Daily Fantasy PGA Picks and Betting Guide for DraftKings & FanDuel – Valspar Championship
Daily Fantasy PGA Picks and Betting Guide for DraftKings & FanDuel – Valspar Championship Chris will be bringing you weekly PGA picks, analysis, and breakdowns to help you cash on DraftKings and FanDuel. Want more? He also provides a cheatsheet with stats, course history, current form, player write-ups for cash and GPP, a customizable model, and much more. Premium DFSR members get access to my expert sheets as a part of their membership. That's a $10 value every single month, just for signing up for a DFSR membership! Want my sheets on their own? Head on over to my Patreon Page Now’s your chance to get DFSR PRO, which will give you access to our MLB, NBA, PGA, NHL, and NFL optimizers and our new player lab! Get started for free by clicking the button below. START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW! The Course Innisbrook Resort Par 71 - 7,340 Yards Greens - Bermuda **Click the image above to see a hole by hole breakdown from PGATour.com** Previous Five Winners 2021 - Sam Burns(-17) 2019 - Paul Casey(-8) 2018 - Paul Casey(-10) 2017 - Adam Hadwin(-14) 2016 - Charl Schwartzel(-7) It was a wild Players Championship that was extended into Monday but the good news for the players is that Tour stays in Florida this week for the Valspar Championship. The is obviously much weaker this week but still strong at the top led by Collin Morikawa(#2), Viktor Hovland(#3), Justin Thomas(#8), Xander Schauffele(#9), and Duston Johnson(#10) all of whom rank inside the Top 10 in the World. The 144-man field will tee it up on the Copperhead Course at Innisbrook Resort which is a Par 71 that is listed at 7,340 yards on the scorecard. It is another tough test of golf for the field as the course has ranked 14th, 3rd, 4th, 12th, and 3rd hardest courses on Tour(scoring average) of the non-majors/Players Championship. Aiding in that difficulty is the weather and specifically, the wind so make sure to pay close attention to the forecast as lock approaches. The first thing that stands out with this Par 71 setup is the hole distribution as there are five par 3's with four of them stretching over 200 yards and the fifth at 195 yards. The next thing to note is that even with a Par 71, there are still four Par 5's and some of the most difficult on Tour. With all that said, I am still very high on Par 4 Scoring as it has shown the highest correlation of the three in terms of success and finishing position in this event. With this very much being a position course off the tee, I am also high on Strokes...
DFS NBA Picks for FanDuel and DraftKings – Tuesday 3/15/22
DFS NBA Picks for FanDuel and DraftKings - Tuesday 3/15/22 Head on over for your chance to get DFSR PRO, which will give you access to our NBA FanDuel and DraftKings optimizer, NFL optimal lineups, and our NHL Optimizer. Plus our new player lab! Get started for free by clicking the button below. START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW! First time with NBA or NFL? Be sure to read our free NBA and NFL Ebooks on building lineups, general strategy, and more. We've got you completely covered. Point Guard/Shooting Guard Devin Booker FD - $10400 DK - $9600Opponent - NOProj Pts FD - 47.42 DK - 50.93 Cameron Payne FD - $7000 DK - $7700Opponent - NOProj Pts FD - 32.97 DK - 36.08 With Chris Paul out over the last couple of weeks, these two have taken over so much of the Suns' offense and been hitting value along the way. That’s what happens when you remove one of the most on-ball points guards there is from your lineup. Since the All-Star break, Booker has been amazing, averaging 26 points, 8.5 assists, and 4.6 rebounds per game while running about 36 minutes in that stretch. He’s been fantastic and has seen the requisite price increase that comes with this kind of opportunity. But against the Pelicans on a shorter slate, I think we are totally fine running him in cash games, especially without a bunch of the big spend-ups going on Tuesday. And then there is Payne who’s been fantastic in his own right. Since he’s taken over the full-time point guard duties with no minutes restrictions, he’s averaged 17 points and 10 rebounds per game while also taking a bunch of shots. He’s put up almost 15 shots a game in that stretch and is just one of the better middle-tier point guards out there when Paul is out of the mix. I think the FanDuel price is still totally reasonable considering what he is doing in the offense. Tyus Jones FD - $4200 DK - $3400Opponent - INDProj Pts FD - 34 DK - 36.08 With Ja Morant doubtful for this game it sure looks like Tyus Jones will be one of the highest owned players on the slate. The last time Ja sat a month ago on February 15th, Jones filled in with 27 points and nine assists in the win over the Pelicans. And when Morant missed extended time back in December, Jones was playing 30+ minutes a game, averaging 11 points, five assists, and three rebounds. That latter line wasn’t as robust because Dillon Brooks was in the mix, which is the case again here. But I still think Jones is the clear play...
