DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Monday, 5/3/21
DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Monday, 5/3/21 Now’s your chance to get DFSR PRO, which will give you access to our MLB, NBA, PGA, NHL, and NFL optimizers and our new player lab! Get started for free by clicking the button below. START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW! Pitchers Walker Buehler FD - P 10200 DK - SP 9600 Opponent - CHC (Kyle Hendricks) Park - CHC FD - 39.49 DK - 21.78 It's a day without a lot of fantastic pitching options, and I think you could do a lot worse than Walker Buehler. The strikeouts have gone down a tic this year, but his incredible command (.57 BB/9!) has more than made up the difference in terms of his overall effectiveness. The Cubs are not a conventionally fantastic match-up, with a lot of household names in their lineup. They have been about league average in terms of wOBA this season, but importantly, their 27% K rate is the third-highest in the Majors. Buehler and the Dodgers are almost -200 favorites, as well. On a day without many headliners, Buehler should see significant cash game ownership. Kenta Maeda FD - P 6900 DK - SP 7800 Opponent - TEX (Dane Dunning) Park - MIN FD - 39.19 DK - 21.08 Maeda has, quite simply, been really bad his year. Basically every available metric paints the picture of an aging pitcher declining. So why would we consider him for cash games? There are a couple of reasons. First of all, while Maeda has declined, he hasn't turned into a true-talent 6.56 ERA guy overnight. He might not be the Cy Young candidate he was last year, but even in this diminished state he's probably league average. With career high BABIP allowed and HR/FB rate, he's due for some positive regression soon. Then there's the match-up. The Rangers have struck out at the 2nd highest rate in the Majors while posting a below-league-average .303 wOBA. It's not without risk, but at these prices we can afford a little risk in our lives. Also considered: Frankie Montas. Catcher/First Base J.T. Realmuto FD - C 3300 DK - C 5300 Opponent - MIL (Adrian Houser) Park - PHI FD - 10.9 DK - 8.25 I'll often write up a catcher with a caveat like, "If you have to play a catcher, think about this guy." In the case of Realmuto, this is an unqualified recommendation, at least on FanDuel. Realmuto is an on-base machine with more power than you think, and he's going up against a pitcher in Adrian Houser who gives opposing batters a lot of chance to get on base with his low K rate and relatively high walk...
DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Sunday 5/2/21
DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Sunday 5/2/21 Now’s your chance to get DFSR PRO, which will give you access to our MLB, NBA, PGA, NHL, and NFL optimizers and our new player lab! Get started for free by clicking the button below. START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW! Pitchers Max Scherzer FD - P 12000 DK - SP 9700 Opponent - MIA (Trevor Rogers) Park - WSHFD - 43.48 DK - 24.33 Scherzer has started this season as his usual, dominant self. He’s striking out 11.4 batters per nine and has a better than 6:1 K:BB ratio. He’s facing a weaker Miami offense on Sunday though the money line isn’t all that great (-121) because Rogers is taking the mound for the Marlins. This is still a spot to spend up for Scherzer who is the best arm on the slate. It will cost you on FanDuel, but the floor is just so high for what he provides. The DraftKings price is simply too low at sub-$10K and I think the call is pretty easy over there. José Berríos FD - P 8800 DK - SP 8500 Opponent - KC (Brad Keller) Park - MINFD - 34.72 DK - 18.36 Berrios has come out of the gate firing to start the season with a 32% K-rate that’s the highest of his career so far. The 2.96 xFIP is elite and he’s just rounding into one of the best pitchers in the game. The Royals are a below-average offense to start the season and it’s hard to imagine them improving much as the year wears on. Berrios at a -171 home favorite looks like a great cash game play. Catcher/First Base Freddie Freeman FD - 1B 4100 DK - 1B 5400 Opponent - TOR (Undecided) Park - TORFD - 11.89 DK - 8.89 Toronto is once again not exactly sure who their starter is about 12 hours before the game starts which always bodes well for the opposing hitters. Like Saturday, it’s going to be some scrub that’s in line to get lit up. We are going to be able to safely stack the Braves bats once again without much hesitation. Guys like Freeman will cost, but man the floor is just so high considering he walks more than he strikes out and hits for tremendous power. Joey Votto FD - 1B 2800 DK - 1B 5300 Opponent - CHC (Trevor Williams) Park - CINFD - 10.72 DK - 8.04 Votto is starting to find some of the power that had eluded him a couple of years ago. But over his last 300 or so plate appearances dating back to last season, he’s cranked 16 home runs and improved his...
DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Saturday 5/1/21
DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Saturday 5/1/21 Now’s your chance to get DFSR PRO, which will give you access to our MLB, NBA, PGA, NHL, and NFL optimizers and our new player lab! Get started for free by clicking the button below. START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOåW! Pitchers Zac Gallen FD - P 9000 DK - SP 8900 Opponent - COL (Austin Gomber) Park - ARIFD - 38.2 DK - 20.7 It’s a lighter Saturday when it comes to the afternoon games so we will focus a little more on the evening games. Gallen comes in as a -183 home favorite against the Rockies on Saturday. The 2.16 ERA is a little run hot considering the xFIP is about two runs higher, but this is still a good spot against the Rockies. Gallen is striking out close to 11 batters per nine but does need to get the walks under control some. The Rockies are a middling wOBA team on the season and that’s not even adjusted for park. I like Gallen here. Blake Snell FD - P 8800 DK - SP 9500 Opponent - SF (Anthony DeSclafani) Park - SDFD - 37.78 DK - 20.73 Snell is a -161 home favorite going into this game against the San Francisco Giants and this one only has a 7 over/under. Snell is striking out batters at a career-high 13.5 K/9 this season with a walk rate you’d like to see a little lower. But he’s still got a 3.15 xFIP which is about .75 runs lower than than the ERA. He’s a great price on both sites and has some serious K upside if he can command his pitches a little better. The Giants are a middle-of-the-pack offense on the season and not a group of bats we need to avoid. On the afternoon slate, don’t get worried about the ERA on Jameson Taillon (FD $7000 DK $7700). His xFIP is excellent and his peripherals have been great. Catcher/First Base Freddie Freeman FD - 1B 4100 DK - 1B 5700 Opponent - TOR (Undecided) Park - TORFD - 11.89 DK - 8.89 The Blue Jays haven’t announced their starter yet for Saturday, but we can trust it isn’t going to be an ace or anything. In fact, it will likely be quite the opposite. Freeman has started the season basically mashing like always with an OPS in the high .800’s and the 17% walk rate higher than the 14% K-rate. He’s one of the hardest outs in the game and that should continue to be the case on Saturday. Matt Olson FD - 1B 3800 DK - 1B 4900 Opponent - BAL (Matt Harvey) Park - OAKFD - 11.65...
