DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Wednesday 7/28/21 – Main slate
DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Wednesday 7/28/21 - Main slate Now’s your chance to get DFSR PRO, which will give you access to our MLB, NBA, PGA, NHL, and NFL optimizers and our new player lab! Get started for free by clickiang the button below. START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW! Pitchers Zack Wheeler FD 10600 DK 10300 Opponent - WSH (Patrick Corbin) Park - PHIFD - 41.63 DK - 22.75 Wheeler has turned in a borderline Cy Young worthy season so far with a 2.74 xFIP that’s only slightly worse than the 2.37 ERA. He’s striking out more than 30% of the batters he’s faced and has a 5.3:1 K:BB ratio. The Nats have been hit with some Covid issues and Wheeler is a -202 home favorite in this one. I think he’s the chalk pitcher on the main slate and it is for good reason. He’s been awesome this season. Andrew Heaney FD 7600 DK 7400 Opponent - COL (Chi Chi González) Park - ANAFD - 34.1 DK - 18.63 Don’t let the 5.32 ERA fool you, Heaney has been much, much better than that this season. He’s been hurt some by an elevated BABIP and the 67% LOB% shows some signs of running bad. The 3.83 xFIP is more in line with his peripherals which have him striking out 10.74 batters per nine and walking only 2.86. He’s a -200 home favorite against the lowly Rockies and makes the perfect DraftKings SP2 on this slate. Catcher/First Base José Abreu FD 3600 DK 5000 Opponent - KC (Kris Bubic) Park - KCFD - 13.62 DK - 10.3 Get ready to see a lot of White Sox on this slate with them facing off against Bubic. They have, for now, the highest implied run line on the slate and for good reason. Abreu hasn’t been able to recreate his 2019 or 2020 season at the plate this time around with the power numbers dipping somewhat dramatically, but he’s still been great against lefties for his entire career. In that split, Abreu has a .922 OPS and 148 wRC+. The price is a little steep on DraftKings especially, but there is a strong case for paying up. J.T. Realmuto FD 3500 DK 4600 Opponent - WSH (Patrick Corbin) Park - PHIFD - 12.79 DK - 9.68 Patrick Corbin is now a shell of his former self and the Phillies are big-time favorites in this game. Realmuto isn’t putting up quite the same power numbers he’s had in the past, but there is still some pop in the bat and he will steal a base or two as well. He’s been basically platoon neutral for his career, so there isn’t...
DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Tuesday 7/27/21 – Main slate
DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Tuesday 7/27/21 - Main slate Now’s your chance to get DFSR PRO, which will give you access to our MLB, NBA, PGA, NHL, and NFL optimizers and our new player lab! Get started for free by clickiang the button below. START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW! Pitchers Julio Urías FD 8700 DK 9000 Opponent - SF (Logan Webb) Park - SFFD - 36.18 DK - 19.18 This is a good day for starting pitching with a number of solid options near the top of the food chain. It will be close among some of these upper price tier arms. Urias has the worst matchup among some of them against the Giants, which isn’t great, but you have to love the strides he’s made with his control this season among other things. The 5:1 K:BB ratio is elite and he has a 3.63 xFIP. The win odds aren’t amazing, but they really aren’t for anyone on this slate who’d you feel comfortable putting into cash games. Lance McCullers Jr. FD 10500 DK 10400 Opponent - SEA (Chris Flexen) Park - SEAFD - 36.87 DK - 20.52 McCullers comes in as a -148 road favorite against the Mariners. Seattle ranks third-to-last in the league in team offense this season with a .296 wOBA. And they strike out a league-high 27% of the time as well. This is a near-perfect matchup for McCullers who has some series swing-and-miss stuff when he is dialed in. He’s striking out almost 11 batters per nine with his biggest issue being the walks. He allows almost 4.5 free passes per nine, a number that sometimes keeps him from going longer into outings. But, as stated, the matchup is just too good here and he’s an excellent cash game option. On the cheaper side, Dane Dunning (FD $7700 DK $6400) makes for a good DraftKings SP2 option. Catcher/First Base Yuli Gurriel FD 2900 DK 4200 Opponent - SEA (Chris Flexen) Park - SEAFD - 13.03 DK - 9.99 Gurriel is a DFSR staple and for good reason. He walks (10%) as much as he strikes out (10%) good for an 80% contact rate. And there’s been some power there as well and his OPS is sitting in the mid-800s range. And he’s a near-guarantee to have the ball in play a lot here with Flexen striking out fewer than six batters per nine over his career. Gurriel just remains way too cheap on FanDuel considering his plate discipline and three-spot in the Astros’ lineup. J.T. Realmuto FD 3400 DK 5000 Opponent - WSH (Erick Fedde) Park - WSHFD - 13.18 DK - 9.97 While we usually don’t recommend catchers in this slot,...
DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Sunday 7/25/21 – Main slate
DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Sunday 7/25/21 - Main slate Now’s your chance to get DFSR PRO, which will give you access to our MLB, NBA, PGA, NHL, and NFL optimizers and our new player lab! Get started for free by clicking the button below. START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW! Pitchers Yu Darvish FD - P 10300 DK - SP 10500 Opponent - MIA (Undecided) Park - MIAFD - 37.96 DK - 21.49 Miami hasn’t announced their starting pitcher yet which is why there is no opening line on this game. But Darvish should be a big road favorite in this one against the worst offense in the league in the Marlins. Darvish Isn’t striking batters out at quite the same rate he had been over the last few years, but he’s still elite in the swing and miss stuff regardless. He’s been able to keep the walks in check as well and has a 3.86 xFIP. Plus again, the matchup is great against the lowly Marlins. Zack Greinke FD - P 8400 DK - SP 10000 Opponent - TEX (Dane Dunning) Park - HOUFD - 34.07 DK - 17.98 Greinke is an interesting case here on FanDuel. He’s cheap enough to consider at this mid-$8K price point because the matchup against the Rangers is a good one and the win odds are tremendous. The Rangers are the second-worst offense in the league in wOBA and strike out 24% of the time. That’s all going for him. But the issue is that the K’s have fallen off a cliff for Greinke, and he’s striking out fewer than seven batters per nine. I think you can still roll with him because of the FD price, but DK is out of the question. He’s too expensive there. Consider Aaron Nola (FD $9100 DK $10300) against the Braves. Catcher/First Base Yuli Gurriel FD - 1B 2700 DK - 1B 4600 Opponent - TEX (Dane Dunning) Park - HOUFD - 14.29 DK - 10.96 We’ve given Gurriel as a play at this FanDuel price point a lot and it’s been mostly correct. He’s just too cheap on that site for what he can provide. He was hitting third for the Astros on Friday and the patience and contact rate for the righty are nearly unmatched. He has a mid-800s OPS, 80% contact rate, and is facing off against an average arm in Dunning. This is a good spot. Joey Votto FD - 1B 3100 DK - 1B 4400 Opponent - STL (Johan Oviedo) Park - CINFD - 11.5 DK - 8.63 The Reds were a popular stack on Saturday and could be that way again on Sunday. Johan Oviedo is a weaker...
DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Saturday 7/24/21 – Main slate
DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Saturday 7/24/21 - Main slate Now’s your chance to get DFSR PRO, which will give you access to our MLB, NBA, PGA, NHL, and NFL optimizers and our new player lab! Get started for free by clickiang the button below. START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW! Pitchers Kevin Gausman FD 11000 DK 9700 Opponent - PIT (Wil Crowe) Park - PITFD - 42.21 DK - 23.16 Gausman has been excellent this season, sporting one of the best ERAs in the league at 1.84 and striking out more than 10 batters per inning. The ERA is, for sure, a little run hot with the xFIP sitting at 3.40, more than 1.5 runs higher. Regardless, the peripherals have been amazing and he’s getting one of the worst offenses in the league in the Pittsburgh Pirates. They rank 27th in team wOBA, though do put the ball in play striking out *only* 22% of the time. This is still an excellent spot for Gausman who is a big money line favorite and could be the chalk arm on this evening slate. Tony Gonsolin FD 6500 DK 8000 Opponent - COL (Kyle Freeland) Park - COLFD - 34.35 DK - 18.66 Gonsolin is an interesting case here. For starters, there is the good. He’s got a lower 2.83 ERA and is striking out close to 11 batters per nine. Those are numbers you love to see. But then there is the bad. He’s walking almost six batters per nine and the 5.07 xFIP is rough. This is only around 30 innings into his season so some of this will flatten out, it’s just tough to tell what. For this game, he’s a big-time -237 home favorite against the Rockies and that puts him into cash game consideration. Corbin Burnes (FD $11200 DK $10600) is likely to be a popular play and with good reason. He's been amazing. Putting him and Gasuman together in cash on DraftKings is a great play. Catcher/First Base Joey Votto FD 3100 DK 4700 Opponent - STL (Jake Woodford) Park - STLFD - 12.17 DK - 9.13 The Reds are in a great spot on Saturday against Woodford and have one of the highest implied run projections on the slate. Votto should still be in the third spot in the lineup and remains a patient hitter. The walks are down some from his peak, but he’s hitting for more power than we saw in 2018 or 2019. That’s a good sign and the OPS in the mid 800s. He’s a solid mid-tier play on FanDuel. Carlos Santana FD 2900 DK 5100 Opponent - DET (Casey Mize) Park - DETFD - 11.74 DK - 8.74...
DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Wednesday 7/21/21 – All Day
DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Wednesday 7/21/21 - All Day Now’s your chance to get DFSR PRO, which will give you access to our MLB, NBA, PGA, NHL, and NFL optimizers and our new player lab! Get started for free by clickiang the button below. START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW! Pitchers Afternoon Madison Bumgarner FD 7200 DK 10100 Opponent - PIT (Max Kranick) Park - PITFD - 32.1 DK - 15.8 After looking like complete toast for the last couple of seasons, Bumgarner has bounced back in some ways to show that he can at least still put guys down swinging. He’s striking out more than a batter an inning this year and keeping the walks relatively in check. Sure, the 5+ ERA is bad, but the xFIP is at least a little better in the mid 4’s. He also gets the 26th-ranked offense in the Pittsburgh Pirates as a -130 home favorite. It’s not overwhelming odds, but this slate is rough with pitching, to begin with. Main Lance McCullers Jr. FD 10200 DK 10100 Opponent - CLE (Eli Morgan) Park - CLEFD - 34.58 DK - 18.6 The Indians are a little banged up right now and McCullers opens this slate as the biggest money line favorite. He’s -225 at home here and it puts him at the best win odds for the slate. McCullers is striking out more than 10 batters per nine with the only issue right now being the number of walks he’s giving up. But the Indians aren’t a great offense by any means and he’s in such a good spot for this slate. There are some other good arms here, but we will take the win odds on McCullers. Julio Urías (FD $9100 DK $9700) could be a popular play here as well. Catcher/First Base Afternoon Pete Alonso FD 3800 DK 5900 Opponent - CIN (Jeff Hoffman) Park - CINFD - 14.77 DK - 10.97 The Mets are going to be a pretty easy stack on this slate against Jeff Hoffman who brings a 5.22 xFIP into this game. Alonso isn’t on the 53-home run pace we saw in his rookie year, but has 19 through 300+ plate appearances with an .829 OPS. Not completely elite numbers and the price is a little hefty, but the Mets have the highest implied run total here by a healthy margin. Main Vladimir Guerrero Jr. FD 4500 DK 6000 Opponent - BOS (Garrett Richards) Park - BOSFD - 16.19 DK - 12.28 Pitching is at a premium meaning it might be tough to pay up for a lot of bats. But if you are going to do it with one of these guys it should...