DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Monday 4/5/21 Now’s your chance to get DFSR PRO, which will give you access to our MLB, NBA, PGA, NHL and NFL optimizers and our new player lab! Get started for free by clicking the button below. START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW! Pitchers Jacob deGrom FD - P 11000 DK - SP 10700 Opponent - PHI (Matt Moore) Park - PHI FD - 42.1 DK - 24.17 With the Mets' opening day postponed (thanks, Covid), their perennially Cy Young candidate gets to make his opening debut against the rival Philadelphia Phillies on Monday. There is a particularly interesting dynamic at play here concerning the match-up. While the rest of the league is pairing similar starters against one another, deGrom will go up against Matt Moore. Yes, that Matt Moore. The one who hasn't pitched in the Majors since 2019, and hasn't cleared a sub 5 xFIP since 2016. As a result, deGrom is a huge favorite here, and since he's the only thing remotely resembling an ace on this slate, you can sign him up for the highest overall cash game ownership by a mile. Dustin May FD - P 6800 DK - SP 8800 Opponent - OAK (Frankie Montas) Park - OAK FD - 39.18 DK - 20.76 Justus Sheffield FD - P 7200 DK - SP 7500 Opponent - CHW (Carlos Rodón) Park - SEA FD - 29.62 DK - 14.76 After deGrom, it's a big run of fourth starters. Generally, fourth starters are pretty damned bad, and today's crop is no exception. It basically comes down to these two and Frankie Montas, who is probably unplayable on account of going up against the ridiculous Dodgers offense. So where do we lean between May and Sheffield? They are actually fairly similar. Neither has established big-time strikeout stuff at the Major League level, instead relying upon an ability to generate groundballs to support their endeavors. If I have to pick one, I'm going with May. The A's have scored 7 (!) runs in their first three games, and the Dodgers prolific offense means he is more likely than Sheffield to get the win. Still, Sheffield is a pitcher to keep an eye on going forward. Catcher/First Base Pete Alonso FD - 1B 3700 DK - 1B 4800 Opponent - PHI (Matt Moore) Park - PHI FD - 11.21 DK - 8.33 We'll be stacking against Moore as well as we can today, so why not starting with the Mets' mashing first baseman? Alonso has a career .872 OPS against southpaws, and honestly, it looks for all the world like he's running bad against them. He has just a .250 BABIP in his...

DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Sunday 4/4/21 Now’s your chance to get DFSR PRO, which will give you access to our MLB, NBA, PGA, NHL, and NFL optimizers and our new player lab! Get started for free by clicking the button below. START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW! Pitchers Ian Anderson FD 9000 DK 9800 Opponent - PHI (Zach Eflin) Park - PHIFD - 35.2 DK - 18.31 He has the best peripherals on the slate coming off an age-21 season that saw him striking out more than 11 batters per nine. The 3.9 BB/9 rate was a little bit of an issue which lowered the distance he could go into games. But from a K-upside standpoint, he has the best chance of a monster on this slate. The matchup against the Phillies isn't a great one but in terms of talent, he and Tarik Skubal are the guys here. They are just both in tougher matchups with lower win probabilities. Garrett Richards FD - P 6300 DK - SP 8900 Opponent - BAL (Bruce Zimmermann) Park - BOSFD - 30.22 DK - 15.47 Garrett Richards made the move to Boston in the off-season and will get the start on Sunday. He draws a very good matchup against the Orioles and comes in as a -171 favorite. the Orioles have been a strikeout-happy team in the past and get especially thin down at the bottom of the lineup. He wasn’t amazing in a shortened season last year in San Diego but the previous two years saw him striking out more than 11 batters per nine. The velocity was fine, he just leaned on the slider a little more than in previous seasons. I still think this is a good cash play on the Sunday slate considering the state of pitching. Zach Davies FD - P 8200 DK - SP 7900 Opponent - PIT (Mitch Keller) Park - CHCFD - 29.81 DK - 14.3 Davies showed some strikeout improvement last season thanks to moving away from his fastball a bit and relying a little more on the changeup. He got the K’s up to over eight per nine and on Sunday has a solid matchup against the Pirates. Pittsburgh is among the worst offenses in the league right now giving Davies a high floor. He’s a -164 favorite in Wrigley and the only thing we are waiting on for this as a play is to see which direction the wind is blowing around game time. I don’t mind Brady Singer (FD $7500 DK $8700) in this spot either. He’s coming off a season of 8.53 k/9 and has a good matchup against the Rangers. Aaron Civale (FD $8400 DK $9600)...

DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Saturday All Day 4/3/21 We've got a full day of Saturday baseball. Let's take a look at plays for FanDuel and DraftKings for the entire day.  Now’s your chance to get DFSR PRO, which will give you access to our MLB, NBA, PGA, NHL, and NFL optimizers and our new player lab! Get started for free by clicking the button below. START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW! Pitchers Joe Musgrove FD - P 8600 DK - SP 8600 Opponent - ARI (Caleb Smith) Park - SDFD - 37.07 DK - 19.98 Joe Musgrove makes his move to the Padres this season and has a chance to put together a very strong year. He’s coming off a shortened 2020 campaign that saw him dial up the strikeout rate well beyond anything he’d done in previous years. It will be interesting to see if it can maintain after he began mixing in the curveball much more than in past seasons. He comes in as a -192 home favorite against the Diamondbacks on Saturday and is in an excellent spot which is a little short on pitching aces. Musgrove isn’t in that category yet, but he could be primed for a breakout season if he can maintain the strikeout numbers. Mike Minor FD - P 8000 DK - SP 8400 Opponent - TEX (Kohei Arihara) Park - KCFD - 31.47 DK - 15.84 Mike Minor is one of the bigger money line favorites on the earlier slate of games at -160 against the Rangers. Texas doesn’t bring a whole lot of pop in the lineup and Minor should have plenty of chances to dial up some K’s here. He spiked his K rate in 2020 to 9.85 per nine, the best of his career, and was able to average more than five innings per start. The floor should be higher at these prices on both sites and, as I said before, it’s just an overall weaker day of pitching. Lance Lynn (FD $9800 DK $9200) is a solid option against the Angels on Saturday. The latter don’t strike out as a team all that much, but Lynn is coming off the best season of his career in 2020. Catcher/First Base Cody Bellinger FD - 1B 4700 DK - OF 5500 Opponent - COL (Jon Gray) Park - COLFD - 18.77 DK - 13.99 Max Muncy FD - 1B 4200 DK - 1B 5100 Opponent - COL (Jon Gray) Park - COLFD - 15.61 DK - 11.5 We are going to be stacking Coors again with the Dodgers for the evening slate of games. It’s been the plan for the first couple of days and there’s no reason...

DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Opening Day Thursday 4/1/21 It's Opening Day in MLB and I can't believe we are back here. It's been a long winter, but the season is set to get underway on Thursday with a full slate of games. We are going to cover the afternoon set for DraftKings and FanDuel.  Now’s your chance to get DFSR PRO, which will give you access to our MLB, NBA, PGA, NHL, and NFL optimizers and our new player lab! Get started for free by clicking the button below. START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW! Pitchers Yu Darvish FD 10700 DK 10400 Opponent - ARI (Madison Bumgarner) Park - SDFD - 41.8 DK - 23.31 Darvish is coming off one of his best seasons in the majors which is really saying something for the pitcher who’s been mostly dominant ever since coming over in 2012. But a shortened 2020 season saw him strike out more than 11 batters per nine and, most importantly, really limit the walks to under 1.66 BB/9. Control had been the last remaining piece of his repertoire to sort out and he did as much last year leading to a career-best 2.82 xFIP. He makes the shift to the Padres but opens the season as one of the best money line favorite pitchers on the day at -215. This is a great spot at home for Darvish against the Diamondbacks and we could see him as the chalk arm on both sites. Kyle Hendricks FD 9100 DK 7700 Opponent - PIT (Chad Kuhl) Park - CHCFD - 37.81 DK - 19.56 Kyle Hendricks doesn’t have the make-up of your typical ace pitcher in that he doesn’t have tremendous strikeout upside. But he makes up for a lot of that with pinpoint control. He walked an absurdly-low 0.66 batters per nine innings last season which helped him to a 3.78 xFIP on the season. He struck out *only* seven batters per nine but the command meant he didn’t run his pitch count up and averaged almost seven innings a start. He opens the season as a -225 home favorite against the lowly Pirates. The one thing we’ll wait on is which direction the wind is blowing in Wrigley for this game. Consider Gerrit Cole (FD $11000 DK $)if playing the FanDuel slate. Also Clayton Kershaw (FD $9000 DK $9500)is coming at a discount because he’s opening the season in Coors. It could be worth it to take the risk on him even with the terrible park. Catcher/First Base Willson Contreras FD 2900 DK 5000 Opponent - PIT (Chad Kuhl) Park - CHCFD - 10.75 DK - 8.08 Anthony Rizzo FD 3300 DK 4800 Opponent -...

DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Tuesday 10/6/20 Now’s your chance to get DFSR PRO, which will give you access to our MLB, NBA, PGA, NHL, and NFL optimizers and our new player lab! Get started for free by clicking the button below. START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW! Pitchers Max Fried FD - P 8700 DK - SP 7700 Opponent - MIA (Sandy Alcantara) Park - ATLFD - 33.48 DK - 17.61The Braves come in as -198 favorites over the Marlins on this slate, easily the best moneyline odds of the four-games. Don’t be completely fooled by the 2.25 ERA he sported during his 56 innings this season, the xFIP was in the low 4’s. He has some K stuff, putting down just over eight batters per inning which was down from what he did in 2019. He can get outs because he induced ground balls at a 55% rate this season with a very low 25% flyball rate. The Marlins, while a nice story, had the 21st ranked team xOBA this season and are the worst offense going on this slate. Fried’s price is right and he avoids some of the slate’s bigger bats. Framber Valdez FD - P 10000 DK - RP 8900 Opponent - OAK (Sean Manaea) Park - OAKFD - 34.14 DK - 18.15Valdez was excellent in the shortened season, striking out more than a batter an inning and dramatically reducing his walk rate off his career averages. He had a sub-3 xFIP (2.94) which was better than the ERA. The A’s actually ranked 24th in the league against lefty arms this season with a team .301 wOBA in that split. Valdez is a slight +100 underdog here but he has decent K upside if he can hang around the game. Catcher/First Base Freddie Freeman FD - 1B 4200 DK - 1B 5400 Opponent - MIA (Sandy Alcantara) Park - ATLFD - 13.99 DK - 10.51Sandy Alcantara is getting to start another playoff game despite his team having a -41 run differential this season. He was *fine* in his first game in the first round, but this is very much just an average arm. Meanwhile Freeman crushed an 1.102 OPS this season and will be in the MVP discussion for sure. He walked more than he struck out (17% to 14%) and sported a .456 wOBA. Simply put, he’s one of the best hitters in the game and gets a somewhat choice playoff matchup on the mound here on Tuesday. As of this writing, San Diego still hadn’t announced who they were putting on the mound. Max Muncy (FD $3600 DK $4800) is coming cheaper on both sites considering pitching doesn’t cost a ton and...