isn’t great, but you have to love the strides he’s made with his control this season among other things. The 5:1 K:BB ratio is elite and he has a 3.63 xFIP. The win odds aren’t amazing, but they really aren’t for anyone on this slate who’d you feel comfortable putting into cash games. Lance McCullers Jr. FD 10500 DK 10400 Opponent - SEA (Chris Flexen) Park - SEAFD - 36.87 DK - 20.52 McCullers comes in as a -148 road favorite against the Mariners. Seattle ranks third-to-last in the league in team offense this season with a .296 wOBA. And they strike out a league-high 27% of the time as well. This is a near-perfect matchup for McCullers who has some series swing-and-miss stuff when he is dialed in. He’s striking out almost 11 batters per nine with his biggest issue being the walks. He allows almost 4.5 free passes per nine, a number that sometimes keeps him from going longer into outings. But, as stated, the matchup is just too good here and he’s an excellent cash game option. On the cheaper side, Dane Dunning (FD $7700 DK $6400) makes for a good DraftKings SP2 option. Catcher/First Base Yuli Gurriel FD 2900 DK 4200 Opponent - SEA (Chris Flexen) Park - SEAFD - 13.03 DK - 9.99 Gurriel is a DFSR staple and for good reason. He walks (10%) as much as he strikes out (10%) good for an 80% contact rate. And there’s been some power there as well and his OPS is sitting in the mid-800s range. And he’s a near-guarantee to have the ball in play a lot here with Flexen striking out fewer than six batters per nine over his career. Gurriel just remains way too cheap on FanDuel considering his plate discipline and three-spot in the Astros’ lineup. J.T. Realmuto FD 3400 DK 5000 Opponent - WSH (Erick Fedde) Park - WSHFD - 13.18 DK - 9.97 While we usually don’t recommend catchers in this slot,...

DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Monday 7/26/21 Now’s your chance to get DFSR PRO, which will give you access to our MLB, NBA, PGA, NHL, and NFL optimizers and our new player lab! Get started for free by clicking the button below. START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW! Pitchers Shohei Ohtani FD - P 11000 DK - SP 9200 Opponent - COL (German Márquez) Park - LAA FD - 38.55 DK - 20.5 While his bat has been a bit cold(.214 average) since the break, he came out firing in his first start going six inning against the A's allowing just three hits on and no runs while striking out eight. He also comes in having held opponents to two or fewer earned runs in nine of his last 11 starts and has lowered his ERA to 3.21 on the season backed up by a nice 3.58 xFIP, as well. He now gets a terrific matchup against the Rockies who are the worst road team in the league with an ugly .262 wOBA and .106 ISO. The $11K price tag on FanDuel is a bit much in cash but on DraftKings, he is easily my top pitcher in all formats. Wade Miley FD - P 9600 DK - SP 8600 Opponent - CHC (Kyle Hendricks) Park - CHC FD - 30.64 DK - 16.46 For the second pitcher on DraftKings, it will really come down to how much value pops up when lineups come out. If the value is limited, I will be turning Wade Miley who is having an excellent season in Cincy with a 2.72 ERA/3.74 xFIP. While the K upside is somewhat limited(19.8%), he provides a very solid floor going deep into games(6+ IP in 7 straight) and he has also limited opponents to two or fewer earned runs in 14 of 17 starts. He gets a bit of a boost to the K's as the Cubs strike out 25% of the time vs. lefties and 26% of the time overall and have also been about 15% below average in terms of creating runs out of the ASB. All things considered, I love the safety he provides, and he is an excellent SP2 option on DraftKings. Also Consider: Luis Garcia(HOU) on FanDuel at $1K discount from Ohtani and he also makes a nice pairing with Ohtani on DraftKings keeping you under $20K for pitchers Catcher/First Base José Abreu FD - 1B 3700 DK - 1B 5200 Opponent - KC (Mike Minor) Park - KC FD - 12.21 DK - 9.23 If you are paying up at first there are two options for me, in cash games, I lean Abreu over Vladdy because of the massive price...