DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Friday 9/18/20
DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Friday 9/18/20 Now’s your chance to get DFSR PRO, which will give you access to our MLB and NBA optimizers and our new player lab! Get started for free by clicking the button below. START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW! It sounds crazy to say but we only have one Friday slate after this. We all knew this season would fly by but this has been a 40-yard sprint to the finish line. The good news is that most teams are still alive and that shouldn't cause anything too wacky yet. Next week might get nuts in terms of lineups and pitchers but everything should be normal for now. With that in mind, let's go ahead and get into it! Pitchers Zack Greinke FD - P 9500 DK - SP 10100 Opponent - ARI (Zac Gallen) Park - HOU FD - 36.5 DK - 19.19 I'm not so sure if this is more about Greinke or the Diamondbacks. We'll go ahead and start with that matchup, facing an Arizona club that ranks 27th in runs scored, 29th in OBP and 28th in wOBA. What's scary is that they've been even worse over the last month, making them the worst offense around. That's fantastic news for Greinke, who's got a 3.10 ERA and 1.10 WHIP over the last decade. His 1.06 WHIP this season is a good indicator that he hasn't lost a step and the -175 money line and 7.5-run total are even more encouraging signs. Chris Paddack FD - P 8200 DK - SP 8800 Opponent - SEA (Yusei Kikuchi) Park - SEA FD - 38.18 DK - 21.02 Paddack has been a slight disappointment for the Padres this season but this is a great spot for him to succeed. We're still talking about a pitcher who has a 3.69 ERA and 1.04 WHIP for his career, matching that with a 27 percent K rate. All of that makes him very enticing against a team like the Mariners, who rank 23rd in runs scored, 22nd in OBP and 25th in K rate. We also don't hate the fact that he's a -180 favorite in one of the most pitcher-friendly ballparks in baseball. If you're feeling risky, you can ride Carlos Martinez against a Pirates offense who's equally as bad as the Diamondbacks. Catcher/First Base Luke Voit FD - 1B 4300 DK - 1B 5300 Opponent - BOS (Martin Pérez) Park - BOS FD - 13.14 DK - 9.86 Anytime the Yankees face a left-hander, they're the best stack of the day. In fact, if I were a lefty facing this lineup, I'd probably complain about my elbow during warm-up. Anyway, one of the...
DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Tuesday 9/15/20
DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Tuesday 9/15/20 Now’s your chance to get DFSR PRO, which will give you access to our MLB, NBA, PGA, NHL and NFL optimizers and our new player lab! Get started for free by clicking the button below. START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW! We have quite the slate to start the week with three doubleheaders, one make-up game, and two completely different slates on FanDuel and DraftKings. If playing DraftKings, keep in mind the three doubleheaders are just seven-inning games. Let's dig in and take a look at some core plays at each position, covering the entire day. Pitchers Jack Flaherty FD - P 9800 DK - SP 9400 Opponent - MIL (Brett Anderson) Park - MILFD - 35.17 DK - 19.31 After struggling against the Cubs, Flaherty looked a bit more like himself against the Tigers last Thursday. He threw his most pitches of the season (95) and struck out six batters in five innings. The numbers aren’t cute to what they were last season with the K’s, but he’s still putting down more than a batter an inning and the 3.59 xFIP is right in line with previous seasons. He’’ll face a depleted Brewers’ team as a -144 road favorite. Jose Urquidy FD - P 6300 DK - SP 6600 Opponent - TEX (Kyle Cody) Park - HOUFD - 31.48 DK - 16.53 Jose Urquidy’s numbers in his first two starts are hilarious. He’s struck out only three batters in 9.2 innings while walking six. And yet the ERA is only 3.72 thanks to an incredibly low .093 BABIP against. This is all to say, the sample size is small and Urquidy has profiled as a strikeout pitcher throughout his time in the minors. He’s the best money line favorite on the day at -210 against the Rangers and I think we are buying way low. Strongly consider Deivi García (FD $8900 DK $6800) against the Blue Jays. He’s really looked great in his first three starts. Catcher/First Base Matt Olson FD - 1B 3900 DK - 1B 5300 Opponent - COL (Antonio Senzatela) Park - COLFD - 15.37 DK - 11.45 As we’ve already established, it doesn’t look like we’ll be paying all that much for pitching meaning we can likely load up on the Athletics heading into Coors on Monday. This game, of course has the highest total and bats are somewhat reasonably priced. Olson isn’t having a repeat to his 2019 season by any means when he OPS’ed right around .900 with 36 home runs. The power numbers per plate appearance are mostly there this season but he’s running about .100 points off his BABIP at .203 though the...
DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Sunday 9/13/20
DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Sunday 9/13/20 Now’s your chance to get DFSR PRO, which will give you access to our MLB and NBA optimizers and our new player lab! Get started for free by clicking the button below. START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW! We have a strange slate ahead of us here. While almost everyone is playing during the day, the games are all spread out. What's also interesting is how small these prize pools are. The main reason for that is because the NFL is kicking off but we still need our baseball fix. With that in mind, let's get into it! Pitchers You can't go too wrong with the big money guys: Max Scherzer and Charlie Morton. But you know about those guys already, so I figured I'd write up a few guys who might be more off your radar. Frankie Montas FD - P 6800 DK - SP 9400 Opponent - TEX (Lance Lynn) Park - TEX FD - 34.66 DK - 18.37 Man, it's tough to ride a guy with a 5.73 ERA and 1.54 WHIP but Montas is in a great spot to succeed here. The reason we say that is because he gets to face the Rangers. This offense currently ranks dead-last in runs scored, 22nd in K rate and 29th in wOBA. That's the perfect opportunity for Montas to have a rebound start, coming off one of his best starts of the season. This is a guy who's shown ace capability in the past too, maintaining a 2.63 ERA and 1.11 WHIP last season. Vegas appears to like him too, making him a -140 favorite in game with a total of 8. Fantastic buy low opportunity on FanDuel. Brad Keller FD - P 8100 DK - SP 6800 Opponent - PIT (Chad Kuhl) Park - KC FD - 30.27 DK - 14.49 This DraftKings price blows my mind. Anytime anyone faces the Pirates, they should be one of the highest-priced pitchers on the slate. The reason for that is because they currently rank 29th in runs scored, 25th in K rate and dead-last in both wOBA and OPS. That's fantastic news for Keller, who's pitching to a 2.60 ERA and 1.10 WHIP in what's become a breakout season. That obviously makes him one of the best values of the day, entering this matchup as a -141 favorite, with a total of 8.5. Catcher/First Base Luke Voit FD - 1B 3900 DK - 1B 5400 Opponent - BAL (John Means) Park - NYY FD - 12.17 DK - 9.13 This is easily one of the best plays of the day. We'll start things off by talking about his matchup, facing a...
DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Friday 9/11/20
DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Friday 9/11/20 Now’s your chance to get DFSR PRO, which will give you access to our MLB and NBA optimizers and our new player lab! Get started for free by clicking the button below. START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW! There are only two weeks left in the regular season and these games are getting really important. That means it's time to ride stud pitchers to some wins and that's big for us DFS players. That's why we're going to kick things off with one of the hottest pitchers in the league, so, let's get into it! Pitchers Lucas Giolito FD - P 10800 DK - SP 10500 Opponent - DET (Casey Mize) Park - CHW FD - 41.86 DK - 22.64 Giolito is someone who I was skeptical about at the beginning of the season but he has completely changed my mind with his ridiculous 2020 season. Despite struggling against the Twins in the opener, Giolito has a 2.29 ERA, 0.88 WHIP and 12.7 K/9 rate over his last eight starts. Those are Cy Young-like numbers and it's scary to think that he gets to face a Tigers team that owns the worst K rate in the Majors. In his one start against them earlier this season, Giolito pitched seven scoreless innings while striking out 13 batters en route to an absurd 70 FanDuel points. That's why he's a -260 favorite in this game. Caleb Smith FD - P 7100 DK - SP 5900 Opponent - SEA (Yusei Kikuchi) Park - ARI FD - 37.69 DK - 19.7 Smith was just acquired by Arizona in the Starling Marte trade and he could be a huge piece for this rotation in the coming years. Between 2018-19, Smith amassed a 4.41 ERA, 1.23 WHIP and 26.5 percent K rate. That might not sound like anything special but that WHIP and K rate indicates that he's better than that ERA. That makes him a really intriguing option at this price, as he truly has 40-point potential in any given start. Facing the Mariners is a good way to get him a quality start, with Seattle sitting 20th in K rate, 21st in runs scored, 24th in OBP and 25th in wOBA. You may be worried about Smith's workload too but he threw over 70 pitches in his last intrasquad game earlier in the week. Catcher/First Base José Abreu FD - 1B 3900 DK - 1B 5500 Opponent - DET (Casey Mize) Park - CHW FD - 13.43 DK - 10.21 Abreu should be the highest-priced player on the slate the way he's seeing the ball and he's not even Top-5. Not only does the big man...
DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Tuesday 9/8/20
DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Tuesday 9/8/20 Now’s your chance to get DFSR PRO, which will give you access to our MLB, NBA, PGA, NHL, and NFL optimizers and our new player lab! Get started for free by clicking the button below. START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW! Pitchers Walker Buehler FD - P 10400 DK - SP 10200 Opponent - ARI (Luke Weaver) Park - ARIFD - 36.68 DK - 20.18 Buehler has allowed only one earned run in his last 11 innings, striking out 17 batters and walking only one in that time period. He’s once again looking like the ace after struggling a bit out of the gate to start the season. The walks, for the season, are a bit up over last season but he’s still striking out more than 10 batters per nine. The Diamondbacks have the third-worst team wOBA in the league this season though they don’t strike out a ton. It matters little though with Buehler a big favorite against a light-hitting team. He is the top projected cash game pitcher on the main slate and for good reason. Mike Clevinger FD - P 9600 DK - SP 9700 Opponent - COL (Chi Chi Gonzalez) Park - SDFD - 39.91 DK - 21.88 It hasn’t exactly been a banner year for Clevinger who was persona non grata in Cleveland after breaking team quarantine rules and then getting shipped to San Diego at the trade deadline. Though one could say at least he landed on a true contender. But the pitching has been bad in his 28 innings, striking out fewer than seven batters per nine and walking 3.77/9. And don’t get totally fooled by the 3.14 ERA, the 4.87 xFIP is more than 1.5 runs higher. But he’s a big-time -225 home favorite against the Rockies who have a grizzly .288 wOBA when they play outside of Coors. Looking for a bounce back game for Clevinger here matched up against a weaker opponent. Logan Webb (FD $6700 DK $7700) is an interesting choice against a very weak Seattle team. His peripherals are fine enough and the price is right. Catcher/First Base Carlos Santana FD - 1B 2700 DK - 1B 3600 Opponent - KC (Jakob Junis) Park - CLEFD - 12.39 DK - 9.21 Santana remains one of the most patient hitters in the league with a 20% walk percentage this season, up from 16% over the last two years. He walks more than he strikes out, which is extremely rare for hitters these days. The issue this season has been any semblance of power, hitting only four home runs through his first 174 plate appearances. The hard contact % is about...