DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Monday 9/27/21
DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Monday 9/27/21 Now’s your chance to get DFSR PRO, which will give you access to our MLB, NBA, PGA, NHL, and NFL optimizers and our new player lab! Get started for free by clicking the button below. START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW! Pitchers Cal Quantrill FD - P 10000 DK - SP 8600 Opponent - KC (Jackson Kowar) Park - CLE FD - 28.1 DK - 14.22 The pitching options are not pretty on this early slate which puts Quantrill right at the top of the projections by default. The good news is that he comes at a value price on DraftKings and has been terrific in the second half with a 1.76 ERA while averaging over six innings per start. While the Royals don't strike out a ton(3rd lowest K rate on the season) they are a below-average offense and 14% worse, in terms of wRC+, against righties. Fire up Quantrill in all formats. Chris Flexen FD - P 8600 DK - SP 8700 Opponent - OAK (Cole Irvin) Park - SEA FD - 28.91 DK - 15.36 The most important series for both teams starts tonight as they are not only battling each other but three other teams for those two wildcard spots. The Mariners have the one-game advantage and I have them gaining another game on Monday with Chris Flexen on the mound. While he lacks much upside striking out under seven per nine, he has been solid in his return to the MLB coming into tonight with a 3.56 ERA. He has faced Oakland four times this season and after giving up five earned runs in the first start, has held them to just four over the last three. Flexen is my top pitcher on Monday in all formats. Catcher/First Base José Abreu FD - 1B 3900 DK - 1B 4600 Opponent - DET (Matt Manning) Park - DET FD - 13.1 DK - 9.91 While the reigning AL MVP has lacked consistency this season(.265), he has been as productive as ever with 29 home runs and 113 RBI on the season. The White Sox are the top projected offense on the early slate and also gets a plus matchup vs. Matt Manning(5.73 ERA/5.16 xFIP) who has been slightly worse against righties with a .5.22 xFIP and .363 wOBA against. Abreu is in play in all formats, especially on DraftKings where his price stays suppressed despite the smaller slate. Ty France FD - 1B 3100 DK - 1B 4400 Opponent - OAK (Cole Irvin) Park - SEA FD - 9.81 DK - 7.49 The main slate is just two games and one is in Colorado which means a Coors...
DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Sunday, 9/26/21
DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Sunday, 9/26/21 Now’s your chance to get DFSR PRO, which will give you access to our MLB and NBA optimizers and our new player lab! Get started for free by clicking the button below. START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW! We have only one week left! What's bizarre about this time of the year is that we have numerous starters facing weird pitch counts. It's hard to know what to expect because of that volatility, but we're going to lean on many contenders to avoid any of that silliness. There's a lot to discuss, though, so let's kick things off with one of the best pitchers for one of the best teams in baseball! Pitchers Lucas Giolito FD - P 9500 DK - SP 10900 Opponent - CLE (Triston McKenzie) Park - CLE FD - 37.43 DK - 20.09 Giolito went from being underrated to overrated back to underrated. For some reason, no one talks about him when discussing the White Sox, but he's a major reason why they have the best record in the AL Central. The right-hander has a 3.70 ERA and 1.12 WHIP in yet another sparking year, bringing his three-year averages to a 3.54 ERA and 1.08 WHIP. That doesn't even include his ridiculous 29 percent K rate as well, making him a dangerous option against this terrible Indians offense. Cleveland currently ranks 21st in runs scored and 28th in OBP. That was on full display when Gio gobbled up seven scoreless innings in their one matchup earlier this season. John Means FD - P 8900 DK - SP 8200 Opponent - TEX (Dane Dunning) Park - BAL FD - 32.49 DK - 17.08 Means has been slumping a bit since the All-Star break, but it's hard to overlook numbers like his in a matchup like this. Let's kick things off by talking bout his opposition, with the Rangers ranked dead-last in wOBA, runs scored, and OBP. That makes them the best matchup in baseball, and we certainly believe Means can add to that. We say that because the left-hander has a 3.17 ERA and 0.97 WHIP for the season. Those brilliant averages look even better when you see that Means threw seven scoreless innings in his one matchup with Texas earlier this year, striking out nine batters in one of the best starts of his career. If you're looking for someone cheaper, Shane Baz is a -280 favorite against a team with the worst xwOBA in baseball. Not to mention, he's got a WHIP below 0.80 in over 80 innings this year between the minors and majors. Catcher/First Base Max Muncy FD - 1B 4000 DK - 1B 5100...
DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Saturday 9/25/21 – Afternoon and Main Slates
DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Saturday 9/25/21 - Afternoon and Main Slates Now’s your chance to get DFSR PRO, which will give you access to our MLB, NFL, PGA, NBA, and NHL optimizers and our new player lab! Get started for free by clicking the button below. START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW! Pitchers Afternoon Shane McClanahan FD 9600 DK 9800 Opponent - MIA (Sandy Alcantara) Park - MIAFD - 42.86 DK - 23.27 McClanahan and the Rays come into Saturday having already locked up a playoff spot and the top of the American League East. They don’t have much to play for here and it’s hard to imagine them pressing the righty a ton. But they are a -204 home favorite on the slate against a very weak Miami team. McClanahan has been excellent this season with a 3.23 xFIP while striking out more than 10.5 batters per nine. Coming under $10K on both sites is attractive even if you think the pitch count runs a little lower. Ranger Suárez (FD $8800 DK $6800) has been very good over his last six starts, allowing just seven earned runs in 35 innings in that stretch while striking out 38 and walking just eight. He’s a big (-282) home favorite against the Pirates. Main Corbin Burnes FD 11100 DK 10600 Opponent - NYM (Rich Hill) Park - NYMFD - 45.75 DK - 26.21 Corbin Burnes will probably end up on the outside looking in when it comes to the Cy Young award, currently sitting second to Max Scherzer in odds for the award. But it won’t have been for lack of trying. This guy has put up one of the great seasons, striking out 35.5% of the batters he’s faced, walking just 5%, and sporting a 2.31 xFIP. You just won’t see many better seasons than that. The 10-4 W-L record is what only really has him trailing Scherzer and that’s silly of course. These two should be basically tied. Burnes, as always, is an excellent play here. Catcher/First Base Afternoon Anthony Rizzo FD 3400 DK 4300 Opponent - BOS (Nick Pivetta) Park - BOSFD - 11.62 DK - 8.7 The Red Sox and Yankees are locked in a playoff battle and have, by far, the highest implied run line on this slate with a 10.5 over/under. Rizzo should be hitting second against the righty Pivetta. The former is tough to strike out, going down on strikes only 15% of the time this season and that number has dropped even more over the second half of the season since coming to the Yankees. His hard contact rate has been down this season, which has led to the OPS dip, but...
DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Friday 9/24/21
DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Friday 9/24/21 Now’s your chance to get DFSR PRO, which will give you access to our MLB, NBA, PGA, NHL, and NFL optimizers and our new player lab! Get started for free by clicking the button below. START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW! Pitchers José Berríos FD 9700 DK 9500 Opponent - MIN (Bailey Ober) Park - MIN FD - 35.62 DK - 19.45 We have quite the decision to make at pitcher tonight as Shane Bieber and Jack Flaherty are making returns from the IL, and Gerrit Cole and Frankie Montas in below-average matchups. For me, I like taking the discount and rolling with Jose Berrios as my top pitcher. He has been a welcome addition to the Jays posting a 3.39 ERA over 10 starts since coming over in a trade. He faces his old team for the second straight start and looked pretty good in the first one limiting them to just four hits. All things considered here, I will have exposure in all formats. Dylan Cease FD 9000 DK 9000 Opponent - CLE (Shane Bieber) Park - CLE FD - 36.2 DK - 19.33 I will be going with a fairly balanced approach at starting pitcher tonight and Dylan Cease is next in line. Outside of one rocky start(7 ER to BOS), he has been consistent in the second half averaging over 5.5 innings per start in the other 11 and does sit with an xFIP(3.60) that is nearly a half run lower than his ERA(4.06). What I have been enjoying the most is the rise in strikeouts as he is striking out(34.7%) 5% more than he did in the first half and that aligns with the matchup as Cleveland has struck out 26% of the time over the last two weeks. I do prefer Cease on FanDuel as he is $700 cheaper than Berrios and I will be pairing them together as my top pitchers on DraftKings. Catcher/First Base Brandon Belt FD 3800 DK 5300 Opponent - COL (Peter Lambert) Park - COL FD - 15.73 DK - 11.77 Buckle up for a heavy dose of the Giants in this article as they visit Coors Field where they have averaged 8.7 runs in six games this season. Let's tart at first base with Belt who, despite a lower average(.263), is having a tremendous season with 26 home runs, a .393 wOBA, and 150 wRC+. He has been even better down the stretch with hits in 15 of his last 18 games(.329/.434/.643 slash line) and now gets to take hacks in Coors. As the 7th most expensive player at the position, Belt is easily my top play at first in...
DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Thursday 9/23/21
DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Thursday 9/23/21 Now’s your chance to get DFSR PRO, which will give you access to our MLB, NBA, PGA, NHL, and NFL optimizers and our new player lab! Get started for free by clicking the button below. START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW! Pitchers Early Charlie Morton FD - P 8600 DK - SP 7500 Opponent - ARI (Madison Bumgarner) Park - ARI FD - 38.23 DK - 21.44 Max Scherzer is en route to a third CY Young award but it's Charlie Morton that stands out on this early slate with his near-season-low price tag on DraftKings. He has been consistent for the Braves and for fantasy all season with a 3.49 ERA/3.39 xFIP and has also provided a ton of upside with a 28.5% K rate. He and the Braves are big -190 favorites facing a D-backs team that ranks bottom five in almost all offensive categories in the second half. I will be pairing him with Max on DraftKings and have him as my top pitcher on FanDuel in all formats. Main Aaron Nola FD - P 9100 DK - SP 8500 Opponent - PIT (Connor Overton) Park - PHI FD - 32.46 DK - 17.52 Another smaller slate full of pitching at night and no other place to start than Aaron Nola who, like Morton, is at near season-low prices. Sure, there have been some blips on the radar but he is coming off one of his best starts of the second half striking out nine Mets, and has tallied 25 K's over his last three starts. While the Pirates don't K a ton which does lower his upside some, they have struggled to a 88 wRC+ and low .124 ISO over the last two weeks. At these prices, Nola is easily my top pitcher on the main slate. Catcher/First Base Early Albert Pujols FD - 1B 2500 DK - 1B 2600 Opponent - COL (Kyle Freeland) Park - COL FD - 12.03 DK - 9.14 The Dodgers face a lefty on Thursday afternoon and that means we are likely to see Pujols occupy first base and hit in the middle of the order. That is great news if you are wanting to pay up for Max and a couple of other expensive Dodgers bats as Pujols comes very cheap. At this point, he is a platoon hitter that does risk being pulled but he crushes lefties to the tune of a .404 wOBA, 157 wRC+, and .328 ISO. If starting, he will be a core play for me in all formats. Main Yuli Gurriel FD 3000 DK 4200 Opponent - LAA (Alex Cobb) Park - LAA FD - 13.26...