Daily Fantasy MLB Picks for FanDuel and DraftKings - 7/25/18 Now’s your chance to get DFSR PRO, which will give you access to our MLB optimizer and our new player lab! Get started for free by clicking the button below. START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW! First time with MLB? Be sure to read our free MLB Ebooks on building lineups, general strategy and more. We've got you completely covered. Pitcher Afternoon Trevor Bauer FD 11500 DK 13400 Opponent - PIT (Jameson Taillon) Park - CLE FD - 43.58 DK - 23.58 Even with so many teams playing on the early slate of games, we have a veritable lack of reliable starting pitcher. That should mean having to pay up for Bauer who’s been among the very best pitchers in baseball this season. In fact, through 21 starts he sits right below Chris Sale with a 5.1 WAR (Sale’s at 5.2). It’s his best season thanks to a bump to a 31% strikeout rate while actually lowering his walks off the career number. His 3.09 xFIP is a bit behind the 2.44 ERA but not to any alarming degree. This isn’t the best matchup with the Pirates ranking in the top third of the league against righties this season with the second-lowest strikeout rate. But Bauer is just so much better than the rest of the pack that the raw projected points win out even with the other contextual factors. Jack Flaherty FD 7400 DK 9000 Opponent - CIN (Sal Romano) Park - CIN FD - 32.78 DK - 16.99 The park isn’t doing any favors for Flaherty here with Great American playing as one of the best power pads but he does take some solid peripherals into this matchup. He’s posted a 30% strikeout rate this season with a 3.5:1 K:BB rate. These strikeout numbers are tough to find on this slate and Flaherty ranks as one of the top guys on that front. He’s only a slight -123 favorite against a Reds’ team that strikes out 21% of the time against righties. The $9K tag on DraftKings makes him an attractive SP2 and the sub-$8K FanDuel price does actually put him in contention for cash games if you want to spend up on bats. Evening Tyler Skaggs FD 9300 DK 10200 Opponent - CHW (James Shields) Park - CHW FD - 36.78 DK - 19.38 Skaggs is a huge, -220 home favorite against Chicago and he's finally putting together a healthy-ish season having started a career-high 18 games already. The numbers are backing it up with a 25% K% (career-best) and a 3.53 xFIP (career low). Skaggs has always had the pedigree but struggled to put it all together...

DFSR's Daily Fantasy MLB Podcast for FanDuel & DraftKings Wednesday 4/17/18 DFSR’s Doug Norrie and James Davis are back on the MLB podcast discussing a full slate of Tuesday action for FanDuel and DraftKings. They start out talking some of the pitching options and what to make of James Paxton who’s been great this year but did leave his last start in less than an inning. He’s coming cheap as a big money line favorite and the guys agree it’s likely worth the risk. They also look at Gerrit Cole in Coors, Kenta Maeda against the Phillies and both sides of the Mets-Padres game with Zack Wheeler and Eric Lauer coming cheap on DraftKings. For stacks there’s a game in Texas with a big run line plus the Cardinals and Reds featuring two weak arms in a hitter’s park. All of this and more on a Tuesday MLB podcast for DraftKings and FanDuel. Be sure to subscribe...

Daily Fantasy MLB Picks for FanDuel and DraftKings - Monday 7/23/18 The weekend might be over, but another week of MLB action is just starting. Monday brings us a couple of front-line aces, some dudes vying for the distinction and a bunch of offenses facing untested arms. It's going to be interesting. Let's wade through some of the decisions for Monday's MLB action. Now’s your chance to get DFSR PRO, which will give you access to our MLB optimizer and our new player lab! Get started for free by clicking the button below. START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW! First time with MLB? Be sure to read our free MLB Ebooks on building lineups, general strategy and more. We've got you completely covered. Pitcher Luis Severino FD 11400 DK 13200 Opponent - TB (Hunter Wood) Park - TB FD - 45.26 DK - 25 At this point, Severino is on the short list of Cy Young candidates in the American League. I don’t think he gets there simply because Sale, and to a lesser extent, Bauer have been damn great as well. But to even be among that class is an accomplishment in and of itself. He’s striking out batters at a 29% clip while also inducing ground balls 45% of the time. He was a little better in that department last season, but it’s still a combination of skills that will yield consistently positive results. There’s no early line on this game (posting late Sunday evening) but one has to assume a healthy money line for Sev (I’m guessing -250 or better) with an implied Tampa run line something below 3.5. He gets one of the best pitchers’ parks in baseball with the Rays as a below average team against righty pitching. Just about every factor lines up in Severino’s favor on Monday and the only thing holding him back as an autoplay is the hefty price tag. Ross Stripling FD 9600 DK 10200 Opponent - PHI (Zach Eflin) Park - PHI FD - 39.57 DK - 21.43 Don’t look now, but Stripling has emerged as one of the best starting pitchers in the game since he converted fully out of the bullpen back in early May. Since May 12th, Stripling is averaging 5.83 innings per start at 10.5 K’s per 9. And oh man, the control. In that timeframe, he has an absurd (which is a complete understatement) 17:1 K:BB ratio. You just don’t see these kinds of numbers out of a starter. It’s not a fluke. Sure, he’s running hot on LOB% (90%) but even with some regression built in the xFIP is only 2.78. He’s an elite starter and one who is still very much underpriced...

