DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Sunday, 8/15/21
DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Sunday, 8/15/21 Now’s your chance to get DFSR PRO, which will give you access to our MLB and NBA optimizers and our new player lab! Get started for free by clicking the button below. START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW! This is a bizarre slate. There really aren't many pitchers that we're completely comfortable with, but there's a couple of five-figure guys you can ride. The rest of the options are downright ugly, though, and it's going to lead to some chalky lineups. What's also going to be chalky is the Boston Red Sox stack. They're projected for more than six runs, and rightfully so. Sometimes it's a good idea to fade chalk, but Boston feels like a lock today. With that in mind, let's kick things off with some of those pitchers we mentioned before. Pitchers Eduardo Rodriguez FD 8000 DK 9800 Opponent - BAL (Keegan Akin) Park - BAL FD - 27.97 DK - 15.15 This game has a high run total, but E-Rod is a big favorite at -280 at home against the Orioles. Again, you do not like the 10.5 over/under coming in, but the win odds are really in his favor if he can get through five innings. And the strikeout potential is definitely there against Baltimore. Rodriguez is putting down batters almost 30% of the time this season and has the lowest walk rate of his career. Sean Manaea FD 9600 DK 10400 Opponent - TEX (Kolby Allard) Park - TEX FD - 32.58 DK - 16.88 Manaea was a guy we used to fade because of his lack of strikeouts, but something has changed. Over his last 14 starts, Manaea has a 2.82 ERA, 1.14 WHIP, and 10.7 K/9 rate. Those are some shocking numbers, but it makes him one of the best options on the board. What really adds to his intrigue here is this tasty matchup with Texas. The Rangers currently rank dead-last in OBP and OPS, freefalling down the standings. The Rangers ballpark used to be a tough cookie to crack, but it's actually developed into one of the most pitcher-friendly parks once they moved to Globe Life Field. Catcher/First Base Paul Goldschmidt FD 3400 DK 4700 Opponent - KC (Kris Bubic) Park - KC FD - 13.1 DK - 9.85 We absolutely love the Cardinals in this spot. Guys like Nolan Arenado and Tyler O'Neill are fantastic options, but Goldy is the guy we want to use. We say that because he's killed left-handers throughout his career, posting an OPS just shy of .950 against them. That alone makes him a good option, but Goldy is absolutely rolling right now. Over his last...
DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Tuesday 8/14/21 – Main slate
DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Tuesday 8/14/21 - Main slate Now’s your chance to get DFSR PRO, which will give you access to our MLB, NBA, PGA, NHL, and NFL optimizers and our new player lab! Get started for free by clickiang the button below. START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW! Pitchers Joe Musgrove FD 9600 DK 9100 Opponent - ARI (Tyler Gilbert) Park - ARIFD - 37.31 DK - 20.84 There have been some ups and downs, but for the most part Musgrove has had an excellent season with the Padres. He is sporting a 3.45 xFIP and striking out more than 10 batters per nine. That walks have stayed in check and now he gets an Arizona team that is one of the weaker offenses in baseball. This lines up for him to be a strong cash play on the main slate of games with the one caveat being we are waiting for some odds on a couple of the other games. Dylan Cease FD 8900 DK 9000 Opponent - NYY (Jameson Taillon) Park - NYYFD - 35.46 DK - 18.8 Cease gets a terrible matchup against the Yankees in this one, but it is also tough to ignore just what the guy has done on the mound this season. He is striking out close to 12 batter per nine on the year, representing an unbelievable jump year-over-year. One big change has been going back to the curveball, something he through a lot more in 2019 when the K rate was higher. You are buying the most potential Ks on the cheap here with the understanding that the matchup is a real tough one. Catcher/First Base Buster Posey FD 3300 DK 3900 Opponent - COL (Kyle Freeland) Park - COLFD - 10.21 DK - 7.87 Darin Ruf FD 2700 DK 2800 Opponent - COL (Kyle Freeland) Park - COLFD - 12.63 DK - 9.54 the Giants face off against the lefty Kyle Freeland here on Saturday evening and you have a chance to stack these two guys who will likely be hitting 2-3 in the order. Posey is having a turn-bask-the-clock season for sure, one of his best campaigns in the last decade. It has been a major surprise and he’s crushed the ball all season. He has a .981 OPS which would mark the best of his career if the season finished today. That’s thanks in part to a career-best 14% walk rate and there has been some luck involved as well with a .377 BABIP. In all, facing off against a low-K Freeland, this is a good spot. Then there is Ruf who should be hitting cleanup here and has been great in his own...
DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Wednesday, 8/11/21
DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Wednesday, 8/11/21 Now’s your chance to get DFSR PRO, which will give you access to our MLB and NBA optimizers and our new player lab! Get started for free by clicking the button below. START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW! I've been away for about a month recovering from ACL surgery, but I'm back and ready to go! The amount of baseball I've watched over the last month is absolutely terrifying, but it has me ready for these final two months of the year. This is a fun slate to kick things off with, too, because we have some absolute aces in some grand slam spots. With that in mind, let's start things off with those arms! Pitchers Corbin Burnes FD - P 11000 DK - RP 10300 Opponent - CHC (Jake Arrieta) Park - CHC FD - 40.37 DK - 23.31 Burnes is third in terms of NL Cy Young odds, and he's earned every bit of it with his ridiculous 2021 season. While the 6-4 record is hurting his case, his 2.39 ERA and 0.96 WHIP certainly is not. What makes him truly special is his ability to strike out hitters, generating a 12.5 K/9 rate for the season. That's obviously one of the best rates around, and it should be easy to roll through a Cubs lineup that just traded Anthony Rizzo, Javy Baez, and Kris Bryant. He actually faced this lineup at full boar once earlier this season and threw six scoreless, two-hit innings while striking out 10 Cubbies. Kevin Gausman FD - P 10300 DK - SP 9900 Opponent - ARI (Merrill Kelly) Park - SF FD - 40.84 DK - 22.57 We hate to recommend two of the highest-priced pitchers on the board, but it's pretty much impossible to fade both of these guys. These two studs are Top-5 in terms of NL Cy Young odds, and Gausman has to be one of the favorites with the way he's been carrying the Giants. While his last four starts have been a little down by his standards, Gaus still has a 2.31 ERA and 0.95 WHIP for the year. A 10.7 K/9 rate backs those absurd averages, winning seemingly every time out. That's awful news for Arizona, striking out 29 times over their last two games. They're also ranked bottom-10 in nearly every offensive metric out there and have allowed KG to accrue a 1.42 ERA and 0.90 WHIP in three starts against them this year. If you want someone cheaper, Tyler Anderson gets to face a 27th-ranked Texas offense and has allowed three runs or fewer in all but three starts this year. Catcher/First Base Max Muncy FD...
DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Tuesday 8/10/21 – Main slate
DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Tuesday 8/10/21 - Main slate Now’s your chance to get DFSR PRO, which will give you access to our MLB, NBA, PGA, NHL, and NFL optimizers and our new player lab! Get started for free by clickiang the button below. START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW! Pitchers Logan Gilbert FD 8900 DK 9600 Opponent - TEX (Kolby Allard) Park - TEXFD - 36.69 DK - 19.73 Through his first 67 major league innings, Logan Gilbert has been very good for the Mariners. He is striking out batters at a 10.56 per nine clip, good for a 28% K rate. And the peripherals are solid as well with a better than 4:1 K:BB ration. The Rangers are a dismissal offense and they sent off their best bat in Gallo at the trade deadline. Gilbert is a -198 home favorite here, some of the best win odds on the slate. He could be a popular play here. Jake Odorizzi FD 7400 DK 7700 Opponent - COL (Jon Gray) Park - HOUFD - 32.58 DK - 17.31 Odorizzi is not all that great of an arm, but he is in a good spot here on Tuesday. He comes into the game as a -176 home favorite against the Rockies who are a mediocre offense despite playing half their games in the best hitters park (by far) in baseball. Odorizzi is coming cheap for having such a good matchup and makes a solid DraftKings SP2 pairing thanks to a sub-$8K price point. Catcher/First Base Pete Alonso FD 3800 DK 4200 Opponent - WSH (Paolo Espino) Park - WSHFD - 14.19 DK - 10.53 Alonso hasn’t been able to recreate his unreal rookie season, but he remains a very strong hitter and it tough to put down on strikes. On the season, he has 24 home runs and an OPS in the low-.800s. The Mets have one of the higher implied run lines on the day against Espino and Alonso should be hitting third in the order. José Abreu FD 3700 DK 5900 Opponent - MIN (Griffin Jax) Park - MINFD - 13.88 DK - 10.5 The White Sox have one of the highest run expectations on this slate facing up in a matchup against Griffin Jax. Jax has really struggled in his first 32 major league innings, not finding much in the way of swing and miss stuff and carrying in a 5.91 xFIP. Abreu is expensive here, but is worth it considering the matchup and his still remaining power. Second Base Whit Merrifield FD 3100 DK 3800 Opponent - NYY (Nestor Cortes) Park - NYYFD - 12.34 DK - 9.61 Merrifield has an OPS under .700 on...
DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Sunday 8/8/21 – Main slate
DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Sunday 8/8/21 - Main slate Now’s your chance to get DFSR PRO, which will give you access to our MLB, NBA, PGA, NHL, and NFL optimizers and our new player lab! Get started for free by clickiang the button below. START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW! Pitchers Zack Wheeler FD 10700 DK 10400 Opponent - NYM (Taijuan Walker) Park - NYMFD - 41.63 DK - 22.89 Pitching isn’t amazing on this slate some lower moneyline odds and bad matchups, but Wheeler is easily the best arm going so we can work with that. He has 2.81 xFIP on the season and is striking out close to 10.5 batters per nine. The peripherals are great too with a better than 5:1 K:BB rate. He faces off against the Mets as a -166 home favorite and that win expectation is good enough considering the hefty price tag. I think he ends up as the chalk cash pitcher. Tyler Mahle FD 8400 DK 9800 Opponent - PIT (Bryse Wilson) Park - PITFD - 37.18 DK - 20.47 It is tough to run out pitchers in Great American Ballpark because it is so favorable to hitters, but this slate is a bit thin with the arms and Mahle is a huge favorite here at -232 against the lowly Pirates. Pittsburgh ranks second to last in team offense on the season with a .295 wOBA and they arent likely to get better the rest of the way. Meanwhile, Mahle is best xFIP season of his career, sitting at 3.88 and striking out batters at a 28% rate. You dont love the 10 over/under, but everything else lines up here. Catcher/First Base Joey Votto FD 4100 DK 5800 Opponent - PIT (Bryse Wilson) Park - PITFD - 14.04 DK - 10.54 We wrote Votto up yesterday as a core cash play even with the big price tag and he delivered with a home run. In fact, we were stacking Reds and they ended up with 11 runs all told. We will be looking to stack them again on this slate for sure. As stated, Votto is having a complete bounce back season with 23 home runs, his best mark since 2017. The OPS is well over .900 as well, again the best in the last four seasons. He has turned it all back around in his age-37 season, which is remarkable. Here is to hoping he keeps it going on Sunday. Freddie Freeman FD 3700 DK 5400 Opponent - WSH (Patrick Corbin) Park - WSHFD - 14.05 DK - 10.51 This is lefty-lefty matchup against Corbin, but the latter has really fallen off a cliff this season, now striking out...