DFS NBA Picks for FanDuel and DraftKings – Monday 3/14
DFS NBA Picks for FanDuel and DraftKings - Monday 3/14 Head on over for your chance to get DFSR PRO, which will give you access to our NBA FanDuel and DraftKings optimizer, NFL optimal lineups, and our NHL Optimizer. Plus our new player lab! Get started for free by clicking the button below. START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW! First time with NBA or NFL? Be sure to read our free NBA and NFL Ebooks on building lineups, general strategy, and more. We've got you completely covered. Guards Shai Gilgeous-Alexander FD - $10000 DK - $10400 Opponent - CHA Proj Pts FD - 53.15 DK - 55.77 We have an interesting slate for high-priced plays on Monday as almost all the players have either tough matchups or potential for blowouts. One player who jumps off the page for me is SGA who gets a terrific matchup as this game has a high total and while the Hornets are seven-point favorites, they rank 23rd in defensive efficiency and 3rd in pace. For SGA, despite a dud vs the T-Wolves last time out, he is averaging over 50 fantasy points per game since returning from a one-month absence due to injury. With Giddey still out a couple of weeks, SGA is a core play for me on this slate in all formats. Dejounte Murray FD - $10900 DK - $10800 Opponent - MIN Proj Pts FD - 51.7 DK - 54.52 This is a game we are going to want some exposure to with its monster total(239) and after resting on Saturday, Murray is both back in the lineup and back under $11K on both sites. He has been a picture of consistency all season long and has been even better in the short term nearly averaging a triple-double(24.5 pts, 8.3 reb, 10.3 ast) and over 50 fantasy points per game since the start of February. The T-Wolves are the 11th ranked defense in terms of efficiency but with this total and projected close game I am not too concerned and it would also be an upgrade if Pat Bev sits out(currently Q). Either way, I will have exposure in all formats. Terry Rozier FD - $8100 DK - $8100 Opponent - OKC Proj Pts FD - 37.7 DK - 40.22 On the other side of this game, the Hornets are hanging on to a play-in spot in the East and a lot of that can be contributed to the consistency of Terry Rozier. Since the start of February, he is second on the team in usage(25%) behind LaMelo Ball while averaging 22.8 points, 5.0 rebounds, 5.5 assists, and 1.8 stocks per game and has tallied 43 or more fantasy points in...
