Week 3 NFL Betting Picks and Strategy 9/24/20 – Ravens and Broncos look to have value.
Week 3 NFL Betting Picks and Strategy 9/24/20 Recapping last week, these were bets put out in our article along with those given away in our members-only chatroom. Cardinals -6.5 (W)Vikings +3 (L)Giants-Bears Over 43 (L)Panthers +9 (L - This one was brutal)Dolphins +6 (W)Chargers +9 (W)Patriots-Seahawks Over 45 (W)Saints-Raiders Over 48.5 (W)Overall Week 2 Record 5-3 Season Record 7-4 Also check out our Week 3 cash game plays as well as our Week 3 injury breakdown. Want access to the projections that power these picks? For a limited time, we're offering a free one week trial to all the sports that we cover - that's optimal lineups for NFL, NBA, NHL, and MLB - for the same low price. Get started now! START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW! Baltimore RavensOpponent KCBAL -3.5OVER 53.5 (-115)The Ravens have picked up this regular season right where they left off last year: dominating. They are already +49 on the season through two games, 19 points better than the next-closest team. Sure, it was the Browns and Texans, though I’d contend those aren’t really bottom-feeders. The Ravens have just had no issues making easy work of mostly everyone over their last 18 regular-season games. Meanwhile, the Chiefs came out gunning to start the season against the aforementioned Texans, but barely squeaked out a victory over Justin Herbert and the Los Angeles Chargers in Week 2. It took overtime, a stop and a long field goal to bring home the W. This bet isn’t an overreaction to that performance, but rather some recognition that Baltimore has a gameplan which is problematic for the Chiefs. Namely, they can control the ball for long stretches and KC hasn’t solved one of their bigger “weaknesses” from last season: stopping the run. Expect Lamar Jackson and company to keep the ball on the ground consistently with a lot of different looks. KC allowed 167 yards on the ground to the Chargers in Week 2 and 124 to Houston in Week 1 on close to six yards per carry. But even that said, there are still a lot of paths to hitting the over as well. A tight game almost assuredly has both teams keeping their feet on the proverbial gas and it stands to reason KC will want to air it out to keep the pressure on the Baltimore attack to take it to the air. BroncosOpponent TBBoncos +6 Over the last two+ seasons, the average away team score when coming into Denver is a meager 18.8 points. Part of that is a solid Denver defense in the last couple of years, but it’s also just really tough to fly in and play in the Denver...
DFS NFL Podcast – Week 3 Game by Game Breakdown for DraftKings and FanDuel 9/24/20
DFS NFL Podcast - Week 3 Game by Game Breakdown for DraftKings and FanDuel 9/24/20 If you are looking for the Week 3 cash game DFS NFL Podcast, go check it out! Also check out our Week 3 cash game plays as well as our Week 3 betting strategy and Week 3 injury breakdown. This is our game by game breakdown for every spot on the main slate for week 3. Now’s your chance to get DFSR PRO, which will give you access to our NFL, NHL and NBA optimizers and our new player lab! Get started for free by clicking the button below. START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW! Doug and James get their heads together for their exhaustive game by game breakdown for the week 3 main slate on FanDuel and DraftKings. It's hard to remember a week more influenced by injuries, with big names across every position missing this week or done for the season. Not all punt plays are created equally, however, and the guys discuss the differences between grabbing back-ups for the Panthers, both New York teams, the 49ers, and more. Meanwhile, there are a number of wide receivers in new situations that we need to adjust. James and Doug talk about how they are readjusting their priors on guys like Stefon Diggs, DeAndre Hopkins, Mike Evans, and the various rookie wide receivers. They also discuss a few interesting betting plays. All in all, this is not a podcast you want to miss. Love the DFSR podcast? Go ahead and subscribe and listen wherever you get your daily podcasts. Subscribe to this podcast on iTunes Listen on Stitcher Listen on Spotify The DFSR Podcasts are part of the Overtime Media Podcast...
DFS NFL Podcast – Week 3 Cash Games for DraftKings and FanDuel 9/23/20
DFS NFL Podcast - Week 3 Cash Games for DraftKings and FanDuel 9/23/20 It's time for the Week 3 cash game DFS NFL Podcast with the guys breaking down every position for your cash game needs on FanDuel and DraftKings. Now’s your chance to get DFSR PRO, which will give you access to our NFL, NHL and NBA optimizers and our new player lab! Get started for free by clicking the button below. START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW! And our Week 3 Game-by-game podcast as well: Week 3 is a strange one for cash games, mostly because the plays seem very straight forward. A slew of running back injuries has left us with too many great punt options to choose from, with Jonathan Taylor, Jerick McKinnon, and Mike Davis all looking like great cash game options. When we have that much money left over we're basically just picking between big name stars at other positions. The guys discuss the choice between Cam Newton and Kyler Murray at quarterback, where it looks like site based pricing might be a deciding factor. Wide receiver lends itself to some interesting considerations as well, with the primary discussion trending around how much we can trust two weeks of stats this year versus stats from last year. Is Diontae Johnson the real deal? Can we expect Calvin Ridley to shoulder most of the targets in Atlanta? There is a lot to discuss. Finally the guys wrap things up at tight end, where we might have the luxury of paying up at tight end for the first (and perhaps last) time this season. Love the DFSR podcast? Go ahead and subscribe and listen wherever you get your daily podcasts. Subscribe to this podcast on iTunes Listen on Stitcher Listen on Spotify The DFSR Podcasts are part of the Overtime Media Podcast...
