DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Friday 7/30/21 Now’s your chance to get DFSR PRO, which will give you access to our MLB, NBA, PGA, NHL, and NFL optimizers and our new player lab! Get started for free by clicking the button below. START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW! Pitchers Corbin Burnes FD - P 11200 DK - RP 10200 Opponent - ATL (Touki Toussaint) Park - ATL FD - 37.75 DK - 20.86 It is very close for me at the top tonight so I will lean on the projections which favor Burnes and by a fairly wide margin. While both have been extremely consistent all season, Burnes gives us so much more in terms of strikeouts with almost a 10% higher K rate and 4% higher swinging strike rate. The Braves are just league average(100 wRC+) against righties but they strike out 25% of time. All things considered, Burnes is my #1 pitcher in all formats. José Berríos FD - P 9000 DK - SP 8100 Opponent - STL (Wade LeBlanc) Park - STL FD - 33.96 DK - 18.42 Once again we have options at SP2 on DraftKings. You can fairly easily pair Lynn and Burnes with all the value on this full slate but if you want more room for bats, I like this spot for Berrios who has seen his price trend back down into the low $8K range. This gives him a high floor and ceiling as he has hit 2x value on DraftKings in eight of his last 10 starts and hit 3x or more in four of those. The matchup isn't at the top of my list but the Cards have been slightly worse against righties(.299 wOBA/88 wRC+) so all things considered, Berrios is my favorite mid-tier value tonight. Catcher/First Base Joey Votto FD 4200 DK 4700 Opponent - NYM (Carlos Carrasco) Park - NYM FD - 9.21 DK - 6.91 This one fits right into the "ride the hot hand" narrative as Votto has been out of this world since the All-Star break. He has now homered in six straight games and has nine in 13 since the break to go along with a .375 average. His price on FanDuel shot up to the point where we really have to contemplate using him in cash button DraftKings, he is still under $5K and will be a core play for me in all formats. Rowdy Tellez FD 2300 DK 2600 Opponent - ATL (Touki Toussaint) Park - ATL FD - 10.36 DK - 7.8 While not quite on the same level as Votto, Rowdy also comes in red-hot with hits in six straight games including four long balls, and has been a...

DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Thursday 7/29/21 - Main Slate Now’s your chance to get DFSR PRO, which will give you access to our MLB, NBA, PGA, NHL, and NFL optimizers and our new player lab! Get started for free by clicking the button below. START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW! Pitchers Freddy Peralta FD - P 9700 DK - SP 10000 Opponent - PIT (Chad Kuhl) Park - PIT FD - 38.87 DK - 22.08 He was limited in his last start due to a prolonged break between starts but is expected back to full go on Thursday and is in a great spot. He has been extremely consistent all season holding opponents to two or fewer earned runs in 16 of 18 starts for an elite 2.29 ERA and added a ton of upside with a 35% K rate. He now faces a Pirates team that is dead last in runs scored, 27th in wOBA, and 28th in wRC+ on the season. Unless more news comes out about a limit, Peralta is my top pitcher on this main slate on both sites. Joe Musgrove FD - P 8400 DK - SP 8200 Opponent - COL (Kyle Freeland) Park - SD FD - 35.86 DK - 19.44 After a shaky first start out of the ASB, Musgrove bounced back with his longest outing(6 IP) in a month and despite the low strikeout count(4) was still able to give us more than 2x and 4x returns on DraftKings and FanDuel. It has been a roller coaster ride and there are some red flags but I do like the price on this small slate given the matchup vs. the Rockies who are dead last in road offense by a wide margin. I will have exposure in all formats. Catcher/First Base Rowdy Tellez FD 2200 DK 2600 Opponent - PIT (Chad Kuhl) Park - PIT FD - 10.72 DK - 8.06 First base is a bit of a mess tonight with Vladdy in a potential rain game in Boston and my other favorite in Jonathan Schoop is likely out with back tightness after being scratched last night. As of now, I will be going the value route and riding the hot hand in Rowdy Tellez who has hits in five straight including three multi-hit efforts and three home runs. The savings makes this a great option if you are paying up for pitching like me. If you have the salary also consider: Vladimir Guerrero Jr.(TOR) if the rain goes away and the game is a full-go or Shohei Ohtani(LAA) who has heated back up with hits in five straight including three multi-hit efforts Second Base Kolten Wong FD - 2B 3000...

DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Monday 7/26/21 Now’s your chance to get DFSR PRO, which will give you access to our MLB, NBA, PGA, NHL, and NFL optimizers and our new player lab! Get started for free by clicking the button below. START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW! Pitchers Shohei Ohtani FD - P 11000 DK - SP 9200 Opponent - COL (German Márquez) Park - LAA FD - 38.55 DK - 20.5 While his bat has been a bit cold(.214 average) since the break, he came out firing in his first start going six inning against the A's allowing just three hits on and no runs while striking out eight. He also comes in having held opponents to two or fewer earned runs in nine of his last 11 starts and has lowered his ERA to 3.21 on the season backed up by a nice 3.58 xFIP, as well. He now gets a terrific matchup against the Rockies who are the worst road team in the league with an ugly .262 wOBA and .106 ISO. The $11K price tag on FanDuel is a bit much in cash but on DraftKings, he is easily my top pitcher in all formats. Wade Miley FD - P 9600 DK - SP 8600 Opponent - CHC (Kyle Hendricks) Park - CHC FD - 30.64 DK - 16.46 For the second pitcher on DraftKings, it will really come down to how much value pops up when lineups come out. If the value is limited, I will be turning Wade Miley who is having an excellent season in Cincy with a 2.72 ERA/3.74 xFIP. While the K upside is somewhat limited(19.8%), he provides a very solid floor going deep into games(6+ IP in 7 straight) and he has also limited opponents to two or fewer earned runs in 14 of 17 starts. He gets a bit of a boost to the K's as the Cubs strike out 25% of the time vs. lefties and 26% of the time overall and have also been about 15% below average in terms of creating runs out of the ASB. All things considered, I love the safety he provides, and he is an excellent SP2 option on DraftKings. Also Consider: Luis Garcia(HOU) on FanDuel at $1K discount from Ohtani and he also makes a nice pairing with Ohtani on DraftKings keeping you under $20K for pitchers Catcher/First Base José Abreu FD - 1B 3700 DK - 1B 5200 Opponent - KC (Mike Minor) Park - KC FD - 12.21 DK - 9.23 If you are paying up at first there are two options for me, in cash games, I lean Abreu over Vladdy because of the massive price...

DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Friday 7/23/21 Now’s your chance to get DFSR PRO, which will give you access to our MLB, NBA, PGA, NHL, and NFL optimizers and our new player lab! Get started for free by clicking the button below. START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW! Pitchers Zack Wheeler FD - P 10200 DK - SP 9800 Opponent - ATL (Max Fried) Park - PHI FD - 40.92 DK - 22.32 While we do get some ace pitchers tonight, the decision is tough as all of them have average-at-best matchups. At the time of writing of this, the system prefers Wheeler and I have to agree although it is splitting hairs. He is slightly cheaper than Cole on both sites and has a better ERA(2.44) and xFIP(2.73) while giving up fewer flyballs and hard contact. To split hairs even further he gets the better matchup against a Braves team who is without their star in Ronald Acuna. All things considered, Wheeler is my top pitcher if paying up tonight. Frankie Montas FD - P 8600 DK - SP 8700 Opponent - SEA (Yusei Kikuchi) Park - SEA FD - 33.93 DK - 18.09 From a PTS/$ perspective, I absolutely love Frankie Montas in that mid $8K on both sites tonight. The game is pretty much a pick-em against Seattle but the starting pitchers are trending in opposite directions with Montas leading the way. He has held opponents to two or fewer earned runs in four straight starts while averaging 18.8 DK/34.5 Fd points per game.  He now faces a Mariners offense that has been league average over the last few weeks and 10% below league average(wRC+) against right-handed pitching while striking out 26% of the time. I will have plenty of exposure to Montas in all formats on both sites tonight. Catcher/First Base Yuli Gurriel FD - 1B 2700 DK - 1B 4600 Opponent - TEX (Kolby Allard) Park - HOU FD - 14.4 DK - 11.05 Like clockwork, I am back on Yuli Gurriel as the sites are just making this way too easy as the Astros are #1 in implied runs yet come in underpriced in all the same areas once again. Tonight they go up against Kolby Allard who is in a bit of a slump at the moment posting a 5.65 ERA/4.97 xFIp over his last five starts while also giving up seven long balls. Gurriel has been good in both splits but better against lefties with a .386 wOBA and 151 wRC+. Fire him up in all formats. Pete Alonso FD 3900 DK 5800 Opponent - TOR (Steven Matz) Park - TOR FD - 12.28 DK - 9.12 Some say the Home...

DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Thursday 7/22/21 Now’s your chance to get DFSR PRO, which will give you access to our MLB, NBA, PGA, NHL, and NFL optimizers and our new player lab! Get started for free by clicking the button below. START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW! Pitchers Charlie Morton FD - P 8800 DK - SP 8700 Opponent - PHI (Matt Moore) Park - PHI FD - 32.14 DK - 17.66 We get yet another slate full of question marks at the pitcher position so I will be looking for value to help fit more bats. It starts with Charlie Morton who gives us a nice floor on strikeouts alone as he has tallied seven or more in six straight starts and once again comes at a sub $9K price on DraftKings. The Phillies have been slightly above-average on offense lately but have been worse (14% wRC+ difference) against right-handed pitching. All things considered, Morton is my top PTS/$ play on the mound and in play in all formats. Sean Manaea FD - P 9100 DK - SP 9600 Opponent - SEA (Chris Flexen) Park - SEA FD - 30.63 DK - 15.81 I am not into paying up for Buehler against the Division-leading Giants so I will take the discount and ride with Manaea. Despite some average outings in July, he has still posted an elite 2.37 ERA/3.44 xFIP over his last 10 starts while striking out 27% of batters. He now faces a below-average Mariners offense(.295 wOBA/90 wRC+) that strikes out 27% of the time. I will be pairing Manaea with Morton on DraftKings and I also lean Manaea slightly on FanDuel as my top pitcher overall. Catcher/First Base Max Muncy FD - 1B 3900 DK - 1B/2B 5700 Opponent - SF (Anthony DeSclafani) Park - LAD FD - 12.5 DK - 9.21 The first base position is loaded at the top so I will split hairs and go with Muncy who comes a bit cheaper than Olson and has much better splits than Freeman and his lefty/lefty matchup. Muncy's bat has been relied on heavily this season with injuries and down season for other star players and he has responded tremendously and is on pace for a career year. His .420 wOBA is 3rd to only Vladdy and Ohtani and he enters the night with hits in five of six games since the ASB. It is very close  but I lean Muncy as my top play at first base tonight. Anthony Rizzo FD - 1B 3100 DK - 1B 4200 Opponent - STL (Kwang Hyun Kim) Park - STL FD - 10.1 DK - 7.56 It has been a rough season overall for Rizzo...