FanDuel NBA Picks and DraftKings NBA Picks – Thursday 4/29/21
FanDuel NBA Picks and DraftKings NBA Picks - Thursday 4/29/21 Head on over a for your chance to get DFSR PRO, which will give you access to our NBA FanDuel and DraftKings optimizer, our MLB Optimizer and NHL Projections as well. Plus our new player lab! Get started for free by clicking the button below. START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW! First time with NBA or NFL? Be sure to read our free NBA and NFL Ebooks on building lineups, general strategy and more. We've got you completely covered. Point Guard Stephen Curry FD - $9600 DK - $10300 Opponent - MIN Proj Pts FD - 55.1 DK - 58.72 Steph's MVP campaign took a hit in a blowout loss to the Mavs, but he should be back with guns blazing in a great spot against the Timberwolves. This game has the highest total on the slate, and the Wolves really don't bring a single guy to even attempt to cover Curry. Minnesota has allowed the 6th most fantasy points to opposing point guards this season, and we should prepare ourselves for a monster performance here. Kyle Lowry FD - $6400 DK - $7100 Opponent - DEN Proj Pts FD - 36.4 DK - 38.16 This one is a straight-up old-fashioned value play. Lowry is priced like he's going to play 29 minutes a game, but the 37 minutes he played last game tips the Raptors' hand: Lowry is back for his full run. He's averaged almost 6x points per dollar on these prices for the season, making him in play against all but the very best opposing defenses. The Nuggets are solid, but are thin enough in the backcourt that Lowry should have plenty of room to operate. Also considered: Malcolm Brogdon. Shooting Guard Andrew Wiggins FD - $6700 DK - $7000 Opponent - MIN Proj Pts FD - 37.2 DK - 37.49 Revenge game? Yes, but that's not why we're actually pushing Wiggins here. The reality is that he's been rolling out 5x points per dollar performances game in, game out, and has a terrific match-up against his hapless former team. The Timberwolves have allowed the fifth-most fantasy points to opposing shooting guards this season, and if the Wolves manage to keep it close Wiggins should have a great game here. Landry Shamet FD - $4100 DK - $4100 Opponent - IND Proj Pts FD - 22.44 DK - 23.79 With Brown already ruled out of Thursday's game, Shamet should be in line for the 32-36 minute rotation we've become accustomed to in close games. He's not immune to the occasional stinker, but he's also got 8x+ upside, as he demonstrated against the Heat two weeks ago. Yes,...
FanDuel NBA Picks and DraftKings NBA Picks – Wednesday, 4/28/21
FanDuel NBA Picks and DraftKings NBA Picks - Wednesday, 4/28/21 Tuesday's article went pretty well, but it's a good indicator of how crazy things are in the NBA right now. While we got a few gems, a few of the picks didn't work out for unforeseen reasons. Those variables are becoming more common by the day with the season winding down to an end, and it's becoming tougher to predict who will even play at this point with so many teams tanking. Injuries have also caused mayhem on the league, and it's crazy to click on the player pool and see half the guys with injury designations. Head on over for your chance to get DFSR PRO, which will give you access to our NBA FanDuel and DraftKings optimizer, our MLB Optimizer, and NHL Projections as well. Plus, our new player lab! Get started for free by clicking the button below. START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW! First time with NBA or NFL? Be sure to read our free NBA and NFL Ebooks on building lineups, general strategy, and more. We've got you completely covered. Point Guard Ja Morant FD - $8100 DK - $8200 Opponent - POR Proj Pts FD - 38.92 DK - 40.43 This 21-year-old is truly one of the most talented players in the NBA, and he's in the best stretch of his career right now. The former Murray State standout has scored at least 37 DraftKings points in five straight games, providing nearly 55 fantasy points per game in that span. That's easily one of the best stretches in the league, and it makes it hard to believe that Morant remains around $8K on both sites. The best part of this play is the matchup, though, with Portland ranked 29th in defensive efficiency while surrendering the most fantasy points in the league to opposing PGs. Ja is averaging an absurd 54.4 DK points per game in their two meetings this season if you needed any more incentive. Goran Dragic FD - $5000 DK - $5400 Opponent - SA Proj Pts FD - 29.52 DK - 31.19 Dragic has been all over the map this season, but with Kendrick Nunn, Tyler Herro, and Victor Oladipo all nicked up, he could be looking at another monster night. All three of those guys sat out on Monday, and Dragic tallied eight points, six rebounds, seven assists, and three steals en route to 32 DraftKings points. That's a stellar total from a dude sitting around $5K, and he's proven to be that sort of player when given the opportunity in the past. He actually had at least 39 fantasy points in two of his previous three games before that,...