Daily Fantasy Football Cash Game Picks for FanDuel and DraftKings Week 3
Daily Fantasy Football Cash Game Picks for FanDuel and DraftKings Week 3 Week 2 was a sad one, with a veritable All-Pro team worth of players going down. While it's sad to see as a football fan, it does open up a ton of opportunity in DFS, so let's get down to our NFL cash game picks on FanDuel and DraftKings for week 3. Also check out our Week 3 injury breakdown as well as our Week 3 betting strategy. Want access to the projections that power these picks? For a limited time we're offering a free one week trial to all the sports that we cover - that's optimal lineups for NFL, NBA, NHL, and MLB - for the same low price. Get started now! START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW! Quarterbacks Kyler Murray FD 8400 DK 6800 Opponent DET Proj Points FD - 24 DK - 24.79 It’s an embarrassment of riches at quarterback this week with a ton of upper-tier QBs in great spots. And we aren’t going to worry too much about having to pay a premium on the position. There’s just so much value at running back that we’ll be able to spend up at quarterback and wide receiver specifically. Let’s start with Murray who we recommended in cash games for last week. He was as good as promised with 286 yards and a touchdown through the air and another 67 yards and two touchdowns on the ground. Through two weeks he leads all quarterbacks in rushing yards and is actually ninth overall in the NFL on the ground. He’s improved his accuracy, completing 67% of his passes and one has to assume the passing touchdowns tick up as the season goes on. The Lions have been one of the worst defenses in the league through two weeks and Murray is in another smash spot. Cam Newton FD 7700 DK 6700 Opponent LV Proj Points FD - 23.23 DK - 24.02 Through two weeks, Cam Newton is sixth overall in DraftKings scoring with 32.14 points per game. It’s been a complete effort on his part, essentially contributing to every part of the Patriots’ offense. He is second overall in quarterback rushing yards (behind Murray) with 122 yards on the ground and his four rushing touchdowns lead the league. He’s also been ultra-efficient through the air with a 71% completion percentage and ranks sixth in yards per attempt. The Giants’ defense hasn’t been terrible to start the season, but they are going to have trouble keeping the ball out of opponents’ hands with Saquon Barkley now lost for the year. The Pats have the third-highest implied point total on the slate (behind Arizona and Dallas) and...
Daily Fantasy NFL GPP Leverage Plays for FanDuel and DraftKings – Week 2
Daily Fantasy NFL GPP Leverage Plays for FanDuel and DraftKings - Week 2 If you are looking for football content, you have come to the right place. Our DFS NFL team has already gone over our top Cash Game Plays, discussed our Top Bets, went over all of the Injury News, and broke everything down on the Game by Game Podcast. In this article, I will now be looking at a few GPP plays that we can use for leverage to try and take down a big contest. Now’s your chance to get DFSR PRO, which will give you access to our NFL and MLB optimizers and our new player lab! Get started for free by clicking the button below. START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW! Saquon Barkley FD 9000 DK 8400 Opponent CHI Proj Points FD - 17.72 DK - 20.16 If you are not paying up for McCaffrey you are likely running one or two of Zeke and Henry in the top tier and that leaves a giant gap of ownership with Saquon Barkley. Last week's performance(15 carries for 6 yards) definitely isn't going help me make a case here from a performance perspective but the good news is that he did catch six of nine targets for 60 yards, somewhat salvaging his price tag. We know the upside he provides as one of the best running backs in football and gets to now go up against a Bears defense that is not as scary as some make it out to be as they just gave up 93 rushing yards to a 35-year-old Adrian Peterson on just 14 carries(6.6 yards per rush). At the end of the day, I am not going to trust him in cash games but if we are getting him around 5% ownership, I think he makes an excellent GPP play. At that kind of ownership, we also don't need a lot of exposure to have more than the field and take advantage of his ceiling game. Philip Rivers FD 7100 DK 5900 Opponent MIN Proj Points FD - 15.24 DK - 16.17 T.Y. Hilton FD 6300 DK 5700 Opponent MIN Proj Points FD - 11.7 DK - 14.33 Parris Campbell FD 5300 DK 4500 Opponent MIN Proj Points FD - 10.04 DK - 12.57 From a stacking perspective, I love the Colts this week and don't think they see a whole lot of ownership with Lamar, Dak, Kyler, Rodgers, and even Matt Ryan in good spots. When looking at the Colts team and projected ownership, I think Nyheim Hines has a chance to be the highest owned on the team with Marlon Mack hitting the IR and Jonathan Taylor in only his...