DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Thursday 8/18/22
DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Thursday 8/18/22 Now’s your chance to get DFSR PRO, which will give you access to our MLB, NBA, PGA, NHL, and NFL optimizers and our new player lab! Get started for free by clicking the button below. START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW! Pitchers Early Zac Gallen FD 10100 DK 8500 Opponent - SF (Logan Webb) Park - SF FD - 31.52 DK - 16.7 It is hard to get behind Heaney on this slate, even with the win equity, as he hasn't made it through five innings in four straight starts. Instead, I will save some money and roll with Zac Gallen who has been very consistent lately holding opponents to two or fewer earned runs in five of his last six starts(1.41 ERA/3.09 xFIP) including twice against today's opponent, the Giants. For fantasy, he has provided a 2x floor(on DK) in each of those starts and flashed big-time upside with 30+ DK points(3.5x at these prices) in three of those starts. All things considered, Gallen is my top pitcher on the early slate. Main Jacob deGrom FD 12000 DK 10300 Opponent - ATL (Max Fried) Park - ATL FD - 35.2 DK - 20.46 He still hasn't exceeded 76 pitches in any of his three starts but has still looked absolutely dominant allowing just six hits in 16.2 innings while striking out 28 of 56 batters he has faced. I would have to check but I don't remember any pitcher striking out 50% of batters he has faced over a three-start stretch and it is backed up by an insane 24.6% swinging strike rate. Since last facing deGrom, the Braves have been on a tear but I am not concerned with the fantasy floor here at all and there is still so much more upside should he finally get close to a full workload. Fire up deGrom in all formats. Also Consider Yu Darvish(SDP) who is a massive favourite(-380) against a Nats team that has seen their K rate spike since trading Juan Soto Catcher/First Base Early Paul Goldschmidt FD 4700 DK 5800 Opponent - COL (Antonio Senzatela) Park - COL FD - 11.23 DK - 8.51 This early slate has a very similar feel as the main slate last night and at least for the Cards, that is a good thing. They have a terrific balance of elite, top-priced plays and value at the top of the order which makes a partial or full-stack extremely viable. Goldy is right near the top of our projections and while the price is peaking on FanDuel, he still remains under $6K on DraftKings despite staying red-hot with hits in six of his last seven...
DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Wednesday 8/17/22
DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Wednesday, 8/17/22 Now’s your chance to get DFSR PRO, which will give you access to our MLB, NBA, PGA, NHL, and NFL optimizers and our new player lab! Get started for free by clicking the button below. START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW! Pitchers Carlos Rodón FD - P 10700 DK - SP 10800 Opponent - ARI (Zach Davies) Park - SF FD - 38.31 DK - 21.04 Rodon has quietly had a monster year in San Fran, and it'd be scary to see where this team would be at if he weren't throwing gems every time out. The former ChiSox pitcher has a 2.95 ERA and 1.06 WHIP this year, striking out 168 batters across 134 innings. Those are some of the best averages in DFS, with Rodon registering a 2.51 ERA, 0.92 WHIP, and 11.1 K/9 rate across his last 11 starts. He should be able to keep that form going at home against Arizona, with the Diamondbacks ranked 22nd in OBP, 21st in wOBA, and 23rd in xwOBA. That's why he's entering this matchup as a -210 favorite, with the D'Backs projected for just three runs. Cal Quantrill FD - P 8300 DK - SP 7000 Opponent - DET (Daniel Norris) Park - CLE FD - 36.19 DK - 18.13 Quantrill is not someone you'll get excited about, but this guy is really starting to mow down opposing bats. He's actually thrown 13 scoreless innings in his last two starts, shutting out the Blue Jays and Astros. Those are two of the best offenses in baseball, and we're obviously not worried about him facing a Detroit team that's bottom-three in every offensive category. Q has been feeling it much longer than that two-start stretch, tallying a 2.80 ERA and 0.99 WHIP across his last six starts. He's also allowed four runs or fewer in 20 of 22 starts this year, which gives him one of the highest floors of any player on this slate. Not to mention, he's a -230 favorite in this magical matchup! Max Scherzer (FD $11500 DK $11100) is one of the best pitchers in the sport and gets to face an Atlanta team with the second-worst K rate in baseball. Catcher/First Base Vladimir Guerrero Jr. FD - 1B 3900 DK - 1B 6100 Opponent - BAL (Austin Voth) Park - TOR FD - 14.99 DK - 11.29 Vladdy got off to a slow start this season, but the 2021 AL MVP frontrunner has been raking for well over a month now. He's got a hit in 25 of his last 27 games, providing a .345 AVG, .391 OBP, .600 SLG, and .992 OPS in that span. That's...
DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Tuesday 8/16/22
DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Tuesday 8/16/22 Now’s your chance to get DFSR PRO, which will give you access to our MLB, NBA, PGA, NHL, and NFL optimizers and our new player lab! Get started for free by clicking the button below. START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW! Pitchers Robbie Ray FD 10300 DK 9500 Opponent - LAA (José Suarez) Park - LAAFD - 39.87 DK - 21.83 Ray hasn’t put up quite the same strikeout numbers as he did before coming to Seattle, but the season has been fine enough on its own this time around. He’s still going close to six innings per start, has a 28% K% and hasn’t let the walks get too out of control. On Tuesday he gets the Angels as a -173 road favorite. LAA is only sitting at a 3.3 implied run line, one of the lowest on the slate and this lineup is pretty garbage outside of Ohtani. José Quintana FD 8400 DK 7800 Opponent - COL (Kyle Freeland) Park - COLFD - 37.22 DK - 19.12 There are a lot of good pitchers going on this slate so I can see the temptation in spending all the way up for an arm. But Quintana is in such a good spot at a cheaper price that I think you can go there in cash games. The Rockies are significantly worse away from home and come into this game with only a 3.0 implied run line. Quintana has some of the best win odds on the day at -240 and the matchup is just tough to pass up with the price. Catcher/First Base Vladimir Guerrero Jr. FD 3900 DK 5900 Opponent - BAL (Dean Kremer) Park - BALFD - 14.38 DK - 10.83 Alejandro Kirk FD 2800 DK 4500 Opponent - BAL (Dean Kremer) Park - BALFD - 12.86 DK - 9.76 The Blue Jays have the highest implied team run line on the slate and we are going to want to get these bats into lineups wherever possible. Facing off against Kremer has them in a good place seeing as how he has never really dialed up the strikeouts on the major league level. Vlad isn’t having the same kind of season he saw last year, but has still been excellent with 24 home runs, just a 16.7 K rate and an .858 OPS. He is expensive, but worth it in this matchup. And then there’s Kirk who’s seen the OPS drop off some but is still slated to hit third in this lineup which looks really good, especially at his FanDuel price. He’s put the ball in play about 80% of the time this season and is walking and...
DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Monday 8/15/22
DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Monday 8/15/22 Now’s your chance to get DFSR PRO, which will give you access to our MLB, NBA, PGA, NHL, and NFL optimizers and our new player lab! Get started for free by clicking the button below. START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW! Pitchers Gerrit Cole FD - P 11000 DK - SP 10100 Opponent - TB (Undecided) Park - NYY FD - 45.9 DK - 26.22 Cole got back to his dominant self in his last start against the Mariners holding them to four hits over seven innings while striking out eight and walking none. Oddly enough the price has come down to almost a season-low, at least on DraftKings, while entering the night as one of the biggest favourites on the board. He faces a Rays team that he has absolutely dominated all season holding them to just eight hits and two earned runs over three starts while striking out 29 batters(40%). Cole leads all pitchers in our projections and is an elite play in all formats. Joe Ryan FD - P 9000 DK - SP 7300 Opponent - KC (Kris Bubic) Park - MIN FD - 34.7 DK - 18.66 There is a path to paying up for both pitchers on this slate but I am jumping on the value train to get a huge upgrade in my bats and Joe Ryan leads the way. While he has gotten roughed up in two of his last three starts, I am not worried for several reasons starting with the fact those came against red-hot teams in the Padres and Dodgers. Those two starts also came on the road and Ryan has some very glaring home/road splits this season and has been elite at home with a 2.92 ERA(5.05 ERA on the road). Tonight he faces a Royals team that has been better in the second half in terms of wOBA and wRC+ but have also seen their K rate(23.3%) go up. All things considered, Ryan is my top SP2 on this slate. Catcher/First Base Vladimir Guerrero Jr. FD - 1B 4000 DK - 1B 6000 Opponent - BAL (Kyle Bradish) Park - TOR FD - 14.83 DK - 11.17 Vladdy's hit streak came to an end at 22 games on Sunday and while the power somewhat lacked(3 HR), he posted an elite .374/.424/.582 slash line during that time. This and the smaller slate explain the high price tag tonight but with Alonso and Freeman in much tougher matchups, Vladdy is easily the top pay-up option. He and the Jays also get a plus matchup against Kyle Bradish who has posted a 6.42 ERA over 13 starts and has given up at least...
DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Sunday, 8/14/22
DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Sunday, 8/14/22 I've been battling a nasty sickness all week, but I finally started feeling better on Saturday. That actually led to one of my better DFS days of the year, and I'm ready to keep rolling here. We have almost every team in action for this Sunday card, so let's get started with the pitching! Now’s your chance to get DFSR PRO, which will give you access to our MLB, NBA, PGA, NHL, and NFL optimizers and our new player lab! Get started for free by clicking the button below. START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW! Pitchers Cristian Javier FD - P 10600 DK - SP 8700 Opponent - OAK (Cole Irvin) Park - HOU FD - 41.65 DK - 22.56 The Astros have one of the best rotations in baseball, and Javier is a significant reason why. The 25-year-old has a 3.14 ERA and 1.05 WHIP this season but has really taken his game to another level recently. In fact, Javy has a 3.07 ERA, 0.97 WHIP, and 12.3 K/9 rate across his last 10 starts. That strikeout stuff makes him one of the best options in DFS, particularly in a matchup like this. The A's rank 29th or 30th in runs scored, OBP, OPS, wOBA, and xwOBA, with Christian allowing three runs or fewer in his last five starts against them. That has Javier and the Stros entering this matchup as a -260 favorite. Alex Wood FD - P 9200 DK - SP 9000 Opponent - PIT (Zach Thompson) Park - SF FD - 35.51 DK - 18.9 Wood got off to a terrible start this season, but he's really starting to find his stroke. The goofy left-hander allowed six runs to the Dodgers last week but allowed two runs or fewer in his other six starts since the end of June. Even with that one stinker, Wood has a 2.54 ERA, 0.90 WHIP, and 9.0 K/9 rate in that span. We can omit that LA result because everyone struggles against the Dodgers. Facing Pittsburgh is nothing like facing LA either, with the Pirates ranked 28th in xwOBA, OBP, and K rate. That's why Wood is a -230 favorite, with Pittsburgh projected for just 3.5 runs. Lance Lynn (FD $9000 DK $6800) is showing signs of life and should never be $6,800 against a 29th-ranked Tigers offense. Catcher/First Base C.J. Cron FD - 1B 4300 DK - 1B 5700 Opponent - ARI (Tommy Henry) Park - COL FD - 18.3 DK - 13.76 Cron is my favorite play of the day. This guy has become a stud since he put on a Rockies uniform and always plays well in these circumstances....