DFS MLB Podcast for Tuesday 7/11/18 – FanDuel and DraftKings
DFSR's Daily Fantasy MLB Podcast for FanDuel & DraftKings Wednesday 7/11/18 DFSR’s Doug Norrie and James Davis take to the Wednesday podcast discussing the evening slate of MLB action for FanDuel and DraftKings. It’s a lot of Chris Sale talk at the top with a discussion about just how dominant he’s been over the last couple of seasons. He seems like the clear cash game favorite at a whopping -400 opening line. They also look at Jacob deGrom, Lance McCullers, Kenta Maeda and even Freddy Peralta as acceptable pivots. The more difficult decision might be SP2 on DraftKings considering rostering Sale does eat into a lot of the salary cap. For stacks, the guys talk about the Cardinals as a solid cash game team play against Rodon. They also roll through other teams with plus matchups. Be sure to subscribe...
Daily Fantasy MLB Picks for FanDuel and DraftKings – 7/11/18
Daily Fantasy MLB Picks for FanDuel and DraftKings - 7/11/18 Wednesday's MLB schedule gives us a full-day of games. But we'll focus primarily on the evening slate in this writeup. There's a lot to like with Chris Sale bringing his dominance to the mound, a game in Coors and some cheaper bats in good spots. Now’s your chance to get DFSR PRO, which will give you access to our MLB optimizer and our new player lab! Get started for free by clicking the button below. START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW! First time with MLB? Be sure to read our free MLB Ebooks on building lineups, general strategy and more. We've got you completely covered. Pitcher Chris Sale FD 12600 DK 13000 Opponent - TEX (Bartolo Colon) Park - BOS FD - 49.9 DK - 28.27 It’s hard to believe this guy has been able to sustain the level of dominance he showed in his first season with the Red Sox, but here we are. Sale’s numbers are just mind-boggling with a 6:1 K:BB ratio thanks to a 37% K%. His 16% swinging-strike% is the best of his career even though his pitch profile has been basically mirror images over the last few seasons. He does what he does and he’s about as good as it gets. He’s, by far, the biggest money line favorite for Wednesday at -320 with the Rangers coming in at a paltry 2.8 implied runs. The Rangers are a top 10 offense against lefty pitching this season, but do strike out about 22% of the time in the split mostly thanks to the bottom of the order. Sale is expensive, deservedly so, but he’s the best cash game option at it really isn’t all that close thanks to the peripherals and money line. Kenta Maeda FD 9500 DK 9300 Opponent - SD (Joey Lucchesi) Park - SD FD - 34.04 DK - 18.34 The biggest issue with Maeda is predicting the pitch count on a game-to-game basis. In his last three he’s thrown 84. 97 and 86 pitches. He’s been quite efficient in that run, going 5.2, 7, and 7 innings respectively, thanks in part to 27 strikeouts to five walks but that really feels like the top end of innings with this kind of leash on him. Now on Wednesday, he gets about the best matchup around against the Padres who rank dead last in the league in wOBA against righty pitching and a 26% strikeout rate in that split. He’s a solid -155 favorite against Joey Lucchesi and an over/under of 7.5. His DraftKings price hasn’t crested over the $10K mark, even though the performance probably warrants a price increase. It’s risky because...
DFSR’s Daily Fantasy MLB Podcast for FanDuel & DraftKings Tuesday 7/10/18
DFSR's Daily Fantasy MLB Podcast for FanDuel & DraftKings Tuesday 7/10/18 DFSR’s Doug Norrie and James Davis are back on the podcast discussing a full slate of Tuesday MLB action for FanDuel and DraftKings. They start off talking about the Thailand cave rescue, but then obviously pivot to the starting pitching options for Tuesday. There’s a debate about Justin Verlander vs. Trevor Bauer as the top overall pitcher on the day. It’s very close with both coming in as big money line favorites against average offenses. They also look at guys like Rich Hill and Garrett Richards in the SP2 slot for DraftKings. There’s discussion about whether the D-Backs/ Rockies’ line is too high with Patrick Corbin and Tyler Anderson on the mound. The guys look at stacking Red Sox, Cardinals, Rays, Pirates and more on a full Tuesday in baseball. Quick show notes: James digging his random backyard hole: One of these guys pitches for the Dodgers. One is the DFSR CTO Be sure to subscribe...
Daily Fantasy MLB Picks for FanDuel and DraftKings – 7/9/18
Daily Fantasy MLB Picks for FanDuel and DraftKings - 7/9/18 Fully recovered from your weekend? Ready to start the week off right with an 11-game evening slate on FanDuel and DraftKings. Don't get a case of the Mondays here with some solid expensive pitching plus the Red Sox looking to do damage at home against Mike Minor and the Rangers. Now’s your chance to get DFSR PRO, which will give you access to our MLB optimizer and our new player lab! Get started for free by clicking the button below. START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW! First time with MLB? Be sure to read our free MLB Ebooks on building lineups, general strategy and more. We've got you completely covered. Pitcher Gerrit Cole FD 11100 DK 13100 Opponent - OAK (Frankie Montas) Park - HOU FD - 45.32 DK - 24.53 After posting double-digit strikeout games in five of his first seven starts this season, Cole hasn’t topped eight K’s in any of his last ten games. I’m not overly concerned with the performance, but am just not as bullish as the early season strikeouts maybe suggested. It also is *concerning* that his last four starts have come against below-average offenses in the Rangers, Rays (twice) and Royals and he topped six innings in only one of those starts. The walks are up in the short term as teams start to see more of Cole’s new pitching repertoire (more sliders and curveballs, fewer fastballs and changeups). He’s the biggest money line favorite on the day at -250 which does help his overall projection considering the A’s are a top-third offense in the league against righty pitching. He’s not overly expensive on FanDuel, but the decision on DraftKings is a little closer. Pitching offers some weirdness today considering he and Nola are priced in the upper tier, Kershaw could still be on a pitch count and the middle tier guys aren’t all that exciting. I’m still buying on Cole’s strikeout upside with the understanding that he probably settles in at a K-rate something like 11 per nine. Aaron Nola FD 10100 DK 13100 Opponent - NYM (Corey Oswalt) Park - NYM FD - 39.01 DK - 20.84 Nola’s season is going quite the opposite of Cole’s so far. The latter started off struggling to strike out batters at the same rates we saw in 2017, but he’s been excellent over his last three starts averaging 6.86 innings, 7.33 K’s and 1.33 runs in that span. On Monday he’ll get an excellent matchup against the Mets who are in the bottom third of the league against righty pitching this season and strike out 22% of the time. At the time of this...
DFSR’s Daily Fantasy MLB Podcast for FanDuel & DraftKings Friday 7/6/18
DFSR's Daily Fantasy MLB Podcast for FanDuel & DraftKings Friday 7/6/18 DFSR’s Doug Norrie and James Davis are back on the MLB podcast discussing a full Friday’s worth of baseball action or FanDuel and DraftKings. They kick things off talking 4th of July fireworks and then get into some of the pitching options. Chris Sale is the clear leader in the clubhouse for cash games taking on the Royals on the road. They also discuss Jacob deGrom and how he’s hurt by his team’s lack of win expectation. Other arms to discuss are Zack Godley, Gio Gonzalez, Dylan Bundy and more. On the offensive side of things, the guys look at the Nationals as a cash game stack, coming cheaper across the board against Dan Straily. They look at some other bad arms on the slate as well as some one-off type guys hitting towards the top of the lineup. Be sure to subscribe...