FanDuel and DraftKings MLB Picks for Sunday, 5/5/19
DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Sunday 5/5/19Now’s your chance to get DFSR PRO, which will give you access to our MLB and NBA optimizers and our new player lab! Get started for free by clicking the button below.START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW!Mother nature has been a nightmare for fantasy owners this week but we actually have a pretty weather-free slate here. The only games we need to keep an eye on are Pittsburgh, Philly, New York and Baltimore. All of those cities have rain in the forecast but none are expected to be too serious. With that in mind, let's get to some of our plays. PitchersKenta Maeda FD - P 8600 DK - SP 8700 Opponent - SD (Nick Margevicius) Park - SDFD - 34.55 DK - 18.74While Maeda's 4.41 ERA and 1.50 WHIP are distressing signals, he's hard not to like in this game. The peripherals indicate that he has some positive regression headed his way, with Maeda posting a 3.17 FIP for his career while generating a 26 percent K rate. That alone makes him an attractive option below $9,000 on both sites but the matchup is simply superb. Not only does San Diego rank 26th in runs per game, they also rank 25th in xwOBA and 27th in xBA. That's why they're projected for only 3.5 runs here, with Maeda being a -140 favorite. Zach Eflin FD - P 7600 DK - SP 8800 Opponent - WSH (Anibal Sanchez) Park - PHIFD - 31.84 DK - 16.54Outside of one nightmarish start against the Marlins (of all teams), Eflin has been superb this season. In fact, Eflin hasn't allowed more than three runs in any other start while posting a 3.34 ERA and 1.20 WHIP. The only thing lacking with Eflin is the strikeouts but a team like the Nationals could really help him in that category. Not only does Washington own the second worst K rate in the majors, they'll also be without Juan Soto and Trea Turner for at least the next week. That's why Vegas has Eflin projected as a -180 favorite in this matchup, with the Nationals projected to score fewer than four runs. Also considered: Rick Porcello is coming off his best start of the season and faces a White Sox team here who ranks 25th in K rate. Catcher/First BaseJoey Votto FD - 1B 3300 DK - 1B 3700 Opponent - SF (Jeff Samardzija) Park - CINFD - 12.01 DK - 9Votto has been a huge disappointment the last two seasons but this price is simply getting too low. This is a guy who hovered in the $5,000's just two years ago and we have to believe he's fully healthy. Any player...
DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Saturday 5/4/19
DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Saturday 5/4/19 We've got a smaller early slate, and then a medium size main slate tonight, but both present some pretty big challenges. I'll cover the main slate and break it down for you, and if you want our projections for the early games feel free to click the button below and grab a free trial. Let's take a look at see where we can dig up the value tonight. Now’s your chance to get DFSR PRO, which will give you access to our MLB and NBA optimizers and our new player lab! Get started for free by clicking the button below. START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW! Pitchers Rich Hill FD - P 9400 DK - SP 9600 Opponent - SD (Joey Lucchesi) Park - SD FD - 35.22 DK - 19.24 It's at least a little awkward to recommend a guy in his second start after a long DL stint, especially given how conservative the Dodgers are generally when it comes to their starting pitchers. That being said, Hill was as good as you could have asked for in his first start back. He struck out 6 Pirates while walking none over the course of 6 innings, and while he gave up 5 runs only one of those was earned. He only threw 85 pitches, but I think we could see him get stretched out slightly here. This Padres team is not quite the doormat they've been in the past thanks to their new additions, but I mean, they're still pretty bad. They're rocking a sub .300 wOBA with a 26.8% K rate against southpaws, so we could be looking at another solid start for Hill. I get why you might not want to play him in cash games, but I'm oddly fine with it. Chris Bassitt FD - P 9500 DK - SP 8000 Opponent - PIT (Trevor Williams) Park - PIT FD - 28.18 DK - 14.18 Just highlighting Bassitt here as an interesting pitcher two option. I'll break down the others (including the semi-obvious play in Corbin) below, but I think Bassitt is worth highlighting as an interesting case study. He's got 12 Ks in 12 innings so far this year, which is solid. You have to love the .75 ERA, of course. But what can we really make of this sample size? Generally 30 year old "come from nowhere" pitchers are pretty unexciting, and Bassitt is really no exception. Nothing about his approach seems to have changed - only the results. In cases like that we're going to temper our enthusiasm. Still, the Pirates own a sub .300 wOBA against righties, and Bassitt should have a reasonably high...
FanDuel and DraftKings MLB Picks for Friday, 5/3/19
DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Friday 5/3/19 We've had a nightmarish week in terms of weather and luckily, this site has very little rain in the forecast. There are only two games we need to keep an eye on, with Pittsburgh and Arlington projected to have some rain in the forecast. The Pirates game is the only one in jeopardy of a postponement, so we're going to fade that game altogether. Now’s your chance to get DFSR PRO, which will give you access to our MLB and NBA optimizers and our new player lab! Get started for free by clicking the button below.START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW!PitchersMatthew Boyd FD - P 10400 DK - SP 9300 Opponent - KC (Jorge Lopez) Park - DETFD - 37.6 DK - 20.02It's hard to argue with Boyd's numbers this season, as he's truly turned into the Tigers ace. While his 3.13 ERA is nothing special, his 1.02 WHIP and 32 percent K-rate are fantastic numbers. That's why he has a FIP of 2.21, which is much more indicative of his ridiculous form. Facing the Royals is definitely a matchup he can exploit too, with Kansas City ranking 20th in xwOBA, 21st in xBA and 19th in OBP. All that should be huge in a pitcher's park like Comerica and that's why the Royals are projected for less than four runs. Tyler Glasnow FD - P 10500 DK - SP 9600 Opponent - BAL (Dan Straily) Park - BALFD - 34.95 DK - 19It's hard to understand why Glasnow is below $10,000 on both sites, as he's simply been one of the best pitcher's in the majors. In fact, Glasnow has posted a 1.75 ERA and 0.94 WHIP, striking out 38 batters across 36 innings of action. That alone makes him worth using against anyone, let alone a terrible lineup like the Orioles. Baltimore currently ranks 24th in both xBA and xLG while sitting 25th in xWOBA. Not to mention, Glasnow allowed just four baserunners across seven scoreless innings while striking out seven in his one start against the Orioles earlier this seasonChris Sale (FD $9900 DK $9900) has been much better his last two starts and he's worth considering against his former team considering they rank 22nd in K-rate. If you think he's fully turning a corner away from the early season disaster numbers, then at these prices he would make a fairly straightforward cash game play. Listen to "Friday's Top DFS Picks and Plays for FanDuel and DraftKings - 5/3/19" on Spreaker. Catcher/First BaseJesus Aguilar FD - 1B 2900 DK - 1B 3800 Opponent - NYM (Steven Matz) Park - MILFD - 12.1 DK - 9.07Aguilar was being dropped like...
DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Tuesday, 4/30/19
DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Saturday 4/30/19Now’s your chance to get DFSR PRO, which will give you access to our MLB and NBA optimizers and our new player lab! Get started for free by clicking the button below.START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW!Weather has been a nightmare recently, so that's the top priority before filling out lineups. This slate is no different, as we have ugly forecasts all around the country. The cities/states we need to focus on are Washington, New York, Minnesota, Chicago, Kansas City, Philadelphia and Texas. That's about half of the slate and that's a disaster for DFS players. So, while we don't have accurate enough forecasts to predict what these games will do, it's definitely something you need to keep an eye on. PitchersTrevor Bauer FD - P 11400 DK - SP 10900 Opponent - MIA (Sandy Alcantara) Park - MIAFD - 41.63 DK - 22.62This is easily my favorite pitcher on the board, as Bauer should obliterate this lineup. Let's start with the Marlins, with their best hitter being Starlin Castro. That says a lot about this team and it's no surprise that they rank dead-last in total runs. The peripherals back up that run total, with Miami ranking 27th in xwOBA and 28th in wOBA. That makes any pitcher worth starting against them but especially a stud like Bauer. The right-hander currently owns a 1.99 ERA and a 1.03 WHIP to go along with an incredible 28.3 percent K-rate. Not to mention, he gets to pitch against an NL lineup with a pitcher hitting in the best pitcher's park in the majors. Vince Velasquez FD - P 8200 DK - SP 8700 Opponent - DET (Tyson Ross) Park - PHIFD - 32.33 DK - 16.78Velasquez has always been a personal favorite of mine and he appears to be finding some consistency. So far this season, Velsaquez has posted a 1.99 ERA and 1.01 WHIP while striking out 22 batters across 22.2 innings of action. Those strikeout numbers are why we like him here, with Velsquez posting a 25.4 percent K-rate for his career. That becomes particularly intriguing in a matchup like this, with Detroit having the second-worst K-rate in the majors. They don't just struggle with plate discipline, the Tigers also rank 25th in wOBA and 27th in runs scored. Blake Snell and Gerrit Cole are two of the highest priced pitchers on the board but are worth considering with their strikeout potential and quality matchups. Jakob Junis is also worth considering if you're in need of a cheap arm, as he's at home against the Tampa Bay Rays. Catcher/First BaseMitch Moreland FD - 1B 3200 DK - 1B 4200 Opponent - OAK (Aaron Brooks) Park -...
DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Monday 4/30/19
DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Monday 4/30/19 Monday's MLB action brings us some stud arms like Verlander and Corbin, but also some above average guys on the mound as well who could make things dicey when it comes to stacking offenses. Now’s your chance to get DFSR PRO, which will give you access to our MLB and NBA optimizers and our new player lab! Get started for free by clicking the button below. START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW! Pitchers Patrick Corbin FD - P 9700 DK - SP 10200 Opponent - STL (Michael Wacha) Park - WSHFD - 36.21 DK - 19.54 Corbin draws a tough matchup against the Cardinals on Monday, but he might just be the best overall arm going on the slate. He’s following up a career year in 2018 with a new contract and numbers that look very much the same. Dude is striking out almost 11 batters per nine and walking only 1.6, good for a 6.5:1 K:BB ratio. Again, the Cardinals do pose some serious righty threats in the middle of the lineup with Goldschmidt, Ozuna and company. But I think we can buy Corbin at something of a discount just because of the insane peripherals. Zack Wheeler FD - P 8600 DK - SP 9300 Opponent - CIN (Tanner Roark) Park - NYMFD - 34.02 DK - 17.9 Wheeler has five starts on the season. Two were great, two were serviceable and one was a complete train wreck. It’s spelled something of an up and down year so far, but you have to like the overall peripherals. He had a seven walk nightmare against the Nationals, but in his other four starts he has 31 strikeouts in 25 innings and a 4.4:1 K:BB ratio. The Reds are running bad in the offensive department this season, but they still aren’t all that prolific of an offense. Wheeler makes for a very solid value on both sites and though there are a number of quality arms on this slate, he could top out as the best cash game option. After these two guys, I can make cases for a number of other starting pitchers on this slate. Yonny Chirinos (FD $7600 DK $7900) draws a good matchup against the weak-hitting Royals. Chirinos has been given longer leashes in his last two starts. Kenta Maeda (FD $8900 DK $9700) has maybe the best matchup of the day against the Giants. I’m just always a little concerned how far the Dodgers will let him go in games. And finally, there’s some temptation to pay all the way up for Justin Verlander (FD $11300 DK $10800) here but I don’t love the matchup against the Twins....