DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Sunday 8/30/20
DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Sunday 8/30/20 Now’s your chance to get DFSR PRO, which will give you access to our MLB and NBA optimizers and our new player lab! Get started for free by clicking the button below. START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW! This week has been crazier than most and that's saying something. The good news is that we appear to be back to normal here, with 10 games on this Sunday slate. There's actually one pitcher who stands above everyone else, so, let's kick things off with him. Pitchers Kenta Maeda FD 9700 DK 9400 Opponent - DET (Casey Mize) Park - DETFD - 36.2 DK - 20.09 Maeda has been one of the most dominant pitchers in the league this season and a stellar matchup against the Tigers makes him an easy pick. The right-hander is currently pitching to a 2.21 ERA and 0.71 WHIP across his first six starts of the season. That looks even better when you consider his 9.8 K/9 rate, making him super dangerous against an offense like the Tigers. Not only does Detroit rank 27th in OBP, the Motor City Kitties also own the worst K rate in the league. That has Maeda and the Twins entering this game as a -190 favorite and it appears everything is in his favor here. Tanner Roark FD 7200 DK 10600 Opponent - BAL (Jorge López) Park - BALFD - 33.04 DK - 16.57 Roark is quietly a really solid pitcher. These DFS sites keep his price low because he never goes off but he rarely gets blown up either. We're talking about a guy who hasn't allowed more than four runs in any start this season while generating a 3.73 ERA and 1.25 WHIP for his career. Those averages were even better than I expected and it makes him a solid option against the Orioles. While they're middle of the pack in most statistics so far this season, this is an offense that finished 26th in OPS last season and appears to be in for some negative regression. We also have Roark projected to be a -150 favorite in this game and that only adds to his value at this dirt-cheap price tag as a pitcher two option on DraftKings. Catcher/First Base José Abreu FD 4100 DK 5300 Opponent - KC (Kris Bubic) Park - KCFD - 9.92 DK - 7.54 How can we possibly fade Abreu right now? Over his last 11 games played, Abreu has four doubles, nine dingers and 18 RBI en route to a .500 OBP, 1.150 SLG and 1.650 OPS. That makes him the hottest hitter in baseball and it's scary to think that he has...
DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Saturday 8/29/20
DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Saturday 8/29/20 Now’s your chance to get DFSR PRO, which will give you access to our MLB and NBA optimizers and our new player lab! Get started for free by clicking the button below. START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW! This season was already crazy to begin with and things just keep getting more difficult for us DFS players. We weren't even sure there would be games on Friday with what happened on Thursday and then we hear that there's a 17-game slate. That's what happens when everyone is off and we might be in for a similar situation here. All of that means you need to monitor lineups before hitting the submit button, as there will surely be changes that could benefit our lineups. Pitchers Dylan Bundy FD - P 9100 DK - SP 10300 Opponent - SEA (Justus Sheffield) Park - LAA FD - 34.45 DK - 18.44 With the Angels rotation getting pushed back, it looks like Bundy is going to make the start here. That's big news in this terrible slate, as it gives us a number-one guy to key in on. It's really strange to call Bundy an ace but that's what he's developed into this season. In six starts this year, the right-hander is pitching to a 2.58 ERA, 0.89 WHIP and 29 percent K rate. Those are numbers you'd usually see from a Clayton Kershaw-type, making him hard to fade against one of the worst offenses in baseball. Not only does Seattle rank 25th in OBP and 24th in OPS, Bundy also enters this matchup as a projected -200 favorite. Luke Weaver FD - P 7100 DK - SP 7600 Opponent - SF (Trevor Cahill) Park - ARI FD - 29.79 DK - 15.64 I've been burned by the Giants a lot this season but this offense simply isn't as good as their showing so far. This is a club that ranked bottom-three in OBP, OPS and runs scored last season and it's just a matter of time before this weak lineup starts showing that form. We also like the fact that Weaver is starting to turn his season around, collecting a 2.53 ERA, 0.94 WHIP and 9.3 K/9 rate over his last two starts. One of those happened to come against these Giants and we'll bank on him at this cheap price tag to duplicate that performance. Catcher/First Base Pete Alonso FD - 1B 3600 DK - 1B 4400 Opponent - NYY (J.A. Happ) Park - NYY FD - 11.13 DK - 8.29 Alonso has hit a regression wall after an absurd 53-homer season last year and it's lowered his price to this intriguing number. This...
DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Thursday 8/27/20
DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Thursday 8/27/20 Now’s your chance to get DFSR PRO, which will give you access to our MLB, NBA, PGA, NHL, and NFL optimizers and our new player lab! Get started for free by clicking the button below. START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW! Pitchers Hyun-Jin Ryu FD 9100 DK 9700 Opponent - BOS (Chris Mazza) Park - BOS FD - 30.15 DK - 15.64 With Scherzer being more expensive on both sites while also struggling recently(9 ER last two starts) makes the decision at the top quite easy tonight, at least for cash games. Since struggling in his first two starts with his new team, Ryu has returned to his elite form allowing just 10 hits and three earned runs over his last four starts with a 24:5 strikeout to walk ratio. The jays are -170 favorites in this one against a Red Sox team that is below-average in almost every offensive stat. At a price under $10K on both sites, Ryu is my top pitcher on the main slate. Sixto Sánchez FD 6600 DK 5100 Opponent - NYM (Robert Gsellman) Park - NYM FD - 24.7 DK - 12.06 If you are not paying up for both Scherzer and Ryu on DraftKings, things get a little muddy but one punt I am into is Sixto Sanchez. He made his major league debut last Saturday against the defending champs and only need 66 pitches to get through five innings. While he did allow six hits and three earned runs, he didn't walk a batter and struck out four tallying 13.2 DK points. I see him getting upwards of 70+ pitches tonight and while a tough matchup vs. the Mets, he is only $5,100 making a 2x floor very attainable and also giving him some nice upside as well if things go right. Catcher/First Base Vladimir Guerrero Jr. FD 3200 DK 4300 Opponent - BOS (Chris Mazza) Park - BOS FD - 12.92 DK - 9.83 After a slow start to the season, Vlad is starting to heat up as he enters Thursday night with a nine-game hitting streak. The Jays are big favorites(-170), currently lead all teams in implied runs, hit in a great hitters park in Buffalo, and Vlad is still priced down a bit even on a small slate. All things considered, he is in play in all formats tonight. Matt Olson FD 3500 DK 5300 Opponent - TEX (Jordan Lyles) Park - TEX FD - 12.18 DK - 9.07 Olson is more expensive tonight and consistency isn't a word we throw around with him but the run production(10 HR, 22 RBI) cannot be ignored, especially in this matchup. The A's...
DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Wednesday 8/26/20
DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Wednesday 8/26/20 Now’s your chance to get DFSR PRO, which will give you access to our MLB, NBA, PGA, NHL, and NFL optimizers and our new player lab! Get started for free by clicking the button below. START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW! Pitchers Jacob deGrom FD - P 10700 DK - SP 11000 Opponent - MIA (Elieser Hernandez) Park - NYM FD - 41.16 DK - 23.23 We get two elite ace pitchers to choose from tonight and deGrom is getting the nod as my #1. Both pitchers have been terrific to start the year and have very similar stats in all areas(ERA, xFIP, K rate, WHIP) so let's turn to the matchup as this is where the big difference is for me tonight. Kershaw faces a Giants team that has not only been red-hot lately(147 wR+ last 7 days) but have the 6th lowest team K rate(21.3%) on the season. On the flip side, deGrom faces a Marlins lineup that has struck out 24.8% of the time(7th most) to start the season and is below average in almost every offensive stat. With a price that has reached a season-low combined with an elite matchup, deGrom is easily my top pitcher in all formats tonight. Dinelson Lamet FD - P 9300 DK - SP 8600 Opponent - SEA (Taijuan Walker) Park - SD FD - 33.05 DK - 18.39 Lamet has been on our radar all season and has been one of the most consistent PTS/$ arms in all of fantasy baseball. He has gone at least five innings all six starts and has only allowed more than one earned run once(two last start) this season, good for an elite 1.89 ERA. I do not expect this level of production to continue as he is running a very unsustainable .203 BABIP and 3.74 xFIP but in no way am I expecting a huge falloff and especially not tonight vs. the Mariners who have struggled a ton over the last couple weeks posting a .290 wOBA, 85 wRC+, and 25% K rate. Lamet is my favorite SP2 on DraftKings and is in play in all formats over on FanDuel allowing you some upgraded bats. Catcher/First Base Anthony Rizzo FD - 1B 3100 DK - 1B 5300 Opponent - DET (Michael Fulmer) Park - DET FD - 13.95 DK - 10.46 While the Cubs are right up there once again in terms of implied runs, they are very hard to trust in cash games as they have wildly inconsistent. With that said, I am going back to Rizzo on FanDuel where the price is much more reasonable in relation to his performance to start...
DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Monday 8/24/20
DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Monday 8/24/20 Now’s your chance to get DFSR PRO, which will give you access to our MLB, NBA, PGA, NHL, and NFL optimizers and our new player lab! Get started for free by clicking the button below. START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW! Pitchers I will preface the pitcher write-up by saying that I love the PTS/$ value with Flaherty tonight but he was limited to just 41 pitches in his first start back from the Cardinals COVID break and the expectation is he will be eased back in for two or three more starts. If that news changes on Monday, he will most definitely be the top pitcher in our optimized lineups. Trevor Bauer FD - P 12000 DK - SP 10200 Opponent - MIL (Brett Anderson) Park - MIL FD - 39.89 DK - 21.78 If Flaherty is limited again on Monday, I love going to Bauer as my top pitcher and the system agrees as he currently sits atop the raw points projections. He and the Reds are only -130 favorites, mostly due to being on the road, but get a plus matchup vs. a Brewers team that ranks bottom five in team wOBA(.292), wRC+(81), and strikeout rate(25.7%) on the season. For Bauer, it has been a huge bounce-back after he struggled at the end of the season(6.45 ERA) after being traded to the Reds. He has been dominant in 2020 allowing just eight hits over his first four starts with just two earned runs(.68 ERA) and while he is due for some regression(obviously) the xFIP is also sitting at an elite 2.60 on the season. On top of that, he has provided an insane amount of K upside(43.6%, 13.2% swinging-strike rate). All things considered, he is a great option in all formats. Casey Mize FD - P 6800 DK - SP 6200 Opponent - CHC (Alec Mills) Park - DET FD - 27.08 DK - 12.83 The 2018 first overall pick looked very good in his major league debut last Wednesday despite giving up three earned runs, two of which forced his exit in the fifth inning. He was rolling up to that point striking out seven and walking none and still ended up hitting 2x value on DraftKings. The good news tonight is that his price went down on DraftKings and he faces the other Chicago team who has been just league-average in almost all offensive categories and sit with the league's 2nd-worst strikeout rate(27.4%). With a price sitting below $7K on DraftKings, he is my favorite Sp2 in all formats and an excellent GPP option on FanDuel allowing you to load up on bats. Catcher/First Base Yuli Gurriel...