DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Wednesday, 6/8/22 – Main Slate
DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Wednesday, 6/8/22 I was feeling risky yesterday, and it led to some of my strangest lineup construction ever. I decided to go with the two cheapest pitchers on DraftKings in German Marquez and Kyle Bradish, and it led to a min-cash day. Experimenting like that is something that everyone should do at different times because it's interesting to see how different lineups can play out. We definitely won't be doing that here because we have one of the top AL Cy Young candidates as our first recommendation. With that in mind, let's kick things off with the best Bieber that I know. Now’s your chance to get DFSR PRO, which will give you access to our MLB, NBA, PGA, NHL, and NFL optimizers and our new player lab! Get started for free by clicking the button below. START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW! Pitchers Shane Bieber FD - P 9700 DK - SP 9600 Opponent - TEX (Dane Dunning) Park - CLE FD - 38.22 DK - 20.77 It's strange that Bieber is still below $10K. This guy has been one of the best pitchers in baseball since his call-up, and it's clear these sites are still concerned about his early-season struggles. They shouldn't be, with Shane allowing three runs or fewer in nine of his 10 starts. The one dud was against Toronto, and that's an offense that's blown up numerous pitcher's ERAs and WHIPs. Outside of that stinker, Bieber has a 2.20 ERA, 0.93 WHIP, and 9.7 K/9 rate. He's also got at least 25 DraftKings points in each of his last three starts, one of the best stretches of his career. The matchup with Texas is tremendous, too, with the Rangers ranked 28th in OBP, 22nd in OPS, and 24th in wOBA. Ian Anderson FD - P 7700 DK - SP 6400 Opponent - OAK (Jared Koenig) Park - ATL FD - 33.14 DK - 16.91 Anderson is amid a sophomore slump, but this guy is too good to be this cheap. We're talking about a pitcher with a 3.61 ERA and 1.25 WHIP since his call-up late in 2020, showing some elite stuff in their most recent playoff run. This highly-touted prospect has been the victim of some tough matchups this season, but Oakland is possibly the best matchup in baseball. The A's rank bottom-three in runs scored, OBP, OPS, wOBA, and xwOBA this season, scoring two runs or fewer in six of their last seven games. The oddsmakers would say this is the best per-dollar play on the board, with Anderson entering this matchup as a -250 favorite, with Oakland projected for just 3.5 runs. Nestor Cortes (FD $11000...
DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Tuesday 6/7/22 – Main Slate
DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Tuesday 6/7/22 - Main Slate Now’s your chance to get DFSR PRO, which will give you access to our MLB, NBA, PGA, NHL, and NFL optimizers and our new player lab! Get started for free by clicking the button below. START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW! Pitchers Carlos Rodón FD 9900 DK 10300 Opponent - COL (Germán Márquez) Park - COLFD - 41.5 DK - 23.21 After starting the season like gangbusters, Rodon has cooled off some over his last few starts. But he remains one of the best options on Tuesday thanks to a couple of key factors. For starters, he’s still striking out more than 11 batters per nine on the season, and the ERA is in the mid-3s despite one complete disaster of a start a couple of weeks ago. He’s a -202 home favorite against the Rockies who are a pretty bad offense outside of Coors and San Fran has one of the most pitcher-friendly parks in the majors. Kyle Wright FD 10500 DK 10100 Opponent - OAK (Cole Irvin) Park - OAKFD - 42.02 DK - 23 Kyle Wright is another guy in a fantastic spot here on Tuesday with one of the best matchups going in the majors against the Oakland A’s. The Athletics have been jockeying with the Tigers for worst offense in the majors this season and they strike out more than 24% of the time. Wright is a -235 home favorite and has been amazing this season with a 2.41 ERA thanks to a 27.5% K rate. The walks remain a bit problematic, but this matchup against a terrible offense mitigates that to some degree. On FanDuel it’s tough to pick between these two guys in cash for sure. Catcher/First Base Ryan Mountcastle FD 3100 DK 3100 Opponent - CHC (Keegan Thompson) Park - CHCFD - 10.86 DK - 8.29 Adley Rutschman FD 2300 DK 4000 Opponent - CHC (Keegan Thompson) Park - CHCFD - 9.5 DK - 7.23 We are going to almost definitely want to spend up at pitching, likely stacking too of the more expensive arms on DraftKings, so we’ll have to find some deals on the bats whenever possible. The Orioles actually have one of their higher implied run lines on the season with the number sitting around 4.8 at the time of this writing. Mountcastle, for his price, has been fine enough this season with an OPS in the mid-700s thanks to eight home runs and he’s even added a couple of stolen bases. Keegan Thompson is a low-K arm so I think we can punt a bit on DraftKings with this guy at 1B. Meanwhile, Adley Rutschman is one...
DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Monday 6/6/22
DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Monday 6/6/22 Now’s your chance to get DFSR PRO, which will give you access to our MLB, NBA, PGA, NHL, and NFL optimizers and our new player lab! Get started for free by clicking the button below. START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW! Pitchers Carlos Carrasco FD - P 8500 DK - SP 9300 Opponent - SD (Blake Snell) Park - SD FD - 31.13 DK - 15.91 The pitching on Monday is average-at-best so let's start things off by jumping into the game with the lowest total(7) on the slate. In his second season with the Mets, Carrasco has been terrific posting a 3.63 ERA/3.58 xFIP and while he has seemingly alternated good start/bad start for some time, he has provided a very solid PTS/$ floor with 16 or more DraftKings points in five of his last six starts. He also gets a matchup against a slightly below-average Padres offence that has been much worse against right-handed pitching(.286 wOBA/86 wRC+). All things considered, he is my top pitcher on this slate. Hunter Greene FD - P 7300 DK - SP 7600 Opponent - ARI (Madison Bumgarner) Park - CIN FD - 29.23 DK - 15.19 If you looking for safety, I can see a pairing Carrasco with Javier but if you want an upgrade on your bats and can handle a bit of risk, give some consideration to the Reds' top prospect. He already owns the major league record for most 100+ mph pitches in a game(39) and despite a 6.19 ERA, he has tallied 12 or more DraftKings points in seven of 10 starts and 20 or more three times. What really stands out here and the reason I will take on some risk is the matchup against the D-backs who strike out a slate-high 25% of the time and rank in the bottom third in almost all hitting stats. Also consider: Cristian Javier(HOU) who has a slate-low 2.61 ERA and is the 2nd biggest favourite or Ross Stripling(TOR) who is getting a spot start for the Jays and gets a plus matchup(-173 fav) against the Royals Catcher/First Base Vladimir Guerrero Jr. FD - 1B 4200 DK - 1B 4900 Opponent - KC (Daniel Lynch) Park - KC FD - 15.3 DK - 11.52 While the Jays' prices are trending back up, Vlad is still stuck below $5K on DraftKings and leads off the hitter portion of our article on Monday. There finally appears to be some life in Vlad's bat after a prolonged slump as he starts the week on a five-game hit streak that includes three home runs. The Jays also get the best matchup on the board tonight against...
DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Sunday, 6/5/22
DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Sunday, 6/5/22 I'm having one of my best weeks of the season, and the hitting landscape is finally turning around. The weather is warming up, and it's led to some of the highest-scoring games of the season. With that said, we've had some low-scoring games in Colorado this weekend, and that sort of volatility is why we love baseball! We'll surely have some exposure to the Coors Field game here, but let's get started with a couple of arms! Now’s your chance to get DFSR PRO, which will give you access to our MLB, NBA, PGA, NHL, and NFL optimizers and our new player lab! Get started for free by clicking the button below. START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW! Pitchers Zac Gallen FD - P 9800 DK - SP 9800 Opponent - PIT (Zach Thompson) Park - PIT FD - 37.15 DK - 19.46 Gallen has quietly been one of the best pitchers in the NL this season, but he's been pitching like this throughout his career. The right-hander has a 3.28 ERA and 1.18 WHIP since his call-up but is amid the best season of his career. Gallen has a 2.32 ERA, 0.91 WHIP, and 8.8 K/9 rate so far this year. He's actually allowed two runs or fewer in eight of his nine starts, which should be easy to duplicate here. Pittsburgh's offense ranks 29th in OBP, 23rd in wOBA, 26th in K rate, and 28th in OPS. All of that has Gallen entering this matchup as a -150 favorite, with Pittsburgh projected for just 3,5 runs! Luis Castillo FD - P 8400 DK - SP 7900 Opponent - WSH (Patrick Corbin) Park - CIN FD - 35.65 DK - 18.73 It's strange to see Castillo this cheap. This guy has flashed All-Star potential at times throughout his career, and he showed that in his most recent start. The right-hander allowed just one hit across six scoreless innings in Fenway Park, striking out 10 batters in that masterclass performance. We've seen him pitch like that in the past, and it looks like he's finally fully healthy. Getting to face Washington is the icing on the cake, though, with the Nationals ranked 20th in runs scored, 25th in xwOBACON, and 19th in OPS. He also enters this matchup as a -180 favorite, and that will be easy to understand later on in the article! Kevin Gausman (FD $10100 DK $10200) is one of the frontrunners for AL Cy Young and should keep rolling against a righty-heavy Twins lineup. Catcher/First Base Vladimir Guerrero Jr. FD - 1B 3900 DK - 1B 4500 Opponent - MIN (Devin Smeltzer) Park - TOR FD - 13.46...
DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Saturday 6/4/22 – Afternoon Slate
DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Saturday 6/4/22 - Afternoon Slate Now’s your chance to get DFSR PRO, which will give you access to our MLB, NBA, PGA, NHL, and NFL optimizers and our new player lab! Get started for free by clicking the button below. START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW! Pitchers Nick Pivetta FD 9000 DK 7900 Opponent - OAK (Paul Blackburn) Park - OAKFD - 34.37 DK - 18.31 The pitching options on the afternoon slate aren’t exactly amazing so we are looking at probably paying down a bit at the position. Pivetta has been fine this season all things considered with an ERA just under 4.00 while he’s striking out just a hair under a batter per inning. The good news here is that he has one of the best matchups around against the A’s who rank last in the league in team wOBA while striking out 24% of the time, fifth-most in the league. Pivetta won’t cost much and helps fitting in some more guys on offense. Pablo López FD 10000 DK 10100 Opponent - SF (Logan Webb) Park - SFFD - 35.88 DK - 19.19 I’m putting him under Pivetta here, not because he’s a worse pitcher, he’s actually much better, but because Lopez is much more expensive and doesn’t have quite the same win odds as Pivetta. The MIA-SF game is about even in terms of odds, though has a very low (7) run line. Lopez is striking out about 9.5 batters per nine this season with a 1.83 ERA though the 3.08 xFIP tells a slightly different story. I think pairing him and Pivetta on DK is completely fine and still leaves some wiggle room with the bats. Catcher/First Base Ty France FD 3500 DK 4900 Opponent - TEX (Glenn Otto) Park - TEXFD - 13.81 DK - 10.53 France is having an excellent season with an OPS right around .900 thanks to a better than 80% contact rate and a .151 ISO. In terms of OPS and wOBA, France has been around platoon neutral for his career, so we aren’t worried about the matchup against the righty Otto. The Mariners are projected for about 4.5 runs at this point, and France is coming at a fair price on both sites. Joey Votto FD 2800 DK 3100 Opponent - WSH (Erick Fedde) Park - WSHFD - 12.21 DK - 9.14 The Reds are tied for the highest implied run line on this slate at 5.2 and we are going to want to think about stacking this team in cash. They get to go in one of the best hitter’s park in baseball against Erick Fedde who’s had some control issues this season....