Daily Fantasy MLB Picks for FanDuel and DraftKings - 7/22/18 It's a Sunday Funday in baseball with a full slate of games. There's everything you could want here with the most elite of the elite pitchers taking the mound and some gas cans against great offenses. Let's go through all of the options here and map out a road to cash game success. Now’s your chance to get DFSR PRO, which will give you access to our MLB optimizer and our new player lab! Get started for free by clicking the button below. START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW! First time with MLB? Be sure to read our free MLB Ebooks on building lineups, general strategy and more. We've got you completely covered. Pitcher Chris Sale FD 12500 DK 13400 Opponent - DET (Blaine Hardy) Park - DET FD - 51.08 DK - 29.02 There are a lot of good pitching options on Sunday’s slate of games. But really in terms of overall pitching talent it doesn’t get any better than Sale on any day of the week. With even a halfway decent start on Sunday Sale will have the highest WAR among starting pitchers this season (currently 4.9) and he’s been just lights out all season. The numbers are just another season of dominance with a crazy 37% strikeout rate and 6:1 K:BB rate. He’s gone seven or more innings in five of his last seven starts with double-digit strikeouts in six of those games. The Tigers aren’t a pushover offense against lefties this season, but Sale isn’t your standard southpaw. He’s clearly next level and opens at a -300 favorite on the road in Detroit. He’s the most expensive pitcher on the slate, but considering the peripherals and expected win points, he’s clearly the option worth paying up for. Max Scherzer FD 11800 DK 13200 Opponent - ATL (Mike Foltynewicz) Park - WSH FD - 46.51 DK - 26.05 Sale’s been great this season, but Scherzer isn’t too far behind. He’s not quite the favorite (-234) but the Braves are right in the same implied run territory (2.9) and you do get Max at just a slightly cheaper rate. The Braves are a bottom third offense against righties this season and strike out about 20% of the time. Scherzer’s 34.5% K rate is third overall in the league behind Sale and Gerrit Cole. Like Sale, Scherzer is able to go late into games, covering seven or more innings in seven of his last nine games though it’s worth mentioning that his K rate has dipped in that time. His last double-digit strikeout game was back on June 16th against Toronto. He hasn’t found the K upside since then...

Daily Fantasy MLB Picks for FanDuel and DraftKings - 7/20/18 Wow, and just like that, we are back from the All-Star Break. It feels like we never really left and now we're handed a full slate of MLB action for Friday evening. There's one ace-level arm taking the mound and a bunch of question marks after that. Let's sort out some of the value for a big slate on DraftKings and FanDuel. Now’s your chance to get DFSR PRO, which will give you access to our MLB optimizer and our new player lab! Get started for free by clicking the button below. START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW! First time with MLB? Be sure to read our free MLB Ebooks on building lineups, general strategy and more. We've got you completely covered. Pitcher David Price FD 8400 DK 8000 Opponent - DET (Matthew Boyd) Park - DET FD - 33.89 DK - 18.17 We come out of the All-Star Break with a full slate of games and, surprisingly, very few solid pitching options. The All-Star game messed that up for a lot of teams with their aces having used throw days (or off days) to pitch an inning or two on Tuesday. That leaves us with fewer solid options across the board. Price comes in as one of the better money line pitchers on the day (-202) against the Tigers. He’s struggled to find consistency this season, with some performances looking lights out while getting knocked around here and there. But, from a strikeouts perspective, his last two games were encouraging, K-ing 17 batters in 10.33 innings. He got BABIP-d hard against the Royals, rocked by the Yankees, but before that had posted five straight games of six or more innings. It’s not a great matchup against a Tigers team ranked seventh against lefty pitching this season, but we will take what we can get on this slate. Nathan Eovaldi FD 7200 DK 8200 Opponent - MIA (Dan Straily) Park - TB FD - 32.62 DK - 16.63 Again, pitching is thin which is why we will need to dip into some arms that wouldn’t normally rate on a full Friday in baseball. Eovaldi gets a fantastic matchup against the Marlins who rank 25th in wOBA against righties this season and strike out 23% of the time in that split. He’s had fantastic control with a 5.6:1 K:BB ratio while striking out 23% of his batters (a career high). Some of these gains come from using the cutter which he brought on as a new pitch in 2017. This year, he’s up to throwing it 27% of the time, his second-most used pitch after the fastball. The results are encouraging...