DFS NBA Picks for FanDuel and DraftKings – Sunday, 3/13/22
FanDuel NBA Picks and DraftKings NBA Picks - Sunday, 3/13/22 Sunday slates are always strange, and we have another bizarre one here. While we have eight games in total, only four make up the main card beginning at 7ET. The good news is that some of the worst defenses in the NBA are on display while some of the best players oppose them. That has us riding a stars-and-scrubs strategy because there are some fantastic values as well. Head on over for your chance to get DFSR PRO, which will give you access to our NBA FanDuel and DraftKings optimizer, our MLB Optimizer, and NHL Projections as well. Plus, our new player lab! Get started for free by clicking the button below. START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW! First time with NBA or NFL? Be sure to read our free NBA and NFL Ebooks on building lineups, general strategy, and more. We've got you completely covered. Point Guard Ja Morant FD - $10200 DK - $10400 Opponent - OKC Proj Pts FD - 48.24 DK - 49.36 Ja is playing at a different level than everyone else right now. Morant has scored at least 36 DraftKings points in 33 straight games, scoring at least 52 fantasy points in six of his last nine games. He's actually averaging 53 DK points per game in that most recent stretch, attempting a franchise-record 33 shots in the most recent outing. That's a good indicator of how much usage this guy is seeing, handling the ball on every possession for Memphis. We love all of that against this dreadful Oklahoma City roster, with Ja dropping 40 DK points in their last meeting, despite taking just 12 shots. Devonte' Graham FD - $5700 DK - $6100 Opponent - HOU Proj Pts FD - 32.45 DK - 34.09 Graham was in everyone's lineup on Friday, and he will be featured heavily again today. The simple fact is, he's the primary ball-handler in New Orleans right now. The Pelicans are currently missing C.J. McCollum, Brandon Ingram, and Zion Williamson, leaving Graham with a 35-minute starting point guard gig. He's been a stud in this role throughout the season, averaging 32 DK points per game in the 18 outings he's played at least 32 minutes. He actually had 41 fantasy points in this expanded role on Friday, and that's obviously a ridiculous total from a $6K player. The best part of this is the matchup, though, and we'll dig into that more later on. If you're looking for a punt play, Jose Alvarado should see some extra minutes for the shorthanded Pels. Shooting Guard Shai Gilgeous-Alexander FD - $10300 DK - $10300 Opponent - MEM Proj Pts FD...
DFS NBA Picks for FanDuel and DraftKings – Saturday 3/12/22
DFS NBA Picks for FanDuel and DraftKings - Saturday 3/12/22 Head on over for your chance to get DFSR PRO, which will give you access to our NBA FanDuel and DraftKings optimizer, NFL optimal lineups, and our NHL Optimizer. Plus our new player lab! Get started for free by clicking the button below. START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW! First time with NBA or NFL? Be sure to read our free NBA and NFL Ebooks on building lineups, general strategy, and more. We've got you completely covered. Point Guard/Shooting Guard Donovan Mitchell FD - $8100 DK - $8600Opponent - SACProj Pts FD - 44.25 DK - 47.9 The Jazz blew a double-digit lead on Friday to the Spurs, marking a pretty bad loss for the team. And now they are on the back-to-back likely wanting to take this one from the Kings. They get the best matchup of the slate here with Sacramento ranking 28th in defensive efficiency this season while running the 6th-fastest pace. Mitchell should be a full go here on the b2b and has seen the price tick down some in the short term. I think his floor is plenty high on both sites considering the matchup and there’s some chance we could see Mike Conley’s minutes dialed back some considering he ran 31 on Friday evening. Dejounte Murray FD - $10800 DK - $10800Opponent - INDProj Pts FD - 52.86 DK - 55.57 He’s having such a breakout season and has been so consistent over the course of this year that we don’t really even bat an eye when seeing that Murray is pushing up against $11K on both sites. It’s more than warranted considering he’s putting up 21 points, nine assists, and eight rebounds per game along with 2.4 blocks+steals. Simply put, he’s one of the very best fantasy guys in the league right now. And he’s facing off against a Pacers team tied for 26th overall in defense who will also be missing Malcolm Brogdon. The Spurs are -6 home favorites and I love paying up for Murray here. The one thing to watch out for here is that San Antonio is on the second half of the back-to-back. Brandon Williams FD - $4900 DK - $6200Opponent - WASProj Pts FD - 29.03 DK - 32.51 The Blazers stink and are fully in the tank. We know this and they’ve been almost unapologetic about it, which I can basically respect. Williams will get the start at point guard again considering both Damian Lillard and Anfernee Simons are on the shelf and the price hasn’t quite gotten there on FanDuel. While there have been some blowouts for this team recently, this doesn’t project to be...